Big-bank earnings are not simply a bet on interest rates. The real question is whether profits translate into sustainable value.
Higher rates boost loan yields but increase deposit costs, pressure bond portfolios, and weaken borrowers’ ability to repay. Banks can report healthy income while accumulating hidden risks.
That is why tangible book value and credit-loss provisions matter. NIM measures interest profitability; tangible book value reveals what remains for shareholders.
Berkshire’s continued BAC selling deserves attention, but it does not automatically signal a bearish verdict. Great investors rebalance for reasons beyond a company’s outlook.
My conclusion: I would rather own a bank with resilient credit quality, disciplined capital allocation, and sustainable returns than one benefiting from favorable rates.
@WallStreet_Tiger [思考]
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