I just entered 2 positions in SpaceX (SPCX) at $146.38. 📈💎
📉 The Setup: Post-IPO Consolidation & Technical Floor
Following its historical blockbuster listing, SPCX experienced a healthy macro digestion phase. Buying at $146.38 puts us in a pristine risk-reward zone.
Re-testing the IPO Value Base: After peaking above $225 during the post-listing rally, SPCX retraced down to build a solid base around the $140–$148 zone—just above its $135 offering level. This zone is turning into a "rock-solid horizontal floor" where big-money bids are aggressively absorbing volume.
Institutional Liquidity Sweep: Sniping this entry at $146.38 catches the flush right near the lower boundary of its multi-month consolidation channel. The RSI on daily charts is resetting from overbought territory back toward neutral, setting up the classic V-shaped base structure.
Valuation Disconnect vs. Moat: With Wall Street 12-month consensus targets sitting comfortably in the $180–$220 range, an entry at $146.38 offers a 23% to 50%+ upside margin of safety.
🚀 The Catalyst: Starlink Monopoly & Starship Commercialization
The space thesis isn't a 20-year fantasy and the cash-flow engines are running hot right now:
Starlink Cash-Flow Engine: Starlink's global subscriber growth continues to explode, transitioning SpaceX from a capital-heavy launch provider into a high-margin global telecom utility with predictable recurring cash flows.
Starship Super-Heavy Scale: With Starship moving rapidly into routine orbital operations and payload deployment, launch cost per kilogram is plummeting toward unprecedented low levels, widening the competitive moat beyond reach.
Direct-to-Cellular Rollout: Strategic carrier partnerships globally are turning Starlink into the ultimate backup network for smartphones worldwide, unlocking a massive new addressable consumer subscriber base.
💡 Final Verdict
Volatility after a record-breaking public listing is normal, it's where the smart money builds its positions while retail waits for headline news. Buying at $146.38 gives us a front-row seat to the fundamental growth curve of commercial space exploration.
"When an industry-defining monopoly pulls back to structural support, you don't hesitate, you execute."
Invest safe, Tiger friends! [666]
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