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Tesla (TSLA) Options: Does a Low IV Percentile Mean Cheap Options?

Short answer: the low percentile tells you IV is cheap relative to its own history, but it does not by itself make options a cheap entry. The IV/HV ratio of 1.34 says the opposite — options are priced at a premium to realised volatility right now, and the stock just moved 5.97% in a single session.

What the data actually shows

Metric Value As of
TSLA spot 394.44 USD (+5.97% on the day) 2026-10-27
30-day IV 44.32% 2026-10-26
30-day IV percentile 8.76% (52-wk window) 2026-10-26
IV rank 9.53 2026-10-26
30-day HV 33.10% 2026-10-26
IV/HV ratio 1.34 2026-10-27
Chain IV ~51.5% 2026-10-27
Chain expected move ~10.6 (points) 2026-10-27
Over the trailing 52 weeks, IV has ranged from 41.49% (2026-08-12) to 71.15% (2025-11-06), with a mean of 50.16% and median of 49.60%. At 44.32%, IV sits in the bottom decile of that distribution — that part of your premise checks out.

Why "low percentile" is not the same as "cheap"

1. IV is a

@NicoleWong：Two Musk companies. Two very different spending pictures.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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The IV/HV ratio of 1.34 says the opposite — options are priced at a premium to realised volatility right now, and the stock just moved 5.97% in a single session. \n<br>\n<br>\n<br>\nWhat the data actually shows \n<br>\n<br>\n<br>\nMetric Value As of \n<br>\nTSLA spot 394.44 USD (+5.97% on the day) 2026-10-27 \n<br>\n30-day IV 44.32% 2026-10-26 \n<br>\n30-day IV percentile 8.76% (52-wk window) 2026-10-26 \n<br>\nIV rank 9.53 2026-10-26 \n<br>\n30-day HV 33.10% 2026-10-26 \n<br>\nIV/HV ratio 1.34 2026-10-27 \n<br>\nChain IV ~51.5% 2026-10-27 \n<br>\nChain expected move ~10.6 (points) 2026-10-27 \n<br>\nOver the trailing 52 weeks, IV has ranged from 41.49% (2026-08-12) to 71.15% (2025-11-06), with a mean of 50.16% and median of 49.60%. At 44.32%, IV sits in the bottom decile of that distribution — that part of your premise checks out. \n<br>\n<br>\n<br>\nWhy \"low percentile\" is not the same as \"cheap\" \n<br>\n<br>\n<br>\n1. IV is a</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Tesla (TSLA) Options: Does a Low IV Percentile Mean Cheap Options? \n<br>\n<br>\n<br>\nShort answer: the low percentile tells you IV is cheap relative to its own history, but it does not by itself make options a cheap entry. The IV/HV ratio of 1.34 says the opposite — options are priced at a premium to realised volatility right now, and the stock just moved 5.97% in a single session. \n<br>\n<br>\n<br>\nWhat the data actually shows \n<br>\n<br>\n<br>\nMetric Value As of \n<br>\nTSLA spot 394.44 USD (+5.97% on the day) 2026-10-27 \n<br>\n30-day IV 44.32% 2026-10-26 \n<br>\n30-day IV percentile 8.76% (52-wk window) 2026-10-26 \n<br>\nIV rank 9.53 2026-10-26 \n<br>\n30-day HV 33.10% 2026-10-26 \n<br>\nIV/HV ratio 1.34 2026-10-27 \n<br>\nChain IV ~51.5% 2026-10-27 \n<br>\nChain expected move ~10.6 (points) 2026-10-27 \n<br>\nOver the trailing 52 weeks, IV has ranged from 41.49% (2026-08-12) to 71.15% (2025-11-06), with a mean of 50.16% and median of 49.60%. At 44.32%, IV sits in the bottom decile of that distribution — that part of your premise checks out. \n<br>\n<br>\n<br>\nWhy \"low percentile\" is not the same as \"cheap\" \n<br>\n<br>\n<br>\n1. IV is a</body></html>","text":"Tesla (TSLA) Options: Does a Low IV Percentile Mean Cheap Options? Short answer: the low percentile tells you IV is cheap relative to its own history, but it does not by itself make options a cheap entry. The IV/HV ratio of 1.34 says the opposite — options are priced at a premium to realised volatility right now, and the stock just moved 5.97% in a single session. What the data actually shows Metric Value As of TSLA spot 394.44 USD (+5.97% on the day) 2026-10-27 30-day IV 44.32% 2026-10-26 30-day IV percentile 8.76% (52-wk window) 2026-10-26 IV rank 9.53 2026-10-26 30-day HV 33.10% 2026-10-26 IV/HV ratio 1.34 2026-10-27 Chain IV ~51.5% 2026-10-27 Chain expected move ~10.6 (points) 2026-10-27 Over the trailing 52 weeks, IV has ranged from 41.49% (2026-08-12) to 71.15% (2025-11-06), with a mean of 50.16% and median of 49.60%. At 44.32%, IV sits in the bottom decile of that distribution — that part of your premise checks out. Why \"low percentile\" is not the same as \"cheap\" 1. IV is a","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/622620132651616","repostId":621704733643488,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":621704733643488,"tweetId":"621704733643488","gmtCreate":1792805420336,"gmtModify":1792805425372,"author":{"id":4233991095968972,"idStr":"4233991095968972","authorId":4233991095968972,"authorIdStr":"4233991095968972","name":"NicoleWong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/76c8733394ac97a635e5084a49fa8136","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"現職Leverage Shares槓桿ETF投資策略部副總裁, 前外資渦輪衍生產品銷售。目前專注美股分析。","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":183,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/609f9dd352430b31d2557640638968f4","width":"800","height":"1000"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/609f9dd352430b31d2557640638968f4","width":"800","height":"1000"}],"title":"Two Musk companies. Two very different spending pictures.","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>SpaceX’s capital expenditure is forecast to exceed revenue until late 2028, driven largely by AI infrastructure for xAI and X. The quarterly gap is projected to peak at $23 billion in Q3 2027.</p>\n<p>Tesla’s revenue, meanwhile, is expected to stay above capex as it invests in robotaxis, Optimus and chip production.</p>\n<p>The graph shows how their investment plans compare, and when SpaceX’s revenue is forecast to catch up.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPCX\">$SpaceX(SPCX)$</a></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/609f9dd352430b31d2557640638968f4\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"1000\"></p>\n<p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>SpaceX’s capital expenditure is forecast to exceed revenue until late 2028, driven largely by AI infrastructure for xAI and X. The quarterly gap is projected to peak at $23 billion in Q3 2027.</p>\n<p>Tesla’s revenue, meanwhile, is expected to stay above capex as it invests in robotaxis, Optimus and chip production.</p>\n<p>The graph shows how their investment plans compare, and when SpaceX’s revenue is forecast to catch up.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPCX\">$SpaceX(SPCX)$</a></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/609f9dd352430b31d2557640638968f4\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"1000\"></p>\n<p></p></body></html>","text":"SpaceX’s capital expenditure is forecast to exceed revenue until late 2028, driven largely by AI infrastructure for xAI and X. The quarterly gap is projected to peak at $23 billion in Q3 2027. Tesla’s revenue, meanwhile, is expected to stay above capex as it invests in robotaxis, Optimus and chip production. 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