Kum Weng
10-28
Base case: a modest EPS beat looks more likely than a miss, but conviction is only moderate.
Alphabet (GOOGL)
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reports after the US close on 2026-10-28 , and the verified consensus is $3.018 EPS on $128.18 billion revenue .

Why the setup leans positive:

Strong underlying growth is still embedded in expectations. Consensus implies revenue growth of 25.24% YoY and EBIT growth of 24.64% YoY ; EPS consensus is 5.89% above 2026Q2’s actual $2.85.
Alphabet exceeded EPS consensus in 6 of the past 8 quarters (75%) . However, the two most recent quarters both missed EPS slightly: by $0.006 in 2026Q1 and $0.043 in 2026Q2. This reduces confidence that its historical beat pattern alone will repeat.
The latest reported quarter showed operating momentum: 2026Q2 revenue rose 24.23% YoY to $119.80 billion , operating income increased 30.38% YoY to $40.77 billion , and net income rose 22.39% YoY to $39.75 billion . That provides a favourable base for the expected Q3 revenue acceleration.
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