SullivanRrr
11-09

$Intel(INTC)$ 18A is shaping up to be a huge success for Intel.

CEO Lip-Bu Tan confirmed the manufacturing ramp is progressing in both Oregon and Arizona:

“The ramp of the 18A in both Oregon and Arizona, including Fab 62, our second high-volume 18A fab.”

He also confirmed Clearwater Forest is already shipping for revenue, while Diamond Rapids, Intel's first 18A-P server product, is on track to ramp in 2027.

And the manufacturing improvements are becoming increasingly important.

Intel CFO Dave Zinsner said on the Q3 earnings call:

“Intel 18A costs have declined approximately 40% since Q1, reflecting continued yield and cycle time improvements.”

The manufacturing economics are moving in the right direction:

• Higher yields = more usable chips per wafer.

• Better cycle times = faster production and improved throughput.

• Higher factory utilization = fixed costs spread across more output.

• A richer mix of premium client and Xeon server CPUs = potential margin expansion.

Management reported that 18A yields improved at a double-digit rate, while wafer output on Intel 18A and Intel 3 exceeded expectations.

Intel also reported:

• 18A output approximately 25% above target.

• More than 50% quarter-over-quarter output growth.

Now combine improving yields, falling manufacturing costs, expanding factory capacity in Arizona and Oregon, and the upcoming 18A-P product ramp.

This is how Intel can build a much stronger manufacturing business and improve margins.

The 2027 opportunity is getting increasingly interesting. Intel is trading at bargain prices based on the work accomplished on the manufacturing side.

Wafer-start projections based on Intel and analyst estimates, not official Intel guidance.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment