CoreWeave's 168% revenue growth and $132.5 billion backlog demonstrate that AI infrastructure demand is real. However, the other side of the story deserves more attention: $46.9 billion in debt, $37–39 billion in annual capital expenditure, and potentially over $1 billion in quarterly interest expenses.
The real question isn't whether AI demand will grow, but who captures the profits without taking excessive financial risks.
NVIDIA sells the picks and shovels, while CoreWeave must continuously finance the entire gold mine. That creates very different risk profiles.
I wouldn't dismiss CRWV's upside, especially with customer prepayments supporting expansion. But until free cash flow becomes more sustainable, I'd treat it as a high-growth, high-risk position rather than a core holding.
My preference: NVIDIA for structural exposure, CRWV for speculative upside.
@Tiger_Earnings [可爱]
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