Premature selling?

TraderNeo
2021-09-20

Everyone is aware of how bearish the global markets are including the US markets, especially today.

Nonetheless, let’s consider the thought of premature selling. There are a few key events and outcomes to consider, and look forward to. First, Q3 earnings. We are about a month away from Q3 earnings where banks will kick off the earnings season. Only then we will know whether the stocks current valuation is justified and whether the companies guidance signal a positive or negative outlook. Selling now seems early to me as Q3 earnings season can provide a broader and clearer picture to guide investors decision making. We don’t wish to end up selling quality stocks at a bargain price right now.

Second, Fed meetings. Only when the precise timeline of when the Fed is going to taper and by how much, helps provide a more rational approach in deciding on what to do with the current stock portfolio.

Third, the outcome of Evergrande. It is difficult to ignore the possibility of Chinese authorities stepping in to rescue it. Afterall, the fallout of Evergrande may have great potential impact on China’s financial system, so it makes sense to expect soon on some form of bailout by the authorities and actions to control spillover risks. Time will tell, but for now, any clues as to the outcome of the Evergrande crisis will be market moving in either directions and have to be closely watched.

Last but not least, the U.S. easing of travel restrictions for vaccinated international visitors is a positive sign that promotes economic growth.

Share with me your thoughts on whether you are a seller or buyer during this tumultuous time. @Tiger Stars$DJIA(.DJI)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ [Glance] 

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Comments

  • 高抛低不吸
    2021-09-21
    高抛低不吸
    要是套住了,那就做时间的朋友吧!
  • 富不过二代
    2021-09-21
    富不过二代
    动荡的时候,不做买家也不做卖家!
    • TraderNeo
      agree to be more cautious in this environment, maybe too early to buy the dip.
  • T0000025299
    2021-09-21
    T0000025299
    希望恒大危机能尽快过去,一切恢复正常!
  • Dinesh88
    2021-09-22
    Dinesh88
    Well said. Although its to see bloodbath on daily basis. I still believe there’s light at the end of the tunnel.
    • Magus007
      True as long as the company value remain strong
    • TraderNeo
      yes in the long term view, economic growth still looks robust. [Wow]
  • 此时不买更待何时
    2021-09-21
    此时不买更待何时
    那个债务庞大到需要苏州一年的GDP才足够偿还,可怕啊
    • TraderNeo
      I read that the more than $300 billion in total liabilities is equivalent to 2% of China’s GDP which makes me think that the authorities will step in to rescue and control the spillover risks
  • 维克多1
    2021-09-21
    维克多1
    中概股受的伤到现在还没缓过来呢,真的一波接一波的打击
    • TraderNeo
      Agreed that the recent weeks for chinese stocks have been painful and depressing. The investors confidence to enter the market needs more time to rebuild.
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