What the author shared is quit

Greg2021

2022-01-20

What the author shared is quite true, but he is disregarding the fact that TSLA is so much more... energy storage, neural technology, SpaceX, solar energy, FSD, SAAS and much more... instead of categorizing it as a car manufacturer, unlike Toyota or GM etc., we should be looking at it as a tech innovator that will help shape the future, and this is wat a traditional manufacturing companies lacks of... they are still burden with their own ICE vehicles which are gonna be obsolete in near future, and cost of transformation is so huge that I think many may not survive.

Why Tesla Is the One Stock I'd Avoid in 2022

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Comments

KittyBruno
2022-01-20
KittyBruno
There have been hundreds of automotive startups, both electric & combustion, but Tesla is only American carmaker to reach high volume production & positive cash flow in past 100 years
- EmilyMark:
  Tesla’s market share is sinking as new big players are entering the EV market with new models. Tesla’s sales numbers are growing, but overall EV market share is declining.
EmilyMark
2022-01-20
EmilyMark
It's like we won't see $850 or even $800 like pundits claim here 😂 Ready to sell more if the crazyness persists.
LeilaLynch
2022-01-20
LeilaLynch
Solar City was so easy maybe Elon can talk the Tesla board into funding those child support payments?
- MyrnaNorth:
  interesting stat keeping in mind how Tesla energy is thriving inside of 4 years renewable energy will be the same as fossil fuel energy and nuclear energy combined
FranklinMorley
2022-01-20
FranklinMorley
Over the last 10 years, with near zero competition, TSLA was able to gain a 2% market share in the US. Let’s see what happens now with most major car manufacturers offering some decent alternatives to Tesla
littlesweetie
2022-01-20
littlesweetie
There are brand new Teslas outside both brand new state of the art gigafactories in Texas and Germany, record earnings Wednesday, this is a steal at this price
KittyBruno
2022-01-20
KittyBruno
Being a long-term bull, I think current market indicators are pointing to a dramatic downturn. Going short from here and believe we might feel max pain at $650, around November 2022. Loading up on puts.

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Shares are up almost 23,000% in the last 10 years alone, making it <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the top-performing stocks in the market during that timespan. The company has scaled out its electric vehicle business, sports a market cap north of $1 trillion, and CEO Elon Musk is now the richest man in the world. Everything has come up in favor of Tesla recently. But for owners of the stock, the future does not look nearly as bright.</p><p>Here&#39;s why Tesla is the one stock I&#39;d avoid in 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b7755ea2b8be302b03c4454fb738f44\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><h2>Growth has been solid</h2><p>Let&#39;s start with what Tesla has done with its business over the last five years. It recently posted record car deliveries of 936,000 in 2021, up from a measly 30,000 in 2017. Revenue has followed suit. Trailing 12-month sales are up 448% in the last five years, as Tesla has scaled its manufacturing business around the globe. What&#39;s more, it has recently started to generate steady profits, putting up $4.45 billion in operating income over the last 12 months.</p><p>The company should do over $50 billion in sales in 2021, and analysts expect revenue to get close to $100 billion in 2023. So why is Tesla stock one to avoid in 2022? <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> reasons: the difficulty of manufacturing and the expectations embedded in the stock.</p><h2>Manufacturing is a difficult business</h2><p>Bending steel is difficult. Building and selling cars is difficult, and it costs a lot of money. Tesla (a car manufacturer) is not immune to these costs, and they will make it difficult for the company to return cash to shareholders over the long term -- which is how you accrue value as an owner of the stock. For example, over the last 12 months, Tesla has spent $7.3 billion on capital expenditures, which is only slightly lower than the $9.9 billion it generated in cash flow from operations.</p><p>These numbers come out to a free cash flow of only $2.6 billion over the past 12 months. At a market cap of $1.05 trillion, that is a price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) over 400. Even worse, Tesla has only generated this &#34;free cash flow&#34; because it has grown its accounts payable and accrued liabilities by $2.7 billion this year. This is money Tesla will have to pay to suppliers and employees eventually, making the $2.6 billion in cash it generated unavailable to return to shareholders.</p><p>You might ask: Won&#39;t capex decrease once Tesla is done expanding its business? This is not likely. <b>Toyota</b> (NYSE:TM), the largest car manufacturer in the world, spent almost $35 billion on capital expenditures over the last 12 months, and it is growing capacity at a much slower rate than Tesla. If Tesla starts delivering more than 10 million vehicles a year (as Toyota did in 2019), it will have a perpetual need for capital investment, which will limit the amount of true free cash flow available to pay out to shareholders.</p><h2>Expectations are much too high</h2><p>Given the difficult nature of an automotive manufacturing business, most of the sector&#39;s stocks trade at dirt-cheap earnings multiples. This will likely be true of Tesla at some point. Let&#39;s look at Toyota again as an example. The company, which did $281 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, generated $28.2 billion in net income. It has a market cap of $289 billion, or right around a price-to-earnings ratio of 10. It is so low because investors in the company understand that it will be difficult for excess cash to be paid out to them relative to its earning power.</p><p>On the other hand, Tesla sports a market cap of $1.056 trillion and has a trailing net income of $3.47 billion. Could Tesla get to $28.2 billion in annual net income someday? Maybe. But as investors, you should understand that with a market cap more than three times the size of Toyota&#39;s, this is <i>already priced into the stock</i>.</p><p>If you own Tesla right now, you should have a thesis on why it will be worth more than $1 trillion in the future, and likely $2 trillion a decade from now if you desire a decent compounded annual return. You might argue that Tesla is setting itself up to do that with autonomous driving, battery technology, and solar panels. However, these are all either small and capital-intensive businesses (solar and batteries) or speculative business plans with no line of sight to becoming commercially viable (autonomous driving). 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For that reason, it is the one stock I&#39;d avoid buying in 2022.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla Is the One Stock I'd Avoid in 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla Is the One Stock I'd Avoid in 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-20 08:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/19/why-tesla-is-the-one-stock-id-avoid-in-2022/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock performance over the last decade has been nothing short of exceptional. Shares are up almost 23,000% in the last 10 years alone, making it one of the top-performing stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/19/why-tesla-is-the-one-stock-id-avoid-in-2022/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4555":"新能源车","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/19/why-tesla-is-the-one-stock-id-avoid-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2204056629","content_text":"Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock performance over the last decade has been nothing short of exceptional. Shares are up almost 23,000% in the last 10 years alone, making it one of the top-performing stocks in the market during that timespan. The company has scaled out its electric vehicle business, sports a market cap north of $1 trillion, and CEO Elon Musk is now the richest man in the world. Everything has come up in favor of Tesla recently. But for owners of the stock, the future does not look nearly as bright.Here's why Tesla is the one stock I'd avoid in 2022.Image source: Getty Images.Growth has been solidLet's start with what Tesla has done with its business over the last five years. It recently posted record car deliveries of 936,000 in 2021, up from a measly 30,000 in 2017. Revenue has followed suit. Trailing 12-month sales are up 448% in the last five years, as Tesla has scaled its manufacturing business around the globe. What's more, it has recently started to generate steady profits, putting up $4.45 billion in operating income over the last 12 months.The company should do over $50 billion in sales in 2021, and analysts expect revenue to get close to $100 billion in 2023. So why is Tesla stock one to avoid in 2022? Two reasons: the difficulty of manufacturing and the expectations embedded in the stock.Manufacturing is a difficult businessBending steel is difficult. Building and selling cars is difficult, and it costs a lot of money. Tesla (a car manufacturer) is not immune to these costs, and they will make it difficult for the company to return cash to shareholders over the long term -- which is how you accrue value as an owner of the stock. For example, over the last 12 months, Tesla has spent $7.3 billion on capital expenditures, which is only slightly lower than the $9.9 billion it generated in cash flow from operations.These numbers come out to a free cash flow of only $2.6 billion over the past 12 months. At a market cap of $1.05 trillion, that is a price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) over 400. Even worse, Tesla has only generated this \"free cash flow\" because it has grown its accounts payable and accrued liabilities by $2.7 billion this year. This is money Tesla will have to pay to suppliers and employees eventually, making the $2.6 billion in cash it generated unavailable to return to shareholders.You might ask: Won't capex decrease once Tesla is done expanding its business? This is not likely. Toyota (NYSE:TM), the largest car manufacturer in the world, spent almost $35 billion on capital expenditures over the last 12 months, and it is growing capacity at a much slower rate than Tesla. If Tesla starts delivering more than 10 million vehicles a year (as Toyota did in 2019), it will have a perpetual need for capital investment, which will limit the amount of true free cash flow available to pay out to shareholders.Expectations are much too highGiven the difficult nature of an automotive manufacturing business, most of the sector's stocks trade at dirt-cheap earnings multiples. This will likely be true of Tesla at some point. Let's look at Toyota again as an example. The company, which did $281 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, generated $28.2 billion in net income. It has a market cap of $289 billion, or right around a price-to-earnings ratio of 10. It is so low because investors in the company understand that it will be difficult for excess cash to be paid out to them relative to its earning power.On the other hand, Tesla sports a market cap of $1.056 trillion and has a trailing net income of $3.47 billion. Could Tesla get to $28.2 billion in annual net income someday? Maybe. But as investors, you should understand that with a market cap more than three times the size of Toyota's, this is already priced into the stock.If you own Tesla right now, you should have a thesis on why it will be worth more than $1 trillion in the future, and likely $2 trillion a decade from now if you desire a decent compounded annual return. You might argue that Tesla is setting itself up to do that with autonomous driving, battery technology, and solar panels. However, these are all either small and capital-intensive businesses (solar and batteries) or speculative business plans with no line of sight to becoming commercially viable (autonomous driving). Will these segments help Tesla achieve positive returns over the next decade when it already has a market cap pricing in the dominance of the majority of the automotive sector?Tesla's market cap is much too high relative to the opportunity set in front of it and its current financial profile. For that reason, it is the one stock I'd avoid buying in 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":85,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":471,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":100262142,"commentId":"100262142","gmtCreate":1642662299082,"gmtModify":1663242556044,"authorId":9000000000000521,"author":{"id":9000000000000521,"idStr":"9000000000000521","authorId":9000000000000521,"name":"KittyBruno","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55e526bf56359c8153d15df97d3245b8","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9004418009,"objectIdStr":"9004418009","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"There have been hundreds of automotive startups, both electric &amp; combustion, but Tesla is only American carmaker to reach high volume production &amp; positive cash flow in past 100 years","text":"There have been hundreds of automotive startups, both electric &amp; combustion, but Tesla is only American carmaker to reach high volume production &amp; positive cash flow in past 100 years","html":"There have been hundreds of automotive startups, both electric &amp; combustion, but Tesla is only American carmaker to reach high volume production &amp; positive cash flow in past 100 years","likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"subComments":[{"id":100262174,"commentId":"100262174","gmtCreate":1642662658172,"gmtModify":1663242554446,"authorId":9000000000000600,"author":{"id":9000000000000600,"idStr":"9000000000000600","authorId":9000000000000600,"name":"EmilyMark","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e323dbbc6c94364b37b3a4181851cf0","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9004418009,"objectIdStr":"9004418009","type":1,"supId":100262142,"supIdStr":"100262142","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Tesla’s market share is sinking as new big players are entering the EV market with new models. Tesla’s sales numbers are growing, but overall EV market share is declining.","text":"Tesla’s market share is sinking as new big players are entering the EV market with new models. Tesla’s sales numbers are growing, but overall EV market share is declining.","html":"Tesla’s market share is sinking as new big players are entering the EV market with new models. Tesla’s sales numbers are growing, but overall EV market share is declining."}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":100262130,"commentId":"100262130","gmtCreate":1642662220161,"gmtModify":1663242554034,"authorId":9000000000000600,"author":{"id":9000000000000600,"idStr":"9000000000000600","authorId":9000000000000600,"name":"EmilyMark","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e323dbbc6c94364b37b3a4181851cf0","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9004418009,"objectIdStr":"9004418009","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"It's like we won't see $850 or even $800 like pundits claim here 😂 Ready to sell more if the crazyness persists.","text":"It's like we won't see $850 or even $800 like pundits claim here 😂 Ready to sell more if the crazyness persists.","html":"It's like we won't see $850 or even $800 like pundits claim here 😂 Ready to sell more if the crazyness persists.","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":100262160,"commentId":"100262160","gmtCreate":1642662516231,"gmtModify":1663242554436,"authorId":9000000000000513,"author":{"id":9000000000000513,"idStr":"9000000000000513","authorId":9000000000000513,"name":"LeilaLynch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e32612860d02f31ae6eb923f14c61b63","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9004418009,"objectIdStr":"9004418009","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Solar City was so easy maybe Elon can talk the Tesla board into funding those child support payments?","text":"Solar City was so easy maybe Elon can talk the Tesla board into funding those child support payments?","html":"Solar City was so easy maybe Elon can talk the Tesla board into funding those child support payments?","likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"subComments":[{"id":100262164,"commentId":"100262164","gmtCreate":1642662545729,"gmtModify":1642662545729,"authorId":9000000000000462,"author":{"id":9000000000000462,"idStr":"9000000000000462","authorId":9000000000000462,"name":"MyrnaNorth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d5c39d60e3b5c35cd699bf7d148556","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9004418009,"objectIdStr":"9004418009","type":1,"supId":100262160,"supIdStr":"100262160","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"interesting stat keeping in mind how Tesla energy is thriving inside of 4 years renewable energy will be the same as fossil fuel energy and nuclear energy combined","text":"interesting stat keeping in mind how Tesla energy is thriving inside of 4 years renewable energy will be the same as fossil fuel energy and nuclear energy combined","html":"interesting stat keeping in mind how Tesla energy is thriving inside of 4 years renewable energy will be the same as fossil fuel energy and nuclear energy combined"}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":100262158,"commentId":"100262158","gmtCreate":1642662474219,"gmtModify":1663242555941,"authorId":9000000000000584,"author":{"id":9000000000000584,"idStr":"9000000000000584","authorId":9000000000000584,"name":"FranklinMorley","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41438e43bc06f3d850c94c7d80eb56cf","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9004418009,"objectIdStr":"9004418009","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Over the last 10 years, with near zero competition, TSLA was able to gain a 2% market share in the US. Let’s see what happens now with most major car manufacturers offering some decent alternatives to Tesla","text":"Over the last 10 years, with near zero competition, TSLA was able to gain a 2% market share in the US. Let’s see what happens now with most major car manufacturers offering some decent alternatives to Tesla","html":"Over the last 10 years, with near zero competition, TSLA was able to gain a 2% market share in the US. Let’s see what happens now with most major car manufacturers offering some decent alternatives to Tesla","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":100262153,"commentId":"100262153","gmtCreate":1642662380892,"gmtModify":1663242555460,"authorId":9000000000000733,"author":{"id":9000000000000733,"idStr":"9000000000000733","authorId":9000000000000733,"name":"littlesweetie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a0aed7518f515997f95ed495391d65","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9004418009,"objectIdStr":"9004418009","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"There are brand new Teslas outside both brand new state of the art gigafactories in Texas and Germany, record earnings Wednesday, this is a steal at this price","text":"There are brand new Teslas outside both brand new state of the art gigafactories in Texas and Germany, record earnings Wednesday, this is a steal at this price","html":"There are brand new Teslas outside both brand new state of the art gigafactories in Texas and Germany, record earnings Wednesday, this is a steal at this price","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":100262215,"commentId":"100262215","gmtCreate":1642663039457,"gmtModify":1663242557643,"authorId":9000000000000521,"author":{"id":9000000000000521,"idStr":"9000000000000521","authorId":9000000000000521,"name":"KittyBruno","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55e526bf56359c8153d15df97d3245b8","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9004418009,"objectIdStr":"9004418009","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Being a long-term bull, I think current market indicators are pointing to a dramatic downturn. Going short from here and believe we might feel max pain at $650, around November 2022. Loading up on puts.","text":"Being a long-term bull, I think current market indicators are pointing to a dramatic downturn. Going short from here and believe we might feel max pain at $650, around November 2022. Loading up on puts.","html":"Being a long-term bull, I think current market indicators are pointing to a dramatic downturn. Going short from here and believe we might feel max pain at $650, around November 2022. Loading up on puts.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/9004418009"}