Crude oil suddenly rose by 3%. Can it continue to rise in the future?

出没在交易圈的情报员
2021-12-28

As we expected before, when the double dip of crude oil was completed, some good news about crude oil was exposed one after another, but the increase of crude oil last night exceeded many people's expectations. So the common question for traders now is, how much room for crude oil prices, which have overdrawn short-term gains, to rise in the coming month?

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​​Review: After debt reduction, the market has been hit by triple negative. Has the double dip of crude oil been completed?​

When the new virus suddenly appeared, Many people find it strange, Why an epidemic that didn't have such a great impact at the beginning of the outbreak suddenly deteriorated seriously, After crude oil bottomed out for the second time, some news about the easing of the epidemic occupied the headlines. Needless to say, crude oil will rise as it falls. After all, the fundamentals of rising crude oil demand have not changed fundamentally at present.

The market finally believes:Omicron has limited influence

The market hopes that the Omicron variant strain will have a limited impact on global demand in 2022, even if the surge in cases in COVID-19 leads to the cancellation of a large number of flights. The main contract of WTI crude oil futures rose by 2.4%; The main contract of Brent crude oil futures rose by 3.2%, and the settlement price was reported at 78.60 USD/barrel.

DailyFX analyst Leona Liu said: "Although Omicron spreads faster than any of the variants, the relatively reassuring news is that most infected people have mild symptoms, at least so far." Health Secretary Sajid Javid said Monday that the UK government will not impose new restrictions in England until the end of 2021.

Saudi Arabia's oil exports nearly doubled in October year-on-year, accounting for nearly 78% of oil, and crude oil demand continued to rise

Exports from Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter, soared in October amid a sharp rise in crude prices. According to the data of Saudi Statistics Bureau, the country's oil exports increased by 123% year-on-year in October, jumping from 55.9 billion riyals a year ago to 106.2 billion riyals (about 28 billion US dollars), the proportion of oil in total exports jumped from 66.1% to 77.6%, and non-oil exports increased by 25.5% to 23.8 billion riyals.

The United States is still making moves for oil prices:The new round of Iranian nuclear talks will focus on the "new common draft"

Iranian Foreign Minister Abdullahiyan said on the 27th that the parties involved in the comprehensive agreement on the Iranian nuclear issue began the eighth round of negotiations between the United States and Iran to resume implementation in Vienna, Austria, and will focus on discussing a "new common draft". On the same day, Iranian News TV quoted Abdullahiyan as saying that the "new joint draft" involved lifting sanctions against Iraq and verification, which was reached by all parties in the last round of negotiations. The new round of negotiations will focus on the draft. For Iran, the most important issue is that Iranian oil can be sold "without restriction", and the sales funds are deposited in Iranian bank accounts in foreign currency

Do you think the short-term increase in crude oil has peaked? Or is it just beginning? What is the target price of crude oil in the coming month? Give your judgment?

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Comments

  • koolgal
    2021-12-29
    koolgal
    Crude oil will be bullish till the end of 2021as Omicron fears are overblown & the uptrend to continue into 2022. The price can rise to USD81 per barrel as demand is high due to borders reopening. 🚀
  • CET 789
    2022-02-17
    CET 789
    [Happy] [Happy] [Happy]
  • IcyBao
    2022-01-03
    IcyBao
    hg
  • Siawei
    2021-12-29
    Siawei
    ok
  • SGT
    2021-12-28
    SGT
    [Miser]
  • Bryonie
    2021-12-28
    Bryonie
    Great
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