Buy low sell high vs buy high sell higher vs buy and hold

Alvin Chow
2022-04-06

1. We don't trade the markets, we trade our beliefs about the markets. A good quote from Van Tharp. It is very true as we know there are many different investing or trading strategies out there.

2. Some believe buying low and selling high is the only ironclad way to make money. It doesn't take a genius to understand that. This would result in investors focusing on valuation - is the price higher or lower than the value?

3. This group believes in the mean reversion effect - what goes up must come down and what goes down must come up. Hence, they buy low and wait patiently for the rebound to happen. They are known as the value investors.

4. Some believe buying low and selling high is dangerous, especially during a downtrending market. A stock that has become cheap can go down even more and be cheaper.

5. This group (the momentum traders) believes in following the price direction and never go against it. They don't want to buy into weakness. They want to buy into strength. They want to buy high and sell higher.

6. And that means that most of the time the prices will look high to most people. In fact, breaking an all-time high is a bullish sign to this group. Others believe that a high price is dangerous and is due for a correction - the price collapse can be sudden and of a large magnitude.

7. How do we reconcile the differences? Is it possible for both strategies to make money? The answer is yes as finance research has proven both value and momentum deliver higher than average returns. Even the same stock can become a value stock at one point and a momentum stock on another occasion.

8. Mean reversion (value) usually take a few years to happen while momentum happens in the short term - weeks to months. Hence, one is suitable for intermediate timeframe and while the other is for shorter term trading.

9. The last group believes in buy and hold. They are the growth investors. They believe in compounding effect and a company that can continue to grow will be able to compound its value over time. Hence, why sell when you can ride it all the way to tremendous return?

9. The key is to ensure the company has sustainable competitive advantage to defend or even grow its market share over time.

10. The naysayers believe that it is not easy to predict the future growth trajectory of a company. More often than not the extrapolation of growth is wrong and only realising it 10 years later would incur great opportunity cost.

11. I have covered 3 strategies but there are more. It is important to note that there is no flawless strategy as each has its pros and cons.

12. What is your belief?

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Comments

  • Ah_Meng
    2022-04-17
    Ah_Meng

    Indeed there are different kinds of investors. An investor can take to a particular form only to revert to another form after involving in market for some time... It depends on what and who influence their investment journey... I started off as a value investor, having read the investment style of Warran Buffett, revert some of my investment strategy towards momentum trading to suit different market dynamics...

    • Ah_MengReplyAh_Meng
      you need to learn trend analysis 1st before you can do momentum trading... as it gives you the trigger points for the entries and exits
    • Ah_MengReplycheerzy
      also a lifelong learning experience
    • Ah_MengReplysnugglo
      Momentum trading is about trend analysis. Trading with trend, that was why in the article, it was mentioned that buying in when a share hits its 52 weeks or all time high, i.e. buy high sell higher
  • Pay2Win
    2022-04-07
    Pay2Win
    In the end, it depends on how much time you have. My thoughts:

    Buy High Sell Higher and Buy Low Sell High are the same as long as it will go Higher I don't care if I buy Low or High.

  • 苗派
    2022-04-08
    苗派
    There’s one more “buy and never sell” 🤣🤣🤣
    • HH浩
      Ya, another group… good
  • vaztan
    2022-04-10
    vaztan
    These strategies will depend on how you do your homework on the company you buy. Buy the wrong stock and none of it will work.
  • BlogArca
    2022-04-08
    BlogArca
    Biy low sell high is matter of luck
    • HH浩
      Plus a lot of luck
  • Upswing118
    2022-04-08
    Upswing118
    In this moment of volatility,  buy n exit w 25% gain.
    Being too greedy will only accumulate regrets later
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