moonradiance
2022-04-13

2nd quarter of 2022, market heading into a blood bath. Major factors include,

1. political factors on whether china will support still support Russia and face sanction threats.

2. Will US dollar be declining as many nations around the world move away from trading in US currency.

3. Supply chain crisis is still looming made worst by the war and sanctions.

4. Fed to aggressively increase interest rate greatly hampering stocks to the moon.

5. US inflation up to 8.5% as of today ratcheting up pressure on fed.

6. Consumer are still actually paying more for everything where EVs manufacturers are also increasing the price of their vehicles and slower productions. 

7. Current report of CPI inflation may not accurately reflect the real current situation.

8. Currently as many institutions are cautious and led the massive sell offs, greed (individuals or opportunist on other hand try to buy in and resist stock price from over dipping yet it is not sustainable.

Thus given the overall considerations, market is heading into a bloodbath in the 2nd quarter of 2022. Stocks at this moment is only beginning to dip further in another phase. So yes market has not bottom yet.



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Comments

  • CPCat
    2022-04-13
    CPCat
    very volatile. I feel the market has not decided which direction to go - tug of war between bulls and bears. active trading on some stocks may help here.
    • CPCatReplymoonradiance: 
      Yes, looks like veering towards a recession. But from investment pov, should still have  opportunit to make money.
    • moonradiance: 
      just look at the root problem. tho there are many factors happening around. they all converged to one point, inflation. I would still think recession is in the corner.
  • moonradiance
    2022-04-13
    moonradiance
    definitely agree. currently lots of hype to buy the dip over greed despite all the looming factors. it's not going to be sustainable. best to stay away for now.
  • moonradiance
    2022-04-14
    moonradiance
    Russian has moved missile defense system towards Finland
  • blinky
    2022-04-13
    blinky
    The U.S. CPI released last night was also too high, so it's better to stay cautious in the market for now.
  • fluffik
    2022-04-13
    fluffik
    There are so many factors affecting the periphery this year, I just hope we can maintain positive returns this year.
  • zippyloo
    2022-04-13
    zippyloo
    I also don't think the market has bottomed out yet, so I wouldn't buy right now.
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