Falling Blindly in Love with your Stock

Jo Tan
2022-05-18


You may know that I've been accumulating $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ and in my earlier articles, I raved about it's potential and how much it would was part of many people's lives. stock. Yet, despite that, I questioned myself on whether I was falling in love with a stock without doing my own studies. While I was convinced that I had an edge over other investors because I used Grab often, it may not mean that it's a good company, with good fundamentals and more importantly earning a profit.

I continued to think about it's possible growth and moat. While Grab as a superapp has no competitor, it's individual functions are easily substituted. In addition, it may not be as widely used if it does not offer any more discounts. Humans are fickle and these days, loyalty to a company rarely exists. What we often look out for are services which are the cheapest and the best. Does Grab really fulfil these criterias?

I am in a bus now, having seen the surcharge which Grab was charging (I was unwilling to pay so much to save time). I then realized that as much as I often used Grab, I think it's also important for me to analyse it's business fundamentals. I should not "fall in love with what I know" and anyalse the stock objectively.

I do have a few areas of concern:

1. The reason for the drop in price may not be easily discernable as the stock may drop due to market conditions and not the company.

2. I am also thinking whether it is better to stay away from individual stocks and concentrate on ETFs $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$.

3. Whether I should still continue to DCA while the price is low.

For now, while I ponder these options, I will cease accumulating until the earnings report comes out tomorrow. What are your thoughts?



@TigerStars@CaptainTiger@TigerEvents

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Comments

  • Kerrisdale
    2022-05-20
    Kerrisdale
    I can understand your sentiments. For one, i have also accumulated this stock. The decline was painful surely; it shaved off 85% from its peak of $17.15. 
    [Blush]
  • Serene70
    2022-05-20
    Serene70
    I think you should liquidate long ago.  it's just burning cash.  it has come down a long way.  who knows it might be delisted or become penny stocks.  I don't see much trading vol
  • Shawn287
    2022-05-20
    Shawn287
    Fallinf blindly in love with your stock also means being irrational and not doing enough cost benefit analysis, especially to weight in the consequences and losses.
    • Jo Tan
      hi bro, agree. So I have a question: Would you invest in Grab after yesterday's earnings report?
  • Nase
    2022-05-19
    Nase
    Daily User, Anthony Tan a Friend and Share Holder - but i still think by next few months it will be attacked again to around 1-1.5$
    • Nase
      Cool / Nothing is silly! We are here to make money


      Just imagine this in SEA if no Grab what will we do!? I am buying coz i dont want them to loose their businees
    • Jo TanReplyNase
      to be honest, I've not thought about a target price. because I buy in small lots, I am looking at its long term performance as I accumulate. not sure if that's silly
    • Nase
      Yup ! Just buy $HODL whats is your targrt price ? I am looking at 16$ then out of IPO base looking for 200$
    • Jo Tan
      Well, what's there to lose right?
  • Sandyboy
    2022-05-19
    Sandyboy
    Sometimes we do DCA because of ego, coz we dont want to accept we are wrong in the first place. Then it becomes “throwing good money after bad”
  • JoeCool
    2022-05-19
    JoeCool
    The problem is Grab is operating at a massive loss every quarter. i use the app everyday, but I wont invest in it until it starts to make profit
    • Jo Tan
      what is massive? I don't know if the losses will always continue
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