Have Chinese Stocks Already bottomed?
What's Next for Chinese Stocks?
We can never predict what the Chinese govt will
do next. After successive battering of the market
from the curbs imposed on property developers
that set loan limit widely known as the
"three red lines”that pushed many developers to
the brink of bankruptcy to the crackdowns of
Chinese technology companies, that send the
stocks of the latter in a tailspin. E-commerce
Titan, Ali baba was fined $2.8 billion in an anti-
monopoly probe, and China's largest ride-hailing
firm Didi was forced to stop user registrations
while regulators conduct a cybersecurity review
of the company, just few days after it's US listing.
These introduction of regulations in the past few
months has wiped out billions of dollars in market
value from internet giants.
In a surprise turn of events was the news that the
China State Council promised to shore up the
nation's wobbly financial market by easing
regulatory crackdown on technology companies,
providing new support for property developers &
boosting the economy. This vow 'to support the
economy' address investors fears of the poor
performance of Chinese stocks that risks delisting
from US bourses suddenly send the Chinese
stocks soaring overnight (on 16 March if I'm not
mistaken)
Indeed governments can use fiscal policy to
inject stability in the stock market or to curb
activities in the market. However if a government
wants to encourage inflow of foreign capital, is
best not to intervene in a free market or do it with
some form of "pre-alerts" and not by "knee-jerk"
reaction.
So has the Chinese stock bottomed up now that
it appears to be support coming from the Chinese
government? Experts still flagged a number of risk
including continued regulatory scrutiny, geopolitics
and uncertainty on the impact of business.
Some investors may see these dip in Chinese stock
as an opportunity to invest as many are at their 52
week lows.
However, I'm staying away from Hongkong & China
market for now until the coast is clear.
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