iceflower
2022-06-20

$AMD(AMD)$

The sinking Titanic [Look back] 


Industry: Semiconductor

Design microprocessor for computers and consumer electronics industry.


Fundamental analysis

-revenue and net income steadily increasing trend since 2015[Wow] 

-ROE (adj) increasing trend since 2015 but reduced to 5.11% in LTM22 Q1 report compared to 22.65% in 2021[Like] 

-Diluted EPS increasing since 2015, latest is 2.66

-total debt to equity ratio only 0.039[Love] 

-FCF became positive in 2019, reduce from 352 1k in 2021 to 3312k latest[OK] 


Technical analysis

-price dropped to and wandering around ema200 since end of Jan 2022( war time) even though with the good earnings report [Put] 

-finally breaked below ema200 in end of march 2022[Gosh] 

-with the good earning report in early may2022,. Price was pushed upto ema 200 again

-price crushed and dropped below ema200 after announcement of rising CPI and 75 basis point from US fed[Speechless] 

-price been currently 8 days continuously below ema5[Put] [Weak] 


With the current news environment and volatile period, even though with the good fundamental support(especially the low debt and high fcf),the price keep crushing down..[Warning] 


When will be the bottom? I haven't see it (for me)...[OMG] 


When only will be the good entry?[Doubt] 


Is it a good time to buy now?? 


Personal opinion only**

@Daily_Discussion@CaptainTiger@TigerStars





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Comments

  • setia100
    2022-06-20
    setia100
    The chart showing Buy Hi n Sell Lo❗😱
  • 喬志明
    2022-06-20
    喬志明
    Semiconductors will bounce back that’s for sure. The indistry is too important to go bust
    • iceflower
      hmm.. hope the bottom is near soon [Warning]
  • Nanamoney
    2022-06-20
    Nanamoney
    Think can enter at this price ? Not sure DD and within means
  • SirBahamut
    2022-06-21
    SirBahamut
    Dont be scared, look at the report and numbers instead of the share price. Server demand remained strong, slightly weaker CE demand. but overall business fundamentals is good
  • Huat99
    2022-06-20
    Huat99

    A possible repeat scenario of 2006 ~ 2007

    Euphoria TOP -> indecision (circled) -> dump in progress -> dead cat -> sell down continues

    Weekly RSI formed, little recovery till it breaks the resist.



  • SanBarbara
    2022-06-21
    SanBarbara
    Now like all stock also sinking ~ [Facepalm][Facepalm]
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