Omega88
2022-06-30

$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$I'm sure most of you here would have seen the news that the local banks are increasing the interest rate for the housing loan. 

DBS, Singapore's largest lender, is raising the rates for its two- and three-year fixed rate packages to 2.75 per cent. Similarly, UOB raised the rate on its three-year fixed rate package to 3.08 per cent per annum, up from 2.8 per cent previously.

We have seen crazy buying spree for the HDB open market in the last few years and I'm sure most people would have switched over to bank loans (to take advantage of the low interest rate of 1+%). Now, the tide has turned. Too bad, it is impossible to take up housing loan from HDB again, and most home-buyers would have to suck thumb and pay for the higher interest rates. A typical loan duration for repayment of housing loan is ~25 years. If you have just switched to a bank loan recently, you will now need to worry about the increasing interest rate for your housing loan. 

Just a quick reference, for a $500,000 housing loan over a period of 25 years.

1.5% p.a = monthly instalment of $2,000 (you would have paid a total of $600,000) 

2.75% p.a = monthly instalment of $2,307 (you would have paid a total of $692,100) 

The bank would earn an extra 15.35% based on this increment from 1.5% to 2.75%. 

As of now, the share price of local banks are on a decline despite rising interest rates. Like what most people would know, the market is like a voting machine in the short-term and a weighing machine in the long-term. As it's a 1-way switch from HDB loan to bank loan, would the increasing interest from housing loan boost the net income of our local banks?? Do let me know your thoughts! 

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Comments

  • Jason1616
    2022-07-01
    Jason1616
    If u see the past years interest rates. It was high. However over the past 10yrs. We r so used to near zero interest rates. Millenials homeowners will get a shock if interest rates r back in e 90s.
    • Omega88
      yes, totally agree. Similarly they thought stocks would only go higher and higher
  • BryanChua17
    2022-07-01
    BryanChua17
    Typically how long would high interest rate environment lasts?
    • Omega88
      hi Bryan, if u are referring to the last 10 years, the high interest rate is probably here to stay.

      Or u can put it simply that we are going back to the norm (no more ultra low interest rate)

  • DanZillaXD
    2022-07-01
    DanZillaXD
    Investing in banks is anyways a good choice regardless. Banks exists to make money. They will never run out of it. Rest assured investing in banks will guarantee you return
    • Maydelyn
      In long term yield is still acceptable.. investing in bank stocks is more stable generally.
  • SR050321
    2022-07-01
    SR050321
    Banks debt very high, loan hv to increase rate coz the bank also pay higher rate to their lender, of course bank keep some profit from the different in interest rate, eventually customer hv to bear🥹
  • Stock Yoda
    2022-07-02
    Stock Yoda
    This is a very informative post. Thank you. I‘m still looking at DBS but the upside is small. How far can it increase?
  • Aysan
    2022-07-02
    Aysan
    House loan is just a part of bank income, i am not sure it will make a big increase in their income.
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