LimLS
2022-06-08

Sideway movement for the last few days. Tech had a good bounce after being sold down. CPI readings on Friday might break this sideway movement. Breaking upwards or downwards, it's anyone's guess. But even if breaking upwards, the room for upside is limited. As such, the reward to bet on upwards movement is too low for the risk involved. My reasoning for limited room for upside is due to lower earning forecast. Strengthening of USD is hurting the profit of big companies that have a lot of overseas sales. Also, US consumer demand starts to taper off with retailers reporting increase in inventory and also drop in saving in US families. Consumer spending make up of 70% of the GDP. Good thing is consumer spending rise in Apr but can it keep up with the fall in savings and rising inflation? Hence, I see lower earnings for next few Q thus limiting room for upside. 

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Comments

  • LeilaLynch
    2022-06-08
    LeilaLynch
    I think judging from the data in recent days, the stock market has shown signs of rebounding, and the trend of the second half of the year is still too far away.
  • littlesweetie
    2022-06-08
    littlesweetie
    The return on investing in the stock market is not as good as it used to be. And there is still too much uncertainty and volatility in the current stock market.
  • EmilyMark
    2022-06-08
    EmilyMark
    Thanks for sharing. As you can see from your analysis, you think the stock market will continue to decline. I think we should be careful.
  • MoonJin
    2022-06-08
    MoonJin
    nice sharing
  • hellrider
    2022-06-08
    hellrider
    Great👍👌
  • kuppi
    2022-06-08
    kuppi
    good
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