TAL Stock: Is it time to buy?

EdRoy
2022-06-12

$TAL Education Group(TAL)$

K-12

K-12, a term used in education and educational technology in the United States, Canada, and possibly other countries, is a short form for publicly funded school grades before college. These grades are Kindergarten (K) and Grades 1-12 (1-12). Increased demand from parents for instruments that engage and educate their children, along with the proliferation of smart devices and seamless internet connectivity, as well as increased awareness of the benefits of integrating technology into the entertainment industry. education, are all considered contributing factors.

TAL

TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers tutoring services to K-12 students covering various academic subjects, including mathematics, physics, chemistry, biology, history, geography, political science, English, and Chinese. As of February 29, 2021, its educational network included 1,098 learning centers and 990 service centers in 109 cities throughout China and one city in the United States. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Investors in TAL Education Group (Symbol: TAL) saw new options begin trading , for the July 29th expiration. AtStock Options Channel, our YieldBoost formula has looked up and down the TAL options chain for the new July 29th contracts and identified one put and one call contract of particular interest.

The put contract at the $4.00 strike price has a current bid of 24 cents. If an investor was to sell-to-open that put contract, they are committing to purchase the stock at $4.00, but will also collect the premium, putting the cost basis of the shares at $3.76 (before broker commissions). To an investor already interested in purchasing shares of TAL, that could represent an attractive alternative to paying $4.17/share today.

Because the $4.00 strike represents an approximate 4% discount to the current trading price of the stock (in other words it is out-of-the-money by that percentage), there is also the possibility that the put contract would expire worthless. The current analytical data (including greeks and implied greeks) suggest the current odds of that happening are 99%. Stock Options Channel will track those odds over time to see how they change, publishing a chart of those numbers on our website under thecontract detail page for this contract. Should the contract expire worthless, the premium would represent a 6.00% return on the cash commitment, or 43.80% annualized — at Stock Options Channel we call this theYieldBoost.

Below is a chart showing the trailing twelve month trading history for TAL Education Group, and highlighting in green where the $4.00 strike is located relative to that history:

Turning to the calls side of the option chain, the call contract at the $4.50 strike price has a current bid of 33 cents. If an investor was to purchase shares of TAL stock at the current price level of $4.17/share, and then sell-to-open that call contract as a "covered call," they are committing to sell the stock at $4.50. Considering the call seller will also collect the premium, that would drive a total return (excluding dividends, if any) of 15.83% if the stock gets called away at the July 29th expiration (before broker commissions). Of course, a lot of upside could potentially be left on the table if TAL shares really soar, which is why looking at the trailing twelve month trading history for TAL Education Group, as well as studying the business fundamentals becomes important. Below is a chart showing TAL's trailing twelve month trading history, with the $4.50 strike highlighted in red:

Considering the fact that the $4.50 strike represents an approximate 8% premium to the current trading price of the stock (in other words it is out-of-the-money by that percentage), there is also the possibility that the covered call contract would expire worthless, in which case the investor would keep both their shares of stock and the premium collected. The current analytical data (including greeks and implied greeks) suggest the current odds of that happening are 99%. On our website under thecontract detail page for this contract, Stock Options Channel will track those odds over time to see how they change and publish a chart of those numbers (the trading history of the option contract will also be charted). Should the covered call contract expire worthless, the premium would represent a 7.91% boost of extra return to the investor, or 57.77% annualized, which we refer to as theYieldBoost.

source:StockOptions

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • JC888
    2022-06-12
    JC888
    Not buying Chinese yet. Too hi risks 4 me. Just watch shangri la dialog news, so much hostility betw 2 Titans. If int'l funds dun flow into China due to conflict escalation, stranded hi n dry.. Lol
  • Kelvink73
    2022-06-12
    Kelvink73
    it's on the lower end, can buy for long-term.
  • ThaiGirl
    2022-06-12
    ThaiGirl
    Good suggestion
  • Andie8392
    2022-06-12
    Andie8392
    thanks for sharing
  • KzvinYBC
    2022-06-12
    KzvinYBC
    [呆住]
  • Leftwinger
    2022-06-12
    Leftwinger
    Nice
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