Lord Tan
2022-05-13

$COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LTD(C52.SI)$Attractive ride at -2SD historical mean. Trading at 1.2x PB (-2SD of historical mean) as ROE jumps to ~9% (FY21F), ComfortDelgro&rsquo s (CD) current price seems unjustified. Investors should look beyond FY20F. Reiterate BUY.

Consolidation of P2P industry. We are looking at smaller private rental car fleet providers exiting the market, bringing a balance to the point-to-point (P2P) supply-demand dynamics.

Phase 3 re-opening could be another trigger. Tracking mobility data, people are now moving about more. With sustained low infection rates, a Phase 3 re-opening could be a near term catalyst.

Our TP is raised to S$ 1.96 as we revise our valuation peg to 1.6x FY21F P/BV, which is -1 S.D. of its historical average, on expectations of ROE jumping to c.9% in FY21F, after a dismal FY20F. The counter is trading below 1.2x P/BV, or -2 S.D. of its average.

Somethings need to be on the ground and you get a feel. Trying getting a taxi on the road tonight and see how long it takes to hail one. Try to get a cab via app too. Talk to the uncles in the taxi to get a live update. They will just tell you that business is good. Taxi uncles are ignoring apps during peak hours. Off peak hours, apps get them business without much stoppage.

Bus and MRT are packed to the brim again.

The only thing weighting down CDG is oil prices. However with a strong ridership, its much easier to make $$ to cover the cost.  

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Comments

  • Trainman
    2022-05-13
    Trainman
    taxi is getting expensive nowadays
    • Lord Tan
      Together we can do this defeat grab
  • Maky
    2022-05-13
    Maky
    Previously read that this is a good stock to hold for dividend
  • Lord Tan
    2022-05-14
    Lord Tan
    It is a pity monday sg market close otherwise with this fantastic us friday night it will be good
  • Cheahkim
    2022-05-15
    Cheahkim
  • RT_SG
    2022-05-15
    RT_SG
    [Like]
  • Killer whale
    2022-05-14
    Killer whale
    [Miser]
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