JDhope89
2022-04-30

The market will continue to stay weak before the FOMC meeting on 4-5 May. Once the Fed hikes the rate by 50bps as anticipated by the market, there should be a temporary relief to prices in the short term.

However, uncertainties will be an overhanging concern arising from the China restrictions, Ukraine war and the uncertainty from future fedrate hikes.

IMHO, in order for sustainable recovery forward, the most important factor is China lifting the covid restrictions to ease the supply disruptions causing the cost push inflation experienced by the world now. Ukraine war ending will have a beneficial effect as they are also a world supplier of wheat and other commodities that can drive up costs. And lastly, it will help if theFed provides a fixed dot plot schedule of hikes instead of giving vague comments like data dependent hikes.

Hope you find this a useful read!

How will the market perform before & after FOMC Meeting?
The Fed is expected to raise interest rates by 50 base points on the FOMC meeting on May 3 & 4... So how will the market perform before & after that? Make a prediction & leave your analysis to win coins!
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Comments

  • CrystalRose
    2022-04-30
    CrystalRose
    I am still optimistic about the established companies with complete fundamentals, and their stock prices are very stable, especially Apple and Microsoft.
    • JDhope89
      Add based on your own liquidity and comfort levels!
  • littlesweetie
    2022-04-30
    littlesweetie
    Agree with the author. The earnings season also failed to save the stock market, so we should be cautious in investing in the short term.
    • JDhope89
      Good to take some profits if any, and some possible trades could be made!
  • MatthewWalter
    2022-04-30
    MatthewWalter
    Thank you for sharing. Even if the Fed raises interest rates, I think the downward trend in the market will continue for some time.
    • JDhope89
      Yes it might but near term we cannot predict. Fed must do a U turn first and become supportive of the market first before there will be some confidence returned back to markets
  • JDhope89
    2022-05-01
    JDhope89
    Could be a nice short term trade!
  • VictorLin
    2022-04-30
    VictorLin
    Like
  • Milliamwong
    2022-04-30
    Milliamwong
    觉得可以
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