Hello everyone,
Today I bring you a technical analysis of the key US indices and stocks for next week(18 - 22 July 2022)
1.DAX Weekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022
$Global X Dax Germany ETF(DAX)$ Current the implied volatility is around 4.24%, compared to last week where it was 4.02%.
We are atm in a calmer period since we are in the 92th percentile of thevolatilityso it means prone to a reversal/big movement much faster than normal,
With this in mind, based on the current impliedvolatility, we have close to 80% that the price of the asset is going to be between:
TOP 13484
BOT 12386
Then. we can use a lower % of the IV to see with 75% chance where the prices are going to be above/below
TOP 13072
BOT 12800
Weekly chart volatility forecast
At the same time from our DailyHerculesApricus, we had a short entry on 1st July
Lastly we can see on the Daily timeframe, we also had a short entry on 27 January from our rating product
2.VIX Weekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022
$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Current the impliedvolatilityis around 12.31%, compared to last week where it was 11.75%.
We are atm in a calmer period since we are in the 55th percentile of thevolatility??
With this in mind, based on the current impliedvolatility, we have close to 67% that the price of the asset is going to be between:
TOP 27.887
BOT 21.773
Then. we can use a lower % of the IV to see with 80% chance where the prices are going to be above/below
TOP 25.6
BOT 24.06
Weekly chart volatility forecast
At the same time, we can see that currently ourHerculesApricus product, we had a long entry on 23 June on thedaily timeframe
Lastly we can see on the 1h timeframe, we also had a long entry on 14 July
3.$Goldman Sachs(GS)$ Goldman Sachs Weekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022
Goldman Sachs Weekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022
Current the impliedvolatilityis around 5.43%, compared to last week where it was 5.2%.
We are atm in a turbulent period since we are in the 70th percentile of thevolatility, so it means prone to a reversal/big movement much faster than normal,
With this in mind, based on the current impliedvolatility, we have close to 80% that the price of the asset is going to be between:
TOP 309.1
BOT 277.27
Then. we can use a lower % of the IV to see with 75% chance where the prices are going to be above/below
TOP 297.18
BOT 289.21
Weekly chart volatility forecast
At the same time, we can see that currently ourHerculesApricus product, we had a short entry on 17 June
Lastly from our trend indicator, we can see that the original direction ondaily timeframeis still short since 18 January
4.$Apple(AAPL)$ Apple Weekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022
Current the impliedvolatilityis around 5.39%, compared to last week where it was 5%.
We are atm in a turbulent period since we are in the 90th percentile of thevolatility, so it means prone to a reversal/big movement much faster than normal,
With this in mind, based on the current impliedvolatility, we have close to 80% that the price of the asset is going to be between:
TOP 153.51
BOT 137.82
Then. we can use a lower % of the IV to see with 77% chance where the prices are going to be above/below
TOP 147.6
BOT 143.8
Weekly chartvolatilityforecast
At the same time, we can see that currently ourHerculesApricus product, we had a short entry on 24 June
Lastly from our trend indicator, we can see that the original direction ondaily timeframeis still short since 29 April
5.$DJIA(.DJI)$ Dow Jones Weekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022
Dow Jones Weekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022
Current the impliedvolatilityis around 3.15%, compared to last week where it was 2.89%.
We are atm in a turbulent period since we are in the 90th percentile of thevolatility, so it means prone to a reversal/big movement much faster than normal,
With this in mind, based on the current impliedvolatility, we have close to 80% that the price of the asset is going to be between:
TOP 32275
BOT 30300
Then. we can use a lower % of the IV to see with 72% chance where the prices are going to be above/below
TOP 31500
BOT 31042
Weekly chartvolatilityforecast
At the same time, we can see that currently ourHerculesApricus product, we had a short entry on 17 June
Lastly from our trend indicator, we can see that the original direction ondaily timeframeis still short since 21 April
6.$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Nasdaq 100 ETF(QQQ)$ NQ/NDX/QQQ Weekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022
NQ/NDX/QQQWeekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022
Current the impliedvolatilityis around 4.65%, compared to last week where it was 4.32%.
We are atm in a turbulent period since we are in the 82th percentile of thevolatility, so it means prone to a reversal/big movement much faster than normal,
With this in mind, based on the current impliedvolatility, we have close to 82% that the price of the asset is going to be between:
TOP 12603
BOT 11483
Then. we can use a lower % of the IV to see with 76% chance where the prices are going to be above/below
TOP 12183
BOT 11903
Weekly chartvolatilityforecast
At the same time, we can see that currently ourHerculesApricus product, we had a short entry on 7 July
Lastly from our trend indicator, we can see that the original direction on daily timeframe is still short since 21 Janaury
7.SPX/ES Weekly Forecast 18 - 22 July 2022
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Eversource(ES)$ Current the impliedvolatilityis around 3.44%, compared to last week where it was 3.36%.
We are atm in a turbulent period since we are in the 90th percentile of thevolatility, so it means prone to a reversal/big movement much faster than normal,
With this in mind, based on the current impliedvolatility, we have close to 85% that the price of the asset is going to be between:
TOP 4012
BOT 3744
Then. we can use a lower % of the IV to see with 73% chance where the prices are going to be above/below
TOP 3911
BOT 3845
Weekly chartvolatilityforecast
At the same time, we can see that currently ourHerculesApricus product, we had a short entry on 23 June
Lastly from our trend indicator, we can see that the original direction ondaily timeframeis still short since 20 April
Comments