[Earnings Season] Is PayPal is a buy now?

Cohan Chong
2022-02-20

$PayPal(PYPL)$ recently released a discouraging fourth quarter earnings on 2nd Feb, causing the stock's price to fall sharply. As of 18 Feb, PayPal has dived past its 52-week low price, and is projected to continue plumetting. In this report, we will analyse key statistics, financials, and history to decipher if PayPal is a buy.


Earnings Report:

PayPal reported fourth quarter revenue of $6.92 billion which slightly beats the estimates of $6.89billion. Earnings per Share (EPS) was reported at $1.11 per share, falling short of estimates by $0.01, In the quarter, PayPal did not fufill user growth guidance - The creation of 4.5 million illegitimateaccounts.

Currently, management lowered their forecasts for revenue in 2022 from 18% growth to 15%-17%. 


What happened between PayPal and eBay?

eBay's transition to its own payment platform spun off PayPal, stemming PayPal's downgrade in revenue growth. This places about $600 million ofpressure on the company in the upcoming year. 


The brightside

Despite PayPal's fourth quarter earnings annoucement, it shouldn't affect the company's business or performance from a long-term perspective. Many investors forget that in FY 2021, PayPal did surpass $1 billion in total payment volume. They also had a growth in revenue and earnings of 18%-19%, which is rather impressive. 

This shows that stripping eBay out of PayPal's operational results still ensured more robust growth.


PayPal sizable cash position of $16.3 billion is close to doubling its $9 billion debt warrants investors' consideration. PayPal's ability to generate cash flow is more impressive - An increase in cash from operations and free cash flow of 31% and 38% respectively in the fourth quarter. 


What does the future holds?

PayPal recently announced a partnership with Amazon, enabling customers to checkout via Venmostarting this year. Venmo, which is acquired by PayPal in 2013, has 80 million users, offering a buy now, pay later service, available in eight markets.Their long-term prospects shows a lot of room for growth.


Conclusion

The latest sell-off might suggest that the stock of the company might be selling for a bargain, considering its future growth prospects. Shares of PayPal will be likely to continue dropping over the next few days or weeks, but long-term investors might want to consider this high-valued companyto add into their portfolio. This might just be a bump in the road, like any other blue chip companies.


@TigerStars


Source: Nasdaq.com, Luke Meindl - The Motley Fool

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • CY09
    2022-02-21
    CY09
    they are a buy but just on downtrend. based on future earnings of $5 per share, anything below 100 is buy
    • mantaru
      will wait for sub 100
    • Cohan Chong
      Definitely, thanks for sharing. Waiting on the downtrend.
  • SteadyDoesIt
    2022-02-22
    SteadyDoesIt
    Given slowing growth, I’d be cautious about entry price. This company appears to be becoming more of a mature company. The current price looks decent if comparing to last year but consider sentiment
    • Cohan Chong
      Well said, takes a lot of precision to decide when to take a position, fully agreed.
  • Asphen
    2022-02-22
    Asphen
    yes, it is certainly a buy now. Fair value of 83, conservatively it reach 162.
  • Tilon_Song
    2022-02-22
    Tilon_Song
    在经济衰退的时候,买股票总是一个好时机,只是你需要制定策略,明智地分配资金。
    • Cohan Chong
      同意,鉴于目前的市场形势,这是不可避免的。
  • Nylegnave
    2022-02-23
    Nylegnave
    他会不会对短期的入门价格持谨慎态度,对长期的增长感到厌倦,因为他们依赖于eBay&Amp等其他商业平台;亚马逊,如果他们把它们玩出来。
  • ThaiGirl
    2022-02-23
    ThaiGirl
    不要因为爱股票而为股票付出代价。
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