CY09
2022-08-05

$Twilio(TWLO)$Unprofitable company losing about 700 mil per year. while company forcast profitability next year, it is non gaap which excludes the dilutive effects of share based compensation which kills existing shareholders. It will not be profitable until 2026 based on trajectory


By then, about 1 billion share based compensation would have been issued which means dilution of about 10% of shares base. Furthermore we will not know how much profits it earns in 2026 (likely 200 mil based on growth rate). A sell and I expect shares to be worth in the $20s range

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Comments

  • seejay
    2022-08-05
    seejay
    yeah...this one taken a beating
  • WeiLee
    2022-08-05
    WeiLee
    during First time ⏲️ 😌 I am have in with the team
  • pancherry
    2022-08-05
    pancherry
    thanks for sharing
  • CY09
    2022-08-05
    CY09
    Q3 guidance was negative
  • airui
    2022-08-05
    airui
    gd for swing trade
  • AlphaSpiker
    2022-08-05
    AlphaSpiker
    Nonsense
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