RDPD富爸穷爸
2022-08-05

Yes, there are signs of market bottoming base on both price action and macroeconomic factors.

Tailwinds

1) FED

FED generally have been hawkish since start of this year with aggressive rate hike comments. However recent comments have been tone down with a more dovish approach possibly signaling lower rate hike and slower rate hike. Why? This brings to the next question - inflation

2) Inflation

Inflation had so far been 1 of the main catalyst for the recent bear. However we all know that oil and gas and other commodities had came down from their high since June possible signs of inflation had peaked. While we can make excuse that the Russia Ukraine conflict is still ongoing however the chart don't lie.

3) Big tech earning release

The big tech recent earning release had not met analysts expectations however despite the poor results share price did not fall further. It simply imply that business had slow down however still growing which is positive for the economy.

While things are looking good so far, there are also possibilities that market could reverse and head down further. Anything is possible.

Headwinds

1) Trade War version 2?

China and US relationship hasn't been great for some years now. The threat of China becoming the number 1 economy is undeniable fact. We already seen trade war back in 2018. 

Nancy Pelosi's recent visit to Taiwan incur the wrath of China. So do we expect trade war version 2 soon?

2) Cryptocurrencies 

While crypto currencies looks to be recovering from their recent drop, could there be another wave down to take out short term bulls? Crypto these days move in tandem with stock markets and any sharp move could spill over to the stock market.

Conclusion 

Let's hope the bull have legs this time round so we can huat and end this year in green  [LOL] 

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • WebbBart
    2022-08-05
    WebbBart
    I dont think they will have trade war. They must work together to beat the recession
    • IN76
      They will not work together as their values are different.


      US sees China as a threat as it will be taken over as super power in a few more years.
    • RDPD富爸穷爸
      Yes I would like to see them work together for the bigger benefits for mankind but I don't see that happening short term
  • BenjiFuji
    2022-08-05
    BenjiFuji
    Hoping for a steady bull. But if the bear comes, I’ll get my dry powder ready [Cool]
  • Dollydolly
    2022-08-05
    Dollydolly
    Yar! Hope for strong legs of the bull!
  • XiDon
    2022-08-05
    XiDon
    Hope for great news
  • MHh
    2022-08-06
    MHh
    I also need a bull!
  • koolgal
    2022-08-06
    koolgal
    Thanks for sharing your insights and knowledge.  It's been a great week so far.  😍😍😍
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