//@JuniorMaoz:A 100 percent ba

2022-07-27

//@JuniorMaoz:A 100 percent basis point might be too drastic for the Feds to take. I'm thinking along that this and the next FOMC to walk the 75 basis point tight line unless inflation would relent and slow down. Weakness in the economy might be something the Feds are willing to take in their stride for the purpose of inflation control? When you jar it, the numbers will come down but albeit at what cost to the world.

Here’s What to Expect From the Fed’s Policy Review Today

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Comments

Kyesu
2022-07-28
Kyesu
Read and thanks
ParableTalen
2022-07-28
ParableTalen
hamtaro
Lexcool
2022-07-28
Lexcool
Cool
Miguho
2022-07-28
Miguho
Liked
YCLim
2022-07-28
YCLim
ok

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I'm thinking along that this and the next FOMC to walk the 75 basis point tight line unless inflation would relent and slow down. Weakness in the economy might be something the Feds are willing to take in their stride for the purpose of inflation control? When you jar it, the numbers will come down but albeit at what cost to the world.</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>\n//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4104570694140060\">@JuniorMaoz</a>:A 100 percent basis point might be too drastic for the Feds to take. I'm thinking along that this and the next FOMC to walk the 75 basis point tight line unless inflation would relent and slow down. Weakness in the economy might be something the Feds are willing to take in their stride for the purpose of inflation control? When you jar it, the numbers will come down but albeit at what cost to the world.</body></html>","text":"//@JuniorMaoz:A 100 percent basis point might be too drastic for the Feds to take. I'm thinking along that this and the next FOMC to walk the 75 basis point tight line unless inflation would relent and slow down. Weakness in the economy might be something the Feds are willing to take in their stride for the purpose of inflation control? When you jar it, the numbers will come down but albeit at what cost to the world.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903092535","repostId":1129868832,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129868832","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658931046,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129868832?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-27 22:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s What to Expect From the Fed’s Policy Review Today","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129868832","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Possibility of a dissent vote against a 75 basis point hikeHow worried the Fed seems about the econo","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Possibility of a dissent vote against a 75 basis point hike</li><li>How worried the Fed seems about the economy will be the key</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af45ea7f074ca32a931300aaed4beaa7\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Ten-year Treasury yields have slumped almost 75 basis points in just a matter of weeks as investors fret about the prospect of a recession, providing a glum backdrop to the two-day Federal Reserve meeting that concludes today.</p><p>Here’s what traders are watching for:</p><h2>Size of hike:</h2><ul><li>While the markets were starting to price in a 100-basis point increase soon after those towering Juneinflation prints, that positioning has mellowed in the face of comments from Governor Christopher Waller and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard expressinga preferencefor 75 basis points.</li><li>While the Fed has gone into the traditional quiet period and there being no murmur suggesting otherwise from usual Deep Throat media outlets, the tail risk of a bigger move has faded.</li></ul><h2>Dissent:</h2><ul><li>Fed Kansas President Esther George, who voted in favor of a 50-basis point increase at the June meeting, may do an encore. Before the Fed’s blackout period, she had remarked that “more abrupt changes in interest rates could create strains, either in the economy or financial markets, that would undermine the Fed’s ability to deliver on the higher path of rates communicated.”</li><li>It’s not clear what’s weighing on the mind of the vice-chair for supervision, Michael Barr, as he hasn’t made public comments on monetary policy since he was sworn in.</li><li>Fed Boston President Susan Collins, who took office this month, remarked that “inflation is too high and addressing this is a key priority,” suggesting she may vote with the majority.</li></ul><h2>Statement:</h2><ul><li>The Fed is likely to acknowledge recent signs of weakness in the economy stemming from July’sPMI numbers, new-home sales and waning consumer confidence.</li><li>The Fed’s second paragraph from its Junestatementstated that “the committee is highly attentive to inflation risks.” Any tweak to that sentence would be construed as an acknowledgment that the Fed is attuned to economic risks, though I think it’s premature and unlikely given that inflation is way above its target.</li></ul><h2>Guidance:</h2><ul><li>There being no dot plot accompanying this meeting, traders will parse the language of the Fed statement to see what it thinks of the path ahead in light of signs that the economy is slowing.</li><li>Interest-rate traders are factoring in about 100 basis points of tightening in the remainder of the year excluding Wednesday’s expected increase, but that pricing is very much work in progress. So the Fed’s language and Chair Jerome Powell’s thoughts on the Fed’s intended path from here will be the key to any market reaction.</li><li>If the Fed were to signal that it won’t be spooked by pockets of weakness in the economy, expect front-end yields to trade with an upward bias. The longer end may, however, rise initially but turn down subsequently if traders estimate that the Fed’s bias will tilt the economy downward into a recession.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s What to Expect From the Fed’s Policy Review Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s What to Expect From the Fed’s Policy Review Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-27 22:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-27/here-s-what-to-expect-from-the-fed-s-policy-review-today><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Possibility of a dissent vote against a 75 basis point hikeHow worried the Fed seems about the economy will be the keyTen-year Treasury yields have slumped almost 75 basis points in just a matter of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-27/here-s-what-to-expect-from-the-fed-s-policy-review-today\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-27/here-s-what-to-expect-from-the-fed-s-policy-review-today","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129868832","content_text":"Possibility of a dissent vote against a 75 basis point hikeHow worried the Fed seems about the economy will be the keyTen-year Treasury yields have slumped almost 75 basis points in just a matter of weeks as investors fret about the prospect of a recession, providing a glum backdrop to the two-day Federal Reserve meeting that concludes today.Here’s what traders are watching for:Size of hike:While the markets were starting to price in a 100-basis point increase soon after those towering Juneinflation prints, that positioning has mellowed in the face of comments from Governor Christopher Waller and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard expressinga preferencefor 75 basis points.While the Fed has gone into the traditional quiet period and there being no murmur suggesting otherwise from usual Deep Throat media outlets, the tail risk of a bigger move has faded.Dissent:Fed Kansas President Esther George, who voted in favor of a 50-basis point increase at the June meeting, may do an encore. Before the Fed’s blackout period, she had remarked that “more abrupt changes in interest rates could create strains, either in the economy or financial markets, that would undermine the Fed’s ability to deliver on the higher path of rates communicated.”It’s not clear what’s weighing on the mind of the vice-chair for supervision, Michael Barr, as he hasn’t made public comments on monetary policy since he was sworn in.Fed Boston President Susan Collins, who took office this month, remarked that “inflation is too high and addressing this is a key priority,” suggesting she may vote with the majority.Statement:The Fed is likely to acknowledge recent signs of weakness in the economy stemming from July’sPMI numbers, new-home sales and waning consumer confidence.The Fed’s second paragraph from its Junestatementstated that “the committee is highly attentive to inflation risks.” Any tweak to that sentence would be construed as an acknowledgment that the Fed is attuned to economic risks, though I think it’s premature and unlikely given that inflation is way above its target.Guidance:There being no dot plot accompanying this meeting, traders will parse the language of the Fed statement to see what it thinks of the path ahead in light of signs that the economy is slowing.Interest-rate traders are factoring in about 100 basis points of tightening in the remainder of the year excluding Wednesday’s expected increase, but that pricing is very much work in progress. So the Fed’s language and Chair Jerome Powell’s thoughts on the Fed’s intended path from here will be the key to any market reaction.If the Fed were to signal that it won’t be spooked by pockets of weakness in the economy, expect front-end yields to trade with an upward bias. 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