No recession? But why?

PJoo
2022-08-01

Imagine passing mark is >40 and test result shows below the mark but teacher aka NBER says.... You pass this round. What? [Doubt] 

2 consecutive negative GDP equals recession but not this time per National Bureau Economic Research (NBER) 

The NBER reasons:

457000 job added in Jul better than pre Covid levels. 

Real personal income  is strong

Consumer spending or real personal consumption expenditures

Sales adjusted for price fluctuations

Business investments and industrial production

Non farm payroll

I hope Fed or NBER are not try to paint a rosy picture here. Summer is over and but Retail numbers actual and forecast are not promising. More consumer stocks to come this week. $Starbucks(SBUX)$$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$$Alibaba(BABA)$ Let's see. [Cool] 

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Comments

  • Vomous
    2022-08-02
    Vomous
    US wil go to recession. GDP has alr fallen after the first few int rates increase. With further increase now, GDP is likely to further fall
    • PJoo
      Many news out there say GDP has bottom
  • ThaiGirl
    2022-08-02
    ThaiGirl
    Don't u sell short for recession?
    • PJoo
      Yes. Buy some shorts.
  • BenjiFuji
    2022-08-02
    BenjiFuji
    Who are you looking out for most?
  • KenixBoon88
    2022-08-02
    KenixBoon88
    noted with thanks
  • Svengers19
    2022-08-02
    Svengers19
    Thanks for sharing
  • ckh
    2022-08-01
    ckh
    recession created by fed
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