Fed and the market

CGOO
2022-10-09

Fed officials, such as Mester, continue to make hawkish remarks, emphasizing further interest rate hikes.

OPEC+'s sharp production cuts help oil prices sprint "five consecutive rises", and is expected to record the largest weekly increase since March.

After the release of the US non-farm payrolls data, the UK 20-year bond yield rose to 4.537%, the highest since September 28.

In normal times, strong job growth and rising wages would be considered good news. But now, as the Fed tries to beat inflation, a strong job market is just what the U.S. economy doesn't need.

A stronger-than-expected jobs report would have a negative sentiment effect on markets by signaling that the Fed needs to take more aggressive rate hikes on inflation. Conversely, a weaker-than-expected jobs report could offer a silver lining to the market.

Also, in addition to the overall employment data, we have to keep a close eye on wage growth. Higher wage data would firm up the Fed's stance.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Leave a comment
7