Ultrahisham
2022-10-09

Loving a good bargain! 

It looks like the market sectors are taking turns to take blows from the possible effects of the FOMC efforts to rein in inflation by tightening money supply as well as of course inflation itself.

The tech sector is not immune as discretionary spending is reduced thanks to elevated prices of essentials and necessities. Couple that with inventory correction and we can see tech companies one after another reducing estimates just a few months later. How long this pressure on earnings will last depends on multiple factors but what is more important is the opportunity that arises from it.

I will not deny that the consumers are hit hardby inflation as are the enterprises. However, I believe there is a silver lining and there will be some companies that emerge stronger from here on. Companies that are aligned with strong microtrends will emerge stronger and I believe $AMD(AMD)$ is one of those that is in the category. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ is another one within the same microtrend that will most likely do well in the future.

The shares of these companies have retreatedfrom sky high valuations at their peak to ridiculous low levels now giving credence to how investors behave at peak emotions. When irrational exuberance prevails, no price is too expensive but when excessive pessimism takes hold, no price is good enough! And that is reflectedby the analysts who were justifying high prices and promoting buys only a few months backand now they keep saying the sky is going to keep dropping promoting ever lower P/Es. How fickle and easily swayed are people thanks to circumstances!

I am not saying that there is no justification totheir theses. Of course there are. The macroeconomic picture is not looking fantastic and the Feds are not really aligned with the market now. But I believe certain sectors have corrected too much and the baby is being thrown outalong with the bath water if I were to borrow an appropriate proverb.

I believe the tech sector is one and this sectoris not the same it was two decades ago. In fact, this sector is the future and the price they have retreated to is a generational opportunityto seize and grasp. These bargain basement prices will not last for long and once inflation isunder control and the threat of recession tidesover, expect strong companies from this sector to surge forward. In fact I believe new behemoths will emerge to challenge the FAANGs and $AMD(AMD)$ and $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$might just be one of them if not both.

Stay safe 😊

Is chip slump much worse than expected?
Advanced Micro Devices provided 3rd-quarter revenue estimates that were about a billion dollars less than previously forecast... Its shares dropped nearly 14%, dragging down shares of Nvidia and Intel by over 8% and 5% respectively. Is the chip slump much worse than expected? How much will semi stocks continue to fall?
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Comments

  • TigerEye
    2022-10-10
    TigerEye
    thanks for sharing 😊
  • Pepermintpat
    2022-10-11
    Pepermintpat
    Go easy on bargain picking and keep bullets to pick more at turning point. i will look out for price actions close to monthend after more bloodbath in the next several days that gurus are predicting. Patience, balance n take a deep breath
    • PepermintpatReplyZarkness:Β 
      Thank you
    • Zarkness:Β 
      Agree
    • PepermintpatReplyZarkness:Β 
      No doubt abiut that At ths time i dont belIeve anyone can say He dudnt lose miney at all, but this is a great opportunity in so many years to get bandaids n grit the teeth for a profitable recovery.
    • Zarkness:Β 
      So pain
  • Humbly
    2022-10-10
    Humbly
    Time to start hunting for a bargain
  • Niknaks
    2022-10-10
    Niknaks
    good for us
  • Eng22
    2022-10-10
    Eng22
    Amd..  Go go go.
  • Lynn098
    2022-10-10
    Lynn098
    Yes, time to pick good bargains
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