Tesla is changing the course of history with its second revolutionary AI Day event:
Optimus Humanoid Robot
- Fully-functioning prototype tested and demonstrated for the first time with no additional cranes or supports.
- The robot can walk, move, wave, and operates with ten fingers.
- Powered by the same Full Self-Driving Computer that’s in a Tesla.
- Possible for the robot to pick up boxes, and runs on Autopilot neural networks re-trained for a robot.
- The robot can view the world through neural networks.
- Second prototype with Tesla-designed and built actuators, battery packs, and computer that will be similar to the production version.
- Optimus will be able to move fingers independently, with opposable thumbs.
- The goal is to create a humanoid robot that’s usable as quickly as possible.
- Optimus will be built in high volumes with low cost.
- Optimus is designed to be an extremely capable robot, made in volumes of millions.
- Designed to cost “much less than a car, less than $20,000 would be my guess.”
- The potential of Optimus is appreciated by very few people.
- A lot of work needed to refine Optimus.
- The point of AI Day is to recruit people that will bring the vision of Optimus to fruition.
- An economy becomes quasi-infinite, creating a future of abundance with no poverty where humans can have the products and services they want.
- Civilization will be transformed.
- Keeping Tesla a publicly-traded company is essential to ensure that the change has a positive influence.
- Self-driving cars will improve productivity of transport by at the most an order of a magnitude, whereas Optimus could improve economic output by two orders of a magnitude or higher — no clear limit.
- Tesla hopes to create a transition that society wants with Optimus.
- Original prototype was developed just six months after the concept in 2021.
- Today’s robot is the latest generation, with a true focus on the human form.
- 100w power consumption while sitting, 500w while walking briskly.
- 73kg mass.
- 200+ degrees of movement, with 27 in the hand.
- Optimized for cost and efficiency by reducing part count and power consumption, including reducing wiring and centralizing power distribution with compute at the center.
- 2.3kWh battery pack, 52v, with all electronics integrated within the central torso.
- Bot Brain is in the torso, with one Full Self-Driving Computer as well as Wi-Fi, LTE, audio, and security. It can essentially do all that a human brain does.
- 28 structural actuators, 11 degrees-of-freedoms hands.
- Crash software from Model 3 utilized in the robot for damage control when it falls.
- Human-inspired, non-linear joint design.
- Optimized joint for efficient actuators.
- The robot has 28 actuators vs 1–3 in a car.
- Every joint has to be optimized, with too many unique actuator designs.
- Tesla had to run commonality styling to figure out the design of actuators that could be used for multiple joints, resulting in six unique actuator designs.
- One actuator can lift a 9-ton concert grand piano by necessitated design, as quadricep muscles could do the same.
- The hand is a biologically-inspired design, as the world is already ergonomically-designed.
- Six actuators within each hand, with eleven degrees of freedom.
- The hand can carry a twenty-pound bag, use tools, and has a precision grip.
- The neural network is the same as the network used by Autopilot, with new training.
- Volumetric depth rendering is recognized.
- The robot went from first steps in April 2022, to a pelvis unlock in July 2022, an arm sway in August 2022, then a toe off in September 2022 to emulate human walking.
- Physical self-awareness is necessary for walking, as is an energy-efficient gait, balance and coordinated motion that’s all done naturally.
- Locomotion Planning: footsteps planned first, with trajectories to connect the footsteps, then finding a mass trajectory to keep balance.
- Reality isn’t like a simplified bot model with simplified real-world assumptions.
- Un-modeled dynamics lead to de-stablization.
- State estimation and motion control lead to stabilized real behavior.
- Natural motion references from a human demonstration are used to map to the robot, with trajectory optimization to account for variation in the real-world.
- Impressive demonstration completed in 6–8 months.
- Ultimately, Optimus will change world economies.
Full Self-Driving
- 2,000 customers in the Full Self-Driving Beta last year has shifted to 160,000 customers today.
- There have been 35 releases, 281 models, 18,659 pull requests, 75,778 models trained, and a data of 4.8 million clips in between.
- Planning software runs the Full Self-Driving system, built on training infrastructure, occupancy, lanes and objects, training data, and an AI compiler/interface.
- A lot of objects need to be resolved within a glance, as interactions with pedestrians and vehicles need to be evaluated quickly.
- Interaction search: parallelized tree search over maneuver trajectories.
- Seed trajectories branch the interactions, continuously bringing in more interactions to optimize with more constraints.
- A neural planner was built using human examples from the fleet, bringing decision times down to under 100us per action.
- Trajectory scoring is based on collision checks, comfort analysis, intervention likelihood, and a human-like discriminator.
- A video feed from eight cameras understands occlusions in 3D.
- Occupancy networks: based on volumetric occupancy, multi-camera, and video context, persistency through occlusions, occupancy semantics, occupancy flow, resolution, efficient memory and compute, and runs in around ten miliseconds.
- Dense 3D reconstruction using volumetric rendering.
- The occupancy network is trained with a large auto-labeled dataset.
- Video model training: requires parallel compute with three in-house supercomputers, using 10,000 GPU’s for training and 4,000 GPU’s for auto-labeling.
- The accelerator has to be fed reliably, which is done with Tesla’s training computer Dojo.
- Video is trained on the fleet videos directly, with no processing done before that.
- FSD Lanes need to produce the full set lane instances, predicting their connectivity to each other.
- FSD Lanes has its own lane detection neural network, made up of layers encoding the video streams from the vehicle enhanced by a navigation map called a lane guidance module. Tesla converts a dense tensor of lanes into a specialized language component that can encode lanes.
- Simple approaches don’t work in many instances, thus Tesla has to develop complex systems for i.e. lane detection.
- The networks have about a billion parameters combined, with over 1,000 neural network signals.
- 500,000 trips per day have been cached, requiring manual and auto-labeling.
- Automated 3D labeling by multi-trip reconstruction.
- It would take two weeks for artists to create a rendering of an intersection, which would be too long.
- Instead, Tesla’s system can simulate the scene in five minutes.
- Unreal Engine finishes the project simulation, following tile creators, extractors, and loaders.
- Data is created using weeks of work rather than months or years.
- Tooling to identify mis-predictions, with a data engine that perfects the network.
Dojo
- Density will drive new levels of performance for Tesla’s Dojo Accelerator.
- The first functional training tile was demonstrated last year, with a build rate reaching one tile per day.
- A voltage regulator module developed in-house will enable a power improvement to meet production goals.
- All system components must be integrated into power modules.
- Extreme levels of power — Tesla has created a supercomputer that will constantly be improved with new software and a further 10x improvement with next-generation hardware.
Q&A
- Tesla is not just a car company: Tesla is the leader in real-world AI hardware and software, and building the most important computer in decades.
- Open to evolving technical solutions, but the current goal is to become useful as quickly as possible with parts designed to be made at volume.
- Optimus will be tested internally at Gigafactories.
- “Really fun” versions of Optimus will come that can be seen as a buddy.
- As AI improves, Optimus will gain more of a personality and the ability to understand instructions. Optimus is designed to be an android.
- Interventions will be possible to stop the robot from damaging itself if necessary.
- Tesla’s mission broadens to make the future awesome with Optimus.
- Optimus will be awesome in five years, ten years will be mind-blowing.
- Conversational capabilities will be added.
- Localized control ROM is included as an essential safeguard.
- Most efficient way to operate Dojo is to keep it online as an available service to train models.
- Software 2.0 will use a lot of neural net training.
- Elon tests alpha builds of the Full Self-Driving Beta.
- FSD Beta will be ready for a worldwide beta by the end of the year from a technical standpoint.
- Significant Beta improvements to be made next month.
- Advice to younger self: enjoy the moment more.
- The robot is an actuators and sensors problem, which Tesla is solving.
- Optimus will start with simple tasks, with number of useful tasks growing exponentially.
- Optimus release window within 3–5 years.
- Tesla and SpaceX create an environment where great engineers can flourish.
- The internet is the greatest equalizer for knowledge.
- Elon finds right now to be the most interesting time in history.
- Full Self-Driving won’t be perfect, but data will demonstrate it to be significantly safer than a human driver.
- Add-ons for Optimus will be possible.
- AI Day to be held annually with tremendous detail, and the possibility of a monthly podcast.
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$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Great effort 👌😊