Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery.
So, the natural question for Senti Biosciences($Senti Biosciences, Inc.(SNTI)$ ) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
How Long Is Senti Biosciences' Cash Runway?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Senti Biosciences last reported its balance sheet in June 2022, it had zero debt and cash worth US$141m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$60m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.3 years as of June 2022. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
How Well Is Senti Biosciences Growing?
Notably, Senti Biosciences actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 102%, signifying heavy investment in the business. It seems likely that the vociferous operating revenue growth of 121% during that time may well have given management confidence to ramp investment. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek athow much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
Can Senti Biosciences Raise More Cash Easily?
While Senti Biosciences seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
So, Should We Worry About Senti Biosciences' Cash Burn?
On this analysis of Senti Biosciences' cash burn, we think its revenue growth was reassuring, while its cash burn relative to its market cap has us a bit worried. Looking at the factors mentioned in this short report, we do think that its cash burn is a bit risky, and it does make us slightly nervous about the stock.
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