JP Morgan CPI playbook for today! 50% chance of inflation coming in at 7.2%-7.4%

2022-12-13

Came across JP Morgan playbook for today at Bloomberg.

They are seeing a 50% chance of inflation coming in at 7.2 percent - 7.4 percent which is in line with expectations and a S&P gaining 2-3% on this as investors cheer a drop 0.8% in inflation over the last two months.

The concern will be the 25% chance of inflation coming in hotter which will be very bad for the market.

VIX is up 25% over the past 5 days shows how uncertain the environment is before CPI release.

Let's wait in anticipation!

$SPY(SPY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $QQQ(QQQ)$

71% Win Rate: Ready to Welcome A Santa Claus Rally?

Will Santa Claus Visit The Stock Market This Year? According to Dow Jones market data, DJI's chances of getting a positive return is 71% in December, the highest among any month, with an average return of 1.4%. The win rate and average return of SPX are 73% and 1.4% in December. ---- [TOPIC] Will Santa Claus Visit The Stock Market This Year? Do your holdings fully prepared for Santa rally? Any investing opportunities to recommend for others? ----- [REWARDS] Join our topic to win at least 50 tiger coins~

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

upupahcai
2022-12-14
upupahcai
S&p did rise 3% but all the gains erased by the end of the day lol
upupahcai
2022-12-13
upupahcai
Came in at 7.1% [666]
Ratt
2022-12-17
Ratt
Think i Hodl for the Christmas break. Markets all over the place
EvanHolt
2022-12-16
EvanHolt
Hopefully the CPI data will make the stock market rally.
Maria_yy
2022-12-16
Maria_yy
It seems that the stock market is full of uncertainty at the moment.
ElvisMarner
2022-12-16
ElvisMarner
The VIX has certainly been volatile in recent days.

Leave a comment

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The concern will be the 25% chance of inflation coming in hotter which will be very bad for the market.&nbsp; VIX is up 25% over the past 5 days shows how uncertain the environment is before CPI release.&nbsp; Let's wait in anticipation!&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPY(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$QQQ(QQQ)$&nbsp;</a> </body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Came across JP Morgan playbook for today at Bloomberg. <img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c41996dc81f39d1a3bf551f85545457e\" tg-width=\"634\" tg-height=\"336\"> They are seeing a 50% chance of inflation coming in at 7.2 percent - 7.4 percent which is in line with expectations and a S&amp;P gaining 2-3%&nbsp;on this&nbsp;as investors cheer a drop&nbsp;0.8% in inflation&nbsp;over the last two&nbsp;months. The concern will be the 25% chance of inflation coming in hotter which will be very bad for the market.&nbsp; VIX is up 25% over the past 5 days shows how uncertain the environment is before CPI release.&nbsp; Let's wait in anticipation!&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPY(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$QQQ(QQQ)$&nbsp;</a> </body></html>","text":"Came across JP Morgan playbook for today at Bloomberg. They are seeing a 50% chance of inflation coming in at 7.2 percent - 7.4 percent which is in line with expectations and a S&P gaining 2-3% on this as investors cheer a drop 0.8% in inflation over the last two months. The concern will be the 25% chance of inflation coming in hotter which will be very bad for the market. VIX is up 25% over the past 5 days shows how uncertain the environment is before CPI release. Let's wait in anticipation! $SPY(SPY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $QQQ(QQQ)$","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":256,"commentSize":38,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923441356","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2415,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["QQQ",".SPX","SPY"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":439,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":105193013,"gmtCreate":1670975285366,"gmtModify":1670975297760,"authorId":3570303851308078,"author":{"id":3570303851308078,"authorId":3570303851308078,"name":"upupahcai","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b39280c4c243a0c24aee803ea3cb2f2b","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-2","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Executive Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $300,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.22","exceedPercentage":"80.74%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9923441356,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"S&amp;p did rise 3% but all the gains erased by the end of the day lol","text":"S&amp;p did rise 3% but all the gains erased by the end of the day lol","html":"S&amp;p did rise 3% but all the gains erased by the end of the day lol","likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":105190362,"gmtCreate":1670943151149,"gmtModify":1670943164228,"authorId":3570303851308078,"author":{"id":3570303851308078,"authorId":3570303851308078,"name":"upupahcai","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b39280c4c243a0c24aee803ea3cb2f2b","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-2","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Executive Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $300,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.22","exceedPercentage":"80.74%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9923441356,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Came in at 7.1% [666]","text":"Came in at 7.1% [666]","html":"Came in at 7.1% [666]","likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":105235914,"gmtCreate":1671233415255,"gmtModify":1671233429047,"authorId":4131941718981642,"author":{"id":4131941718981642,"authorId":4131941718981642,"name":"Ratt","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aeee68ebc5db0a4075bb3aff6887e20e","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b75ce0c34afff716602792a5d0929dd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9923441356,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Think i Hodl for the Christmas break. Markets all over the place","text":"Think i Hodl for the Christmas break. Markets all over the place","html":"Think i Hodl for the Christmas break. Markets all over the place","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":105220147,"gmtCreate":1671132540985,"gmtModify":1671132554743,"authorId":9000000000000592,"author":{"id":9000000000000592,"authorId":9000000000000592,"name":"EvanHolt","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9923441356,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Hopefully the CPI data will make the stock market rally.","text":"Hopefully the CPI data will make the stock market rally.","html":"Hopefully the CPI data will make the stock market rally.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":105220145,"gmtCreate":1671132527452,"gmtModify":1671132541050,"authorId":9000000000000478,"author":{"id":9000000000000478,"authorId":9000000000000478,"name":"Maria_yy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cd35158209bf23b606a5949a0e97781","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9923441356,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"It seems that the stock market is full of uncertainty at the moment.","text":"It seems that the stock market is full of uncertainty at the moment.","html":"It seems that the stock market is full of uncertainty at the moment.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":105220144,"gmtCreate":1671132520065,"gmtModify":1671132533215,"authorId":9000000000000601,"author":{"id":9000000000000601,"authorId":9000000000000601,"name":"ElvisMarner","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9923441356,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"The VIX has certainly been volatile in recent days.","text":"The VIX has certainly been volatile in recent days.","html":"The VIX has certainly been volatile in recent days.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/9923441356"}