NVDA: Trade Update 25/12/22

TBITrades
2022-12-25

I am BULLISH on $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ at these levels for the time being.

Here's a look at the daily chart of the stock:

The stock closed above its 50DMA and 100DMA, which are incidentally above the gap it formed from November. The stock also painted a doji candle on the daily, which suggests indecision on the part of sellers and buyers. It is also an indicator of a potential reversal in the near-term trend. I now expect the stock to retest its near-term 5DMA at 159, which represents a 7-point upside from current levels. 

Here's a look at the Bollinger Bands on the stock:

The stock is on the lower Bollinger Band, which supports the likelihood of a bounce at these levels. Contracting BBs also suggest a strong directional move is coming. Given that we are heading into a seasonally positive return time of the year, I expect the stock to move along with the broader market and head higher. 

So, how do we trade this? I would get CALLS (155C or 157.5C) expiring in a few weeks, and hedge with a smaller position of PUTS (155P or 152.5P) in the event that the stock breaks below the 50DMA and 100DMA and try to fill the gap created to the upside. Good luck everyone!

If you enjoyed this post, then leave a like and/or a comment on my post and follow me for more of such posts!

@TigerWire  @TigerStars  @CaptainTiger  

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $QQQ(QQQ)$ $VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$  $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ 



šŸ’° Stocks to watch today?(23 May)
1. What news/movements are worth noting in the market today? Any stocks to watch? 2. What trading opportunities are there? Do you have any plans? šŸŽ Make a post here, everyone stands a chance to win Tiger coins!
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • YeddaJohnson
    2022-12-26
    YeddaJohnson
    With chip sales falling through the floor NVDA might just hit $90 a share by late January/early February.
    • TBITrades:Ā 
      my target for Nvidia is 130s and lower eventually but it's probably going to bounce and consolidate here for a while before it heads lower
  • MorganHope
    2022-12-25
    MorganHope
    Thanks, Let's try to buy NVDA in the dip.
  • BarbaraWillard
    2022-12-25
    BarbaraWillard
    Not sure if semi sector will be on uptrend next year.
  • TBITrades
    2022-12-27
    TBITrades
    update on the trade idea - puts hedge would have printed while calls not looking good. that being said if the stock continues to break lower I would scale into a few more puts and cut calls
    • TBITrades:Ā 
      if you had taken the options several weeks to months out both sides can bank but you need a good read on a daily basis else you'll be caught holding the bag
  • jeffry09
    2022-12-26
    jeffry09
    I believe Nvda & Amd could both be the new leaders in semi sector with trillion dollars market cap in 5 to 10 years!
  • MaudNelly
    2022-12-26
    MaudNelly
    Would like a cheap buy entry on 145 USD.
Leave a comment
74
4