alex321
2022-09-14

The key economic data is the US CPI for August will be released tomorrow night.

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected headline CPI to rise 8.1% over the prior year in August, a moderation from 8.5% increase seen in July, and falling by 0.1% month-on-month. The core CPI increase by 6.1% year-on-year in August, higher than 5.9% in July and 0.3% month-on-month.

However, investors expected that the Fed would raise interest rates by 75bp in September. Because the 8.1% inflation rate is still much higher than the 2% inflation target emphasized by Fed. Fed officials have been very hawkish in the past week. Traders are pricing in a 90% chance of a 75 b p rate hike at the September meeting, up from 57% a week earlier, according to CME Group's Fedwatch Tool.

Wall Street looks unscrupulous. There is no panic without uncertainty. VIX fellback into the low volatility range.

I was very satisfied with the two event-driven events I did last week, Sell Put before Apple's press conference and Sell Put after NVDA plummeted.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Leave a comment
36