Ahhh thats where chart reading

2022-09-18

Ahhh thats where chart reading knowledge comes into play. E.g. knowing support and resistance, RSI,MACD..etc

Taking positions To hedge your current position

Warren B says.....it is not dangerous if u know what you are doing.

But if you dont know what you are doing ....better Trade with demo money😁first

ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF: Don't Be Lured In

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Popo123
2022-09-18
Popo123
Ok
Bossiwei
2022-09-18
Bossiwei
Ok
ONG1977
2022-09-18
ONG1977
k
Bossiwei
2022-09-18
Bossiwei
Ok
Jadenkho
2022-09-18
Jadenkho
👍🏻
Elon2
2022-09-18
Elon2
[Strong][Strong]

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E.g. knowing support and resistance, RSI,MACD..etc</p><p>Taking positions To hedge your current position</p><p>Warren B says.....it is not dangerous if u know what you are doing.</p><p>But if you dont know what you are doing ....better Trade with demo money😁first</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Ahhh thats where chart reading knowledge comes into play. E.g. knowing support and resistance, RSI,MACD..etc</p><p>Taking positions To hedge your current position</p><p>Warren B says.....it is not dangerous if u know what you are doing.</p><p>But if you dont know what you are doing ....better Trade with demo money😁first</p></body></html>","text":"Ahhh thats where chart reading knowledge comes into play. E.g. knowing support and resistance, RSI,MACD..etc Taking positions To hedge your current position Warren B says.....it is not dangerous if u know what you are doing. But if you dont know what you are doing ....better Trade with demo money😁first","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937444945","repostId":1173427551,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1173427551","pubTimestamp":1663466859,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173427551?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-18 10:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF: Don't Be Lured In","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173427551","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryStocks have turned sour again, and some are wondering if owning ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Ter","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Stocks have turned sour again, and some are wondering if owning ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF may be a good idea.</li><li>Beware of (1) the tendency of the VIX to revert to the mean and (2) the structure of UVXY, which makes it a money loser overtime.</li><li>The risks of placing a bet here are substantial, and probably not worth the trouble.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ab92a5d4b3199bcc3c6c873ac16ab79\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>DNY59</span></p><p>I have recently been asked by a member of the mainstream financial media for my thoughts on the ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (BATS:UVXY). With the recent stock market rout, when the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) dipped by over 4% in a single session, UVXY jumped 13% just as quickly. When it seems so hard to make money in the markets nowadays, betting on an asset that tends to benefit from bearishness and increased volatility may sound like a compelling proposition.</p><p>But in line with my previous thoughts on this ETF, I continue to think that all investors and even most short-term traders should be very careful with UVXY, if not avoid it altogether. Below, I explain why, in more detail.</p><p>The ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF is a 1.5x leveraged VIX fund that places long bets on short-term VIX futures contracts. Mechanically, the ETF is positioned today as follows:</p><ul><li>$1.15 billion in cash, which is effectively the size of the fund</li><li>$1.45 billion in notional value allocated to the VIX October contract</li><li>$279 million in notional value allocated to the VIX September contract</li></ul><p>The fund has been around since 2011. Over this period of time, it has produced cumulative returns of -99.99%, as the following chart depicts, despite the VIX itself having held up much better (more on this phenomenon further below). UVXY trades about 60 million shares daily, making it highly liquid. The expense ratio is high, at 95 bps per year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7f2f37c52dcf76868a06c42452f517a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>UVXY data by YCharts</span></p><h2>Betting on the volatility index</h2><p>Some traders looking to place a bet on UVXY may start by thinking about the volatility index itself. The market is faced with a myriad of factors that add uncertainty to the mix — probably the biggest item being how long inflation will linger, and how far interest rates will rise as a result. This is fertile ground for the VIX to rise.</p><p>On the other hand, the VIX is already at 26, and the markets have been bracing for this choppy ride for a few months now. The volatility index has averaged 15 to 17 historically, and it tends to revert to the mean over time like clockwork. I have done the math in a previous article, in a backtest that went back to 1990 (see chart below), and concluded that betting on the VIX rising when it sits below the long-term average and the S&amp;P 500 is hovering around its all-time high, not the opposite, is the better play.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1f47b37a08a3f32dcbdbe27b688af0d\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"576\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>DM Martins Research</span></p><h2>UVXY is likely not the right tool</h2><p>Regardless of the direction of the stock market and the VIX, UVXY is still unlikely to be a good bet today — and most other days, to be frank.</p><p>It is important to understand how UVXY establishes its positions. It goes long short-term VIX futures contracts, then rolls them forward each month. This process creates what is known as negative roll yield (assuming that the VIX curve is in contango, which it usually is), as the fund consistently &#34;buys high and sells low&#34;.</p><p>As a result, UVXY is designed to be a money loser over time. Notice, for example, that the ETF has been down 18% for the year, despite the VIX index itself being up nearly 50% during the same period. Therefore, even if a trader is right about the direction of the VIX, his or her UVXY bet may still end up being a money pit in the end.</p><h2>Don&#39;t be lured in</h2><p>It is human nature to seek quick and &#34;easy&#34; gains whenever possible, especially when other market participants are struggling to turn a profit. Think of the start of the pandemic, in Q1 2020, when UVXY jumped 900% in only one month while the S&amp;P 500 reached 32% below its all-time high.</p><p>But don&#39;t be lured into the trap. History says that, given enough time, maybe as little as a few months, there is a much greater chance that UVXY will be a value destroyer, not a value creator.</p><p>For this reason, I don&#39;t think that investors should get involved with the ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF. I believe that UVXY is better suited for traders who can afford to keep an eye on price action daily, if not hourly. The price movements in a volatility fund tend to be sizable, let alone one that is leveraged at a factor of 1.5x. So, the risks of placing a bet here are substantial, and probably not worth the trouble.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF: Don't Be Lured In</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF: Don't Be Lured In\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-18 10:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541333-proshares-ultra-vix-short-term-futures-etf-dont-be-lured-in><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryStocks have turned sour again, and some are wondering if owning ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF may be a good idea.Beware of (1) the tendency of the VIX to revert to the mean and (2)...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541333-proshares-ultra-vix-short-term-futures-etf-dont-be-lured-in\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UVXY":"1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541333-proshares-ultra-vix-short-term-futures-etf-dont-be-lured-in","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173427551","content_text":"SummaryStocks have turned sour again, and some are wondering if owning ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF may be a good idea.Beware of (1) the tendency of the VIX to revert to the mean and (2) the structure of UVXY, which makes it a money loser overtime.The risks of placing a bet here are substantial, and probably not worth the trouble.DNY59I have recently been asked by a member of the mainstream financial media for my thoughts on the ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (BATS:UVXY). With the recent stock market rout, when the S&P 500 (SPY) dipped by over 4% in a single session, UVXY jumped 13% just as quickly. When it seems so hard to make money in the markets nowadays, betting on an asset that tends to benefit from bearishness and increased volatility may sound like a compelling proposition.But in line with my previous thoughts on this ETF, I continue to think that all investors and even most short-term traders should be very careful with UVXY, if not avoid it altogether. Below, I explain why, in more detail.The ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF is a 1.5x leveraged VIX fund that places long bets on short-term VIX futures contracts. Mechanically, the ETF is positioned today as follows:$1.15 billion in cash, which is effectively the size of the fund$1.45 billion in notional value allocated to the VIX October contract$279 million in notional value allocated to the VIX September contractThe fund has been around since 2011. Over this period of time, it has produced cumulative returns of -99.99%, as the following chart depicts, despite the VIX itself having held up much better (more on this phenomenon further below). UVXY trades about 60 million shares daily, making it highly liquid. The expense ratio is high, at 95 bps per year.UVXY data by YChartsBetting on the volatility indexSome traders looking to place a bet on UVXY may start by thinking about the volatility index itself. The market is faced with a myriad of factors that add uncertainty to the mix — probably the biggest item being how long inflation will linger, and how far interest rates will rise as a result. This is fertile ground for the VIX to rise.On the other hand, the VIX is already at 26, and the markets have been bracing for this choppy ride for a few months now. The volatility index has averaged 15 to 17 historically, and it tends to revert to the mean over time like clockwork. I have done the math in a previous article, in a backtest that went back to 1990 (see chart below), and concluded that betting on the VIX rising when it sits below the long-term average and the S&P 500 is hovering around its all-time high, not the opposite, is the better play.DM Martins ResearchUVXY is likely not the right toolRegardless of the direction of the stock market and the VIX, UVXY is still unlikely to be a good bet today — and most other days, to be frank.It is important to understand how UVXY establishes its positions. It goes long short-term VIX futures contracts, then rolls them forward each month. This process creates what is known as negative roll yield (assuming that the VIX curve is in contango, which it usually is), as the fund consistently \"buys high and sells low\".As a result, UVXY is designed to be a money loser over time. Notice, for example, that the ETF has been down 18% for the year, despite the VIX index itself being up nearly 50% during the same period. Therefore, even if a trader is right about the direction of the VIX, his or her UVXY bet may still end up being a money pit in the end.Don't be lured inIt is human nature to seek quick and \"easy\" gains whenever possible, especially when other market participants are struggling to turn a profit. Think of the start of the pandemic, in Q1 2020, when UVXY jumped 900% in only one month while the S&P 500 reached 32% below its all-time high.But don't be lured into the trap. History says that, given enough time, maybe as little as a few months, there is a much greater chance that UVXY will be a value destroyer, not a value creator.For this reason, I don't think that investors should get involved with the ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF. I believe that UVXY is better suited for traders who can afford to keep an eye on price action daily, if not hourly. The price movements in a volatility fund tend to be sizable, let alone one that is leveraged at a factor of 1.5x. So, the risks of placing a bet here are substantial, and probably not worth the trouble.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":611,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":256,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":103983797,"commentId":"103983797","gmtCreate":1663495969076,"gmtModify":1663495973136,"authorId":4102506918623310,"author":{"id":4102506918623310,"idStr":"4102506918623310","authorId":4102506918623310,"name":"Popo123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/486873c14795c94fa86e194c8bec2cd7","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9937444945,"objectIdStr":"9937444945","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<span 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