3 Stocks to Sell Ahead of the Next Big Rate Hikes

cheerzy
2022-09-02
  • With the Federal Reserve committed to further raise interest rates these three stocks look like trouble.
  • AirBNB(ABNB): Rising rates could put more pressure on its valuation, not to mention bring an end to the "revenge travel" trend.
  • Carvana(CVNA): A further increase in interest rates could be what causes the used car bubble to officially pop.
  • Palantir(PLTR): Hawkish fiscal policy and slowing growth could mean a continued slide for this big data firm's shares.

Source: Shutterstock

Following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’slatest remarks on monetary policy, investors are more concerned with which stocks to sell. The central bank remains committed to continuing hiking interest rates, in its quest to curb inflation. In turn, the market may have a ways to go before truly bottoming out.

This points to more volatility ahead of stocks across-the-board. Worse yet, richly-priced growth stocks in particular could see more declines greater than that of the overall market for two reasons.

First, higher rates will put even more pressure on their premium valuations. Even if they’ve already experienced a round or two of severe multiple compression from the Fed’s initial increases to interest rates.

Second, higher rates make the chances of a recession in the coming year even greater. A recession will likely result in many companies experiencing a slowing down of revenue and earnings growth.

Downside risk related to these factors is in particular acute with these three stocks to sell. Ahead of a further drop on valuation/slowing growth concerns, consider it a good time to cash out.

ABNB AirBNB $113.38
CVNA Carvana $33.12
PLTR Palantir $7.79

AirBNB (ABNB)Source: Diego Thomazini / Shutterstock

After falling nearly 60% during the tech sell-offs earlier this year, shares in vacation rental platformAirBNB(NASDAQ:ABNB) made a meaningful move higher in late July/early August.

This largly was the result of the “relief rally” that occurred at the time, built on hopes that Fed pivot on interest would come sooner than expected.

Of course, this has proven to be the case. With this, growth names like ABNB stock have slid in recent days. This could continue until if/when a Fed pivot does occur, for exactly the reasons I mentioned above when talking about growth stocks in general.

While a premium valuation makes sense, given forecasts calling fordouble-digit revenue and earnings growth, rising rates could put more pressure on AirBNB’s forward valuation (52.1x).

A recession resulting from rising rates could also bring an end to the “revenge travel” trend that was instrumental in its post-pandemic comeback making ABNB among the stocks to sell on recession fears.

Carvana (CVNA)Source: Jonathan Weiss / Shutterstock.com

Already in the stock market junkyard, it may seem as ifCarvana(NYSE:CVNA) has little more room to fall from here, let along make a list of the top stocks to sell. The online automotive sales platform is down more than 90% from its high water mark.

Even so, that doesn’t mean it can experience another high double-digit price decline. Higher interest rates will make high-growth-but-unprofitable stocks like CVNA stock even less appealing. The company is expected to report high losses this year ($8.61 per share) and next year ($4.72 per share).

Changing economic conditions have already resulted in the beginning of the end for the used car bubble.It may be just about to pop.

It may be too late to sell into strength,like hedge fund Tiger Global did with its Carvana positionearlier this month. Still, you may want to cash out now, as it could re-hit its 52-week low ($19.50 per share).

Palantir (PLTR)Source: Ascannio / Shutterstock.com

Palantir’s(NYSE:PLTR) meme stock days have long since passed. Shares now sell for a mere fraction of their all-time high, at the height of “meme stock madness.”

Nevertheless, as interest rates continue rising, PLTR stock could continue to slide. At today’s prices, the big data firm sells for 143.5x this year’s estimated earnings. Yes, this extremely high multiple will come down, assuming it delivers earnings of 16 cents per share next year. This would give it a 47.3x earnings multiple.

That said, it may prove tough to maintain such a high valuation. A few weeks ago, the company underwhelmed investors withits revised outlook.

Revenues are expected to hit$1.9 billionthis year, an only 23.2% increase from 2021. Falling short of CEO Alex Karp’s past forecasts of30% annualized growth through 2025, Palantir may be more deserving now of a far lower forward valuation.

$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ $Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • skylechia
    2022-09-03
    skylechia
    informative
  • boonchong
    2022-09-02
    boonchong
    pltr bulls faster sell off 📴 now immediately and exit 🚪
  • SiFu
    2022-09-02
    SiFu
    Good  sharing
  • LazyTitan
    2022-09-03
    LazyTitan
    pltr's glory day was long gone and reality is now kicking it's butt.
  • CYberviRus
    2022-09-08
    CYberviRus
    Thank you
  • Jason1616
    2022-09-03
    Jason1616
    Thanks for sharing
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