jazzyxx
2023-03-20

$(FDX)$ I'm mystified at FDX's forward guidance. Per the earnings presentation slides, for FY23, Yields are declining, volumes are declining, and Express is off 81% from a year ago. On the positives, clearly, FDX has made progress in reducing expenses (including an 8% reduction in flight hours, which is significant, but what about revenue associated with those flight hours?), reducing headcount (4% reduction in wage expense), plus a share repurchase to boost EPS.

But I just don't see how FDX can expect a highly-uncertain US economy to be able to support an EPS growth of upwards of 16% in the next year? Wouldn't a cautious outlook have been more appropriate?

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