Sunshine2000
2023-02-15

$Alibaba(09988)$  ‌Will Alibaba go down to 60-70 like 6 months ago. 

months ago - start of covid lockdown major cities 

Now: Opening up with fewer and fewer restriction from entering the country 


6 months ago interest rate is lower and expected to be higher in coming months 

now intererst rate is higher ... but inflation seems to be in control in US 


Now China - US tension due to the Valetine Ballons 


No news on the audit in Hong Kong 


Results announcements 


--- Interest rate increase should be factored in the price,  news on the audit in Hong Kong should be factored in current price ... the new trigger point is new US-China tension plus results announcement.  Q4 resuts may not be good due to sever lock down but 2023 outlook should be postive .. If HK audit is postive, 2023 outlook is posiive, Alibaba should bounce back ... but it is anyone's  guess, but I am more on the postive side of the outcome with China openning up and positve 2023 outlook, and Ant issues have settled... and Alibaba should not be down like six months ago... 


Do you DD before investing ... 


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