I remember last year I said before the end of the third quarter that I thought the fourth quarter would rebound, and one of the indicators I observed was JP Morgan's Global Risk Index, but of course this is not the only indicator I refer to, I have other indicators and data plus my personal experience.
Although I can't confidently say that the market is going to fall again, I think that with the second chart, it may be impossible not to be vigilant. The second chart is a reference to the current risk appetite index of the market investors, the current risk appetite is optimistic, in fact, this indicator is similar to the panic and greed index, only with different data.
In fact, I personally am not optimistic about the market after the end of February, but I think the first quarter of this year is generally still up, but in the second quarter I think the market will have a more obvious pullback, of course I can not estimate how big the market pullback, just like last year I was optimistic about the rebound, but I still misjudged the magnitude of the rebound. I think it is not bad to be cautious buying an insurance policy after all, I suggest that the hedge will be hedged, the beginning of the reduction of holdings, of course, good stocks can still continue to hold.
@MaverickTiger @CaptainTiger @TigerStars @MillionaireTiger @Daily_Discussion
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