US Market on 01 Feb (Wed). $AMD : Re-Look Semi Con Stocks ?

JC888
2023-02-01

Yesterday (31 Jan) was the last trading day of Jan 2023.

Stocks jumped to end January on a strong note.

By the time market closed  :

US market performance on 31 Jan 2023 (Tue)

  • DJIA : +1.09% (+368.92 to 34,086.04).
  • S&P 500 : +1.46% (+58.83 to 4,076.60).
  • Nasdaq : +1.67% (+190.74 to 11,393.81). Best showing ytd BUT has not recovered from the drastic 30 Jan's  -1.96% loss.

The 3 Indexes Overall Sentiments :

3 Indexes Moving Averages dated 31 Jan 2023

  • All three indexes' Moving averages of 200-day, 50-day and 20-day are indicating that market is in an uptrend momentum.
  • The "weakest" index of the 3 would be Nasdaq because it has just surpassed its 200-day MA by 97.61 points only.

Semiconductor stocks' Jan 03 to Jan 31 performances

  • Is Semiconductor stocks worth a look now ?
  • $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Q4 2022 earnings and revenue slightly beat expectations. Stock is working on a bottoming base with a $79.33 buy point. It's well below the 200-day line, but a real breakout would involve clearing that key level.
  • Rival $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ edged lower in late trading. Stock rose nearly +2% to $195.37 on Tue (31 Jan), in buy range from a short cup base.
  • Looking at the selected Semiconductor stocks - 3 of 4 have risen in Jan 2023; only 1 of 4 (Intel) slipped due to weak Q4 2022 earnings report.

How Will US Market Behave On First Trading Day In Feb 2023 ?

US pre-market indicators and Bitcoin & Ethereum prices

  • Looking at US Pre-market indicators (above diagram) - Red !
  • Bitcoin & Ethereum prices for last hour & 24 hours (above diagram) - Green & Green ! *Note : Bitcoin has broken thru the $20,000 barrier; is it poised to take off or is there manipulation by the whales ?
  • Asia markets (ASX - Green !, Nikkei - Green !, KOPSI - Green !, HSI - Green !) - All in full force to celebrate Chinese New Year perhaps ? LOL !!
  • EU markets - -(DAX -Green !, FTSE -Green !, CAC - Green !).

With both Asia and EU markets rolling in the Green, is it possible that US market languishes in the Red ?  Or is it just Pre-Fed announcement jitters ?

  • Do you think the US market will rally when the 0.25% interest hike is announced ?
  • Do you think the US market will rally if a 0.5% interest hike is announced instead ?  Quite unlikely but you never know, the Fed might just throw a curve ball right ?

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Comments

  • YvetteGunther
    2023-02-02
    YvetteGunther
    I think it's an excellent start for the month of February, and AMD & I hope we can build upon that momentum.
  • YeddaJohnson
    2023-02-02
    YeddaJohnson
    Historically AMD gains are made via such rapid surges. The only way to capture 100% of them is to be Long AMD. And sometimes it’s a Long time.
  • MortimerDodd
    2023-02-04
    MortimerDodd
    The profitability of the Internet is disappointing
  • EvanHolt
    2023-02-04
    EvanHolt
    Now is not the time to invest in semiconductor stocks
  • DonnaMay
    2023-02-04
    DonnaMay
    Let's hope the index continues to surprise in February
  • PandoraHaggai
    2023-02-04
    PandoraHaggai
    I don't think we can be too optimistic. We need to be cautious
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