Lam Research ($LRCX) a Good Price or Good Company or Both ?

JC888
2023-02-02

My afterthoughts to Tiger_chat 's question of whether an investor profits from a good company or a good price ?

"Why not both" I asked myself ?

Wouldn't there be more upsides comparatively speaking ?

Now that semiconductor stocks seemed to be on the up swing again, why not put $Lam Research(LRCX)$ to the test & see if it fits the bill.

Sidetrack: I have covered (1) credit cards companies, (2) EV company, (3) entertainment company (4) technology companies and (5) financial institutions; to test out this theory.

  • American supplier of wafer fabrication equipment and related services to the semiconductor industry.
  • Founded in 1980; this is a 43 years young company
  • In May 1984, it IPO-ed on Nasdaq
  • As it area of business is very niche, competition is almost non-existent
  • Its manufacturing plants are located across 5 countries - US, Austria, Korea, Taiwan and Malaysia
  • Through strategic acquisitions, it was able to grow into its current $67.71 Billion market cap
  • As of 2018, it was the 2nd largest manufacturer in the Bay Area, after Tesla.

In 2022, a year where US market has been hammered by extreme volatility and ease of covid pandemic restrictions - how did Lam Research fare ?

Current stock price < 02 Feb 2022 stock price by -18.25%; resilient !

Lam Research ($LRCX) - Summary

  • Revenue came in at $5.2 Billion vs $4.23 Billion (Q4 2021); thats a +22.93% gain (QoQ).
  • Net income (GAAP) was $1.47 Million vs $1.19 Million (Q4 2021); thats a +23.53% gain (QoQ)
  • Earnings per share (GAAP) was $10.77 vs $8.44 (Q4 2021); thats a +27.6% gain (QoQ)
  • Minimal deviation for Non-GAAP earnings per share.

Lam Research - Revenue by products & Revenue by regions

  • Bulk of revenue was contributed by memory chip of which non-volatile memory chips constituted 39% of the 50%.
  • Next revenue generating product was the foundry businesses
  • When it comes to country / region that contributes to the group's revenue, the top 3 countries are (a) China (24%), (b) Korea (20%) and (c) Taiwan (19%).

Lam Research - Other highlights

  • Gross margin (non GAAP) was 45.1% vs 46.8% (Q4 2021); thats a marginal -1.7% decline (QoQ).
  • Strangely enough, like other Mega cap companies, operating expenses have inflated in 2022 by +9% to $696.2 Million
  • Lam Research pays a dividend of $6.90 per share.

Lam Research's CEO on Q4 2022 Results:

Given the decline in wafer fabrication equipment spending expected in calendar year 2023, we are taking proactive steps to lower our cost structure and drive efficiencies across our global footprint; while preserving critical R&D. With these actions, Lam is focused on accelerating our strategic priorities to capitalize on the semiconductor industry's long-term growth prospects... Lam Research, CEO, Timothy Archer....

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Why Is Lam Research - Both A Good Price and Good Company ?

  • As mentioned earlier, LRCX makes the very complicated machinery used by foundries like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM) to make the silicon for chips made by the likes of Nvidia Corp. & Apple Inc.
  • While the niche business means little to no competitor; in a cyclical industry like semiconductors - it could also mean dry seasons during demand-drought periods
  • Despite reporting a stellar Q4 2022 earning results, LRCX is already in the process of cutting expenses and ramping up its Research & Development to bring about "new" demands
  • Based on its current price, there is still a possible potential of +18% upside to its stock price.
  • Looking at its 200-day, 50-day and 20-day Moving Averages; its a "happy" ending that its current stock price is a comfortable margin +9.83% from its 20-day MA.

  • Do you think Lam Research is a "Buy" now before the semiconductor industry picks up momentum ?
  • Do you think there is any upside to Lam Research in 2023 ?

Please "LIKe" this post ok. Thanks. The rating is very important to me.

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Profit From Good Company or Good Price?
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Comments

  • JC888
    2023-02-02
    JC888
    Hi
    Tks for reading my post.
    Pls "" LIKe" it ok. Tks.
    The rating is very important to me. Tks tks!!
  • MortimerDodd
    2023-02-04
    MortimerDodd
    Hopefully LRCX will see a pullback. I want to buy it
  • PandoraHaggai
    2023-02-04
    PandoraHaggai
    It doesn't look like LRCX will face much competitive pressure
  • EvanHolt
    2023-02-04
    EvanHolt
    Do you have a target price for LRCX?
  • DonnaMay
    2023-02-04
    DonnaMay
    LRCX's business is niche, which I don't like
  • Maria_yy
    2023-02-04
    Maria_yy
    LRCX certainly deserves our attention
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