Last Buy Trade in 2022. Banking on Bank. Which ? Read On !

JC888
2023-01-05


In my earlier post, I have narrated about my last Sell transaction in Dec 2022.

It was for stock $Camber Energy(CEI)$.  You can click here to read if interested.

I was performing a stock take just after lunch when I realized that I had a last Buy transaction in Dec 2022, as well. 

Whahahha. guessed it slipped my mind.

On further verification, the reason I could not recall is because (a) its a token buy and (b)  I was merely testing out Mr Warren Buffet's teaching of  "Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful". 

No more, no less.

What was my last stock purchase in Dec 2022 ?

My "token"purchase on 15 Dec 2022

  • Its none other than Banking stock - $Credit Suisse Group AG(CS)$.
  • Year 2022 hasn't been kind to CS.  It has been battered by a string of scandals and losses.
  • First Blow.  It suffered a $5.5 billion loss from the unravelling of US investment firm Archegos.
  • Second Blow.  It also had to freeze $10 billion worth of supply chain finance funds linked to insolvent British financier Greensill.
  • The result of the two biggest crisis in the bank's 166-year history - saw rich clients pulled out savings & investments from the financial institution.

  • The two crisis also saw the bank's stock price plummeted from $9.94 (05 Jan) to $2.98 (at its lowest).  
  • That's a massive -70% from its 05 Jan 2022 stock price.
  • As I wanted to test out Mr Buffet's theory, I bought a token position in CS only.
  • I do not believe that it will collapse.  It is Switzerland's second-biggest bank afterall.
  • When I submitted the Buy transaction slightly > 2 weeks back, I wasn't sure if it has bottomed as well.

  • Is there light at the end of the tunnel ?  Will there ever again be a rainbow above Credit Suisse's head again ?
  • I believe there willl be light at the end of the tunnel if the bank plays its cards right.
  • That means no more major boo boo like the above 2 incidences.
  • The bank could ill afford another similar one-two punch in the face.

What Are The "Proactive" Steps Undertaken by Credit Suisse To Turn Itself Around ?

Under the stewardship of new CEO Ulrich Körner & Chairman Axel Lehmann :

  • There will be 9,000 job cuts over a three year time frame.
  • Completed a 4 Billion Swiss franc (US$4.3 billion) capital hike back in Dec 2022.
  • Focus even more on its flagship wealth management franchise
  • Scaling back volatile investment banking after a string of losses & risk-management failures.
  • Credit Suisse is also spinning out its investment arm back (again) into an independent company and reviving the original brand name - CS First Boston
  • CS First Boston will be based in New York; where the "biggest fee pool" is.
  • CS market business will "support" First Boston
  • CS has also entered into definitive transaction agreement to sell a significant part of its Securitized Products Group (SPG)) to Apollo Global Management; targetted to be completed by mid-2023.
  • Most importantly, restore trust in the most pragmatic & stablising timeline.

With Restructuring Plan Announced & In Motion, What Does It Mean To Investors & Stock Market ?

"A Picture Paints A Thousand Words" ..... by Frederick R. Barnard.

  • Do you think there is hope for Credit Suisse ?
  • What do you think will be CS's stock price at end 2023 ?
  • Food for thoughts ?

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Comments

  • daz888888888
    2023-01-05
    daz888888888
    (CSGN.S) has agreed to pay $495 million to settle a case related to mortgage-linked investments in the United States, the latest pay-out related to past blunders that have battered the Swiss bank's reputation.


    The lender has been paying out billions of dollars to resolve legal cases linked to its residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) business in the run up to the 2008 financial crisis.
  • LEngLEng
    2023-01-06
    LEngLEng
    It may takes time to regain their reputation and trust…maybe can invest your money at other more positive stock. Just my one cents thought [Smile]
  • MortimerDodd
    2023-01-08
    MortimerDodd
    I didn't expect CS to go down to 2.98
    • JC888
      It did but bounced back quickly.  Only for a session, guess its a strong support level for CS.. 
  • EvanHolt
    2023-01-08
    EvanHolt
    You seem to know a lot about the history of CS
    • JC888
      Research and lots of readings... hee hee

  • FrankRebecca
    2023-01-05
    FrankRebecca
    Cash is the king for me during this period.
    • JC888
      That's a strategy too...
  • MaudNelly
    2023-01-05
    MaudNelly
    Why price of CS is so low? just wondering.
    • JC888
      It had 2 major fiasco last year... denting customers confidence majorly
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