$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$ $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Fumi
This is quite a interesting one today as futu and tiger brokers have plunged more than 50percent.
Why?
This is largely related to the risk of losing customers in mainland china as a result of increased pressure from the authorities reported in WSJ
Impact?
Hard to estimate but can be significant for a while. The annual reports do state this risk but the exact revenue breakdown and user breakdown is unknown but nevertheless it will be a disturbance to the companies performance
Hypothesis testing
Would be great to compare this with fumi but that is a privately held entity.
Chance to purchase ?
This might be a purchase on the dip but this will still be dependant on one's analysis of the other fundamentals
Comments
Solid earnings growth, excellent eps, a positive current and quick ratio and much more. Stuck on the 40-50 price mark but once it breaks the 50 I see it rising to 70. A great hold for the long term
I'm still bullish on Chinese tech, because I expect consumer demand to recover H2 2024, stimulus from the Chinese government will take some months to take effect. Also, many Chinese stocks are still trading at a tremendous discount considering their fundamentals.
i sold at 50 before it got to 60. market is forward looking, I just look deeper and further then the market.
bought at 30 sold at 50. will buy at 24