CY09
2022-11-04

$Twilio(TWLO)$Latest results show it is on course to losing about 700 mil per year. while company forcast profitability next year, it is non gaap which excludes the dilutive effects of share based compensation which kills existing shareholders. It will not be profitable until 2026 based on trajectory

By then, about 1 billion share based compensation would have been issued which means dilution of about 10% of shares base. Furthermore we will not know how much profits it earns in 2026 (likely 200 mil based on growth rate). A sell and I expect shares to be worth in the $20s range

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Comments

  • bubblyx
    2022-11-04
    bubblyx
    50美元的TWLO交易收益是收入的1倍,现金接近50亿美元。收入40亿美元。成长。这太疯狂了..
    • CY09

      然后他们不得不用50亿美元进行股票回购,抛售率很高

  • cheerzy
    2022-11-04
    cheerzy
    他们预订的收入越多,损失就越多。竞争正在吃掉他们的午餐。如果他们降低价格,他们会损失更多。很快5美元的股票。
  • wigglyz
    2022-11-04
    wigglyz
    3Q22 TWLO revs increased $243M over 3Q21. $4B cash. 177M shares outstanding. At least worth $100/share. Way oversold!
  • BoJio
    2022-11-04
    BoJio
    Okk
  • Zen0321
    2022-11-04
    Zen0321
    👍
  • fish118
    2022-11-04
    fish118
    k
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