US main Indices Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022

1.SPX/SPY Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

We can see that currently the volatility is around 4.44%, falling from 4.48% of the last week.
At the same time, its currently place on the 90th percentile based on the ATR calculations.
With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:
In case of a Bullish movement : 2.54%
In case of a Bearish movement : 2.7%
With the current volatility point, we have a 24.3% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:
TOP : 3751
BOT : 3430
At the same time, there is currently a 38% probability that we can touch the previous high of the weekly candle 3730
And there is a 66% probability that we can touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 3500
Lastly, currently the rating from the moving average is around -68% indicating a verybearish trend(and we can confirm this since november 2021)

2.Nasdaq/ QQQ Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$

We can see that currently the volatility is around 5.11%, falling from 5.3% of the last week.
At the same time, its currently place on the 85th percentile based on the ATR calculations.
With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:
In case of a Bullish movement : 3.05%
In case of a Bearish movement : 3.585%
With the current volatility point, we have a 23.6% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:
TOP : 11288
BOT : 10151
At the same time, there is currently a 36% probability that we can touch the previous high of the weekly candle 11250
And there is a 66% probability that we can touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 10500
Lastly, currently the rating from the moving average is around -80% indicating a verybearish trend(and we can confirm this since november 2021)

3.Crude Oil Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022

We can see that currently the volatility is around 7.44%, rising from 7.04% of the last week.
At the same time, its currently place on the 83th percentile based on the ATR calculations.
With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:
In case of a Bullish movement : 4.63%
In case of a Bearish movement : 5.56%
With the current volatility point, we have a 21.5% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:
TOP : 91.61
BOT : 79.56
At the same time, there is currently a 30% probability that we can touch the previous high of the weekly candle 93.66
And there is a 66% probability that we can touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 85.2
Lastly, currently the rating from the moving average is around -40% indicating abearish trend

4.GOLD/ XAU Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022

We can see that currently the volatility is around 2.73%, falling from 2.85% of the last week.
At the same time, its currently place on the 91th percentile based on the ATR calculations.
With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:
In case of a Bullish movement : 1.51%
In case of a Bearish movement : 1.89%
With the current volatility point, we have a 22.3% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:
TOP : 1690
BOT : 1596
At the same time, there is currently a 29% probability that we can touch the previous high of the weekly candle 1701
And there is a 64% probability that we can touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 1640
Lastly, currently the rating from the moving average is around -78% indicating a verybearish trend

5.DAX Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022

We can see that currently the volatility is around 4.14%, falling from 4.33% of the last week.
At the same time, its currently place on the 85th percentile based on the ATR calculations.
With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:
In case of a Bullish movement : 1.8%
In case of a Bearish movement : 2.5%
With the current volatility point, we have a 18.2% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:
TOP : 13000
BOT : 11930
At the same time, there is currently a 73% probability that we can touch the previous high of the weekly candle 12700
And there is a 27% probability that we can touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 12000
Lastly, currently the rating from the moving average is around -80% indicating a verybearish trend(and we can confirm this since november 2021)

6.EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022

We can see that currently the volatility is around 4.14%, falling from 4.33% of the last week.(usingDAXvolatility, which is highly correlated witheuro stoxx 50/600)
At the same time, its currently place on the 75th percentile based on the ATR calculations.
With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:
In case of a Bullish movement : 1.94%
In case of a Bearish movement : 2.35%
With the current volatility point, we have a 19.5% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:
TOP : 3529
BOT : 3235
At the same time, there is currently a 75% probability that we can touch the previous high of the weekly candle 3450
And there is a 28% probability that we can touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 3250
Lastly, currently the rating from the moving average is around -78% indicating a verybearish trend(and we can confirm this since november 2021)

7.BTCUSD Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022

We can see that currently the volatility is around 8.91%, falling from 9.57% of the last week.
At the same time, its currently place on the 61th percentile based on the ATR calculations.
With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:
In case of a Bullish movement : 5.25%
In case of a Bearish movement : 7.4%
With the current volatility point, we have a 20.6% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:
TOP : 20950
BOT : 17290
At the same time, there is currently a 29% probability that we can touch the previous high of the weekly candle 19910
And there is a 46% probability that we can touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 18166
Lastly, currently the rating from the moving average is around -80% indicating a verybearish trend(and we can confirm this since september/october 2021)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/IQ5LuRZq-BTCUSD-Weekly-Volatility-Forecast-17-21-October-2022/

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