The market has just retraced back to a healthy level in fear of the jackson’s hole meeting.
The jackson’s hole meeting is a very important meeting different from the monthly fed meeting. It allows important policy to be made.
Overall, the market has been quite bullish since June. Covid has been a new norm among us and most country has been laxing the rules. This has indeed bring up the economy slightly. However, inflation is still at an all time high. To start deflation, the rates will likely have to be increase further which will impact many company revenue. This is the main factor which many investors are still on the sideline.
Recession has already begun and the GDP has shrinked by 0.6%. Overall, the consumer data has been improving, although this is a lagging indicator and does not show actual market sentiments.
Some might say this is a bear rally, i would like to say that the major index has rose more than 15% and the market seems to have found the bottom.
It is expected to rally short-term till more indicators show that we are in a strong bull market. Learn and react according than timing the market
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