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小火哥

小火哥

火发上攻，无攻下风. 跟风

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2020-04-12

“In the end, the Fed will save us all.”$道琼斯(.DJI)$$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$$标普500ETF(SPY)$$SP500指数主连(ESmain)$$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$$短期VIX期货ETN(VXX)$$VIX波动率主连(VIXmain)$

2020-02-24

[眼眼]

@Owen_Tradinghouse:什麼策略可應對目前的美股大跌？期貨或期權也可以這樣組合

2020-02-14

@Lady_Susu QRJKL [微笑]

2020-01-30

$MSFT 20200417 175.0 CALL(MSFT)$ [财迷]

2020-01-09

$MIC 20200717 47.5 CALL(MIC)$ $麦格里基础设施(MIC)$ [财迷]

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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但短期來看，市場的上躥下跳，動靜還是挺大的： 標普和納指的期貨一小時線回吐了近一個月的漲幅，黃金幾近觸及1700的高位，原油大幅下跌超過了4%，重新墜入此前的底部震盪區域。 很多人覺得美股的回撤是由於全球各地疫情的突然爆發，這確實是個很重要的導火索，來看統計： 如果從日本鑽石號郵輪確診第一例新冠患者來記，45天裏，各地確認人數的激增樣子是這樣的： 藍線：鑽石號日本郵輪，棗紅線：伊朗，鮮紅線：日本，黃線：韓國，紫線：意大利 有沒有點像瘋漲的水草？剪不斷理還亂，我國的疫情控制已經初見成效，但各地疫情多點開花。 人們突然發現，當美聯儲的流動性支持短期不再持續，再加上疫情的影響難以預料，市場的回調所需要的所有因素就完整了。 我覺得，美股出現一次幅度較大的估值回撤，不是什麼特別值得恐慌的事情，甚至說，不一定就是壞事。 首先美聯儲應該不會放任美股無限制的下跌，其次，第一季度的政府財政稅收所需的資金量對資金面的虹吸影響可能是暫時的，等流動性迴歸正常之後，美股市場的風險偏好不大可能就此轉變。 再者，期權市場上，我們之前分享過一些數據，目前put對call的比值已經跌入谷低，call期權的權利金也出現幾乎歷史上最貴的時候，當這波估值殺過去後，低位的call期權可能會再度吸引人們的關注，那時，市場的反彈可能也會加快。 最後，美元的走勢似乎正在見頂，如果這次回調伴隨着美元的下跌開始，以美元計價的資產會出現估值修復，美股也因此會有一定的上漲助力。 具體邏輯，可以看我之前的分析文章： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/980219657\" target=\"_blank\">美股的回</a>","listText":"這次美股回調的力度非常大，加上之前樂觀的看漲情緒讓股指高位繃緊了太久，這次的回撤，底部區域還很難預測，但從目前三大期貨股指日線回調近3%的程度看，月線級別上，可能仍然難以改變長期美股的看漲走勢： 但短期來看，市場的上躥下跳，動靜還是挺大的： 標普和納指的期貨一小時線回吐了近一個月的漲幅，黃金幾近觸及1700的高位，原油大幅下跌超過了4%，重新墜入此前的底部震盪區域。 很多人覺得美股的回撤是由於全球各地疫情的突然爆發，這確實是個很重要的導火索，來看統計： 如果從日本鑽石號郵輪確診第一例新冠患者來記，45天裏，各地確認人數的激增樣子是這樣的： 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我覺得，美股出現一次幅度較大的估值回撤，不是什麼特別值得恐慌的事情，甚至說，不一定就是壞事。 首先美聯儲應該不會放任美股無限制的下跌，其次，第一季度的政府財政稅收所需的資金量對資金面的虹吸影響可能是暫時的，等流動性迴歸正常之後，美股市場的風險偏好不大可能就此轉變。 再者，期權市場上，我們之前分享過一些數據，目前put對call的比值已經跌入谷低，call期權的權利金也出現幾乎歷史上最貴的時候，當這波估值殺過去後，低位的call期權可能會再度吸引人們的關注，那時，市場的反彈可能也會加快。 最後，美元的走勢似乎正在見頂，如果這次回調伴隨着美元的下跌開始，以美元計價的資產會出現估值修復，美股也因此會有一定的上漲助力。 具體邏輯，可以看我之前的分析文章： 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但短期來看，市場的上躥下跳，動靜還是挺大的： 標普和納指的期貨一小時線回吐了近一個月的漲幅，黃金幾近觸及1700的高位，原油大幅下跌超過了4%，重新墜入此前的底部震盪區域。 很多人覺得美股的回撤是由於全球各地疫情的突然爆發，這確實是個很重要的導火索，來看統計： 如果從日本鑽石號郵輪確診第一例新冠患者來記，45天裏，各地確認人數的激增樣子是這樣的： 藍線：鑽石號日本郵輪，棗紅線：伊朗，鮮紅線：日本，黃線：韓國，紫線：意大利 有沒有點像瘋漲的水草？剪不斷理還亂，我國的疫情控制已經初見成效，但各地疫情多點開花。 人們突然發現，當美聯儲的流動性支持短期不再持續，再加上疫情的影響難以預料，市場的回調所需要的所有因素就完整了。 我覺得，美股出現一次幅度較大的估值回撤，不是什麼特別值得恐慌的事情，甚至說，不一定就是壞事。 首先美聯儲應該不會放任美股無限制的下跌，其次，第一季度的政府財政稅收所需的資金量對資金面的虹吸影響可能是暫時的，等流動性迴歸正常之後，美股市場的風險偏好不大可能就此轉變。 再者，期權市場上，我們之前分享過一些數據，目前put對call的比值已經跌入谷低，call期權的權利金也出現幾乎歷史上最貴的時候，當這波估值殺過去後，低位的call期權可能會再度吸引人們的關注，那時，市場的反彈可能也會加快。 最後，美元的走勢似乎正在見頂，如果這次回調伴隨着美元的下跌開始，以美元計價的資產會出現估值修復，美股也因此會有一定的上漲助力。 具體邏輯，可以看我之前的分析文章： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/980219657\" target=\"_blank\">美股的回</a>","listText":"這次美股回調的力度非常大，加上之前樂觀的看漲情緒讓股指高位繃緊了太久，這次的回撤，底部區域還很難預測，但從目前三大期貨股指日線回調近3%的程度看，月線級別上，可能仍然難以改變長期美股的看漲走勢： 但短期來看，市場的上躥下跳，動靜還是挺大的： 標普和納指的期貨一小時線回吐了近一個月的漲幅，黃金幾近觸及1700的高位，原油大幅下跌超過了4%，重新墜入此前的底部震盪區域。 很多人覺得美股的回撤是由於全球各地疫情的突然爆發，這確實是個很重要的導火索，來看統計： 如果從日本鑽石號郵輪確診第一例新冠患者來記，45天裏，各地確認人數的激增樣子是這樣的： 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