Sufiknight personal page - To The Moon

Sufiknight

Sufiknight

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2022-09-29

$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$Time to buy for medium term? At $1.68, trailing dividend yield is around 6%

2022-04-20

$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$Long term chart is still on a downtrend. The trend is your friend.

2021-05-12

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$In the near term, more consolidation can be expected if it fails to close above $4.80. Next fibo retracement level is at $4.49.

2021-05-05

Waiting patiently. I believe it is still early days to enter tech stocks again. Wait for the dust to settle in the next 1 - 2 months.

Yellen says interest rates may have to rise somewhat to make sure economy doesn't overheat

2021-04-28

$Microvision(MVIS)$fly me to the moon...

2021-04-27

GOOG remains a long term buy even at current levels

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-04-27

Looks like TSLA stock price is going for some consolidation for the next 1 - 2 months.

Tesla and EV stocks on watch as supply chain issues weighed

2021-04-27

$GameStop(GME)$nice...post market up another 13%

2021-04-27

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$HODL?

2021-04-27

In line with expectations

BRIEF-Tesla Reports Q1 Non-GAAP Earnings Of $0.93 Per Share

2021-04-27

$GameStop(GME)$Third wave is here

2021-04-25

Well said. I kinda agree with his views.

"The Stock Market Has Gone Crazy And Will Likely Go Even Crazier"

2021-04-24

$Alibaba(BABA)$a value and growth stock.

2021-04-23

$Square(SQ)$HODL

2021-04-22

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Will it test $800 or $690 next week?

2021-04-21

PLTR is a buy if you have a 5 years investment horizon.

2 Tech Stocks That Cathie Wood's ARK Invest Is Buying

2021-04-21

Means a big correction is coming next month. Stay tuned.

Money Isn’t Pouring Into U.S. Stocks. What That Means for the Market.

2021-04-20

$Square(SQ)$immediate support at $2.42

2021-04-20

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$upcoming Robinhood IPO play

2021-04-20

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$HODL

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AJBU.SI\">$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$</a>Time to buy for medium term? At $1.68, trailing dividend yield is around 6%","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AJBU.SI\">$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$</a>Time to buy for medium term? At $1.68, trailing dividend yield is around 6%","text":"$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$Time to buy for medium term? At $1.68, trailing dividend yield is around 6%","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918451852","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9086621281,"gmtCreate":1650451780777,"gmtModify":1676534726862,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AJBU.SI\">$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$</a>Long term chart is still on a downtrend. The trend is your friend.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AJBU.SI\">$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$</a>Long term chart is still on a downtrend. The trend is your friend.&nbsp;","text":"$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$Long term chart is still on a downtrend. The trend is your friend.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cabace946e8c3e7f5ea1292d3db95858","width":"1080","height":"2340"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9086621281","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193693905,"gmtCreate":1620782652907,"gmtModify":1704348282965,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>In the near term, more&nbsp;consolidation can be expected if it fails to close above $4.80. Next fibo retracement&nbsp;level is at $4.49.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>In the near term, more&nbsp;consolidation can be expected if it fails to close above $4.80. Next fibo retracement&nbsp;level is at $4.49.&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$In the near term, more consolidation can be expected if it fails to close above $4.80. Next fibo retracement level is at $4.49.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193693905","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106710795,"gmtCreate":1620144523417,"gmtModify":1704339341659,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting patiently. I believe it is still early days to enter tech stocks again.&nbsp;Wait for the dust to settle in the next 1 - 2 months.&nbsp;","listText":"Waiting patiently. I believe it is still early days to enter tech stocks again.&nbsp;Wait for the dust to settle in the next 1 - 2 months.&nbsp;","text":"Waiting patiently. I believe it is still early days to enter tech stocks again. Wait for the dust to settle in the next 1 - 2 months.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/106710795","repostId":"1140575890","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140575890","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620141444,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140575890?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-04 23:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Yellen says interest rates may have to rise somewhat to make sure economy doesn't overheat","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140575890","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(May 4) Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to kee","content":"<p>(May 4)&nbsp;Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to keep a lid on the burgeoning growth of the U.S. economy brought on by trillions in government stimulus spending.</p><p>\"It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat,\" Yellen said during a economic seminar presented by Th Atlantic. \"Even though additional spending is relatively small to the size of the economy, it could causae some very modest increases in interest rates.\"</p><p>\"But these are investments our economy needs to be competitive and productive,\" she added.</p><p>Nasdaq fell&nbsp;over 2%&nbsp;for&nbsp;now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de3525661b3a7db28a0797ab745db67b\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"479\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec61efef423e545861c0ca0126af9332\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Yellen says interest rates may have to rise somewhat to make sure economy doesn't overheat</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYellen says interest rates may have to rise somewhat to make sure economy doesn't overheat\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-04 23:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(May 4)&nbsp;Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to keep a lid on the burgeoning growth of the U.S. economy brought on by trillions in government stimulus spending.</p><p>\"It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat,\" Yellen said during a economic seminar presented by Th Atlantic. \"Even though additional spending is relatively small to the size of the economy, it could causae some very modest increases in interest rates.\"</p><p>\"But these are investments our economy needs to be competitive and productive,\" she added.</p><p>Nasdaq fell&nbsp;over 2%&nbsp;for&nbsp;now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de3525661b3a7db28a0797ab745db67b\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"479\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec61efef423e545861c0ca0126af9332\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140575890","content_text":"(May 4) Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to keep a lid on the burgeoning growth of the U.S. economy brought on by trillions in government stimulus spending.\"It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat,\" Yellen said during a economic seminar presented by Th Atlantic. \"Even though additional spending is relatively small to the size of the economy, it could causae some very modest increases in interest rates.\"\"But these are investments our economy needs to be competitive and productive,\" she added.Nasdaq fell over 2% for now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377432771,"gmtCreate":1619546278593,"gmtModify":1704725739265,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MVIS\">$Microvision(MVIS)$</a>fly me to the moon...","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MVIS\">$Microvision(MVIS)$</a>fly me to the moon...","text":"$Microvision(MVIS)$fly me to the moon...","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/705b506934579bac7498e723662bbd2b","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/377432771","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377562174,"gmtCreate":1619536824298,"gmtModify":1704725645845,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GOOG remains a long term buy even at current levels","listText":"GOOG remains a long term buy even at current levels","text":"GOOG remains a long term buy even at current levels","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/377562174","repostId":"1163748553","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377587093,"gmtCreate":1619536204012,"gmtModify":1704725635627,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like TSLA stock price is going for some consolidation for the next 1 - 2 months.&nbsp;","listText":"Looks like TSLA stock price is going for some consolidation for the next 1 - 2 months.&nbsp;","text":"Looks like TSLA stock price is going for some consolidation for the next 1 - 2 months.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/377587093","repostId":"1119653987","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1119653987","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619534562,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119653987?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-27 22:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla and EV stocks on watch as supply chain issues weighed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119653987","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Electric vehicle stocks are on watch after Tesla(TSLA-2.5%)CEO Elon Musk described \"insane difficult","content":"<p>Electric vehicle stocks are on watch after Tesla(TSLA-2.5%)CEO Elon Musk described \"insane difficulties\" with supply chains overa whole range of parts beyond just the chip shortage. \"This is a huge problem,\" he noted on last night's conference call.</p>\n<p>A quick scan of the sector shows EV stocks to be holding up decently in early trading, despite what appears to be a concern: Fisker(FSR-1.6%), Canoo(GOEV+0.6%), Nio(NIO+0.0%), Lordstown Motors(RIDE-0.1%), Blink Charging(BLNK+1.0%), ChargePoint Holdings(CHPT+0.2%), XPeng(XPEV-1.3%), Nikola(NKLA+3.4%), Arrival(ARVL+2.6%)and Li Auto(LI-0.4%). The strong numbers for Tesla out of China may be helping to keep sentiment positive.</p>\n<p>Turning back to Tesla, the sell-side reaction to the EV Mother Ship's&nbsp;earnings report is pouring in.</p>\n<p>Canaccord Genuity analyst Jed Dorsheimer: \"We are maintaining our BUY rating, but reducing our PT to $974 (previously $1,071) post 1Q21 earnings, which is based on applying 60x our '24 EV/EBITDA estimate of $18B. While we acknowledge the rich multiple, we also believe TSLA maintains a meaningful market advantage, which we are trying to capture. We expect the energy management platform to have strong demand, particularly in California, where electricity supply has fallen below both gross peak and net peak needs as a result of transition to renewable sources leaving a gap in energy demand that needs to be compensated with imports from other states. We are expecting accelerated growth in the energy generation and storage business, growing conservatively above $8B in revenue in '25 with gross margins at parity or better than its BEV business (+25%).\"</p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas: \"We see room for investor expectations around Tesla’s long term place in China to be dialed-back significantly over time. We also believe expectations around the commercial ramp of ‘full autonomy’ is also rather over-hyped, in our opinion. At the same time, we believe expansion of Tesla’s manufacturing base (for both cars and batteries), and new product category introductions may be underestimated. We see Tesla emerging as 'chief contractor' to governments around the world who want to deploy renewable energy/sustainable transport infrastructure plans in the years ahead.\"</p>\n<p>Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives: \"Clearly, the chip shortage is a major X variable for Tesla (and every other automaker) which speaks to the company reiterating and not raising its annual 2021 50% delivery growth (likely exceed) number which likely will be exceeded by 100k-150k vehicles in our opinion if the supply chain starts to normalize a bit in 2H. While the bears will laser focus on the chip shortage spoiling the EV party for Tesla in 2021, we believe the reality is that demand is spiking globally for Tesla's/EVs, the company's flagship production build outs in Berlin and Austin appear right on schedule, and the company has a treasure chest and cash flow to fund future R&amp;D/capex endeavors in this EV arms race for the next decade.\"</p>\n<p>Tesla's earnings report came in largely as anticipated, but the conference calldelved into AI and Bitcoin more than may have been expected.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla and EV stocks on watch as supply chain issues weighed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla and EV stocks on watch as supply chain issues weighed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-27 22:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3686110-tesla-and-ev-stocks-on-watch-as-supply-chain-issues-weighed><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Electric vehicle stocks are on watch after Tesla(TSLA-2.5%)CEO Elon Musk described \"insane difficulties\" with supply chains overa whole range of parts beyond just the chip shortage. \"This is a huge ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3686110-tesla-and-ev-stocks-on-watch-as-supply-chain-issues-weighed\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3686110-tesla-and-ev-stocks-on-watch-as-supply-chain-issues-weighed","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119653987","content_text":"Electric vehicle stocks are on watch after Tesla(TSLA-2.5%)CEO Elon Musk described \"insane difficulties\" with supply chains overa whole range of parts beyond just the chip shortage. \"This is a huge problem,\" he noted on last night's conference call.\nA quick scan of the sector shows EV stocks to be holding up decently in early trading, despite what appears to be a concern: Fisker(FSR-1.6%), Canoo(GOEV+0.6%), Nio(NIO+0.0%), Lordstown Motors(RIDE-0.1%), Blink Charging(BLNK+1.0%), ChargePoint Holdings(CHPT+0.2%), XPeng(XPEV-1.3%), Nikola(NKLA+3.4%), Arrival(ARVL+2.6%)and Li Auto(LI-0.4%). The strong numbers for Tesla out of China may be helping to keep sentiment positive.\nTurning back to Tesla, the sell-side reaction to the EV Mother Ship's earnings report is pouring in.\nCanaccord Genuity analyst Jed Dorsheimer: \"We are maintaining our BUY rating, but reducing our PT to $974 (previously $1,071) post 1Q21 earnings, which is based on applying 60x our '24 EV/EBITDA estimate of $18B. While we acknowledge the rich multiple, we also believe TSLA maintains a meaningful market advantage, which we are trying to capture. We expect the energy management platform to have strong demand, particularly in California, where electricity supply has fallen below both gross peak and net peak needs as a result of transition to renewable sources leaving a gap in energy demand that needs to be compensated with imports from other states. We are expecting accelerated growth in the energy generation and storage business, growing conservatively above $8B in revenue in '25 with gross margins at parity or better than its BEV business (+25%).\"\nMorgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas: \"We see room for investor expectations around Tesla’s long term place in China to be dialed-back significantly over time. We also believe expectations around the commercial ramp of ‘full autonomy’ is also rather over-hyped, in our opinion. At the same time, we believe expansion of Tesla’s manufacturing base (for both cars and batteries), and new product category introductions may be underestimated. We see Tesla emerging as 'chief contractor' to governments around the world who want to deploy renewable energy/sustainable transport infrastructure plans in the years ahead.\"\nWedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives: \"Clearly, the chip shortage is a major X variable for Tesla (and every other automaker) which speaks to the company reiterating and not raising its annual 2021 50% delivery growth (likely exceed) number which likely will be exceeded by 100k-150k vehicles in our opinion if the supply chain starts to normalize a bit in 2H. While the bears will laser focus on the chip shortage spoiling the EV party for Tesla in 2021, we believe the reality is that demand is spiking globally for Tesla's/EVs, the company's flagship production build outs in Berlin and Austin appear right on schedule, and the company has a treasure chest and cash flow to fund future R&D/capex endeavors in this EV arms race for the next decade.\"\nTesla's earnings report came in largely as anticipated, but the conference calldelved into AI and Bitcoin more than may have been expected.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374579144,"gmtCreate":1619471750388,"gmtModify":1704724310062,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>nice...post market up another 13%","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>nice...post market up another 13%","text":"$GameStop(GME)$nice...post market up another 13%","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/374579144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374543734,"gmtCreate":1619468704628,"gmtModify":1704724298398,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>HODL?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>HODL?","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$HODL?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b077ae78a4147ee9b26032fe1628dea","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/374543734","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374543473,"gmtCreate":1619468651692,"gmtModify":1704724298236,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"In line with expectations","listText":"In line with expectations","text":"In line with expectations","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/374543473","repostId":"2130343955","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2130343955","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1619468443,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2130343955?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-27 04:20","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"BRIEF-Tesla Reports Q1 Non-GAAP Earnings Of $0.93 Per Share","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2130343955","media":"Reuters","summary":"April 26 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc   :   * QUARTERLY NON-GAAP EARNINGS PER SHARE $0.93   * QUARTERLY GAA","content":"<html><body><p>April 26 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc   :</p><p>   * QUARTERLY NON-GAAP EARNINGS PER SHARE $0.93</p><p>   * QUARTERLY GAAP EARNINGS PER SHARE $0.39</p><p>   * Q1 EARNINGS PER SHARE VIEW $0.79, REVENUE VIEW $10.29 BILLION -- REFINITIV IBES DATA</p><p>   * SAYS IN FREMONT, MODEL Y PRODUCTION CONTINUED TO RAMP SUCCESSFULLY AND IS APPROACHING FULL CAPACITY</p><p>   * SAYS IN TEXAS, FACTORY BUILDOUT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS QUICKLY, REMAINING ON TRACK TO START PRODUCTION AND DELIVERIES LATE THIS YEAR</p><p>   * SAYS EXPECT SHANGHAI FACTORY WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE QUARTERLY PRODUCTION OUTPUT THROUGH THE YEAR</p><p>   * SAYS RECENTLY IMPROVED DOMESTIC SUPPLY SOURCING RATIO IN CHINA TO OVER 90%</p><p>   * SAYS BUILDOUT OF GIGAFACTORY BERLIN CONTINUING TO MOVE FORWARD, WITH PRODUCTION AND DELIVERIES REMAINING ON TRACK FOR LATE 2021</p><p>Source text: () Further company coverage:   </p><p> ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BRIEF-Tesla Reports Q1 Non-GAAP Earnings Of $0.93 Per Share</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBRIEF-Tesla Reports Q1 Non-GAAP Earnings Of $0.93 Per Share\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-27 04:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>April 26 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc   :</p><p>   * QUARTERLY NON-GAAP EARNINGS PER SHARE $0.93</p><p>   * QUARTERLY GAAP EARNINGS PER SHARE $0.39</p><p>   * Q1 EARNINGS PER SHARE VIEW $0.79, REVENUE VIEW $10.29 BILLION -- REFINITIV IBES DATA</p><p>   * SAYS IN FREMONT, MODEL Y PRODUCTION CONTINUED TO RAMP SUCCESSFULLY AND IS APPROACHING FULL CAPACITY</p><p>   * SAYS IN TEXAS, FACTORY BUILDOUT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS QUICKLY, REMAINING ON TRACK TO START PRODUCTION AND DELIVERIES LATE THIS YEAR</p><p>   * SAYS EXPECT SHANGHAI FACTORY WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE QUARTERLY PRODUCTION OUTPUT THROUGH THE YEAR</p><p>   * SAYS RECENTLY IMPROVED DOMESTIC SUPPLY SOURCING RATIO IN CHINA TO OVER 90%</p><p>   * SAYS BUILDOUT OF GIGAFACTORY BERLIN CONTINUING TO MOVE FORWARD, WITH PRODUCTION AND DELIVERIES REMAINING ON TRACK FOR LATE 2021</p><p>Source text: () Further company coverage:   </p><p> ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2130343955","content_text":"April 26 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc   :   * QUARTERLY NON-GAAP EARNINGS PER SHARE $0.93   * QUARTERLY GAAP EARNINGS PER SHARE $0.39   * Q1 EARNINGS PER SHARE VIEW $0.79, REVENUE VIEW $10.29 BILLION -- REFINITIV IBES DATA   * SAYS IN FREMONT, MODEL Y PRODUCTION CONTINUED TO RAMP SUCCESSFULLY AND IS APPROACHING FULL CAPACITY   * SAYS IN TEXAS, FACTORY BUILDOUT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS QUICKLY, REMAINING ON TRACK TO START PRODUCTION AND DELIVERIES LATE THIS YEAR   * SAYS EXPECT SHANGHAI FACTORY WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE QUARTERLY PRODUCTION OUTPUT THROUGH THE YEAR   * SAYS RECENTLY IMPROVED DOMESTIC SUPPLY SOURCING RATIO IN CHINA TO OVER 90%   * SAYS BUILDOUT OF GIGAFACTORY BERLIN CONTINUING TO MOVE FORWARD, WITH PRODUCTION AND DELIVERIES REMAINING ON TRACK FOR LATE 2021Source text: () Further company coverage:    ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374583657,"gmtCreate":1619456175079,"gmtModify":1704724244053,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>Third wave is here&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>Third wave is here&nbsp;","text":"$GameStop(GME)$Third wave is here","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d217503769880365735e3e20978d28f1","width":"720","height":"2104"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/374583657","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":375568823,"gmtCreate":1619363539062,"gmtModify":1704722875995,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well said. I kinda agree with his views.&nbsp;","listText":"Well said. I kinda agree with his views.&nbsp;","text":"Well said. I kinda agree with his views.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/375568823","repostId":"1159622467","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1159622467","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619337262,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1159622467?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-25 15:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"The Stock Market Has Gone Crazy And Will Likely Go Even Crazier\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159622467","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Chen Zhao, Founding Partner and Chief Strategist of Montreal-based Alpine Macro, has been analyzing ","content":"<p>Chen Zhao, Founding Partner and Chief Strategist of Montreal-based Alpine Macro, has been analyzing global financial markets for more than thirty years. Numerous investors worldwide know him as the long-serving Chief Strategist of BCA Research.</p>\n<p>Today, Zhao is confident about equity markets. He sees the ingredients for a strong recovery in the global economy, and he believes fears of higher inflation are overblown. He sees the potential for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy to inflate a new speculative bubble.<i><b>«This bubble is going to be a whole lot bigger than the tech bubble of the late nineties, and it will probably run a whole lot longer than we think»,</b></i>says Zhao in an in-depth conversation with The Market NZZ.</p>\n<p><b>His main concern is the growing conflict between the United States and China.</b>Today, the risk of escalation over Taiwan is greater than at any time in the last 40 years, Zhao warns.</p>\n<p>Mr. Zhao, in February and March, we have witnessed a sharp upward move in long term US bond yields, temporarily causing a sell-off in the Nasdaq. What do you make of this?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Whenever bond yields rise, you should conceptually decompose this movement into two stages. One is reflective, meaning\n <b>the bond market is trying to tell you something about the underlying economy.</b>Rising bond yields are reflective of stronger economic growth. However, a market selloff could also move into a phase where bond yields become too high, constraining economic activity. In my judgement, what we are witnessing right now is purely reflective. The ISM manufacturing index is at its highest level since 1983, the world economy is in a strong recovery mode. Higher yields are consistent with the economy getting stronger. Under these circumstances, I would be more concerned if bond yields did not rise.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Aren’t rising inflation expectations also playing a part?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>I don’t see a clear breakout in inflation expectations.</b>People forget that during the decade after the global financial crisis, inflation expectations have fallen apart. Markets became much more concerned about deflation. Inflation breakeven rates currently are between 2 and 2.2%, whereas the average range during the decade before 2009 was more like 2.5 to 3%. So inflation expectations are simply in the process of being normalized.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Do you see room for a further rise in yields?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Our model says ten year Treasury yields are pretty much at fair value today, at around 1.5%. But we know that if we have a cyclical move in financial markets, nothing stops at fair value. Markets always undershoot or overshoot. So I could see yields rise towards 2% or even a bit more.\n <b>If they approach 2%, we would be active buyers of long term Treasuries.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Don’t you see structural inflation building up?</p>\n<blockquote>\n No, not at all. There is a widespread misunderstanding of this issue. Many people look at the fiscal position of the United States and see a budget deficit of almost 20% of GDP. The Fed balance sheet has expanded by $7 trillion since the beginning of the pandemic, M2 has exploded upward.\n <b>How can this not be inflationary? Well, in my experience, something that is too obvious is usually wrong.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>How so?</p>\n<blockquote>\n What happened is this: For all of 2020, the US government unleashed $3.5 trillion in various rescue packages, as a result of which the federal government debt rose by $3.6 trillion. At the same time, the household sector’s disposable income increased by $3.5 trillion, and household savings shot up by $5.5 trillion. In other words, American households not only saved up all the transfer payments they received from the government, but they even saved $2 trillion more from their own income.\n <b>These rescue programs did absolutely nothing to generate aggregate final demand or GDP growth. What we have seen was not a fiscal stimulus to boost aggregate demand, but a transfer payment. This was no different than a one-time tax cut.</b>We know that people’s spending behaviour is determined by their outlook for sustainable income.\n <b>If you give them a one-time tax cut, they will save it. This is what the Permanent Income Hypothesis says and this is what has happened.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Don’t you think there is a huge amount of pent-up demand that will be released once the economy fully reopens?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Yes, there will be a demand surge. Consumption spending has been repressed for over a year as a result of Covid-19 related restrictions. When the world economy reopens, this spending will be released. But this is not inflationary, as the boom will be temporary. People won’t party for the next twenty years. They will party for the next six months or so.\n <b>For inflation to be a true threat, you need aggregate demand exceeding aggregate supply on a sustainable basis. I don’t see that happening any time soon.</b>The government subsidies simply amount to a huge balance sheet swap: government debt as a share of GDP has gone up, while consumers’ net worth has gone up even more. This balance sheet swap has nothing to do with excessive aggregate demand.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Does that also mean you don’t see a structural bear market for bonds, where yields would drift higher over the coming years?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Correct,\n <b>I don’t see the drivers for structurally higher yields.</b>That’s why I think that ten-year Treasury yields above 2% would represent a good buying opportunity.\n</blockquote>\n<p>What would it take for you to change your mind?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>I will change my mind if the government took over and built lots of roads and bridges and have it all financed by the Fed.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Isn’t that what the $2.3 trillion Biden infrastructure plan will do?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>This proposed package is a step towards that kind of transition. But don’t forget, this is a rather small piece of cake, because it envisions spending roughly $2.2 trillion over eight years, so each year it would add only about 0.8 or 0.9% of GDP adjusted for inflation.</b>On top of that, Biden is proposing higher taxes to fund it. So his infrastructure plan creates some growth on one hand, while taking it away with higher taxes on the other hand. Its net impact will only be around 0.4 or 0.5% of GDP per year. This won’t be a game changer in terms of inflation.\n</blockquote>\n<p>What else would tell you that we are indeed moving through a profound transition towards higher inflation and higher interest rates?</p>\n<blockquote>\n In my view,\n <b>central banks have been completely wrong in their thinking about the Phillips Curve for the past 30 years,</b>meaning that every time the labor market got too strong, they felt they had to raise rates, because they feared wage inflation would kick in. But we know now that there are a lot of things standing in the way between a strong labor market and actual wage inflation. In an environment of rising productivity, you can have higher wages and still lower inflation.\n <b>Fundamentally speaking, free market capitalism is deflationary.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Why?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Neither you nor I are paid more than our marginal output. In our society as a whole, labor is always paid at or below its marginal output. In a socialist economy, it’s the other way round, because workers are usually paid more than their marginal output. So unless we change our system into a much more socialist type, and unless we had a substantial decline in labor productivity, I don’t see a return of structural inflation.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>What is different today compared to the 1970s, when we had structural inflation in our Western economies?</p>\n<blockquote>\n In the 1970s, we had powerful unions in the US which drove up labor cost but kept productivity low. This was the legacy of President Roosevelt’s New Deal which, in my view, was very socialist. In addition, you had a collapse in the Bretton Woods System which drove down the Dollar by 50%, leading to a spike in goods price inflation.\n <b>Finally, the US was a manufacturing power in the 1970s and the oil crisis created enormous stagflation pressures. None of this is true today.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>There is a tug of war going on between the Fed and financial markets: The Fed says they will stay dovish for a long time, while markets expect a lift-off in short term rates next year. Who is right?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>If you think about last decade, Fed policy was always too tight: The projected interest rate path by the Fed, as seen by the so-called Dot Plots, was always higher than market expectations.</b>Because of that, we had a number of financial tremors: The taper tantrum in 2013, the collapse in commodity prices in 2015, the collapse in stock markets in late 2018. We had almost ten years of undershooting inflation and periodic stock market chaos as a result of monetary policy being too tight. In the end, the Fed always caved in and moved towards the market.\n <b>Now it’s the other way round: The Fed is more dovish than market expectations. The market has priced in four or five rate hikes through 2023, while the Fed suggests they won’t do anything before 2024.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Which side is right?</p>\n<blockquote>\n If you only looked at the lessons of the last decade, you’d say the market is right. But\n <b>the difference today is that the Fed has abandoned its old reaction function and wants to stay ultra-stimulative</b>until inflation is above 2% for a while. The Fed is now adamantly saying they are\n <b>willing to be late this time,</b>allowing the economy and inflation to run hotter than they would have in the old days. If that’s the case, then markets may be wrong because they still assume the old reaction function of the Fed. So we don’t know yet, but it’s possible that the Fed will stay dovish much longer than markets think.\n</blockquote>\n<p>What would the consequences of this new Fed policy be?</p>\n<blockquote>\n One conclusion is pretty obvious:\n <b>The stock market has already gone crazy and will likely go even crazier.</b>If you read the work of Charles Kindleberger, you know that asset bubbles are perennial, they grow back every ten years or so, and they are usually driven by easy monetary policy and lots of liquidity. So this new reaction function by the Fed, plus the support from fiscal policy, means that markets will go through a very bubbly period.\n</blockquote>\n<p>How big can this bubble get?</p>\n<blockquote>\n If you look at history, all speculative bubbles got killed by tightening monetary policy.\n <b>You never had a bubble burst while monetary policy was still easy.</b>Asset bubbles pop when central banks tighten policy to a point of yield curve inversion. Today, we’re far away from that.\n <b>That’s why I think this bubble could get a whole lot bigger.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Would you say we’re only at the beginning of this process?</p>\n<blockquote>\n I’d say we are in the early stages of a stock market bubble, especially in the United States.\n <b>There are many signs of speculative behaviour,</b>be it Bitcoin, Gamestop, and so on. But it’s not as pervasive yet as it was in the late 1990s. When the technology bubble burst in 2000, everybody was bullish. Today, many people, even large banks, are still bearish. When they throw in the towel, then the final phase will begin.\n <b>This bubble is going to be a whole lot bigger than the 90s and it will probably run a whole lot longer than we think.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>You don’t see the risk of the bond market assuming the job of tightening conditions by rising long term yields?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Historically, rising yields hurt the economy and stock prices only when both the long and the short end of the curve were moving up. It’s usually not the case to see the long end of the curve move way up while short term rates remain pressed down, as they are today. There is a limit to the pain long term rates can create for the economy, because borrowers can always slide down the maturity curve to avoid having to pay higher interest rates.\n <b>So if you put it all together, I think ten year yields can’t move much higher than their fair value, while short term rates remain at zero.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>What will happen then?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>The most likely scenario I see today is that we’ll have an expanding equity bubble for the next two years, with multiples going way higher. Then comes the point where the Fed just can’t remain dovish anymore. They will raise rates. At that point, the end would be nigh. a bursting asset bubble would be inevitable, and this is always very deflationary. When that happens, we could see zero nominal yields in the U.S.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Late last year, everyone was bearish on the dollar. Now the Greenback has surprised by strengthening since January. Why was that?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Don’t forget that the dollar had dropped almost 11% last year.</b>Getting into 2021, it was very oversold, jammed with shorts. So a natural rebound from this position was to be expected. Going forward, I see the prerequisites in place for a further weakening.\n <b>In the last 20 years, every time the world economy slumped, the dollar strengthened, and every time the world economy got better, the dollar weakened. Right now, we see an improving world economy, hence the dollar should weaken.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>What’s the reason for that pattern?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>People say the dollar is a safe haven currency, but I don’t see it that way.</b>The Yen and the Swiss Franc are much better safe havens. From the 1970s through the 1990s, the dollar was pro-cyclical, i.e. strengthening with a stronger world economy. This changed around the year 2000. The reason in my view is that large parts of the developed world are in a liquidity trap. And in a liquidity trap, there is infinite demand for dollars, because the dollar demand curve is flat. So every time where we have an economic slump, it means the liquidity trap is deepening, hence the demand for dollars is going up. And every time the economy gets better, the liquidity trap is getting shallower, with demand for dollars shrinking.\n <b>So, if I take the view that the world economy in the second half of this year is starting a boom, then logically, we cannot have a stronger dollar. We have never had a booming world economy and a stronger dollar since 2000.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>When you look at world equity markets, which geographies and sectors currently offer the best opportunities?</p>\n<blockquote>\n I am very value conscious, so\n <b>I like European stocks, they have underperformed for a long time</b>. I would overweight Germany, France and Italy; their valuations are way more attractive than the US market. If we have a world economic boom, these markets will do very well. The US is difficult to underweight, because it’s so huge, but on the fringe I would suggest to overweight non-US stocks, i.e. Europe and Japan.\n <b>I think the Japanese market can have one last, big upleg before this bull market is over.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>An economic boom and a lower dollar should be bullish for emerging markets, right?</p>\n<blockquote>\n We must keep in mind that\n <b>today’s emerging markets are very different from 20 years ago.</b>Today, more than 40% of the MSCI EM index is made up by China. In China, the equity market is predominantly driven by big tech, with stocks like Alibaba and Tencent. So China has a similar issue like the US tech sector: In an environment of rising bond yields, these high-multiple stocks tend to underperform. Besides, China has begun to tighten policy, which is a negative for EM performance as a whole. I would shift more towards the commodity segment, meaning Latin America. They have been beaten down badly because of the Bolsonaro screwup in the pandemic crisis, but for every grief there is a price, and\n <b>I think Brazilian assets are cheap enough to absorb all the negatives.</b>I particularly like commodity markets like Chile. I also like Australia and Canada. These are places where value is better, and they are well positioned for rising commodity prices.\n</blockquote>\n<p>We see a world of inverted roles: After the financial crisis, China embarked on a huge monetary and fiscal stimulus. Today it’s the U.S., while China is tightening. What’s going on?</p>\n<blockquote>\n If you look at\n <b>the net increase in Chinese fiscal deficit in terms of fighting the pandemic, it was about 4.7% last year, as opposed to about 15% of GDP in the US.</b>Of course, China got the pandemic under control earlier, but that’s not all. The key thing is, their fiscal deficit spending is 100% infrastructure, whereas in the Western world we talk about 10 to 20% of GDP being dumped into the system through transfer payments. The fiscal multiplier in China is huge, while in the US it is practically zero. The second thing is this:\n <b>After 2008, China went on a construction spree, financed by an avalanche of credit creation. For ten years since then, the central government has been concerned about the economy getting overleveraged. This time, they are comparatively stingy and Beijing wants to slow down the credit creation process early.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The stock market in China is not happy about that.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>The stock market is very sensitive to changes in liquidity conditions.</b>If credit growth is slowing down, stocks perform poorly. So it’s not a great time to buy Chinese equities right now. But from a broader economic point of view, I don’t think we’ll see the kind of tightening shock in China like we saw in 2015. So even though it might not be a great time to buy stocks due to liquidity conditions, I think the Chinese economy will do reasonably well, which also means a good environment for commodity prices.\n</blockquote>\n<p>What makes you confident that policy makers in China won’t commit a mistake and tighten too much?</p>\n<blockquote>\n They have not created much credit excesses this time, so there is no reason for them to tighten aggressively.\n <b>Geopolitically, the leadership in China has reached the conclusion that America is trying to suffocate the Chinese economy. So they have to maintain growth momentum by letting foreign investment money coming in.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Has there been a change in thinking towards the US in Beijing since Joe Biden assumed the presidency?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>I think both sides are too far on the path of great power rivalry already.</b>America represents the incumbent power, and China is the rising power that is challenging the US. I personally believe that\n <b>we in the West don’t get the full picture of Sino-US confrontation. We only get the western side of the story,</b>we never get to see the Chinese perspective through our media.\n</blockquote>\n<p>What is the Chinese perspective?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Within China, there is a strong feeling that the Americans have destroyed the bilateral relationship to cater to purely domestic political needs,</b>starting with Donald Trump. They feel that they are treated unfairly, in a confrontation that is unprovoked. Even when it comes to Hong Kong, we only know Beijing violated the concept of One Country Two Systems by imposing the new security law, but\n <b>how about the social upheavals and civil unrest in the two years leading up to the change of law</b>? No one said anything here. The US accused the Chinese of not playing by the rules, but the Chinese say they have played by the rules that were written by the US. They have joined the WTO and have slowly opened up their system. They signed the Paris Treaty. They have honoured all the international obligations, then Trump came and uprooted the very system that America had built. So the Chinese feel that the Americans suddenly want to change the rules again.\n <b>The consensus in Beijing now is that the US wants to derail China. Once you have a consensus like that, it’s difficult to change.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Will Biden continue on that path?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Biden has inherited Trump’s policies. That’s unfortunate, but there’s not much he can do. Trump’s China policy served his domestic agenda, hitting China in order to score points at home. As a result of that, public opinion of China spiralled down. Biden can’t turn that back. And again,\n <b>the consensus in China is that America wants to keep China down. We must prepare for a long confrontation.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Do you see the risk of that confrontation turning hot?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Washington is playing with the very nerve of the Chinese national interest, which is Taiwan.</b>Since the beginning of bilateral diplomatic relations in the 1970s, one core commitment of the US was the One China Policy, avoiding official contact with the government in Taiwan. But Trump changed that, and Biden continues to follow the Trump script. This is very dangerous. Since 1979, there has been a tacit understanding on both sides that if the US does not encourage separation, the Chinese side will not resort to any military action. Now this tacit agreement has been thrown out of the window. Because Washington has seemingly encouraged official contacts with Taiwan, China feels the need to show their commitment to retake the island to maintain territorial integrity. That’s why we have incursions into Taiwanese air space practically every day. There is a reaction feedback going back and forth.\n <b>I think there is a strong consensus among the Chinese leadership that within the next five years, if the US continues along this path, they might as well just take the risk of invading Taiwan. Then, all bets are off. The risk of some kind of confrontation is the highest in 40 years.</b>\n</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"The Stock Market Has Gone Crazy And Will Likely Go Even Crazier\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"The Stock Market Has Gone Crazy And Will Likely Go Even Crazier\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-25 15:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock-market-has-gone-crazy-and-will-likely-go-even-crazier><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Chen Zhao, Founding Partner and Chief Strategist of Montreal-based Alpine Macro, has been analyzing global financial markets for more than thirty years. Numerous investors worldwide know him as the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock-market-has-gone-crazy-and-will-likely-go-even-crazier\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock-market-has-gone-crazy-and-will-likely-go-even-crazier","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159622467","content_text":"Chen Zhao, Founding Partner and Chief Strategist of Montreal-based Alpine Macro, has been analyzing global financial markets for more than thirty years. Numerous investors worldwide know him as the long-serving Chief Strategist of BCA Research.\nToday, Zhao is confident about equity markets. He sees the ingredients for a strong recovery in the global economy, and he believes fears of higher inflation are overblown. He sees the potential for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy to inflate a new speculative bubble.«This bubble is going to be a whole lot bigger than the tech bubble of the late nineties, and it will probably run a whole lot longer than we think»,says Zhao in an in-depth conversation with The Market NZZ.\nHis main concern is the growing conflict between the United States and China.Today, the risk of escalation over Taiwan is greater than at any time in the last 40 years, Zhao warns.\nMr. Zhao, in February and March, we have witnessed a sharp upward move in long term US bond yields, temporarily causing a sell-off in the Nasdaq. What do you make of this?\n\n Whenever bond yields rise, you should conceptually decompose this movement into two stages. One is reflective, meaning\n the bond market is trying to tell you something about the underlying economy.Rising bond yields are reflective of stronger economic growth. However, a market selloff could also move into a phase where bond yields become too high, constraining economic activity. In my judgement, what we are witnessing right now is purely reflective. The ISM manufacturing index is at its highest level since 1983, the world economy is in a strong recovery mode. Higher yields are consistent with the economy getting stronger. Under these circumstances, I would be more concerned if bond yields did not rise.\n\nAren’t rising inflation expectations also playing a part?\n\nI don’t see a clear breakout in inflation expectations.People forget that during the decade after the global financial crisis, inflation expectations have fallen apart. Markets became much more concerned about deflation. Inflation breakeven rates currently are between 2 and 2.2%, whereas the average range during the decade before 2009 was more like 2.5 to 3%. So inflation expectations are simply in the process of being normalized.\n\nDo you see room for a further rise in yields?\n\n Our model says ten year Treasury yields are pretty much at fair value today, at around 1.5%. But we know that if we have a cyclical move in financial markets, nothing stops at fair value. Markets always undershoot or overshoot. So I could see yields rise towards 2% or even a bit more.\n If they approach 2%, we would be active buyers of long term Treasuries.\n\nDon’t you see structural inflation building up?\n\n No, not at all. There is a widespread misunderstanding of this issue. Many people look at the fiscal position of the United States and see a budget deficit of almost 20% of GDP. The Fed balance sheet has expanded by $7 trillion since the beginning of the pandemic, M2 has exploded upward.\n How can this not be inflationary? Well, in my experience, something that is too obvious is usually wrong.\n\nHow so?\n\n What happened is this: For all of 2020, the US government unleashed $3.5 trillion in various rescue packages, as a result of which the federal government debt rose by $3.6 trillion. At the same time, the household sector’s disposable income increased by $3.5 trillion, and household savings shot up by $5.5 trillion. In other words, American households not only saved up all the transfer payments they received from the government, but they even saved $2 trillion more from their own income.\n These rescue programs did absolutely nothing to generate aggregate final demand or GDP growth. What we have seen was not a fiscal stimulus to boost aggregate demand, but a transfer payment. This was no different than a one-time tax cut.We know that people’s spending behaviour is determined by their outlook for sustainable income.\n If you give them a one-time tax cut, they will save it. This is what the Permanent Income Hypothesis says and this is what has happened.\n\nDon’t you think there is a huge amount of pent-up demand that will be released once the economy fully reopens?\n\n Yes, there will be a demand surge. Consumption spending has been repressed for over a year as a result of Covid-19 related restrictions. When the world economy reopens, this spending will be released. But this is not inflationary, as the boom will be temporary. People won’t party for the next twenty years. They will party for the next six months or so.\n For inflation to be a true threat, you need aggregate demand exceeding aggregate supply on a sustainable basis. I don’t see that happening any time soon.The government subsidies simply amount to a huge balance sheet swap: government debt as a share of GDP has gone up, while consumers’ net worth has gone up even more. This balance sheet swap has nothing to do with excessive aggregate demand.\n\nDoes that also mean you don’t see a structural bear market for bonds, where yields would drift higher over the coming years?\n\n Correct,\n I don’t see the drivers for structurally higher yields.That’s why I think that ten-year Treasury yields above 2% would represent a good buying opportunity.\n\nWhat would it take for you to change your mind?\n\nI will change my mind if the government took over and built lots of roads and bridges and have it all financed by the Fed.\n\nIsn’t that what the $2.3 trillion Biden infrastructure plan will do?\n\nThis proposed package is a step towards that kind of transition. But don’t forget, this is a rather small piece of cake, because it envisions spending roughly $2.2 trillion over eight years, so each year it would add only about 0.8 or 0.9% of GDP adjusted for inflation.On top of that, Biden is proposing higher taxes to fund it. So his infrastructure plan creates some growth on one hand, while taking it away with higher taxes on the other hand. Its net impact will only be around 0.4 or 0.5% of GDP per year. This won’t be a game changer in terms of inflation.\n\nWhat else would tell you that we are indeed moving through a profound transition towards higher inflation and higher interest rates?\n\n In my view,\n central banks have been completely wrong in their thinking about the Phillips Curve for the past 30 years,meaning that every time the labor market got too strong, they felt they had to raise rates, because they feared wage inflation would kick in. But we know now that there are a lot of things standing in the way between a strong labor market and actual wage inflation. In an environment of rising productivity, you can have higher wages and still lower inflation.\n Fundamentally speaking, free market capitalism is deflationary.\n\nWhy?\n\nNeither you nor I are paid more than our marginal output. In our society as a whole, labor is always paid at or below its marginal output. In a socialist economy, it’s the other way round, because workers are usually paid more than their marginal output. So unless we change our system into a much more socialist type, and unless we had a substantial decline in labor productivity, I don’t see a return of structural inflation.\n\nWhat is different today compared to the 1970s, when we had structural inflation in our Western economies?\n\n In the 1970s, we had powerful unions in the US which drove up labor cost but kept productivity low. This was the legacy of President Roosevelt’s New Deal which, in my view, was very socialist. In addition, you had a collapse in the Bretton Woods System which drove down the Dollar by 50%, leading to a spike in goods price inflation.\n Finally, the US was a manufacturing power in the 1970s and the oil crisis created enormous stagflation pressures. None of this is true today.\n\nThere is a tug of war going on between the Fed and financial markets: The Fed says they will stay dovish for a long time, while markets expect a lift-off in short term rates next year. Who is right?\n\nIf you think about last decade, Fed policy was always too tight: The projected interest rate path by the Fed, as seen by the so-called Dot Plots, was always higher than market expectations.Because of that, we had a number of financial tremors: The taper tantrum in 2013, the collapse in commodity prices in 2015, the collapse in stock markets in late 2018. We had almost ten years of undershooting inflation and periodic stock market chaos as a result of monetary policy being too tight. In the end, the Fed always caved in and moved towards the market.\n Now it’s the other way round: The Fed is more dovish than market expectations. The market has priced in four or five rate hikes through 2023, while the Fed suggests they won’t do anything before 2024.\n\nWhich side is right?\n\n If you only looked at the lessons of the last decade, you’d say the market is right. But\n the difference today is that the Fed has abandoned its old reaction function and wants to stay ultra-stimulativeuntil inflation is above 2% for a while. The Fed is now adamantly saying they are\n willing to be late this time,allowing the economy and inflation to run hotter than they would have in the old days. If that’s the case, then markets may be wrong because they still assume the old reaction function of the Fed. So we don’t know yet, but it’s possible that the Fed will stay dovish much longer than markets think.\n\nWhat would the consequences of this new Fed policy be?\n\n One conclusion is pretty obvious:\n The stock market has already gone crazy and will likely go even crazier.If you read the work of Charles Kindleberger, you know that asset bubbles are perennial, they grow back every ten years or so, and they are usually driven by easy monetary policy and lots of liquidity. So this new reaction function by the Fed, plus the support from fiscal policy, means that markets will go through a very bubbly period.\n\nHow big can this bubble get?\n\n If you look at history, all speculative bubbles got killed by tightening monetary policy.\n You never had a bubble burst while monetary policy was still easy.Asset bubbles pop when central banks tighten policy to a point of yield curve inversion. Today, we’re far away from that.\n That’s why I think this bubble could get a whole lot bigger.\n\nWould you say we’re only at the beginning of this process?\n\n I’d say we are in the early stages of a stock market bubble, especially in the United States.\n There are many signs of speculative behaviour,be it Bitcoin, Gamestop, and so on. But it’s not as pervasive yet as it was in the late 1990s. When the technology bubble burst in 2000, everybody was bullish. Today, many people, even large banks, are still bearish. When they throw in the towel, then the final phase will begin.\n This bubble is going to be a whole lot bigger than the 90s and it will probably run a whole lot longer than we think.\n\nYou don’t see the risk of the bond market assuming the job of tightening conditions by rising long term yields?\n\n Historically, rising yields hurt the economy and stock prices only when both the long and the short end of the curve were moving up. It’s usually not the case to see the long end of the curve move way up while short term rates remain pressed down, as they are today. There is a limit to the pain long term rates can create for the economy, because borrowers can always slide down the maturity curve to avoid having to pay higher interest rates.\n So if you put it all together, I think ten year yields can’t move much higher than their fair value, while short term rates remain at zero.\n\nWhat will happen then?\n\nThe most likely scenario I see today is that we’ll have an expanding equity bubble for the next two years, with multiples going way higher. Then comes the point where the Fed just can’t remain dovish anymore. They will raise rates. At that point, the end would be nigh. a bursting asset bubble would be inevitable, and this is always very deflationary. When that happens, we could see zero nominal yields in the U.S.\n\nLate last year, everyone was bearish on the dollar. Now the Greenback has surprised by strengthening since January. Why was that?\n\nDon’t forget that the dollar had dropped almost 11% last year.Getting into 2021, it was very oversold, jammed with shorts. So a natural rebound from this position was to be expected. Going forward, I see the prerequisites in place for a further weakening.\n In the last 20 years, every time the world economy slumped, the dollar strengthened, and every time the world economy got better, the dollar weakened. Right now, we see an improving world economy, hence the dollar should weaken.\n\nWhat’s the reason for that pattern?\n\nPeople say the dollar is a safe haven currency, but I don’t see it that way.The Yen and the Swiss Franc are much better safe havens. From the 1970s through the 1990s, the dollar was pro-cyclical, i.e. strengthening with a stronger world economy. This changed around the year 2000. The reason in my view is that large parts of the developed world are in a liquidity trap. And in a liquidity trap, there is infinite demand for dollars, because the dollar demand curve is flat. So every time where we have an economic slump, it means the liquidity trap is deepening, hence the demand for dollars is going up. And every time the economy gets better, the liquidity trap is getting shallower, with demand for dollars shrinking.\n So, if I take the view that the world economy in the second half of this year is starting a boom, then logically, we cannot have a stronger dollar. We have never had a booming world economy and a stronger dollar since 2000.\n\nWhen you look at world equity markets, which geographies and sectors currently offer the best opportunities?\n\n I am very value conscious, so\n I like European stocks, they have underperformed for a long time. I would overweight Germany, France and Italy; their valuations are way more attractive than the US market. If we have a world economic boom, these markets will do very well. The US is difficult to underweight, because it’s so huge, but on the fringe I would suggest to overweight non-US stocks, i.e. Europe and Japan.\n I think the Japanese market can have one last, big upleg before this bull market is over.\n\nAn economic boom and a lower dollar should be bullish for emerging markets, right?\n\n We must keep in mind that\n today’s emerging markets are very different from 20 years ago.Today, more than 40% of the MSCI EM index is made up by China. In China, the equity market is predominantly driven by big tech, with stocks like Alibaba and Tencent. So China has a similar issue like the US tech sector: In an environment of rising bond yields, these high-multiple stocks tend to underperform. Besides, China has begun to tighten policy, which is a negative for EM performance as a whole. I would shift more towards the commodity segment, meaning Latin America. They have been beaten down badly because of the Bolsonaro screwup in the pandemic crisis, but for every grief there is a price, and\n I think Brazilian assets are cheap enough to absorb all the negatives.I particularly like commodity markets like Chile. I also like Australia and Canada. These are places where value is better, and they are well positioned for rising commodity prices.\n\nWe see a world of inverted roles: After the financial crisis, China embarked on a huge monetary and fiscal stimulus. Today it’s the U.S., while China is tightening. What’s going on?\n\n If you look at\n the net increase in Chinese fiscal deficit in terms of fighting the pandemic, it was about 4.7% last year, as opposed to about 15% of GDP in the US.Of course, China got the pandemic under control earlier, but that’s not all. The key thing is, their fiscal deficit spending is 100% infrastructure, whereas in the Western world we talk about 10 to 20% of GDP being dumped into the system through transfer payments. The fiscal multiplier in China is huge, while in the US it is practically zero. The second thing is this:\n After 2008, China went on a construction spree, financed by an avalanche of credit creation. For ten years since then, the central government has been concerned about the economy getting overleveraged. This time, they are comparatively stingy and Beijing wants to slow down the credit creation process early.\n\nThe stock market in China is not happy about that.\n\nThe stock market is very sensitive to changes in liquidity conditions.If credit growth is slowing down, stocks perform poorly. So it’s not a great time to buy Chinese equities right now. But from a broader economic point of view, I don’t think we’ll see the kind of tightening shock in China like we saw in 2015. So even though it might not be a great time to buy stocks due to liquidity conditions, I think the Chinese economy will do reasonably well, which also means a good environment for commodity prices.\n\nWhat makes you confident that policy makers in China won’t commit a mistake and tighten too much?\n\n They have not created much credit excesses this time, so there is no reason for them to tighten aggressively.\n Geopolitically, the leadership in China has reached the conclusion that America is trying to suffocate the Chinese economy. So they have to maintain growth momentum by letting foreign investment money coming in.\n\nHas there been a change in thinking towards the US in Beijing since Joe Biden assumed the presidency?\n\nI think both sides are too far on the path of great power rivalry already.America represents the incumbent power, and China is the rising power that is challenging the US. I personally believe that\n we in the West don’t get the full picture of Sino-US confrontation. We only get the western side of the story,we never get to see the Chinese perspective through our media.\n\nWhat is the Chinese perspective?\n\nWithin China, there is a strong feeling that the Americans have destroyed the bilateral relationship to cater to purely domestic political needs,starting with Donald Trump. They feel that they are treated unfairly, in a confrontation that is unprovoked. Even when it comes to Hong Kong, we only know Beijing violated the concept of One Country Two Systems by imposing the new security law, but\n how about the social upheavals and civil unrest in the two years leading up to the change of law? No one said anything here. The US accused the Chinese of not playing by the rules, but the Chinese say they have played by the rules that were written by the US. They have joined the WTO and have slowly opened up their system. They signed the Paris Treaty. They have honoured all the international obligations, then Trump came and uprooted the very system that America had built. So the Chinese feel that the Americans suddenly want to change the rules again.\n The consensus in Beijing now is that the US wants to derail China. Once you have a consensus like that, it’s difficult to change.\n\nWill Biden continue on that path?\n\n Biden has inherited Trump’s policies. That’s unfortunate, but there’s not much he can do. Trump’s China policy served his domestic agenda, hitting China in order to score points at home. As a result of that, public opinion of China spiralled down. Biden can’t turn that back. And again,\n the consensus in China is that America wants to keep China down. We must prepare for a long confrontation.\n\nDo you see the risk of that confrontation turning hot?\n\nWashington is playing with the very nerve of the Chinese national interest, which is Taiwan.Since the beginning of bilateral diplomatic relations in the 1970s, one core commitment of the US was the One China Policy, avoiding official contact with the government in Taiwan. But Trump changed that, and Biden continues to follow the Trump script. This is very dangerous. Since 1979, there has been a tacit understanding on both sides that if the US does not encourage separation, the Chinese side will not resort to any military action. Now this tacit agreement has been thrown out of the window. Because Washington has seemingly encouraged official contacts with Taiwan, China feels the need to show their commitment to retake the island to maintain territorial integrity. That’s why we have incursions into Taiwanese air space practically every day. There is a reaction feedback going back and forth.\n I think there is a strong consensus among the Chinese leadership that within the next five years, if the US continues along this path, they might as well just take the risk of invading Taiwan. Then, all bets are off. The risk of some kind of confrontation is the highest in 40 years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372680286,"gmtCreate":1619200334045,"gmtModify":1704721230856,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>a value and growth stock.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>a value and growth stock.&nbsp;","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$a value and growth stock.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18632c4ae3ccfd3bac49b11072ca62e7","width":"720","height":"2218"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/372680286","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376647274,"gmtCreate":1619121459798,"gmtModify":1704719923500,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">$Square(SQ)$</a>HODL","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">$Square(SQ)$</a>HODL","text":"$Square(SQ)$HODL","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b1639f7793abcbc59bad256dfa2d158","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/376647274","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378290072,"gmtCreate":1619042338096,"gmtModify":1704718597101,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Will it test $800 or $690 next week?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Will it test $800 or $690 next week?","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Will it test $800 or $690 next week?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9f888a40b19a27d191dfebbeade3da3","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/378290072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378824182,"gmtCreate":1619016921446,"gmtModify":1704718407828,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"PLTR is a buy if you have a 5 years investment horizon.&nbsp;","listText":"PLTR is a buy if you have a 5 years investment horizon.&nbsp;","text":"PLTR is a buy if you have a 5 years investment horizon.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/378824182","repostId":"2129073871","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2129073871","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1619016321,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2129073871?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-21 22:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Tech Stocks That Cathie Wood's ARK Invest Is Buying","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2129073871","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These stocks could help investors beat the market.","content":"<p>ARK Invest is far from the biggest investment firm on Wall Street, with just $37.6 billion&nbsp;in managed assets spread across 244 holdings as of Dec. 31, 2020. Even so, CEO Cathie Wood is gaining a reputation as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of Wall Street's best stock pickers. Her company's most popular product -- the <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a> </b>(NYSEMKT:ARKK) -- has significantly outperformed the broader market over the last five years, surging 540%.</p>\n<p>Recently, ARK has been purchasing shares of <b>Palantir Technologies</b> (NYSE:PLTR) and <b>Twilio</b> (NYSE:TWLO) for its flagship ETF. Given ARK's track record, investors might want to consider these stocks for their own portfolios. Let's take a closer look at these two stocks that Cathie Wood's team has shown so much investing interest in.</p>\n<h2>1. Palantir: Big data analytics</h2>\n<p>Palantir serves both government and commercial clients, providing software that helps organizations manage, integrate, and analyze massive amounts of data. It also focuses on protecting privacy, and its solutions allow clients to monitor and control access to information.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37e069515a731ebbf1de034332d7865e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"428\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p>As a practical example, aircraft manufacturer <b>Airbus</b> uses Palantir's Foundry software to track 5 million parts and coordinate the engineering efforts of hundreds of teams spread across eight factories in four different countries.</p>\n<p>Likewise, in the government sector, the U.S. Army uses Palantir's Gotham software to manage over 1 million military personnel, identify patterns in datasets, and make informed decisions that may be the difference between life and death.</p>\n<p>One of Palantir's key advantages is the environment-agnostic&nbsp;nature of its software. Its platforms can be deployed in any public or private cloud, including classified government networks. And the company's continuous delivery system, Palantir Apollo, performs automatic updates with no downtime, ensuring clients always have access to cutting-edge capabilities.</p>\n<p>Apollo also allows Palantir's software-as-a-service (SaaS) to function in places where other SaaS company's can't operate. For instance, its software can run on disconnected laptops in a Humvee, on servers in the hull of a submarine, and in aircraft flying at 30,000 feet. This gives the company a big advantage over its rivals.</p>\n<p>Palantir ended last year with 139 customers&nbsp;across 40 industries. Notably, the average revenue per customer jumped from $5.2 million&nbsp;in 2018 to $7.9 million in 2020. That has powered strong top-line growth.</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n  <tr>\n   <th><p>Metric</p></th>\n   <th><p>2018</p></th>\n   <th><p>2020</p></th>\n   <th><p>Change</p></th>\n  </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>Revenue</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>$595 million</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>$1.1 billion</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>36%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Data source: Palantir SEC filings.</p>\n<p>Despite the company's controversial past, the future looks promising for Palantir. As the world becomes increasingly digital, enterprises are creating more data at a phenomenal pace. In order to carve out a competitive edge, they need a way to manage and make sense of that data. And Palantir's software looks like a perfect fit.</p>\n<h2>2. Twilio: Customer engagement</h2>\n<p>Twilio's communications platform simplifies software development, allowing clients to easily build apps that incorporate features like voice, text, video, and email. This makes it possible to send shipping notifications and appointment reminders, provide chat support to consumers, enable video conferencing with clients, and implement two-factor authentication, among many other use cases.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F621946%2Ftwilio-1.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"474\"><span>Image source: Twilio</span></p>\n<p>In addition to these building blocks, Twilio also provides more complete solutions. For example, Twilio <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRO\">Frontline</a> is a mobile application that launched during the pandemic. It enables employees to connect with and assist customers regardless of whether they are in an office or working remotely.</p>\n<p>Altogether, Twilio's communications platform powers over 1 trillion&nbsp;human interactions each year. That impressive statistic has translated into strong growth for this company.</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n  <tr>\n   <th><p>Metric</p></th>\n   <th><p>2018</p></th>\n   <th><p>2020</p></th>\n   <th><p>CAGR</p></th>\n  </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>Revenue</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>$650 million</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>$1.8 billion</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>65%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Data source: Twilio SEC filings. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p>\n<p>Notably, Twilio is not currently profitable. The company posted net income losses of $179 million in 2020&nbsp;due to substantial investments in sales and marketing, as well as research and development.</p>\n<p>I think this strategy makes sense, though. Twilio had a $79 billion market opportunity in 2020, according to management, and that figure should continue to grow in the years ahead. It's important for Twilio to grab as much of that market as possible right now, meaning the company needs to focus its resources on growth.</p>\n<p>As its business continues to scale, operational expenses should shrink on a relative basis. That should eventually lead Twilio to profitability. And with a gross margin of 52% in 2020, Twilio is poised to be a very profitable company. However, investors should monitor revenue growth to make sure Twilio is on the right track.</p>\n<p>As a final thought, enterprises were forced to find new ways to interact with consumers during the pandemic. Not surprisingly, Twilio's platform saw increased adoption last year, and that trend is unlikely to reverse. In a recent survey, Twilio found that 95%&nbsp;(of 2,500 enterprises) plan to maintain or increase their investment in digital customer engagement post-pandemic. That should power continued growth for this tech company in the years ahead.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Tech Stocks That Cathie Wood's ARK Invest Is Buying</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Tech Stocks That Cathie Wood's ARK Invest Is Buying\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-21 22:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/21/2-tech-stocks-that-cathie-woods-ark-invest-buying/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>ARK Invest is far from the biggest investment firm on Wall Street, with just $37.6 billion in managed assets spread across 244 holdings as of Dec. 31, 2020. Even so, CEO Cathie Wood is gaining a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/21/2-tech-stocks-that-cathie-woods-ark-invest-buying/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWLO":"Twilio Inc","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/21/2-tech-stocks-that-cathie-woods-ark-invest-buying/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2129073871","content_text":"ARK Invest is far from the biggest investment firm on Wall Street, with just $37.6 billion in managed assets spread across 244 holdings as of Dec. 31, 2020. Even so, CEO Cathie Wood is gaining a reputation as one of Wall Street's best stock pickers. Her company's most popular product -- the ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEMKT:ARKK) -- has significantly outperformed the broader market over the last five years, surging 540%.\nRecently, ARK has been purchasing shares of Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) and Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) for its flagship ETF. Given ARK's track record, investors might want to consider these stocks for their own portfolios. Let's take a closer look at these two stocks that Cathie Wood's team has shown so much investing interest in.\n1. Palantir: Big data analytics\nPalantir serves both government and commercial clients, providing software that helps organizations manage, integrate, and analyze massive amounts of data. It also focuses on protecting privacy, and its solutions allow clients to monitor and control access to information.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nAs a practical example, aircraft manufacturer Airbus uses Palantir's Foundry software to track 5 million parts and coordinate the engineering efforts of hundreds of teams spread across eight factories in four different countries.\nLikewise, in the government sector, the U.S. Army uses Palantir's Gotham software to manage over 1 million military personnel, identify patterns in datasets, and make informed decisions that may be the difference between life and death.\nOne of Palantir's key advantages is the environment-agnostic nature of its software. Its platforms can be deployed in any public or private cloud, including classified government networks. And the company's continuous delivery system, Palantir Apollo, performs automatic updates with no downtime, ensuring clients always have access to cutting-edge capabilities.\nApollo also allows Palantir's software-as-a-service (SaaS) to function in places where other SaaS company's can't operate. For instance, its software can run on disconnected laptops in a Humvee, on servers in the hull of a submarine, and in aircraft flying at 30,000 feet. This gives the company a big advantage over its rivals.\nPalantir ended last year with 139 customers across 40 industries. Notably, the average revenue per customer jumped from $5.2 million in 2018 to $7.9 million in 2020. That has powered strong top-line growth.\n\n\n\nMetric\n2018\n2020\nChange\n\n\n\n\nRevenue\n$595 million\n$1.1 billion\n36%\n\n\n\nData source: Palantir SEC filings.\nDespite the company's controversial past, the future looks promising for Palantir. As the world becomes increasingly digital, enterprises are creating more data at a phenomenal pace. In order to carve out a competitive edge, they need a way to manage and make sense of that data. And Palantir's software looks like a perfect fit.\n2. Twilio: Customer engagement\nTwilio's communications platform simplifies software development, allowing clients to easily build apps that incorporate features like voice, text, video, and email. This makes it possible to send shipping notifications and appointment reminders, provide chat support to consumers, enable video conferencing with clients, and implement two-factor authentication, among many other use cases.\nImage source: Twilio\nIn addition to these building blocks, Twilio also provides more complete solutions. For example, Twilio Frontline is a mobile application that launched during the pandemic. It enables employees to connect with and assist customers regardless of whether they are in an office or working remotely.\nAltogether, Twilio's communications platform powers over 1 trillion human interactions each year. That impressive statistic has translated into strong growth for this company.\n\n\n\nMetric\n2018\n2020\nCAGR\n\n\n\n\nRevenue\n$650 million\n$1.8 billion\n65%\n\n\n\nData source: Twilio SEC filings. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.\nNotably, Twilio is not currently profitable. The company posted net income losses of $179 million in 2020 due to substantial investments in sales and marketing, as well as research and development.\nI think this strategy makes sense, though. Twilio had a $79 billion market opportunity in 2020, according to management, and that figure should continue to grow in the years ahead. It's important for Twilio to grab as much of that market as possible right now, meaning the company needs to focus its resources on growth.\nAs its business continues to scale, operational expenses should shrink on a relative basis. That should eventually lead Twilio to profitability. And with a gross margin of 52% in 2020, Twilio is poised to be a very profitable company. However, investors should monitor revenue growth to make sure Twilio is on the right track.\nAs a final thought, enterprises were forced to find new ways to interact with consumers during the pandemic. Not surprisingly, Twilio's platform saw increased adoption last year, and that trend is unlikely to reverse. In a recent survey, Twilio found that 95% (of 2,500 enterprises) plan to maintain or increase their investment in digital customer engagement post-pandemic. That should power continued growth for this tech company in the years ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378833599,"gmtCreate":1619014472711,"gmtModify":1704718346687,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Means a big correction is coming next month. Stay tuned.","listText":"Means a big correction is coming next month. Stay tuned.","text":"Means a big correction is coming next month. Stay tuned.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/378833599","repostId":"1138827456","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138827456","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619011924,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138827456?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-21 21:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Money Isn’t Pouring Into U.S. Stocks. What That Means for the Market.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138827456","media":"Barrons","summary":"Many investors are already fully invested in the U.S. stock market—a negative signal for share prices.Money hasn’t exactly been flowing aggressively into stocks recently and that trend is unlikely to reverse itself any time soon. It may seem counterintuitive, given that the market has run up considerably this year, but fund managers just aren’t receiving huge amounts of capital to deploy.The net flow of money into U.S. mutual and exchange-traded equity funds has been roughly $100 billion so far ","content":"<p>Many investors are already fully invested in the U.S. stock market—a negative signal for share prices.</p>\n<p>Money hasn’t exactly been flowing aggressively into stocks recently and that trend is unlikely to reverse itself any time soon. It may seem counterintuitive, given that the market has run up considerably this year, but fund managers just aren’t receiving huge amounts of capital to deploy.</p>\n<p>The net flow of money into U.S. mutual and exchange-traded equity funds has been roughly $100 billion so far in 2021, according to Citigroup data. That isn’t weak, but the tide of money going into equity funds that focus on assets outside of the U.S. has been more than twice as large.</p>\n<p>And with stocks trading at lofty levels, asset managers don’t appear eager to buy. The average institutional equity fund, which includes mutual funds and ETFs, is now holding a relatively low 4% of its portfolio in cash, according to Bank of America strategists, who say a figure any lower would be a signal to sell, while an increase to 5% would be a buy indicator. The less cash funds hold, the less they are willing to tap into that money to buy stocks.</p>\n<p>One key reason money isn’t piling into stock funds is because households already have the highest share of their assets in stocks in more than 50 years. Household equity holdings now account for 47% of total assets, according to Citi.</p>\n<p>Citi’s data indicate that as households become more invested in the stock market, returns in subsequent years lessen. When investors were last so heavily invested, in 1970, the S&amp;P 500’s annual return compounded over the following 10 years was below 5%, while the historical average for the index’s annual gain is in the high single digits.</p>\n<p>Returns were negative in the decade after 1999, when equity holdings relative to total assets hit another peak, rising to the highest level between 1970 and the present.</p>\n<p>With demand for stocks likely limited, “there is no need to pour cash into the asset class,” Tobias Levkovich, chief U.S. equity strategist at Citi, wrote in a note.</p>\n<p>Stocks can go up from here, but this is more evidence that gains for the next few years may be unspectacular compared with the run since the market hit bottom on March 23, 2020.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Money Isn’t Pouring Into U.S. Stocks. What That Means for the Market. </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMoney Isn’t Pouring Into U.S. Stocks. What That Means for the Market. \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-21 21:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/money-isnt-pouring-into-u-s-stocks-what-it-means-for-the-market-51619001001?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Many investors are already fully invested in the U.S. stock market—a negative signal for share prices.\nMoney hasn’t exactly been flowing aggressively into stocks recently and that trend is unlikely to...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/money-isnt-pouring-into-u-s-stocks-what-it-means-for-the-market-51619001001?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/money-isnt-pouring-into-u-s-stocks-what-it-means-for-the-market-51619001001?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138827456","content_text":"Many investors are already fully invested in the U.S. stock market—a negative signal for share prices.\nMoney hasn’t exactly been flowing aggressively into stocks recently and that trend is unlikely to reverse itself any time soon. It may seem counterintuitive, given that the market has run up considerably this year, but fund managers just aren’t receiving huge amounts of capital to deploy.\nThe net flow of money into U.S. mutual and exchange-traded equity funds has been roughly $100 billion so far in 2021, according to Citigroup data. That isn’t weak, but the tide of money going into equity funds that focus on assets outside of the U.S. has been more than twice as large.\nAnd with stocks trading at lofty levels, asset managers don’t appear eager to buy. The average institutional equity fund, which includes mutual funds and ETFs, is now holding a relatively low 4% of its portfolio in cash, according to Bank of America strategists, who say a figure any lower would be a signal to sell, while an increase to 5% would be a buy indicator. The less cash funds hold, the less they are willing to tap into that money to buy stocks.\nOne key reason money isn’t piling into stock funds is because households already have the highest share of their assets in stocks in more than 50 years. Household equity holdings now account for 47% of total assets, according to Citi.\nCiti’s data indicate that as households become more invested in the stock market, returns in subsequent years lessen. When investors were last so heavily invested, in 1970, the S&P 500’s annual return compounded over the following 10 years was below 5%, while the historical average for the index’s annual gain is in the high single digits.\nReturns were negative in the decade after 1999, when equity holdings relative to total assets hit another peak, rising to the highest level between 1970 and the present.\nWith demand for stocks likely limited, “there is no need to pour cash into the asset class,” Tobias Levkovich, chief U.S. equity strategist at Citi, wrote in a note.\nStocks can go up from here, but this is more evidence that gains for the next few years may be unspectacular compared with the run since the market hit bottom on March 23, 2020.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371186498,"gmtCreate":1618920632614,"gmtModify":1704716873062,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">$Square(SQ)$</a>immediate support at&nbsp;$2.42","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">$Square(SQ)$</a>immediate support at&nbsp;$2.42","text":"$Square(SQ)$immediate support at $2.42","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5921ef1ac439faf63cd987cd99a102f","width":"720","height":"2170"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/371186498","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"content":"$242 support","text":"$242 support","html":"$242 support"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371188842,"gmtCreate":1618920492986,"gmtModify":1704716871282,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>upcoming Robinhood IPO play","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>upcoming Robinhood IPO play","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$upcoming Robinhood IPO play","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5eb64cb56c790b0103e7d94bbaa62509","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/371188842","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373273806,"gmtCreate":1618863029905,"gmtModify":1704715973790,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553398469738690","authorIdStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>HODL","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>HODL","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$HODL","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf8fc23a7a71ff46680fb1fa55b4115e","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/373273806","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9918451852,"gmtCreate":1664438801577,"gmtModify":1676537455537,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AJBU.SI\">$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$</a>Time to buy for medium term? At $1.68, trailing dividend yield is around 6%","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AJBU.SI\">$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$</a>Time to buy for medium term? At $1.68, trailing dividend yield is around 6%","text":"$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$Time to buy for medium term? At $1.68, trailing dividend yield is around 6%","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918451852","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373199878,"gmtCreate":1618828395194,"gmtModify":1704715448282,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>third round of short squeeze could be on the cards soon&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a>third round of short squeeze could be on the cards soon&nbsp;","text":"$GameStop(GME)$third round of short squeeze could be on the cards soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/373199878","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561593536736276","authorId":"3561593536736276","name":"Daaaaaaaaxi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80792963068cc875c04df3ce4cb42ee9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3561593536736276","idStr":"3561593536736276"},"content":"This squeeze may make history","text":"This squeeze may make history","html":"This squeeze may make history"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342890542,"gmtCreate":1618195126286,"gmtModify":1704707355770,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$BB is tightening. A breakdown seems imminent. Technically, looks&nbsp;poised to retest $5.50 in the near term.&nbsp;","listText":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$BB is tightening. A breakdown seems imminent. Technically, looks&nbsp;poised to retest $5.50 in the near term.&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$BB is tightening. A breakdown seems imminent. Technically, looks poised to retest $5.50 in the near term.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eb4bdaa097a9d13f0bafabb978b7745","width":"720","height":"1549"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/342890542","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347988566,"gmtCreate":1618456406955,"gmtModify":1704711114948,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>wait for the price to drop to 4.80 - 5.20 before buying.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>wait for the price to drop to 4.80 - 5.20 before buying.&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$wait for the price to drop to 4.80 - 5.20 before buying.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/347988566","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2053,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342028087,"gmtCreate":1618132809949,"gmtModify":1704706886742,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I agree. TME is like Spotify. A great growth company with recurring revenues","listText":"I agree. TME is like Spotify. A great growth company with recurring revenues","text":"I agree. TME is like Spotify. A great growth company with recurring revenues","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/342028087","repostId":"1104081344","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561582804451218","authorId":"3561582804451218","name":"Ironteam","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/820ff4e88bef87bdd250ce62ad08f334","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3561582804451218","idStr":"3561582804451218"},"content":"The market is way bigger than spotify. Buy!","text":"The market is way bigger than spotify. Buy!","html":"The market is way bigger than spotify. Buy!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377562174,"gmtCreate":1619536824298,"gmtModify":1704725645845,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GOOG remains a long term buy even at current levels","listText":"GOOG remains a long term buy even at current levels","text":"GOOG remains a long term buy even at current levels","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/377562174","repostId":"1163748553","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1163748553","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619536118,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163748553?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-27 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet Q1 earnings set to show reopenings fueled advertising sales resurgence","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163748553","media":"Yahoo","summary":"Alphabet (GOOGL), the parent company of Google, will report first-quarter earnings after market clos","content":"<p>Alphabet (GOOGL), the parent company of Google, will report first-quarter earnings after market close on Tuesday, with the tech giant's results likely to get a boost from a pick-up in its advertising business amid the vaccine-led recovery.</p>\n<p>Here's what Wall Street expects to see from Alphabet's results:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Q1 Revenue, excluding traffic acquisitions costs:</b>$42.54 billion expected vs. $33.71 billion year-over-year</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Q1 GAAP earnings per share:</b>$15.64 expected vs. $10.79 year-over-year</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Of all of the Big Tech \"FAANG\" stocks, Alphabet's shares posted the least impressive gain during 2020, despite the broader trend toward tech outperformance last year. The company's results have been viewed as closely tied to the pace of the post-pandemic economic reopening. Alphabet's core advertising revenue through search and YouTube is exposed to marketers in travel and other high-contact industries, as well as small businesses deeply impacted by the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Overall, Google advertising revenues are expected to jump 25% over last year, comprising the vast majority of overall sales. YouTube ads likely grew by 42% to $5.8 billion.</p>\n<p>\"Google Search and YouTube ads could see meaningful upside from advertisers heavily impacted by COVID-19 returning to Search (travel advertisers) and YouTube (brand advertisers),\" JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth wrote in a note last week.</p>\n<p>Against this improving backdrop, Alphabet's stock underperformance against Big Tech peers last year has reversed in 2021 to-date. Shares have risen 32% through Monday's close, far outperforming the S&amp;P 500's 11.5% gain over that time period.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae073f7dcd2c4f3e8c36e6a2c760cf68\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">UKRAINE - 2021/04/09: In this photo illustration, Alphabet and Google logos seen displayed on smartphones. (Photo Illustration by Igor Golovniov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)</p>\n<p>Some, however, have noted that since the company is a known beneficiary of the \"reopening trade,\" it may have a difficult hurdle to clear in delivering first-quarter results that manage to impress Wall Street. Others suggested the opposite.</p>\n<p>\"We think expectations are actually the lowest for Alphabet, partially because it's been the most obvious reopening stock,\" Jason Helstein,Oppenheimer senior analyst, told Yahoo Finance on Monday.\"They have the most exposure to travel. They have the most exposure to local. And so we think, you know, to the extent you would think expectation would be higher, when we've done kind of our own work, we actually think within the tech group, it's actually the best setup into earnings.\"</p>\n<p>\"A lot of people have looked at kind of Alphabet and said, this company's just so big, can it keep up hyper-growth? And they just have this kind of ability to surprise. We think their advertising is going to be up 26% this year, which is two points above the Street. And we're looking for 17% next year, which is five points above the Street.\"</p>\n<p>Other, smaller areas of Google's business are expected to have continued growing strongly in the first three months of the year. Google Cloud's revenue will likely top $4 billion for the first quarter, according to consensus estimates, to mark a growth rate of 44% over last year. While still a smaller cloud platform than those of competitors like Microsoft Azure and Amazon Web Services, the company's platform has maintained an impressive run of year-over-year growth topping 40%, continuing to gain market share in the cloud computing space.</p>\n<p><i>This post will be updated with the results of Alphabet's second-quarter results Tuesday after market close. Check back for updates.</i></p>","source":"lsy1584348713084","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet Q1 earnings set to show reopenings fueled advertising sales resurgence</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet Q1 earnings set to show reopenings fueled advertising sales resurgence\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-27 23:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/alphabet-google-youtube-reports-q1-earnings-results-150238095.html><strong>Yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alphabet (GOOGL), the parent company of Google, will report first-quarter earnings after market close on Tuesday, with the tech giant's results likely to get a boost from a pick-up in its advertising ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/alphabet-google-youtube-reports-q1-earnings-results-150238095.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/alphabet-google-youtube-reports-q1-earnings-results-150238095.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163748553","content_text":"Alphabet (GOOGL), the parent company of Google, will report first-quarter earnings after market close on Tuesday, with the tech giant's results likely to get a boost from a pick-up in its advertising business amid the vaccine-led recovery.\nHere's what Wall Street expects to see from Alphabet's results:\n\nQ1 Revenue, excluding traffic acquisitions costs:$42.54 billion expected vs. $33.71 billion year-over-year\nQ1 GAAP earnings per share:$15.64 expected vs. $10.79 year-over-year\n\nOf all of the Big Tech \"FAANG\" stocks, Alphabet's shares posted the least impressive gain during 2020, despite the broader trend toward tech outperformance last year. The company's results have been viewed as closely tied to the pace of the post-pandemic economic reopening. Alphabet's core advertising revenue through search and YouTube is exposed to marketers in travel and other high-contact industries, as well as small businesses deeply impacted by the pandemic.\nOverall, Google advertising revenues are expected to jump 25% over last year, comprising the vast majority of overall sales. YouTube ads likely grew by 42% to $5.8 billion.\n\"Google Search and YouTube ads could see meaningful upside from advertisers heavily impacted by COVID-19 returning to Search (travel advertisers) and YouTube (brand advertisers),\" JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth wrote in a note last week.\nAgainst this improving backdrop, Alphabet's stock underperformance against Big Tech peers last year has reversed in 2021 to-date. Shares have risen 32% through Monday's close, far outperforming the S&P 500's 11.5% gain over that time period.\nUKRAINE - 2021/04/09: In this photo illustration, Alphabet and Google logos seen displayed on smartphones. (Photo Illustration by Igor Golovniov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)\nSome, however, have noted that since the company is a known beneficiary of the \"reopening trade,\" it may have a difficult hurdle to clear in delivering first-quarter results that manage to impress Wall Street. Others suggested the opposite.\n\"We think expectations are actually the lowest for Alphabet, partially because it's been the most obvious reopening stock,\" Jason Helstein,Oppenheimer senior analyst, told Yahoo Finance on Monday.\"They have the most exposure to travel. They have the most exposure to local. And so we think, you know, to the extent you would think expectation would be higher, when we've done kind of our own work, we actually think within the tech group, it's actually the best setup into earnings.\"\n\"A lot of people have looked at kind of Alphabet and said, this company's just so big, can it keep up hyper-growth? And they just have this kind of ability to surprise. We think their advertising is going to be up 26% this year, which is two points above the Street. And we're looking for 17% next year, which is five points above the Street.\"\nOther, smaller areas of Google's business are expected to have continued growing strongly in the first three months of the year. Google Cloud's revenue will likely top $4 billion for the first quarter, according to consensus estimates, to mark a growth rate of 44% over last year. While still a smaller cloud platform than those of competitors like Microsoft Azure and Amazon Web Services, the company's platform has maintained an impressive run of year-over-year growth topping 40%, continuing to gain market share in the cloud computing space.\nThis post will be updated with the results of Alphabet's second-quarter results Tuesday after market close. Check back for updates.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":375568823,"gmtCreate":1619363539062,"gmtModify":1704722875995,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well said. I kinda agree with his views.&nbsp;","listText":"Well said. I kinda agree with his views.&nbsp;","text":"Well said. I kinda agree with his views.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/375568823","repostId":"1159622467","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1159622467","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619337262,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1159622467?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-25 15:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"The Stock Market Has Gone Crazy And Will Likely Go Even Crazier\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159622467","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Chen Zhao, Founding Partner and Chief Strategist of Montreal-based Alpine Macro, has been analyzing ","content":"<p>Chen Zhao, Founding Partner and Chief Strategist of Montreal-based Alpine Macro, has been analyzing global financial markets for more than thirty years. Numerous investors worldwide know him as the long-serving Chief Strategist of BCA Research.</p>\n<p>Today, Zhao is confident about equity markets. He sees the ingredients for a strong recovery in the global economy, and he believes fears of higher inflation are overblown. He sees the potential for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy to inflate a new speculative bubble.<i><b>«This bubble is going to be a whole lot bigger than the tech bubble of the late nineties, and it will probably run a whole lot longer than we think»,</b></i>says Zhao in an in-depth conversation with The Market NZZ.</p>\n<p><b>His main concern is the growing conflict between the United States and China.</b>Today, the risk of escalation over Taiwan is greater than at any time in the last 40 years, Zhao warns.</p>\n<p>Mr. Zhao, in February and March, we have witnessed a sharp upward move in long term US bond yields, temporarily causing a sell-off in the Nasdaq. What do you make of this?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Whenever bond yields rise, you should conceptually decompose this movement into two stages. One is reflective, meaning\n <b>the bond market is trying to tell you something about the underlying economy.</b>Rising bond yields are reflective of stronger economic growth. However, a market selloff could also move into a phase where bond yields become too high, constraining economic activity. In my judgement, what we are witnessing right now is purely reflective. The ISM manufacturing index is at its highest level since 1983, the world economy is in a strong recovery mode. Higher yields are consistent with the economy getting stronger. Under these circumstances, I would be more concerned if bond yields did not rise.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Aren’t rising inflation expectations also playing a part?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>I don’t see a clear breakout in inflation expectations.</b>People forget that during the decade after the global financial crisis, inflation expectations have fallen apart. Markets became much more concerned about deflation. Inflation breakeven rates currently are between 2 and 2.2%, whereas the average range during the decade before 2009 was more like 2.5 to 3%. So inflation expectations are simply in the process of being normalized.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Do you see room for a further rise in yields?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Our model says ten year Treasury yields are pretty much at fair value today, at around 1.5%. But we know that if we have a cyclical move in financial markets, nothing stops at fair value. Markets always undershoot or overshoot. So I could see yields rise towards 2% or even a bit more.\n <b>If they approach 2%, we would be active buyers of long term Treasuries.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Don’t you see structural inflation building up?</p>\n<blockquote>\n No, not at all. There is a widespread misunderstanding of this issue. Many people look at the fiscal position of the United States and see a budget deficit of almost 20% of GDP. The Fed balance sheet has expanded by $7 trillion since the beginning of the pandemic, M2 has exploded upward.\n <b>How can this not be inflationary? Well, in my experience, something that is too obvious is usually wrong.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>How so?</p>\n<blockquote>\n What happened is this: For all of 2020, the US government unleashed $3.5 trillion in various rescue packages, as a result of which the federal government debt rose by $3.6 trillion. At the same time, the household sector’s disposable income increased by $3.5 trillion, and household savings shot up by $5.5 trillion. In other words, American households not only saved up all the transfer payments they received from the government, but they even saved $2 trillion more from their own income.\n <b>These rescue programs did absolutely nothing to generate aggregate final demand or GDP growth. What we have seen was not a fiscal stimulus to boost aggregate demand, but a transfer payment. This was no different than a one-time tax cut.</b>We know that people’s spending behaviour is determined by their outlook for sustainable income.\n <b>If you give them a one-time tax cut, they will save it. This is what the Permanent Income Hypothesis says and this is what has happened.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Don’t you think there is a huge amount of pent-up demand that will be released once the economy fully reopens?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Yes, there will be a demand surge. Consumption spending has been repressed for over a year as a result of Covid-19 related restrictions. When the world economy reopens, this spending will be released. But this is not inflationary, as the boom will be temporary. People won’t party for the next twenty years. They will party for the next six months or so.\n <b>For inflation to be a true threat, you need aggregate demand exceeding aggregate supply on a sustainable basis. I don’t see that happening any time soon.</b>The government subsidies simply amount to a huge balance sheet swap: government debt as a share of GDP has gone up, while consumers’ net worth has gone up even more. This balance sheet swap has nothing to do with excessive aggregate demand.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Does that also mean you don’t see a structural bear market for bonds, where yields would drift higher over the coming years?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Correct,\n <b>I don’t see the drivers for structurally higher yields.</b>That’s why I think that ten-year Treasury yields above 2% would represent a good buying opportunity.\n</blockquote>\n<p>What would it take for you to change your mind?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>I will change my mind if the government took over and built lots of roads and bridges and have it all financed by the Fed.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Isn’t that what the $2.3 trillion Biden infrastructure plan will do?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>This proposed package is a step towards that kind of transition. But don’t forget, this is a rather small piece of cake, because it envisions spending roughly $2.2 trillion over eight years, so each year it would add only about 0.8 or 0.9% of GDP adjusted for inflation.</b>On top of that, Biden is proposing higher taxes to fund it. So his infrastructure plan creates some growth on one hand, while taking it away with higher taxes on the other hand. Its net impact will only be around 0.4 or 0.5% of GDP per year. This won’t be a game changer in terms of inflation.\n</blockquote>\n<p>What else would tell you that we are indeed moving through a profound transition towards higher inflation and higher interest rates?</p>\n<blockquote>\n In my view,\n <b>central banks have been completely wrong in their thinking about the Phillips Curve for the past 30 years,</b>meaning that every time the labor market got too strong, they felt they had to raise rates, because they feared wage inflation would kick in. But we know now that there are a lot of things standing in the way between a strong labor market and actual wage inflation. In an environment of rising productivity, you can have higher wages and still lower inflation.\n <b>Fundamentally speaking, free market capitalism is deflationary.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Why?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Neither you nor I are paid more than our marginal output. In our society as a whole, labor is always paid at or below its marginal output. In a socialist economy, it’s the other way round, because workers are usually paid more than their marginal output. So unless we change our system into a much more socialist type, and unless we had a substantial decline in labor productivity, I don’t see a return of structural inflation.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>What is different today compared to the 1970s, when we had structural inflation in our Western economies?</p>\n<blockquote>\n In the 1970s, we had powerful unions in the US which drove up labor cost but kept productivity low. This was the legacy of President Roosevelt’s New Deal which, in my view, was very socialist. In addition, you had a collapse in the Bretton Woods System which drove down the Dollar by 50%, leading to a spike in goods price inflation.\n <b>Finally, the US was a manufacturing power in the 1970s and the oil crisis created enormous stagflation pressures. None of this is true today.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>There is a tug of war going on between the Fed and financial markets: The Fed says they will stay dovish for a long time, while markets expect a lift-off in short term rates next year. Who is right?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>If you think about last decade, Fed policy was always too tight: The projected interest rate path by the Fed, as seen by the so-called Dot Plots, was always higher than market expectations.</b>Because of that, we had a number of financial tremors: The taper tantrum in 2013, the collapse in commodity prices in 2015, the collapse in stock markets in late 2018. We had almost ten years of undershooting inflation and periodic stock market chaos as a result of monetary policy being too tight. In the end, the Fed always caved in and moved towards the market.\n <b>Now it’s the other way round: The Fed is more dovish than market expectations. The market has priced in four or five rate hikes through 2023, while the Fed suggests they won’t do anything before 2024.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Which side is right?</p>\n<blockquote>\n If you only looked at the lessons of the last decade, you’d say the market is right. But\n <b>the difference today is that the Fed has abandoned its old reaction function and wants to stay ultra-stimulative</b>until inflation is above 2% for a while. The Fed is now adamantly saying they are\n <b>willing to be late this time,</b>allowing the economy and inflation to run hotter than they would have in the old days. If that’s the case, then markets may be wrong because they still assume the old reaction function of the Fed. So we don’t know yet, but it’s possible that the Fed will stay dovish much longer than markets think.\n</blockquote>\n<p>What would the consequences of this new Fed policy be?</p>\n<blockquote>\n One conclusion is pretty obvious:\n <b>The stock market has already gone crazy and will likely go even crazier.</b>If you read the work of Charles Kindleberger, you know that asset bubbles are perennial, they grow back every ten years or so, and they are usually driven by easy monetary policy and lots of liquidity. So this new reaction function by the Fed, plus the support from fiscal policy, means that markets will go through a very bubbly period.\n</blockquote>\n<p>How big can this bubble get?</p>\n<blockquote>\n If you look at history, all speculative bubbles got killed by tightening monetary policy.\n <b>You never had a bubble burst while monetary policy was still easy.</b>Asset bubbles pop when central banks tighten policy to a point of yield curve inversion. Today, we’re far away from that.\n <b>That’s why I think this bubble could get a whole lot bigger.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Would you say we’re only at the beginning of this process?</p>\n<blockquote>\n I’d say we are in the early stages of a stock market bubble, especially in the United States.\n <b>There are many signs of speculative behaviour,</b>be it Bitcoin, Gamestop, and so on. But it’s not as pervasive yet as it was in the late 1990s. When the technology bubble burst in 2000, everybody was bullish. Today, many people, even large banks, are still bearish. When they throw in the towel, then the final phase will begin.\n <b>This bubble is going to be a whole lot bigger than the 90s and it will probably run a whole lot longer than we think.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>You don’t see the risk of the bond market assuming the job of tightening conditions by rising long term yields?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Historically, rising yields hurt the economy and stock prices only when both the long and the short end of the curve were moving up. It’s usually not the case to see the long end of the curve move way up while short term rates remain pressed down, as they are today. There is a limit to the pain long term rates can create for the economy, because borrowers can always slide down the maturity curve to avoid having to pay higher interest rates.\n <b>So if you put it all together, I think ten year yields can’t move much higher than their fair value, while short term rates remain at zero.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>What will happen then?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>The most likely scenario I see today is that we’ll have an expanding equity bubble for the next two years, with multiples going way higher. Then comes the point where the Fed just can’t remain dovish anymore. They will raise rates. At that point, the end would be nigh. a bursting asset bubble would be inevitable, and this is always very deflationary. When that happens, we could see zero nominal yields in the U.S.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Late last year, everyone was bearish on the dollar. Now the Greenback has surprised by strengthening since January. Why was that?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Don’t forget that the dollar had dropped almost 11% last year.</b>Getting into 2021, it was very oversold, jammed with shorts. So a natural rebound from this position was to be expected. Going forward, I see the prerequisites in place for a further weakening.\n <b>In the last 20 years, every time the world economy slumped, the dollar strengthened, and every time the world economy got better, the dollar weakened. Right now, we see an improving world economy, hence the dollar should weaken.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>What’s the reason for that pattern?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>People say the dollar is a safe haven currency, but I don’t see it that way.</b>The Yen and the Swiss Franc are much better safe havens. From the 1970s through the 1990s, the dollar was pro-cyclical, i.e. strengthening with a stronger world economy. This changed around the year 2000. The reason in my view is that large parts of the developed world are in a liquidity trap. And in a liquidity trap, there is infinite demand for dollars, because the dollar demand curve is flat. So every time where we have an economic slump, it means the liquidity trap is deepening, hence the demand for dollars is going up. And every time the economy gets better, the liquidity trap is getting shallower, with demand for dollars shrinking.\n <b>So, if I take the view that the world economy in the second half of this year is starting a boom, then logically, we cannot have a stronger dollar. We have never had a booming world economy and a stronger dollar since 2000.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>When you look at world equity markets, which geographies and sectors currently offer the best opportunities?</p>\n<blockquote>\n I am very value conscious, so\n <b>I like European stocks, they have underperformed for a long time</b>. I would overweight Germany, France and Italy; their valuations are way more attractive than the US market. If we have a world economic boom, these markets will do very well. The US is difficult to underweight, because it’s so huge, but on the fringe I would suggest to overweight non-US stocks, i.e. Europe and Japan.\n <b>I think the Japanese market can have one last, big upleg before this bull market is over.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>An economic boom and a lower dollar should be bullish for emerging markets, right?</p>\n<blockquote>\n We must keep in mind that\n <b>today’s emerging markets are very different from 20 years ago.</b>Today, more than 40% of the MSCI EM index is made up by China. In China, the equity market is predominantly driven by big tech, with stocks like Alibaba and Tencent. So China has a similar issue like the US tech sector: In an environment of rising bond yields, these high-multiple stocks tend to underperform. Besides, China has begun to tighten policy, which is a negative for EM performance as a whole. I would shift more towards the commodity segment, meaning Latin America. They have been beaten down badly because of the Bolsonaro screwup in the pandemic crisis, but for every grief there is a price, and\n <b>I think Brazilian assets are cheap enough to absorb all the negatives.</b>I particularly like commodity markets like Chile. I also like Australia and Canada. These are places where value is better, and they are well positioned for rising commodity prices.\n</blockquote>\n<p>We see a world of inverted roles: After the financial crisis, China embarked on a huge monetary and fiscal stimulus. Today it’s the U.S., while China is tightening. What’s going on?</p>\n<blockquote>\n If you look at\n <b>the net increase in Chinese fiscal deficit in terms of fighting the pandemic, it was about 4.7% last year, as opposed to about 15% of GDP in the US.</b>Of course, China got the pandemic under control earlier, but that’s not all. The key thing is, their fiscal deficit spending is 100% infrastructure, whereas in the Western world we talk about 10 to 20% of GDP being dumped into the system through transfer payments. The fiscal multiplier in China is huge, while in the US it is practically zero. The second thing is this:\n <b>After 2008, China went on a construction spree, financed by an avalanche of credit creation. For ten years since then, the central government has been concerned about the economy getting overleveraged. This time, they are comparatively stingy and Beijing wants to slow down the credit creation process early.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The stock market in China is not happy about that.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>The stock market is very sensitive to changes in liquidity conditions.</b>If credit growth is slowing down, stocks perform poorly. So it’s not a great time to buy Chinese equities right now. But from a broader economic point of view, I don’t think we’ll see the kind of tightening shock in China like we saw in 2015. So even though it might not be a great time to buy stocks due to liquidity conditions, I think the Chinese economy will do reasonably well, which also means a good environment for commodity prices.\n</blockquote>\n<p>What makes you confident that policy makers in China won’t commit a mistake and tighten too much?</p>\n<blockquote>\n They have not created much credit excesses this time, so there is no reason for them to tighten aggressively.\n <b>Geopolitically, the leadership in China has reached the conclusion that America is trying to suffocate the Chinese economy. So they have to maintain growth momentum by letting foreign investment money coming in.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Has there been a change in thinking towards the US in Beijing since Joe Biden assumed the presidency?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>I think both sides are too far on the path of great power rivalry already.</b>America represents the incumbent power, and China is the rising power that is challenging the US. I personally believe that\n <b>we in the West don’t get the full picture of Sino-US confrontation. We only get the western side of the story,</b>we never get to see the Chinese perspective through our media.\n</blockquote>\n<p>What is the Chinese perspective?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Within China, there is a strong feeling that the Americans have destroyed the bilateral relationship to cater to purely domestic political needs,</b>starting with Donald Trump. They feel that they are treated unfairly, in a confrontation that is unprovoked. Even when it comes to Hong Kong, we only know Beijing violated the concept of One Country Two Systems by imposing the new security law, but\n <b>how about the social upheavals and civil unrest in the two years leading up to the change of law</b>? No one said anything here. The US accused the Chinese of not playing by the rules, but the Chinese say they have played by the rules that were written by the US. They have joined the WTO and have slowly opened up their system. They signed the Paris Treaty. They have honoured all the international obligations, then Trump came and uprooted the very system that America had built. So the Chinese feel that the Americans suddenly want to change the rules again.\n <b>The consensus in Beijing now is that the US wants to derail China. Once you have a consensus like that, it’s difficult to change.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Will Biden continue on that path?</p>\n<blockquote>\n Biden has inherited Trump’s policies. That’s unfortunate, but there’s not much he can do. Trump’s China policy served his domestic agenda, hitting China in order to score points at home. As a result of that, public opinion of China spiralled down. Biden can’t turn that back. And again,\n <b>the consensus in China is that America wants to keep China down. We must prepare for a long confrontation.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Do you see the risk of that confrontation turning hot?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Washington is playing with the very nerve of the Chinese national interest, which is Taiwan.</b>Since the beginning of bilateral diplomatic relations in the 1970s, one core commitment of the US was the One China Policy, avoiding official contact with the government in Taiwan. But Trump changed that, and Biden continues to follow the Trump script. This is very dangerous. Since 1979, there has been a tacit understanding on both sides that if the US does not encourage separation, the Chinese side will not resort to any military action. Now this tacit agreement has been thrown out of the window. Because Washington has seemingly encouraged official contacts with Taiwan, China feels the need to show their commitment to retake the island to maintain territorial integrity. That’s why we have incursions into Taiwanese air space practically every day. There is a reaction feedback going back and forth.\n <b>I think there is a strong consensus among the Chinese leadership that within the next five years, if the US continues along this path, they might as well just take the risk of invading Taiwan. Then, all bets are off. The risk of some kind of confrontation is the highest in 40 years.</b>\n</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"The Stock Market Has Gone Crazy And Will Likely Go Even Crazier\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"The Stock Market Has Gone Crazy And Will Likely Go Even Crazier\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-25 15:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock-market-has-gone-crazy-and-will-likely-go-even-crazier><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Chen Zhao, Founding Partner and Chief Strategist of Montreal-based Alpine Macro, has been analyzing global financial markets for more than thirty years. Numerous investors worldwide know him as the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock-market-has-gone-crazy-and-will-likely-go-even-crazier\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stock-market-has-gone-crazy-and-will-likely-go-even-crazier","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159622467","content_text":"Chen Zhao, Founding Partner and Chief Strategist of Montreal-based Alpine Macro, has been analyzing global financial markets for more than thirty years. Numerous investors worldwide know him as the long-serving Chief Strategist of BCA Research.\nToday, Zhao is confident about equity markets. He sees the ingredients for a strong recovery in the global economy, and he believes fears of higher inflation are overblown. He sees the potential for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy to inflate a new speculative bubble.«This bubble is going to be a whole lot bigger than the tech bubble of the late nineties, and it will probably run a whole lot longer than we think»,says Zhao in an in-depth conversation with The Market NZZ.\nHis main concern is the growing conflict between the United States and China.Today, the risk of escalation over Taiwan is greater than at any time in the last 40 years, Zhao warns.\nMr. Zhao, in February and March, we have witnessed a sharp upward move in long term US bond yields, temporarily causing a sell-off in the Nasdaq. What do you make of this?\n\n Whenever bond yields rise, you should conceptually decompose this movement into two stages. One is reflective, meaning\n the bond market is trying to tell you something about the underlying economy.Rising bond yields are reflective of stronger economic growth. However, a market selloff could also move into a phase where bond yields become too high, constraining economic activity. In my judgement, what we are witnessing right now is purely reflective. The ISM manufacturing index is at its highest level since 1983, the world economy is in a strong recovery mode. Higher yields are consistent with the economy getting stronger. Under these circumstances, I would be more concerned if bond yields did not rise.\n\nAren’t rising inflation expectations also playing a part?\n\nI don’t see a clear breakout in inflation expectations.People forget that during the decade after the global financial crisis, inflation expectations have fallen apart. Markets became much more concerned about deflation. Inflation breakeven rates currently are between 2 and 2.2%, whereas the average range during the decade before 2009 was more like 2.5 to 3%. So inflation expectations are simply in the process of being normalized.\n\nDo you see room for a further rise in yields?\n\n Our model says ten year Treasury yields are pretty much at fair value today, at around 1.5%. But we know that if we have a cyclical move in financial markets, nothing stops at fair value. Markets always undershoot or overshoot. So I could see yields rise towards 2% or even a bit more.\n If they approach 2%, we would be active buyers of long term Treasuries.\n\nDon’t you see structural inflation building up?\n\n No, not at all. There is a widespread misunderstanding of this issue. Many people look at the fiscal position of the United States and see a budget deficit of almost 20% of GDP. The Fed balance sheet has expanded by $7 trillion since the beginning of the pandemic, M2 has exploded upward.\n How can this not be inflationary? Well, in my experience, something that is too obvious is usually wrong.\n\nHow so?\n\n What happened is this: For all of 2020, the US government unleashed $3.5 trillion in various rescue packages, as a result of which the federal government debt rose by $3.6 trillion. At the same time, the household sector’s disposable income increased by $3.5 trillion, and household savings shot up by $5.5 trillion. In other words, American households not only saved up all the transfer payments they received from the government, but they even saved $2 trillion more from their own income.\n These rescue programs did absolutely nothing to generate aggregate final demand or GDP growth. What we have seen was not a fiscal stimulus to boost aggregate demand, but a transfer payment. This was no different than a one-time tax cut.We know that people’s spending behaviour is determined by their outlook for sustainable income.\n If you give them a one-time tax cut, they will save it. This is what the Permanent Income Hypothesis says and this is what has happened.\n\nDon’t you think there is a huge amount of pent-up demand that will be released once the economy fully reopens?\n\n Yes, there will be a demand surge. Consumption spending has been repressed for over a year as a result of Covid-19 related restrictions. When the world economy reopens, this spending will be released. But this is not inflationary, as the boom will be temporary. People won’t party for the next twenty years. They will party for the next six months or so.\n For inflation to be a true threat, you need aggregate demand exceeding aggregate supply on a sustainable basis. I don’t see that happening any time soon.The government subsidies simply amount to a huge balance sheet swap: government debt as a share of GDP has gone up, while consumers’ net worth has gone up even more. This balance sheet swap has nothing to do with excessive aggregate demand.\n\nDoes that also mean you don’t see a structural bear market for bonds, where yields would drift higher over the coming years?\n\n Correct,\n I don’t see the drivers for structurally higher yields.That’s why I think that ten-year Treasury yields above 2% would represent a good buying opportunity.\n\nWhat would it take for you to change your mind?\n\nI will change my mind if the government took over and built lots of roads and bridges and have it all financed by the Fed.\n\nIsn’t that what the $2.3 trillion Biden infrastructure plan will do?\n\nThis proposed package is a step towards that kind of transition. But don’t forget, this is a rather small piece of cake, because it envisions spending roughly $2.2 trillion over eight years, so each year it would add only about 0.8 or 0.9% of GDP adjusted for inflation.On top of that, Biden is proposing higher taxes to fund it. So his infrastructure plan creates some growth on one hand, while taking it away with higher taxes on the other hand. Its net impact will only be around 0.4 or 0.5% of GDP per year. This won’t be a game changer in terms of inflation.\n\nWhat else would tell you that we are indeed moving through a profound transition towards higher inflation and higher interest rates?\n\n In my view,\n central banks have been completely wrong in their thinking about the Phillips Curve for the past 30 years,meaning that every time the labor market got too strong, they felt they had to raise rates, because they feared wage inflation would kick in. But we know now that there are a lot of things standing in the way between a strong labor market and actual wage inflation. In an environment of rising productivity, you can have higher wages and still lower inflation.\n Fundamentally speaking, free market capitalism is deflationary.\n\nWhy?\n\nNeither you nor I are paid more than our marginal output. In our society as a whole, labor is always paid at or below its marginal output. In a socialist economy, it’s the other way round, because workers are usually paid more than their marginal output. So unless we change our system into a much more socialist type, and unless we had a substantial decline in labor productivity, I don’t see a return of structural inflation.\n\nWhat is different today compared to the 1970s, when we had structural inflation in our Western economies?\n\n In the 1970s, we had powerful unions in the US which drove up labor cost but kept productivity low. This was the legacy of President Roosevelt’s New Deal which, in my view, was very socialist. In addition, you had a collapse in the Bretton Woods System which drove down the Dollar by 50%, leading to a spike in goods price inflation.\n Finally, the US was a manufacturing power in the 1970s and the oil crisis created enormous stagflation pressures. None of this is true today.\n\nThere is a tug of war going on between the Fed and financial markets: The Fed says they will stay dovish for a long time, while markets expect a lift-off in short term rates next year. Who is right?\n\nIf you think about last decade, Fed policy was always too tight: The projected interest rate path by the Fed, as seen by the so-called Dot Plots, was always higher than market expectations.Because of that, we had a number of financial tremors: The taper tantrum in 2013, the collapse in commodity prices in 2015, the collapse in stock markets in late 2018. We had almost ten years of undershooting inflation and periodic stock market chaos as a result of monetary policy being too tight. In the end, the Fed always caved in and moved towards the market.\n Now it’s the other way round: The Fed is more dovish than market expectations. The market has priced in four or five rate hikes through 2023, while the Fed suggests they won’t do anything before 2024.\n\nWhich side is right?\n\n If you only looked at the lessons of the last decade, you’d say the market is right. But\n the difference today is that the Fed has abandoned its old reaction function and wants to stay ultra-stimulativeuntil inflation is above 2% for a while. The Fed is now adamantly saying they are\n willing to be late this time,allowing the economy and inflation to run hotter than they would have in the old days. If that’s the case, then markets may be wrong because they still assume the old reaction function of the Fed. So we don’t know yet, but it’s possible that the Fed will stay dovish much longer than markets think.\n\nWhat would the consequences of this new Fed policy be?\n\n One conclusion is pretty obvious:\n The stock market has already gone crazy and will likely go even crazier.If you read the work of Charles Kindleberger, you know that asset bubbles are perennial, they grow back every ten years or so, and they are usually driven by easy monetary policy and lots of liquidity. So this new reaction function by the Fed, plus the support from fiscal policy, means that markets will go through a very bubbly period.\n\nHow big can this bubble get?\n\n If you look at history, all speculative bubbles got killed by tightening monetary policy.\n You never had a bubble burst while monetary policy was still easy.Asset bubbles pop when central banks tighten policy to a point of yield curve inversion. Today, we’re far away from that.\n That’s why I think this bubble could get a whole lot bigger.\n\nWould you say we’re only at the beginning of this process?\n\n I’d say we are in the early stages of a stock market bubble, especially in the United States.\n There are many signs of speculative behaviour,be it Bitcoin, Gamestop, and so on. But it’s not as pervasive yet as it was in the late 1990s. When the technology bubble burst in 2000, everybody was bullish. Today, many people, even large banks, are still bearish. When they throw in the towel, then the final phase will begin.\n This bubble is going to be a whole lot bigger than the 90s and it will probably run a whole lot longer than we think.\n\nYou don’t see the risk of the bond market assuming the job of tightening conditions by rising long term yields?\n\n Historically, rising yields hurt the economy and stock prices only when both the long and the short end of the curve were moving up. It’s usually not the case to see the long end of the curve move way up while short term rates remain pressed down, as they are today. There is a limit to the pain long term rates can create for the economy, because borrowers can always slide down the maturity curve to avoid having to pay higher interest rates.\n So if you put it all together, I think ten year yields can’t move much higher than their fair value, while short term rates remain at zero.\n\nWhat will happen then?\n\nThe most likely scenario I see today is that we’ll have an expanding equity bubble for the next two years, with multiples going way higher. Then comes the point where the Fed just can’t remain dovish anymore. They will raise rates. At that point, the end would be nigh. a bursting asset bubble would be inevitable, and this is always very deflationary. When that happens, we could see zero nominal yields in the U.S.\n\nLate last year, everyone was bearish on the dollar. Now the Greenback has surprised by strengthening since January. Why was that?\n\nDon’t forget that the dollar had dropped almost 11% last year.Getting into 2021, it was very oversold, jammed with shorts. So a natural rebound from this position was to be expected. Going forward, I see the prerequisites in place for a further weakening.\n In the last 20 years, every time the world economy slumped, the dollar strengthened, and every time the world economy got better, the dollar weakened. Right now, we see an improving world economy, hence the dollar should weaken.\n\nWhat’s the reason for that pattern?\n\nPeople say the dollar is a safe haven currency, but I don’t see it that way.The Yen and the Swiss Franc are much better safe havens. From the 1970s through the 1990s, the dollar was pro-cyclical, i.e. strengthening with a stronger world economy. This changed around the year 2000. The reason in my view is that large parts of the developed world are in a liquidity trap. And in a liquidity trap, there is infinite demand for dollars, because the dollar demand curve is flat. So every time where we have an economic slump, it means the liquidity trap is deepening, hence the demand for dollars is going up. And every time the economy gets better, the liquidity trap is getting shallower, with demand for dollars shrinking.\n So, if I take the view that the world economy in the second half of this year is starting a boom, then logically, we cannot have a stronger dollar. We have never had a booming world economy and a stronger dollar since 2000.\n\nWhen you look at world equity markets, which geographies and sectors currently offer the best opportunities?\n\n I am very value conscious, so\n I like European stocks, they have underperformed for a long time. I would overweight Germany, France and Italy; their valuations are way more attractive than the US market. If we have a world economic boom, these markets will do very well. The US is difficult to underweight, because it’s so huge, but on the fringe I would suggest to overweight non-US stocks, i.e. Europe and Japan.\n I think the Japanese market can have one last, big upleg before this bull market is over.\n\nAn economic boom and a lower dollar should be bullish for emerging markets, right?\n\n We must keep in mind that\n today’s emerging markets are very different from 20 years ago.Today, more than 40% of the MSCI EM index is made up by China. In China, the equity market is predominantly driven by big tech, with stocks like Alibaba and Tencent. So China has a similar issue like the US tech sector: In an environment of rising bond yields, these high-multiple stocks tend to underperform. Besides, China has begun to tighten policy, which is a negative for EM performance as a whole. I would shift more towards the commodity segment, meaning Latin America. They have been beaten down badly because of the Bolsonaro screwup in the pandemic crisis, but for every grief there is a price, and\n I think Brazilian assets are cheap enough to absorb all the negatives.I particularly like commodity markets like Chile. I also like Australia and Canada. These are places where value is better, and they are well positioned for rising commodity prices.\n\nWe see a world of inverted roles: After the financial crisis, China embarked on a huge monetary and fiscal stimulus. Today it’s the U.S., while China is tightening. What’s going on?\n\n If you look at\n the net increase in Chinese fiscal deficit in terms of fighting the pandemic, it was about 4.7% last year, as opposed to about 15% of GDP in the US.Of course, China got the pandemic under control earlier, but that’s not all. The key thing is, their fiscal deficit spending is 100% infrastructure, whereas in the Western world we talk about 10 to 20% of GDP being dumped into the system through transfer payments. The fiscal multiplier in China is huge, while in the US it is practically zero. The second thing is this:\n After 2008, China went on a construction spree, financed by an avalanche of credit creation. For ten years since then, the central government has been concerned about the economy getting overleveraged. This time, they are comparatively stingy and Beijing wants to slow down the credit creation process early.\n\nThe stock market in China is not happy about that.\n\nThe stock market is very sensitive to changes in liquidity conditions.If credit growth is slowing down, stocks perform poorly. So it’s not a great time to buy Chinese equities right now. But from a broader economic point of view, I don’t think we’ll see the kind of tightening shock in China like we saw in 2015. So even though it might not be a great time to buy stocks due to liquidity conditions, I think the Chinese economy will do reasonably well, which also means a good environment for commodity prices.\n\nWhat makes you confident that policy makers in China won’t commit a mistake and tighten too much?\n\n They have not created much credit excesses this time, so there is no reason for them to tighten aggressively.\n Geopolitically, the leadership in China has reached the conclusion that America is trying to suffocate the Chinese economy. So they have to maintain growth momentum by letting foreign investment money coming in.\n\nHas there been a change in thinking towards the US in Beijing since Joe Biden assumed the presidency?\n\nI think both sides are too far on the path of great power rivalry already.America represents the incumbent power, and China is the rising power that is challenging the US. I personally believe that\n we in the West don’t get the full picture of Sino-US confrontation. We only get the western side of the story,we never get to see the Chinese perspective through our media.\n\nWhat is the Chinese perspective?\n\nWithin China, there is a strong feeling that the Americans have destroyed the bilateral relationship to cater to purely domestic political needs,starting with Donald Trump. They feel that they are treated unfairly, in a confrontation that is unprovoked. Even when it comes to Hong Kong, we only know Beijing violated the concept of One Country Two Systems by imposing the new security law, but\n how about the social upheavals and civil unrest in the two years leading up to the change of law? No one said anything here. The US accused the Chinese of not playing by the rules, but the Chinese say they have played by the rules that were written by the US. They have joined the WTO and have slowly opened up their system. They signed the Paris Treaty. They have honoured all the international obligations, then Trump came and uprooted the very system that America had built. So the Chinese feel that the Americans suddenly want to change the rules again.\n The consensus in Beijing now is that the US wants to derail China. Once you have a consensus like that, it’s difficult to change.\n\nWill Biden continue on that path?\n\n Biden has inherited Trump’s policies. That’s unfortunate, but there’s not much he can do. Trump’s China policy served his domestic agenda, hitting China in order to score points at home. As a result of that, public opinion of China spiralled down. Biden can’t turn that back. And again,\n the consensus in China is that America wants to keep China down. We must prepare for a long confrontation.\n\nDo you see the risk of that confrontation turning hot?\n\nWashington is playing with the very nerve of the Chinese national interest, which is Taiwan.Since the beginning of bilateral diplomatic relations in the 1970s, one core commitment of the US was the One China Policy, avoiding official contact with the government in Taiwan. But Trump changed that, and Biden continues to follow the Trump script. This is very dangerous. Since 1979, there has been a tacit understanding on both sides that if the US does not encourage separation, the Chinese side will not resort to any military action. Now this tacit agreement has been thrown out of the window. Because Washington has seemingly encouraged official contacts with Taiwan, China feels the need to show their commitment to retake the island to maintain territorial integrity. That’s why we have incursions into Taiwanese air space practically every day. There is a reaction feedback going back and forth.\n I think there is a strong consensus among the Chinese leadership that within the next five years, if the US continues along this path, they might as well just take the risk of invading Taiwan. Then, all bets are off. The risk of some kind of confrontation is the highest in 40 years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372680286,"gmtCreate":1619200334045,"gmtModify":1704721230856,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>a value and growth stock.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>a value and growth stock.&nbsp;","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$a value and growth stock.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18632c4ae3ccfd3bac49b11072ca62e7","width":"720","height":"2218"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/372680286","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370970157,"gmtCreate":1618547305379,"gmtModify":1704712555096,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Indeed. Squeeze by AMD and now NVDA","listText":"Indeed. Squeeze by AMD and now NVDA","text":"Indeed. Squeeze by AMD and now NVDA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/370970157","repostId":"2127865888","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2127865888","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1618543026,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2127865888?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-16 11:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel faces a costly and uncertain road back to glory, analyst warns of 'pain' ahead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2127865888","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'\nRecent","content":"<p>Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'</p>\n<p>Recent enthusiasm for Intel Corp.'s new chief executive and his ambitious plans to transform the company overlooks the risks and costs associated with the chipmaker's strategy, an analyst argued Thursday.</p>\n<p>Chris Caso of Raymond James downgraded Intel's stock to underperform from market perform, writing that Intel <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$(INTC)$</a> faces an expensive and uncertain journey as it tries to recover from a series of missteps and reassert its dominance in the chip landscape.</p>\n<p>Intel shares are up 21% since the company announced that Pat Gelsinger, who had been serving as chief executive of VMware Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMW\">$(VMW)$</a>, would be taking over the top spot at Intel. Gelsinger recently laid out plans for Intel to expand its manufacturing capacity and launch a foundry business that would make chips for other companies, but Caso has concerns about the prospects for and cost of success.</p>\n<p>\"Our underperform rating reflects not just the risk that Intel won't reach that goal, but also the pain they will likely endure in pursuit of that goal in terms of capex, lost market share, and a shifting landscape in datacenter that will make the industry less dependent on Intel,\" he wrote in a note to clients.</p>\n<p>Caso worries that demand for personal computers has been \"significantly pulled forward\" due to the pandemic, which could eventually lead to a reversion to the mean. The problem for Intel is that the mean reversion \"may unfortunately occur just as Intel needs to ramp investment.\"</p>\n<p>Even though Intel could receive some government assistance, Caso expects that the company's plans to open a foundry business will be expensive. \"We therefore believe the fall analyst day could be a negative catalyst, as investors get the bill for that investment,\" he wrote. In addition, he's skeptical that the company has the technology to effectively compete in this business.</p>\n<p>\"For investors who have a higher confidence in a turnaround than we do, we simply don't see a reason to make that bet now since any turnaround would be several years away, with many cyclical and Intel-specific issues that could weigh on estimates in the meantime,\" Caso wrote.</p>\n<p>He's partial to other chip names, including Nvidia Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a>, which he upgraded to strong buy from outperform Thursday in a sign of his \"conviction in both the short and long term.\" Caso also initiated coverage of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$(AMD)$</a> with an outperform rating and $100 price target, arguing that the company has \"a durable technical advantage versus Intel.\"</p>\n<p>AMD shares have lost 7% over the past three months, as Nvidia shares have risen 24% and as Intel shares have increased 14%. The S&amp;P 500 is up 10% in that span, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index has gained 9%.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel faces a costly and uncertain road back to glory, analyst warns of 'pain' ahead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel faces a costly and uncertain road back to glory, analyst warns of 'pain' ahead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-16 11:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/intel-faces-a-costly-and-uncertain-road-back-to-glory-analyst-warns-of-pain-ahead-11618502833?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'\nRecent enthusiasm for Intel Corp.'s new chief executive and his ambitious plans to transform the company ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/intel-faces-a-costly-and-uncertain-road-back-to-glory-analyst-warns-of-pain-ahead-11618502833?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔","NVDA":"英伟达","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/intel-faces-a-costly-and-uncertain-road-back-to-glory-analyst-warns-of-pain-ahead-11618502833?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2127865888","content_text":"Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'\nRecent enthusiasm for Intel Corp.'s new chief executive and his ambitious plans to transform the company overlooks the risks and costs associated with the chipmaker's strategy, an analyst argued Thursday.\nChris Caso of Raymond James downgraded Intel's stock to underperform from market perform, writing that Intel $(INTC)$ faces an expensive and uncertain journey as it tries to recover from a series of missteps and reassert its dominance in the chip landscape.\nIntel shares are up 21% since the company announced that Pat Gelsinger, who had been serving as chief executive of VMware Inc. $(VMW)$, would be taking over the top spot at Intel. Gelsinger recently laid out plans for Intel to expand its manufacturing capacity and launch a foundry business that would make chips for other companies, but Caso has concerns about the prospects for and cost of success.\n\"Our underperform rating reflects not just the risk that Intel won't reach that goal, but also the pain they will likely endure in pursuit of that goal in terms of capex, lost market share, and a shifting landscape in datacenter that will make the industry less dependent on Intel,\" he wrote in a note to clients.\nCaso worries that demand for personal computers has been \"significantly pulled forward\" due to the pandemic, which could eventually lead to a reversion to the mean. The problem for Intel is that the mean reversion \"may unfortunately occur just as Intel needs to ramp investment.\"\nEven though Intel could receive some government assistance, Caso expects that the company's plans to open a foundry business will be expensive. \"We therefore believe the fall analyst day could be a negative catalyst, as investors get the bill for that investment,\" he wrote. In addition, he's skeptical that the company has the technology to effectively compete in this business.\n\"For investors who have a higher confidence in a turnaround than we do, we simply don't see a reason to make that bet now since any turnaround would be several years away, with many cyclical and Intel-specific issues that could weigh on estimates in the meantime,\" Caso wrote.\nHe's partial to other chip names, including Nvidia Corp. $(NVDA)$, which he upgraded to strong buy from outperform Thursday in a sign of his \"conviction in both the short and long term.\" Caso also initiated coverage of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. $(AMD)$ with an outperform rating and $100 price target, arguing that the company has \"a durable technical advantage versus Intel.\"\nAMD shares have lost 7% over the past three months, as Nvidia shares have risen 24% and as Intel shares have increased 14%. The S&P 500 is up 10% in that span, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index has gained 9%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193693905,"gmtCreate":1620782652907,"gmtModify":1704348282965,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>In the near term, more&nbsp;consolidation can be expected if it fails to close above $4.80. Next fibo retracement&nbsp;level is at $4.49.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>In the near term, more&nbsp;consolidation can be expected if it fails to close above $4.80. Next fibo retracement&nbsp;level is at $4.49.&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$In the near term, more consolidation can be expected if it fails to close above $4.80. Next fibo retracement level is at $4.49.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193693905","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377587093,"gmtCreate":1619536204012,"gmtModify":1704725635627,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like TSLA stock price is going for some consolidation for the next 1 - 2 months.&nbsp;","listText":"Looks like TSLA stock price is going for some consolidation for the next 1 - 2 months.&nbsp;","text":"Looks like TSLA stock price is going for some consolidation for the next 1 - 2 months.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/377587093","repostId":"1119653987","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342028685,"gmtCreate":1618132966647,"gmtModify":1704706887393,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dan Ives is a Tesla permabull. Need to take his analysis with a pinch of salt","listText":"Dan Ives is a Tesla permabull. Need to take his analysis with a pinch of salt","text":"Dan Ives is a Tesla permabull. Need to take his analysis with a pinch of salt","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/342028685","repostId":"1121480052","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121480052","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617979030,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121480052?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-09 22:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla China Deliveries Set EV Maker for Strong '21, Wedbush Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121480052","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Tesla is on pace to deliver 850,000 vehicles in 2021, a strong trajectory, according to Wedbush analyst Dan Ives.Tesla's March deliveries in China create a strong trajectory for the electric-vehicle major into the rest of 2021, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives says.The China Passenger Car Association on Friday reported its March numbers, showing that Tesla delivered 35,500 vehicles, about double the February figure.\"The narrative is [clear: Despite] the haters and bears focused on China EV sales softeni","content":"<p>Tesla is on pace to deliver 850,000 vehicles in 2021, a strong trajectory, according to Wedbush analyst Dan Ives.</p><p>Tesla's&nbsp;March deliveries in China create a strong trajectory for&nbsp;the electric-vehicle major into the rest of 2021, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives says.</p><p>The China Passenger Car Association on Friday reported its March numbers, showing that Tesla delivered 35,500 vehicles, about double the February figure.</p><p>\"The narrative is [clear: Despite] the haters and bears focused on China EV sales softening in January, we have seen a storybook comeback from Tesla and domestic EV players NIO,&nbsp;Li Auto,&nbsp;Xpeng&nbsp;and others in this key region,\" Ives said in a Friday note.</p><p>Wedbush maintained its outperform rating and $1,000 price target.</p><p>Shares of the Palo Alto, Calif., company at last check were off 0.9% at $678.</p><p>Wedbush sees a run rate of 300,000 units delivered in China for the year, which would be the linchpin for the company hitting its 850,000-vehicle delivery goal worldwide.</p><p>\"As this green tidal wave hits its next phase globally, ... the Tesla EV demand story is just starting to play out,\" Ives said.</p><p>Additionally, lifting the 200,000 electric vehicle tax-credit ceiling, which was restored to Tesla and General Motors, and a likely $10,000 electric-vehicle tax rebate will be major catalysts for industry growth in the U.S., thanks to the focus on green energy from President Joe Biden's administration.</p><p>Last week, Tesla reported&nbsp;stronger-than-expected&nbsp;vehicle deliveries for the first quarter, paced by its midpriced Model 3 sedan and Chinese demand for its new Model Y SUV.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla China Deliveries Set EV Maker for Strong '21, Wedbush Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla China Deliveries Set EV Maker for Strong '21, Wedbush Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-09 22:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/tesla-march-china-deliveries-strong-outlook-wedbush-says><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is on pace to deliver 850,000 vehicles in 2021, a strong trajectory, according to Wedbush analyst Dan Ives.Tesla's March deliveries in China create a strong trajectory for the electric-vehicle ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/tesla-march-china-deliveries-strong-outlook-wedbush-says\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/tesla-march-china-deliveries-strong-outlook-wedbush-says","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121480052","content_text":"Tesla is on pace to deliver 850,000 vehicles in 2021, a strong trajectory, according to Wedbush analyst Dan Ives.Tesla's March deliveries in China create a strong trajectory for the electric-vehicle major into the rest of 2021, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives says.The China Passenger Car Association on Friday reported its March numbers, showing that Tesla delivered 35,500 vehicles, about double the February figure.\"The narrative is [clear: Despite] the haters and bears focused on China EV sales softening in January, we have seen a storybook comeback from Tesla and domestic EV players NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng and others in this key region,\" Ives said in a Friday note.Wedbush maintained its outperform rating and $1,000 price target.Shares of the Palo Alto, Calif., company at last check were off 0.9% at $678.Wedbush sees a run rate of 300,000 units delivered in China for the year, which would be the linchpin for the company hitting its 850,000-vehicle delivery goal worldwide.\"As this green tidal wave hits its next phase globally, ... the Tesla EV demand story is just starting to play out,\" Ives said.Additionally, lifting the 200,000 electric vehicle tax-credit ceiling, which was restored to Tesla and General Motors, and a likely $10,000 electric-vehicle tax rebate will be major catalysts for industry growth in the U.S., thanks to the focus on green energy from President Joe Biden's administration.Last week, Tesla reported stronger-than-expected vehicle deliveries for the first quarter, paced by its midpriced Model 3 sedan and Chinese demand for its new Model Y SUV.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341035470,"gmtCreate":1617760702290,"gmtModify":1704702749211,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I prefer TSLA simply because of its investment most.","listText":"I prefer TSLA simply because of its investment most.","text":"I prefer TSLA simply because of its investment most.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341035470","repostId":"1127216874","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127216874","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1617759369,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127216874?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-07 09:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Is Gaining the Upper Hand Over Tesla: Bloomberg's Crypto Report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127216874","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Analysts from Bloomberg have found thatTesla Inc's(NASDAQ:TSLA) allocation towards Bitcoin may have ","content":"<p>Analysts from Bloomberg have found that<b>Tesla Inc's</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)&nbsp;allocation towards Bitcoin may have been an inflection point in favor of the leading cryptocurrency.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b>“The rule of money flowing to where it's treated best appears to be an enduring tailwind for Bitcoin. If one of the most significant members of the S&amp;P 500 keeps sinking, we see underpinnings improving for the potential global digital store-of-value,” said Mike McGlone, a senior commodity strategist in Bloomberg’s Crypto Outlookreportfor the month of April.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9d396cec6208cbb3f5f1cabceeb8058\" tg-width=\"676\" tg-height=\"410\">McGlone’s statements referred to a chart depicting the price of Tesla dropping by 25% since its Bitcoin allocation announcement on March 25, while the price of Bitcoin grew 35% during the same period.</p>\n<p>According to Bloomberg, the digital asset’s upward price trajectory has also had positive implications for the<b>Grayscale Bitcoin Trust</b>&nbsp;(OTCMKTS:&nbsp;GBTC) – the largest Bitcoin fund that has uncharacteristically traded at a significant discount to its net asset value&nbsp;for the past month.</p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters: “</b>Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is gaining the upper hand over Tesla,”&nbsp;states the Bloomberg report.</p>\n<p>“Bullish underpinnings for the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) are gaining legs, we believe, as it outpaced Tesla by almost 50% this year.”</p>\n<p>The report finds that declines in GBTC towards its 50-day moving average have been enticing to responsive buyers who can make up for the “extra discount” if&nbsp;GBTC converts to an exchange-traded fund.</p>\n<p>According to a recentstatementfrom Grayscale Investments, the fund is100% committed to converting GBTC into an ETF.</p>\n<p>“The continued outperformance of Bitcoin vs. Tesla is a key narrative that we expect for 2021,”&nbsp;concluded the Bloomberg analysts.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Is Gaining the Upper Hand Over Tesla: Bloomberg's Crypto Report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Is Gaining the Upper Hand Over Tesla: Bloomberg's Crypto Report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-07 09:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Analysts from Bloomberg have found that<b>Tesla Inc's</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)&nbsp;allocation towards Bitcoin may have been an inflection point in favor of the leading cryptocurrency.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b>“The rule of money flowing to where it's treated best appears to be an enduring tailwind for Bitcoin. If one of the most significant members of the S&amp;P 500 keeps sinking, we see underpinnings improving for the potential global digital store-of-value,” said Mike McGlone, a senior commodity strategist in Bloomberg’s Crypto Outlookreportfor the month of April.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9d396cec6208cbb3f5f1cabceeb8058\" tg-width=\"676\" tg-height=\"410\">McGlone’s statements referred to a chart depicting the price of Tesla dropping by 25% since its Bitcoin allocation announcement on March 25, while the price of Bitcoin grew 35% during the same period.</p>\n<p>According to Bloomberg, the digital asset’s upward price trajectory has also had positive implications for the<b>Grayscale Bitcoin Trust</b>&nbsp;(OTCMKTS:&nbsp;GBTC) – the largest Bitcoin fund that has uncharacteristically traded at a significant discount to its net asset value&nbsp;for the past month.</p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters: “</b>Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is gaining the upper hand over Tesla,”&nbsp;states the Bloomberg report.</p>\n<p>“Bullish underpinnings for the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) are gaining legs, we believe, as it outpaced Tesla by almost 50% this year.”</p>\n<p>The report finds that declines in GBTC towards its 50-day moving average have been enticing to responsive buyers who can make up for the “extra discount” if&nbsp;GBTC converts to an exchange-traded fund.</p>\n<p>According to a recentstatementfrom Grayscale Investments, the fund is100% committed to converting GBTC into an ETF.</p>\n<p>“The continued outperformance of Bitcoin vs. Tesla is a key narrative that we expect for 2021,”&nbsp;concluded the Bloomberg analysts.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127216874","content_text":"Analysts from Bloomberg have found thatTesla Inc's(NASDAQ:TSLA) allocation towards Bitcoin may have been an inflection point in favor of the leading cryptocurrency.\nWhat Happened:“The rule of money flowing to where it's treated best appears to be an enduring tailwind for Bitcoin. If one of the most significant members of the S&P 500 keeps sinking, we see underpinnings improving for the potential global digital store-of-value,” said Mike McGlone, a senior commodity strategist in Bloomberg’s Crypto Outlookreportfor the month of April.\nMcGlone’s statements referred to a chart depicting the price of Tesla dropping by 25% since its Bitcoin allocation announcement on March 25, while the price of Bitcoin grew 35% during the same period.\nAccording to Bloomberg, the digital asset’s upward price trajectory has also had positive implications for theGrayscale Bitcoin Trust (OTCMKTS: GBTC) – the largest Bitcoin fund that has uncharacteristically traded at a significant discount to its net asset value for the past month.\nWhy It Matters: “Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is gaining the upper hand over Tesla,” states the Bloomberg report.\n“Bullish underpinnings for the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) are gaining legs, we believe, as it outpaced Tesla by almost 50% this year.”\nThe report finds that declines in GBTC towards its 50-day moving average have been enticing to responsive buyers who can make up for the “extra discount” if GBTC converts to an exchange-traded fund.\nAccording to a recentstatementfrom Grayscale Investments, the fund is100% committed to converting GBTC into an ETF.\n“The continued outperformance of Bitcoin vs. Tesla is a key narrative that we expect for 2021,” concluded the Bloomberg analysts.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374579144,"gmtCreate":1619471750388,"gmtModify":1704724310062,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" 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week?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Will it test $800 or $690 next week?","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Will it test $800 or $690 next week?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9f888a40b19a27d191dfebbeade3da3","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/378290072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349821945,"gmtCreate":1617590251387,"gmtModify":1704700622710,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5GJ.SI\">$AUSGROUP 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I believe the management is looking at ways to unlock shareholder value.&nbsp;","listText":"$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$ this is a potential restructuring and fintech play. I believe the management is looking at ways to unlock shareholder value.&nbsp;","text":"$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$ this is a potential restructuring and fintech play. I believe the management is looking at ways to unlock shareholder value.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/206aa8b78e01cc3a87a3a546a224c8b9","width":"720","height":"1549"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/370309875","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347689542,"gmtCreate":1618493291486,"gmtModify":1704711673209,"author":{"id":"3553398469738690","authorId":"3553398469738690","name":"Sufiknight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e40690d5aba75f7d0bfb1c31e35254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553398469738690","idStr":"3553398469738690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>fly me to the moon...","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>fly me to the moon...","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$fly me to the moon...","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c26527baffddbade94cd26c4a46d1635","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/347689542","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}