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👍","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c07a82d94b3f844673b42fe37ce77c36","width":"1125","height":"2436"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954147679","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9060663623,"gmtCreate":1651139863292,"gmtModify":1676534857553,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow!","listText":"Wow!","text":"Wow!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9060663623","repostId":"1194207651","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194207651","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1651133242,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194207651?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-28 16:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Teladoc Health Shares Plunged 38% in Premarket Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194207651","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Shares of Teladoc Health Inc. plunged 38% in premarket trading Thursday, after the telemedicine comp","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of Teladoc Health Inc. plunged 38% in premarket trading Thursday, after the telemedicine company took an impairment charge of more than $6.5 billion and slashed its full-year outlook.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a04a0638436f9703c5e47b608fb1dcea\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Teladoc executives now expect $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion in revenue for the full year, along with $240 million to $265 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (Ebitda). Their prior forecast called for $2.55 billion to $2.65 billion in revenue and $330 million to $355 million in adjusted Ebitda.</p><p>Teladoc’s new forecast reflects trends that executives are seeing in the market for direct-to-consumer mental-health and chronic-condition services, such as higher advertising costs in the mental-health market that are causing lower-than-anticipated yields on its marketing spending. It also cited an “elongated sales cycle as employers and health plans evaluate their long-term strategies” in the chronic-condition market.</p><p>“Despite the revision to our 2022 outlook, we are confident in our strategy, along with our breadth and depth of capabilities,” Chief Executive Jason Gorevic said in a release.</p><p>Gorevic  shared on Teladoc’s earnings call that about three-quarters of the cut to the revenue outlook was related to the company’s BetterHelp online-counseling product, while the rest reflected new top-line expectations for the chronic-care business.</p><p>For the first quarter, Teladoc generated a net loss of $6.67 billion, or $41.58 a share, whereas it recorded a loss of $200 million, or $1.31 a share, in the year-prior period. Teladoc’s loss in the most recent quarter largely reflected a $6.6 billion impairment charge related to goodwill.</p><p>Teladoc executives did not disclose much about the goodwill impairment charge in Wednesday’s news release, but roughly $12.8 billion of the $14.5 billion in goodwill on Teladoc’s books stemmed from the $18.5 billion acquisition of Livongo in 2020, according to the company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p>“The goodwill impairment was triggered by the sustained decline in Teladoc Health share price with a valuation and size of the impairment charge driven by a combination of recent market-based factors such as an increased discount rate and the decreased market multiples for a relevant peer group of high-growth digital health-care companies, as well as updates to our forecasted cash flows consistent with the revised guidance disclosed today,” Chief Financial Officer Mala Murthy said in the most substantive statement executives gave about the $6.6 billion charge during a conference call Wednesday afternoon.</p><p>The company’s revenue rose to $565.4 million from $453.7 million, while analysts tracked by FactSet had been anticipating $569 million.</p><p>For the second quarter, Teladoc projects adjusted Ebitda of $39 million to $49 million on revenue of $580 million to $600 million, while the FactSet consensus is for $71 million in adjusted Ebitda and $615 million in revenue.</p><p>Teladoc shares had already declined 39% so far this year and more than 70% in the past 12 months, as the S&amp;P 500 index declined 12.4% and 0.3% respectively.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTeladoc Health Shares Plunged 38% in Premarket Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-28 16:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of Teladoc Health Inc. plunged 38% in premarket trading Thursday, after the telemedicine company took an impairment charge of more than $6.5 billion and slashed its full-year outlook.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a04a0638436f9703c5e47b608fb1dcea\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Teladoc executives now expect $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion in revenue for the full year, along with $240 million to $265 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (Ebitda). Their prior forecast called for $2.55 billion to $2.65 billion in revenue and $330 million to $355 million in adjusted Ebitda.</p><p>Teladoc’s new forecast reflects trends that executives are seeing in the market for direct-to-consumer mental-health and chronic-condition services, such as higher advertising costs in the mental-health market that are causing lower-than-anticipated yields on its marketing spending. It also cited an “elongated sales cycle as employers and health plans evaluate their long-term strategies” in the chronic-condition market.</p><p>“Despite the revision to our 2022 outlook, we are confident in our strategy, along with our breadth and depth of capabilities,” Chief Executive Jason Gorevic said in a release.</p><p>Gorevic  shared on Teladoc’s earnings call that about three-quarters of the cut to the revenue outlook was related to the company’s BetterHelp online-counseling product, while the rest reflected new top-line expectations for the chronic-care business.</p><p>For the first quarter, Teladoc generated a net loss of $6.67 billion, or $41.58 a share, whereas it recorded a loss of $200 million, or $1.31 a share, in the year-prior period. Teladoc’s loss in the most recent quarter largely reflected a $6.6 billion impairment charge related to goodwill.</p><p>Teladoc executives did not disclose much about the goodwill impairment charge in Wednesday’s news release, but roughly $12.8 billion of the $14.5 billion in goodwill on Teladoc’s books stemmed from the $18.5 billion acquisition of Livongo in 2020, according to the company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p>“The goodwill impairment was triggered by the sustained decline in Teladoc Health share price with a valuation and size of the impairment charge driven by a combination of recent market-based factors such as an increased discount rate and the decreased market multiples for a relevant peer group of high-growth digital health-care companies, as well as updates to our forecasted cash flows consistent with the revised guidance disclosed today,” Chief Financial Officer Mala Murthy said in the most substantive statement executives gave about the $6.6 billion charge during a conference call Wednesday afternoon.</p><p>The company’s revenue rose to $565.4 million from $453.7 million, while analysts tracked by FactSet had been anticipating $569 million.</p><p>For the second quarter, Teladoc projects adjusted Ebitda of $39 million to $49 million on revenue of $580 million to $600 million, while the FactSet consensus is for $71 million in adjusted Ebitda and $615 million in revenue.</p><p>Teladoc shares had already declined 39% so far this year and more than 70% in the past 12 months, as the S&amp;P 500 index declined 12.4% and 0.3% respectively.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194207651","content_text":"Shares of Teladoc Health Inc. plunged 38% in premarket trading Thursday, after the telemedicine company took an impairment charge of more than $6.5 billion and slashed its full-year outlook.Teladoc executives now expect $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion in revenue for the full year, along with $240 million to $265 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (Ebitda). Their prior forecast called for $2.55 billion to $2.65 billion in revenue and $330 million to $355 million in adjusted Ebitda.Teladoc’s new forecast reflects trends that executives are seeing in the market for direct-to-consumer mental-health and chronic-condition services, such as higher advertising costs in the mental-health market that are causing lower-than-anticipated yields on its marketing spending. It also cited an “elongated sales cycle as employers and health plans evaluate their long-term strategies” in the chronic-condition market.“Despite the revision to our 2022 outlook, we are confident in our strategy, along with our breadth and depth of capabilities,” Chief Executive Jason Gorevic said in a release.Gorevic  shared on Teladoc’s earnings call that about three-quarters of the cut to the revenue outlook was related to the company’s BetterHelp online-counseling product, while the rest reflected new top-line expectations for the chronic-care business.For the first quarter, Teladoc generated a net loss of $6.67 billion, or $41.58 a share, whereas it recorded a loss of $200 million, or $1.31 a share, in the year-prior period. Teladoc’s loss in the most recent quarter largely reflected a $6.6 billion impairment charge related to goodwill.Teladoc executives did not disclose much about the goodwill impairment charge in Wednesday’s news release, but roughly $12.8 billion of the $14.5 billion in goodwill on Teladoc’s books stemmed from the $18.5 billion acquisition of Livongo in 2020, according to the company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.“The goodwill impairment was triggered by the sustained decline in Teladoc Health share price with a valuation and size of the impairment charge driven by a combination of recent market-based factors such as an increased discount rate and the decreased market multiples for a relevant peer group of high-growth digital health-care companies, as well as updates to our forecasted cash flows consistent with the revised guidance disclosed today,” Chief Financial Officer Mala Murthy said in the most substantive statement executives gave about the $6.6 billion charge during a conference call Wednesday afternoon.The company’s revenue rose to $565.4 million from $453.7 million, while analysts tracked by FactSet had been anticipating $569 million.For the second quarter, Teladoc projects adjusted Ebitda of $39 million to $49 million on revenue of $580 million to $600 million, while the FactSet consensus is for $71 million in adjusted Ebitda and $615 million in revenue.Teladoc shares had already declined 39% so far this year and more than 70% in the past 12 months, as the S&P 500 index declined 12.4% and 0.3% respectively.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035447806,"gmtCreate":1647662987371,"gmtModify":1676534257130,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035447806","repostId":"2220777059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220777059","pubTimestamp":1647653153,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2220777059?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-19 09:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220777059","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but B","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Garena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.</li><li>In addition, Shopee&#39;s losses are widening. However, the e-commerce segment is expected to be self-funded by 2025. This is achievable as take rates are trending in the right direction.</li><li>SeaMoney is also gaining traction at an unprecedented pace, a monster lurking in the shadows. Investors should pay attention as this segment could serve as Sea&#39;s second cash cow.</li><li>With a net cash position of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won&#39;t be long before Sea requires another cash infusion.</li><li>Despite unprofitability risks, Sea has a strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats. The stock is trading at the lowest multiple ever - it is worth a nibble at these prices.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51b3290f2015840c5d8f754c01de8a85\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>undefined undefined/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I&#39;ve been following Sea Limited ADR (NYSE:SE) for quite some time now and the stock got me interested again given the recent 75% selloff. Today, I&#39;m doing a deep dive on the three-headed monster (and each of its heads) to see if the company is a good investment opportunity at these levels. Let&#39;s get started!</p><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>Sea is at the forefront of the internet revolution in developing regions. This had many investors buying into the growth story of the company, sending shares soaring high into the sun for the better part of 2020 and 2021. However, the stock has cratered back to sea amid concerns about the company&#39;s slowing growth, especially for its only cash cow, Garena. To make matters worse, Shopee&#39;s losses are also getting worse.</p><p>The Group&#39;s cash burn rate is still high, estimated to be $(3.6) billion in FY2022. With a net cash position of $5.9 billion, future capital raises are very likely.</p><p>On the bright side, Sea still has a long growth runway ahead, solidified by its leadership positions in Southeast Asia and Latin America. SeaMoney, although still unprofitable, could also emerge as Sea&#39;s second cash cow.</p><p>Despite unprofitability and competitive risks, Sea has strong competitive moats and it is trading at the cheapest valuation multiples since its IPO.</p><p>The three-headed monster is a Buy at these levels.</p><p><b>Value Proposition</b></p><p>Founded in Singapore in 2009, Sea has grown to become the leading consumer internet company in the world, with a substantial presence in the Southeast Asian region.</p><blockquote><b>Mission</b>: To better the lives of consumers and small businesses with technology.</blockquote><p>Sea is a holding company for three core businesses: Garena, Shopee, and SeaMoney. Sea&#39;s main value proposition is providing a vertically-integrated experience through its different core businesses.</p><p><b>Garena</b></p><p>Its digital entertainment division, Garena, was Sea&#39;s first business venture. In fact, Sea was originally named Garena Interactive Holding Limited before changing its name to Sea Limited in 2017.</p><p>Garena is one of the largest online games developers and publishers, releasing some of the most successful mobile and PC games over the last decade. For example, Garena&#39;s Free Fire, its self-developed mobile battle royale game, topped the global download charts for the last three years. According to data.ai, Free Fire also ranked second globally by average monthly active users on Google Play in 2021. In Southeast Asia and Latin America, Free Fire was the highest-grossing mobile game for ten consecutive quarters, and in the US for four consecutive quarters. Based on Sensor <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">Tower</a>&#39;s findings, Free Fire still holds the most downloads globally as of January 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa392753c19f14d60ee0d992e58c3d2f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p>Garena also exclusively licenses and publishes games from global partners and third-party developers. Some of these partners include Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY), Activision (ATVI), and Arumgames. Games like Speed Drifters, Arena of Valor, and Fantasy Town fall into this category as they are co-developed with partners or licensed from partners.</p><p>In addition, Garena organizes some of the largest e-sports events from local tournaments to professional competitions at a global level. Moreover, Garena offers other entertainment content such as live-streaming, user chat, and online forums.</p><p><b>Shopee</b></p><p>Perhaps the most exciting business segment is Sea&#39;s mobile-centric e-commerce platform, Shopee. Launched in 2015, Shopee is now one of the fastest-growing e-commerce marketplaces with a strong presence in Southeast Asia, as well as growing recognition in Latin America and some European countries.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6649de846b2942b928a3f3e5d4035003\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Shopee</span></p><p>Through the Shopee platform, buyers can purchase items from sellers which are primarily small and medium businesses (or mom-and-pop stores). At the same time, larger, more established retailers like Xiaomi (OTCPK:XIACF), Microsoft (MSFT), or Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) can leverage Shopee&#39;s two premium shopping platforms, Shopee Mall and Shopee Premium.</p><p>Along with Shopee&#39;s e-commerce marketplace, Shopee also offers adjacent products and services for both buyers and sellers:</p><ul><li><b>Service by Shopee</b> - Value-added services for sellers such as integrated payment, logistics, fulfillment, seller support, inventory management, and online store operations.</li><li><b>BuyerProtection</b> - Consumer protection policies and procedures including seller verification, product listing screening, and dispute resolution. In addition, Shopee Guarantee reduces settlement risks by holding customers&#39; funds in a separate account until delivery is complete, where funds will be released to buyers.</li><li><b>Integrated Logistics Services</b>- Shopee partners with various local and regional third-party logistics service providers to provide a seamless last-mile delivery experience for both buyers and sellers. Shopee also has its own delivery service called Shopee Xpress.</li><li><b>Social Features</b> - Shopee also offers other social and gamification features, including Shopee Coins (virtual currency), Shopee Live (livestream), Shopee Games (in-app games), and Shopee Feed (similar to Instagram).</li><li><b>On-demand Services</b>- Shopee also recently launched on-demand services such as ShopeeFood, instant delivery, and groceries, competing directly with Grab (GRAB), Gojek, and Uber (UBER).</li></ul><p>Shopee&#39;s scale is unmatched and it is still growing at an unprecedented pace. According to data.ai, Shopee in Southeast Asia and Taiwan ranked first in average monthly active users and total time spent in the app in 2021. Shopee Indonesia, arguably Shopee&#39;s most important market, ranked first in the Shopping category. Shopee Brazil, which launched in October 2019, was also ranked first in the Shopping category. And globally, Shopee ranked first in the Shopping category, and is the #13 most downloaded app regardless of category, logging in 200+ million downloads in 2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f9c550b140720336e00cc78e954d184\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p><b>SeaMoney</b></p><p>SeaMoney was launched in 2014 and is now one of the leading digital financial services providers in Sea&#39;s operating countries. SeaMoney offers mobile wallet services, payment processing, credit, and other digital financial services. These services are offered under SeaMoney&#39;s various brands including AirPay, ShopeePay, SPayLater, and other local brands depending on the country. SeaMoney was initially launched in Vietnam and Thailand but has since expanded to other regions.</p><p>Through SeaMoney&#39;s mobile wallet offerings, consumers and merchants have added flexibility in terms of payment options, whether through online or offline means. The launch of SPayLater, which is basically a &#34;buy now pay later&#34; payment option, enables consumers to purchase items without accessing credit. For those who are interested, I&#39;ve written a deep dive on Affirm (AFRM) where I discuss the main value propositions that BNPL provides.</p><p>SeaMoney has obtained bank licenses and government approvals to provide financial services in various countries. For example, Sea acquired Bank Kesejahteraan Ekonomi in Indonesia back in early 2021 as a push towards offering a digital banking solution. The company is now rebranded to SeaBank, which currently offers a high-yield savings account and virtual account.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c85c862195f86fe9d4f0f8c8beced6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SeaBank Website</span></p><p>SeaMoney&#39;s main value proposition lies in offering a mobile wallet and payment solutions that are integrated with Sea&#39;s other businesses, namely Garena and Shopee, enabling consumers and merchants to transact seamlessly in one vertically-integrated platform.</p><p><b>Market Opportunity</b></p><p>Sea&#39;s market opportunity is predicated around the industry outlook of each of its business segments: mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech. Let&#39;s take a look at each industry that Sea operates in.</p><p>First, we have the mobile gaming industry. According to data.ai, Mobile Game Consumer Spend grew from $74 billion in 2018 to $116 billion in 2021, while Mobile Game Downloads grew from 63 billion in 2018 to 83 billion in 2021. Among the Top Genres by Downloads were Hypercasual games such as Hair Challenge and Water Sort Puzzle. However, the Top Genres by Consumer Spend belong to the Strategy, RPG, and Shooting categories where Garena specializes in. For example, Free Fire was the top Shooting game by revenue in Thailand, Brazil, Mexico, and the US, in 2021. Globally, however, it is still behind PUBG Mobile, which generates the bulk of its revenue from China.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f72bda6df6bc2b7bdf8756d218f53185\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p>According to Adjust, the mobile gaming industry is expected to reach $272 billion by 2030, which is about 1.5x of 2021&#39;s total figure. Given Garena&#39;s successes in monetizing its games, Garena should continue to enjoy gaming tailwinds in the foreseeable future, provided that its games remain in trend. This is also supported by Unity&#39;s findings that the APAC region is the fastest-growing regional market, a market that Garena dominates in.</p><p>Moving on to e-commerce, we all know that e-commerce is growing rapidly and that its market share as a whole will continue to trend up from here. This is especially true for the Southeast Asian region where internet and smartphone adoption continues to increase by the day. Based on the e-Conomy SEA report, Southeast Asia now has 440 million internet users, up from 360 million in 2019. Its total population is about 589 million.</p><p>Internet Gross Merchandise Value, or GMV, for the region was $170 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach $360 billion by 2025 with e-commerce leading the charge. The shift to e-commerce is not only happening on the consumer side but also on the merchant side. Digital marketing tools, analytical tools, and digital payment solutions have accelerated business for merchants. Shopee&#39;s vertically-integrated platform also makes it easy for merchants in these developing countries to set up shop, distribute goods, and accept payments in a single platform.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fcb903aed7c0ec901fc83c4f25f18b8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021</span></p><p>Furthermore, Sea has recently expanded its e-commerce operations to other regions such as Latin America and Europe, which further expands its market opportunity.</p><p>Lastly, we have the fintech industry pertaining to SeaMoney. In my <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> (PYPL) deep dive, I discussed the growth of mobile wallets as a payment method in both online and offline transactions. The shift to a cashless and cardless society is inevitable and that is also true for Sea&#39;s markets.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47ec896a6208b6023ae89f654704bbc7\" tg-width=\"1261\" tg-height=\"706\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Ark Invest Big Ideas 2022</span></p><p>As you can see below, mobile wallets continue to gain traction in Southeast Asia. In addition, 92% of digital merchants intend to maintain usage or increase usage of digital payments in the next 1 to 2 years. ShopeePay and SeaMoney&#39;s other brands will benefit from this trend. Also of important note, SeaMoney&#39;s expansion to buy now pay later with SPayLater will be a key GMV and revenue driver for the segment. These are the reasons why some investors are so bullish on SeaMoney and why SeaMoney is a monster lurking in the shadows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0eb814b800c3121e3fb8cd0913f239d5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021</span></p><p>As you can see, Sea is at the forefront of three megatrends which should propel the business forward from here. Also, combining the different verticals in the same platform would present a significant synergistic opportunity as Sea establishes itself as a SuperApp in the making.</p><p><b>Revenue Model</b></p><p>As mentioned previously, Sea operates three main business segments.</p><p><b>Digital Entertainment</b></p><p>Garena operates a freemium model whereby users can download and play games for free. The company generates revenue by selling in-game virtual items such as clothing, weaponry, or equipment.</p><p>Investors should take note of how revenue is recognized for this segment. According to Sea&#39;s 10-K:</p><blockquote>Proceeds from these sales are initially recognized as “Advances from customers” and subsequently reclassified to “Deferred revenue” when the users make in-game purchases of the virtual currencies or virtual items within the games operated by the Company and the in-game purchases are no longer refundable.</blockquote><p>Garena also licenses games from other game developers. Revenue is generated based on revenue-sharing/royalty agreements with these developers. Revenue is recognized over the performance obligation period.</p><blockquote>Such delivery obligation period is determined in accordance with the estimated average lifespan of the virtual goods sold or estimated average lifespan of the paying users of the said games or similar games.</blockquote><p><b>E-commerce</b></p><p>Shopee generates revenue through a marketplace model. Sellers on the platform pay Shopee based on paid advertisement services, transaction-based fees, logistics services, and other value-added services.</p><p>Shopee also generates revenue from goods sold directly by Shopee, which the company purchases in bulk from manufacturers or third-party suppliers.</p><p><b>Digital Financial Services</b></p><p>SeaMoney revenue consists of:</p><ul><li>Interest and fees from loans granted to commercial customers</li><li>Interest and fees from Sea&#39;s consumer credit business such as SPayLater</li><li>Commissions charged to merchants when a customer pays using SeaMoney&#39;s mobile wallet</li></ul><p><b>Income Statement</b></p><p>Let&#39;s analyze each of the business segments and then look at the entire Group as a whole.</p><p><b>Digital Entertainment</b></p><p>Garena Revenue saw a 104% increase YoY in Q4. For the full year, Garena Revenue was up 114% YoY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/998dfbcf3f3dba11b8f8722710c36ba4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The rapid increase in Revenue was primarily due to recognition of accumulated deferred revenue from previous quarters. Bookings—which is essentially GAAP Revenue plus the change in digital entertainment deferred revenue —actually dropped for the first time QoQ and it is now lower than Revenue. This means that gamers are spending less on in-virtual items which will lead to lower Revenue recognized in subsequent quarters. As you can see, Bookings is in a massive deceleration.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06de5e6066b66cd5596a445cd912c98\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The drop in Bookings was due to fewer gamers in the platform as the economy reopens and people spend more time outdoors, at school, or in the office. Quarterly Active Users, or QAUs, grew only 7% in Q4 to 652 million, compared to Q3&#39;s QAUs of 729 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5bdd570a9eb859a9fef8569c9fad10a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>As a result, Quarterly Paying Users, or QPUs, decelerated as well, which led to lower Bookings. Q4 QPUs was 77 million compared to Q3&#39;s 93 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/092c4a2f47b9336f2753b4548707b39f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The markets reacted negatively to this slowdown in Garena growth as the gaming business acts as the lifeline for Sea&#39;s two other segments. As you can see, Garena is a high-margin business, producing Adjusted EBITDA of $2.7 billion in FY2021. Operating Margin is very high at 61% in Q4. AEBITDA margin, on the other hand, is trending downwards as QoQ adds in Bookings wither.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f28c9f35ee55afb5c7d170a80d26ebf2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>As such, the slowdown in growth for Garena is scaring investors away as it may not provide sufficient cash flow to fund the continued growth of Shopee and SeaMoney.</p><p><b>E-Commerce</b></p><p>Shopee GMV continues its upward march as e-commerce continues to gain traction in Shopee&#39;s existing and newer markets. However, we&#39;re also seeing a deceleration in growth due to tough YoY comps. GMV in FY2021 was $62.5 billion, an increase of 77%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f657f7cacc9e00bc57df0e913fdb9ae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>GMV growth was also due to an increase in Orders in the Shopee platform, which totaled 6.1 billion in FY2021, an increase of 117%. Average Order Value, or AOV, however, is trending downwards. This may be perceived negatively as processing more lower-AOV orders meant higher logistical expenses and thus lower margins per order.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fbc7f044de03ec379f262a5bfcdf331\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The increase in GMV translated to higher Shopee Revenue, which grew faster than GMV. Shopee Revenue grew 136% to $5.1 billion in FY2021, as compared to GMV growth of 77%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27710dc2140a6d139900819f51bd688a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The faster growth in Revenue was due to Shopee&#39;s increasing take rate, which displays Shopee&#39;s ability to monetize its marketplace platform. This is one of the only few positive developments coming out of the most recent earnings update.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4267bc5d33a2153e8624f73ed71540\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Despite the improving Revenue and take rate, Shopee is still suffering huge losses and it is mounting with each subsequent quarter, primarily due to the company expanding into new markets. FY2021 Shopee AEBITDA was $(2.6) billion at a -50% margin. Recall that Garena AEBITDA was $2.7 billion.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d27cef61bc9a9058233f7eccc5eaa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>AEBITDA per Order has been improving, although it flat-lined in the last few quarters. Again, this is due to the company aggressively expanding into new markets. For example, in Q4, Shopee Brazil recorded 140+ million gross orders with a $70+ million Revenue, up 400% and 326%, respectively. However, AEBITDA per Order in Brazil is still negative at $(2) per Order, despite being a 40% improvement from last year. As such, it is still a far cry from the overall AEBITDA per Order of $(0.45).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c0d6aa930a81ea4fc153b7134dbf9d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>On the bright side, in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, Q4 AEBITDA per Order before &#34;allocation of the headquarters’ common expenses&#34; was $(0.15), an improvement from last year&#39;s $(0.21). This shows that there is certainly hope for Shopee to be AEBITDA positive soon, which management has pointed out during the Q4 earnings call:</p><blockquote>We currently expect Shopee to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA before HQ cost allocation in Southeast Asia and Taiwan by this year. We also expect SeaMoney to achieve positive cash flow by next year. As a result, we currently expect that by 2025 cash generated by Shopee and SeaMoney proactively will enable these two businesses to substantially self-fund their own long-term growth.</blockquote><p><b>Digital Financial Services</b></p><p>SeaMoney&#39;s Mobile Wallet Total Payment Volume grew 120% YoY to $17.2 billion in FY2021 due to the increasing adoption of mobile wallets in the region.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa5ef6efa513d9040963fda42b4b9f2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The growth in TPV was largely driven by the growth in QAUs. As shown below, the total ending QAUs in Q4 grew 90% YoY to 45.8 million users.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9397aec066366f40ec92c24187347a44\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The real exciting part is that Revenue grew much faster than TPV and QAUs. SeaMoney Revenue is growing at a blistering pace, locking in high triple-digit growth rates over the last few years. FY2021 SeaMoney Revenue was $470 million, which is an increase of 673% from the previous year. This is due to take rates increasing from less than 1% in FY2020 to almost 4% by the end of the latest quarter.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcaf6046cf3c27e00b233a8428eb2d75\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Furthermore, in Indonesia, over 20% of the QAUs have used more than one SeaMoney product or service, which includes credit services, digital banking, and insurance. As SeaMoney introduces more offerings, revenue should accelerate meaningfully as average revenue per user increases when people use additional products.</p><p>As SeaMoney continues to gain scale, the segment will enjoy better unit economics. As shown below, while SeaMoney&#39;s AEBITDA is still in deeply negative territories, AEBITDA Margins has continued to trend towards profitability. Management also expects SeaMoney to be cash flow positive by next year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51f0d5a1800fef748694417e8cb8fc9f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>This is the segment that investors should pay special attention to, given that it has the potential to be Sea&#39;s second cash cow. For example, PayPal has Operating Margins of 20%+, which could be SeaMoney&#39;s long-term margin profile.</p><p><b>Group</b></p><p>With that said, let&#39;s take a look at how the business is doing as a whole.</p><p>FY2021 Revenue was $10.0 billion, an increase of 128% YoY. Due to the law of large numbers and tough YoY comps, Revenue growth should decelerate from here.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38de60bd773f3ef7afc4b2e28aa1c08f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Here, we can see how Revenue is distributed across the different segments.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a86e59478db8a3a4fdc85897f24410e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>What&#39;s encouraging is that Gross Profit Margins continue to trend upwards as the company gains economies of scale, even accounting for Shopee&#39;s aggressive expansion into new markets. FY2021 Gross Profit was $3.9 billion, up 189% YoY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd978ba4047cc6e20ac6086ba8420a8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Operating Expenses, however, remain elevated as management forgoes short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. FY2021 Total Operating Expenses were $5.5 billion. Below shows the different components of Operating Expenses as a percentage of Revenue.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbdbde2c2ae744f36f8168ed32f94d62\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Most of the Operating Expenses were used for Sales &amp; Marketing purposes. Unsurprisingly, Shopee had the highest S&amp;M burn rate. Discounts, cashback, celebrity promotions... they&#39;re everywhere.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5253f186120da17c4cd901e5c442bd1e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>As a result, Operating Profit Margins is still negative, although it is trending in the right direction.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a27b7833551107397c44acefc5ad2475\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>AEBITDA, on the other hand, is plunging. This is due to Garena&#39;s falling Bookings and Shoppe&#39;s widening losses. AEBITDA for FY2021 was $(594) million, compared to FY2020 positive AEBITDA of $107 million. This is probably the most concerning figure for investors as such a high cash burn rate is unsustainable, which may also lead to additional capital raises that are dilutive to shareholders.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d89fb95f74e23e85f8932870c0190bee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The guidance did not help either. Garena Bookings is expected to fall to just $3 billion, which is $1.3 billion lower than FY2021&#39;s number. Management blamed the reopening of the economy as well as the ban of Free Fire in India for the expected drop in Bookings. Assuming a modest 50% AEBITDA margin, Garena would bring in just $1.5 billion of AEBITDA for Sea in FY2022.</p><p>On the other side, the other two segments are expected to continue with their immense pace of growth — Shopee and SeaMoney are expected to grow by 76% and 155%, respectively. If we assume a (50)% AEBITDA margin for both segments, Shopee and SeaMoney is expected to burn a total of about $(5.1) billion of AEBITDA. Adding Garena&#39;s estimated AEBITDA of $1.5 billion, Sea, as a Group, is expected to burn $(3.6) billion in FY2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae5e9399a838e5f841dcccaffbe673d8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor Presentation</span></p><p>Because Garena is such an important piece of Shopee&#39;s and SeaMoney&#39;s growth story, a deceleration in Garena&#39;s business had investors reacting so negatively to Sea&#39;s latest earnings release, as now, the gaming business is incapable of covering the massive losses incurred by the other two business segments.</p><p><b>Balance Sheet</b></p><p>Sea&#39;s balance sheet position as of year-end FY2021 is at about $10.2 billion of Cash and Short Term Investments. While this may show that Sea has a substantial cushion against its short-term cash burn rate, its net cash position paints a different picture.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc30ee494abc2eda3b75434b96e4a66b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor Presentation</span></p><p>Adjusting for Sea&#39;s debt, Sea ended the year with a net cash position of around $5.9 billion. A substantial amount of its total debt comes from its recent issuance of 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. The notes were issued when the stock was trading at $318 per share back in September and the initial conversion price is set at $477 per share. So, yes... conversion in the next 2 to 3 years is very unlikely.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d3d0030e6518cc4198245f624cc75e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>With net cash of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won&#39;t be long before Sea requires another cash infusion. Therefore, if the high cash burn rate persists for the next 2 to 3 years, investors face a major risk of increasing financial leverage and/or dilution in the form of equity raises.</p><p><b>Cash Flow Statement</b></p><p>Here is what cash flow looks like over the last few quarters. Notice how Operating Cash Flow turned negative in the last quarter. Most of the cash also comes from Financing activities.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0aba061277a1410bb9f3dc176ea0115\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"263\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Unlike other high-flying growth companies, Sea&#39;s Share-Based Compensation expenses are relatively low.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81fa229682c8880d6edd35535ef6a747\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p><b>Competitive Moats</b></p><p>Based on my research and analysis, I identified three key competitive moats for Sea: brand, network effects, and barriers to entry. I used to think that Sea has cost advantages but as Garena becomes a smaller part of the overall business, and as losses continue to worsen, I have reason to believe that Sea no longer holds that moat.</p><p><b>Brand</b></p><p>As discussed in previous sections, Garena&#39;s games, particularly Free Fire, have consistently ranked as the most downloaded mobile game in the world. Additionally, the Shopee app has gained cross-border stardom and is now regarded as the most downloaded or fastest-trending shopping App in the countries it operates in. Lastly, SeaMoney is also gaining traction with banking licenses granted in various countries that should increase brand value and trust.</p><p><b>Network Effects</b></p><p>The sheer amount of app downloads leads to powerful network effects. Garena has 652 million QAUs, which is about 8% of the world&#39;s population. Shopee recorded 200+ million app downloads in FY2021 alone. SeaMoney QAUs topped 45.8 million in Q4 and it is still in the early stages of adoption.</p><p>With all these users in the Sea platform, cross-selling new products or services should be easier as Sea continues to scale. One such example is Shopee Brazil and Free Fire where each platform is encouraging consumers to use the other. As Sea continues to innovate and offer better experiences for its customers, the ecosystem gets bigger and tighter, leading to powerful network effects.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c641ac08707cc868b9e6004e2deaf950\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"600\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Shopee Brazil</span></p><p><b>Barriers To Entry</b></p><p>I believe each of Sea&#39;s core businesses is operating in a winner-takes-most environment with high barriers to entry.</p><p>The mobile gaming environment requires the most talented developers to launch blockbuster games. Garena&#39;s Free Fire is certainly a blockbuster game and time in Free Fire&#39;s game means time away from other mobile games.</p><p>Just like how Amazon (AMZN) dominates in the US, the e-commerce landscape in Southeast Asia and Latin America is dominated by a few players, such as Shopee, Tokopedia, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> (MELI). The scale and unit economics that these players have achieved makes it unsustainable for new entrants to compete with them.</p><p>Banking and fintech is also a highly-regulated environment. Furthermore, consumers prefer to have just one mobile wallet, such as ShopeePay, as opposed to owning several different fintech applications.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Based on my sum-of-the-parts and comparable company valuation analysis, Sea looks to be slightly undervalued with 19% upside potential. Of course, comparables are not perfect but based on this, we can gauge where Sea stands among peers.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2400cd917e5f6ce8c47ef74a8062093\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>On the flip side, Sea looks extremely cheap on a historical basis. In terms of EV/Sales, Sea is trading at the lowest valuation since its IPO, trading at just 4.2x forward sales.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bed1fd805a89523bbb8fa982bee40079\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p><p>In terms of EV/Gross Profit, Sea is trading even cheaper than its March 2020 lows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf589a808c84131e9c36aa7b65a5129\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p><p>The valuation compression is warranted given that the company flew too close to the sun and now it is cratering back to the sea — not just for Sea, but almost all growth stocks took a beating. Growth is also slowing down and the macroeconomic environment looks gloomier than ever. However, this is not the end of the world; I think the markets are overreacting. Diversion from the mean goes both ways — perhaps, current prices present a good margin of safety for long-term investors.</p><p><b>Catalysts</b></p><ul><li><b>Successful International Expansion</b> — Shopee has been successful in replicating its playbook from Southeast Asia to Brazil. Recently, Shopee launched operations in India, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Poland, and Spain. If Shopee can take substantial market share in these new regions, Shopee&#39;s growth could turn exponential.</li><li><b>The Metaverse</b> — Sea&#39;s withering gaming division needs to be revitalized. New games and features could definitely provide the boost that it needs. For example, the metaverse is an exciting opportunity and Garena could introduce this concept to its 600+ million QAUs. Sea AI Lab (SAIL) and Sea Capital are two ventures that could accelerate the company into emerging industries, including the metaverse.</li></ul><blockquote>We will continue to encourage user-generated content by enhancing greater features and accessibility. We believe that a strong user reception to Craftland is a positive indicator of the initial success to encourage user participation in content creation and to build Free Fire into an increasingly open platform and is well aligned with major emerging industry trends such as metaverse.</blockquote><ul><li><b>Regional SuperApp</b> — Although this concept has yet to be discussed by management, launching a regional SuperApp could enhance user engagement to new levels. For example, imagine Shopee users being able to play games, shop, order food delivery, pay for services, transfer money, invest, all under one app. Imagine users being able to convert their deposited funds in ShopeePay, into ShopeeCoins, and use it to perform cross-border transactions.</li><li><b>Continued Growth In SeaMoney</b> — SeaMoney is still in its early stages and continued adoption of Sea&#39;s digital financial services offerings will be a strong addition to Sea&#39;s bull thesis. SPayLater has real potential to disrupt the consumer credit industry. SeaBank and ShopeePay have the opportunity to capture digital wallet, digital banking, and cashless society trends.</li><li><b>Free Fire India Ban Lift</b>— Garena&#39;s weak guidance factored in the headwinds coming from the ban in India. If the ban is lifted, the stock may react positively as much of Sea&#39;s cash burn problems may be eliminated.</li></ul><p><b>Risks</b></p><ul><li><b>The Pressure to Launch Blockbuster Games</b>— There will come a time when Free Fire will be dethroned as the most-played and most-downloaded game. That is just how the gaming business works. This puts a substantial risk on the cash flow generation potential of Garena. Launching blockbuster games is never easy and it requires many trials and errors along the way. For me, I would like to see Garena shift to a gaming franchise model where the company launches an updated version of an existing game every year or two, which presents a more stable and recurring revenue stream for the company. An example would be FIFA or Call of Duty.</li><li><b>Shopee India Ban</b> — With Free Fire banned in India, there&#39;s also the potential for Shoppe to be banned as well.</li><li><b>Failure to Gain Traction in International Markets</b>— Shopee pulled out of France in early March, an indication that Shoppe&#39;s business model is not replicable in other countries, especially in more developed regions. Shopee Poland and Spain may be next on the exit list as they hold a close resemblance to France.</li><li><b>Geopolitical Risks</b>— Tencent, a Chinese company, has an 18.7% equity stake in Sea. Sanctions, bans, and other restrictions on Chinese companies, given the current geopolitical environment, could spell trouble for Sea. Tencent may have to cut exposure on Sea or even dissolve its developing-publishing partnership with Garena.</li><li><b>Local Competition</b>— Local champions operating in their respective markets cannot be ignored. These include GoTo in Indonesia, MercadoLibre in Latin America, and Flipkart in India.</li></ul><p>In addition, there&#39;s a certain level of pride for consumers to see their native-born companies succeed. I&#39;m Indonesian, and it makes me really happy to see GoTo grow and grow.</p><p>GoTo, the holding company of both Indonesian tech darlings Gojek and Tokopedia, recently announced its plan to IPO in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Here&#39;s a glance of GoTo&#39;s stats for the 12-months ended 30 September 2021:</p><ul><li>Valuation: $26.2 billion to $28.8 billion</li><li>GMV: $28.8 billion</li><li>Revenue: $1 billion</li><li>Gross Orders: 2 billion</li><li>Annual Transacting Users: 55 million</li><li>Driver Partners: 2.5 million</li><li>Merchants: 14 million</li></ul><p>The point is that there are big-time local players operating in Sea&#39;s markets that investors should never ignore. Here&#39;s a little snippet from my previous Shopee article:</p><blockquote>But with the GoTo merger, Indonesia could potentially extinguish the orange flame that charred its forest for many years. Now, GoTo could finally reclaim a good chunk of its territory that was lost to waves of competition, especially from Shopee. GoTo could finally gain more ground as the roots grew even stronger with the merger, fertilized with the synergies of value propositions, logistics, payments, and banking solutions.</blockquote><blockquote>Meanwhile, Sea Limited&#39;s stock continues to soar, ignoring the titan of an elephant in the room. And because of GoTo&#39;s integration, Shopee&#39;s vertically-integrated business model doesn&#39;t look like a strong competitive advantage anymore.</blockquote><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Each of Sea&#39;s core businesses is in hypergrowth mode, propelled by megatrends in the mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech industry. Management understands these opportunities and therefore, is sacrificing short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. Despite being a larger business, Sea still has a massive growth runway ahead.</p><p>That is not to say that unprofitability and competition risks can and should be ignored. The biggest concern for investors is the company&#39;s unsustainable cash burn rate, which will likely lead to further capital raises in the near future.</p><p>Nonetheless, the long-term growth thesis for the three-headed monster remains intact. Strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats should support the business going forward. In addition, shares of Sea are trading at the lowest valuation multiples ever, which presents a good margin of safety for an entry at these prices.</p><p>Thank you for reading my Sea Limited deep dive. If you enjoyed the article, please let me know in the comment section down below. If you have any suggestions or feedback, don&#39;t hesitate to share your thoughts as well.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-19 09:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.In addition, Shopee's losses are widening. However, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2220777059","content_text":"SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.In addition, Shopee's losses are widening. However, the e-commerce segment is expected to be self-funded by 2025. This is achievable as take rates are trending in the right direction.SeaMoney is also gaining traction at an unprecedented pace, a monster lurking in the shadows. Investors should pay attention as this segment could serve as Sea's second cash cow.With a net cash position of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won't be long before Sea requires another cash infusion.Despite unprofitability risks, Sea has a strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats. The stock is trading at the lowest multiple ever - it is worth a nibble at these prices.undefined undefined/iStock via Getty ImagesI've been following Sea Limited ADR (NYSE:SE) for quite some time now and the stock got me interested again given the recent 75% selloff. Today, I'm doing a deep dive on the three-headed monster (and each of its heads) to see if the company is a good investment opportunity at these levels. Let's get started!Investment ThesisSea is at the forefront of the internet revolution in developing regions. This had many investors buying into the growth story of the company, sending shares soaring high into the sun for the better part of 2020 and 2021. However, the stock has cratered back to sea amid concerns about the company's slowing growth, especially for its only cash cow, Garena. To make matters worse, Shopee's losses are also getting worse.The Group's cash burn rate is still high, estimated to be $(3.6) billion in FY2022. With a net cash position of $5.9 billion, future capital raises are very likely.On the bright side, Sea still has a long growth runway ahead, solidified by its leadership positions in Southeast Asia and Latin America. SeaMoney, although still unprofitable, could also emerge as Sea's second cash cow.Despite unprofitability and competitive risks, Sea has strong competitive moats and it is trading at the cheapest valuation multiples since its IPO.The three-headed monster is a Buy at these levels.Value PropositionFounded in Singapore in 2009, Sea has grown to become the leading consumer internet company in the world, with a substantial presence in the Southeast Asian region.Mission: To better the lives of consumers and small businesses with technology.Sea is a holding company for three core businesses: Garena, Shopee, and SeaMoney. Sea's main value proposition is providing a vertically-integrated experience through its different core businesses.GarenaIts digital entertainment division, Garena, was Sea's first business venture. In fact, Sea was originally named Garena Interactive Holding Limited before changing its name to Sea Limited in 2017.Garena is one of the largest online games developers and publishers, releasing some of the most successful mobile and PC games over the last decade. For example, Garena's Free Fire, its self-developed mobile battle royale game, topped the global download charts for the last three years. According to data.ai, Free Fire also ranked second globally by average monthly active users on Google Play in 2021. In Southeast Asia and Latin America, Free Fire was the highest-grossing mobile game for ten consecutive quarters, and in the US for four consecutive quarters. Based on Sensor Tower's findings, Free Fire still holds the most downloads globally as of January 2022.Source: SensorTowerGarena also exclusively licenses and publishes games from global partners and third-party developers. Some of these partners include Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY), Activision (ATVI), and Arumgames. Games like Speed Drifters, Arena of Valor, and Fantasy Town fall into this category as they are co-developed with partners or licensed from partners.In addition, Garena organizes some of the largest e-sports events from local tournaments to professional competitions at a global level. Moreover, Garena offers other entertainment content such as live-streaming, user chat, and online forums.ShopeePerhaps the most exciting business segment is Sea's mobile-centric e-commerce platform, Shopee. Launched in 2015, Shopee is now one of the fastest-growing e-commerce marketplaces with a strong presence in Southeast Asia, as well as growing recognition in Latin America and some European countries.Source: ShopeeThrough the Shopee platform, buyers can purchase items from sellers which are primarily small and medium businesses (or mom-and-pop stores). At the same time, larger, more established retailers like Xiaomi (OTCPK:XIACF), Microsoft (MSFT), or Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) can leverage Shopee's two premium shopping platforms, Shopee Mall and Shopee Premium.Along with Shopee's e-commerce marketplace, Shopee also offers adjacent products and services for both buyers and sellers:Service by Shopee - Value-added services for sellers such as integrated payment, logistics, fulfillment, seller support, inventory management, and online store operations.BuyerProtection - Consumer protection policies and procedures including seller verification, product listing screening, and dispute resolution. In addition, Shopee Guarantee reduces settlement risks by holding customers' funds in a separate account until delivery is complete, where funds will be released to buyers.Integrated Logistics Services- Shopee partners with various local and regional third-party logistics service providers to provide a seamless last-mile delivery experience for both buyers and sellers. Shopee also has its own delivery service called Shopee Xpress.Social Features - Shopee also offers other social and gamification features, including Shopee Coins (virtual currency), Shopee Live (livestream), Shopee Games (in-app games), and Shopee Feed (similar to Instagram).On-demand Services- Shopee also recently launched on-demand services such as ShopeeFood, instant delivery, and groceries, competing directly with Grab (GRAB), Gojek, and Uber (UBER).Shopee's scale is unmatched and it is still growing at an unprecedented pace. According to data.ai, Shopee in Southeast Asia and Taiwan ranked first in average monthly active users and total time spent in the app in 2021. Shopee Indonesia, arguably Shopee's most important market, ranked first in the Shopping category. Shopee Brazil, which launched in October 2019, was also ranked first in the Shopping category. And globally, Shopee ranked first in the Shopping category, and is the #13 most downloaded app regardless of category, logging in 200+ million downloads in 2021.Source: SensorTowerSeaMoneySeaMoney was launched in 2014 and is now one of the leading digital financial services providers in Sea's operating countries. SeaMoney offers mobile wallet services, payment processing, credit, and other digital financial services. These services are offered under SeaMoney's various brands including AirPay, ShopeePay, SPayLater, and other local brands depending on the country. SeaMoney was initially launched in Vietnam and Thailand but has since expanded to other regions.Through SeaMoney's mobile wallet offerings, consumers and merchants have added flexibility in terms of payment options, whether through online or offline means. The launch of SPayLater, which is basically a \"buy now pay later\" payment option, enables consumers to purchase items without accessing credit. For those who are interested, I've written a deep dive on Affirm (AFRM) where I discuss the main value propositions that BNPL provides.SeaMoney has obtained bank licenses and government approvals to provide financial services in various countries. For example, Sea acquired Bank Kesejahteraan Ekonomi in Indonesia back in early 2021 as a push towards offering a digital banking solution. The company is now rebranded to SeaBank, which currently offers a high-yield savings account and virtual account.Source: SeaBank WebsiteSeaMoney's main value proposition lies in offering a mobile wallet and payment solutions that are integrated with Sea's other businesses, namely Garena and Shopee, enabling consumers and merchants to transact seamlessly in one vertically-integrated platform.Market OpportunitySea's market opportunity is predicated around the industry outlook of each of its business segments: mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech. Let's take a look at each industry that Sea operates in.First, we have the mobile gaming industry. According to data.ai, Mobile Game Consumer Spend grew from $74 billion in 2018 to $116 billion in 2021, while Mobile Game Downloads grew from 63 billion in 2018 to 83 billion in 2021. Among the Top Genres by Downloads were Hypercasual games such as Hair Challenge and Water Sort Puzzle. However, the Top Genres by Consumer Spend belong to the Strategy, RPG, and Shooting categories where Garena specializes in. For example, Free Fire was the top Shooting game by revenue in Thailand, Brazil, Mexico, and the US, in 2021. Globally, however, it is still behind PUBG Mobile, which generates the bulk of its revenue from China.Source: SensorTowerAccording to Adjust, the mobile gaming industry is expected to reach $272 billion by 2030, which is about 1.5x of 2021's total figure. Given Garena's successes in monetizing its games, Garena should continue to enjoy gaming tailwinds in the foreseeable future, provided that its games remain in trend. This is also supported by Unity's findings that the APAC region is the fastest-growing regional market, a market that Garena dominates in.Moving on to e-commerce, we all know that e-commerce is growing rapidly and that its market share as a whole will continue to trend up from here. This is especially true for the Southeast Asian region where internet and smartphone adoption continues to increase by the day. Based on the e-Conomy SEA report, Southeast Asia now has 440 million internet users, up from 360 million in 2019. Its total population is about 589 million.Internet Gross Merchandise Value, or GMV, for the region was $170 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach $360 billion by 2025 with e-commerce leading the charge. The shift to e-commerce is not only happening on the consumer side but also on the merchant side. Digital marketing tools, analytical tools, and digital payment solutions have accelerated business for merchants. Shopee's vertically-integrated platform also makes it easy for merchants in these developing countries to set up shop, distribute goods, and accept payments in a single platform.Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021Furthermore, Sea has recently expanded its e-commerce operations to other regions such as Latin America and Europe, which further expands its market opportunity.Lastly, we have the fintech industry pertaining to SeaMoney. In my PayPal (PYPL) deep dive, I discussed the growth of mobile wallets as a payment method in both online and offline transactions. The shift to a cashless and cardless society is inevitable and that is also true for Sea's markets.Source: Ark Invest Big Ideas 2022As you can see below, mobile wallets continue to gain traction in Southeast Asia. In addition, 92% of digital merchants intend to maintain usage or increase usage of digital payments in the next 1 to 2 years. ShopeePay and SeaMoney's other brands will benefit from this trend. Also of important note, SeaMoney's expansion to buy now pay later with SPayLater will be a key GMV and revenue driver for the segment. These are the reasons why some investors are so bullish on SeaMoney and why SeaMoney is a monster lurking in the shadows.Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021As you can see, Sea is at the forefront of three megatrends which should propel the business forward from here. Also, combining the different verticals in the same platform would present a significant synergistic opportunity as Sea establishes itself as a SuperApp in the making.Revenue ModelAs mentioned previously, Sea operates three main business segments.Digital EntertainmentGarena operates a freemium model whereby users can download and play games for free. The company generates revenue by selling in-game virtual items such as clothing, weaponry, or equipment.Investors should take note of how revenue is recognized for this segment. According to Sea's 10-K:Proceeds from these sales are initially recognized as “Advances from customers” and subsequently reclassified to “Deferred revenue” when the users make in-game purchases of the virtual currencies or virtual items within the games operated by the Company and the in-game purchases are no longer refundable.Garena also licenses games from other game developers. Revenue is generated based on revenue-sharing/royalty agreements with these developers. Revenue is recognized over the performance obligation period.Such delivery obligation period is determined in accordance with the estimated average lifespan of the virtual goods sold or estimated average lifespan of the paying users of the said games or similar games.E-commerceShopee generates revenue through a marketplace model. Sellers on the platform pay Shopee based on paid advertisement services, transaction-based fees, logistics services, and other value-added services.Shopee also generates revenue from goods sold directly by Shopee, which the company purchases in bulk from manufacturers or third-party suppliers.Digital Financial ServicesSeaMoney revenue consists of:Interest and fees from loans granted to commercial customersInterest and fees from Sea's consumer credit business such as SPayLaterCommissions charged to merchants when a customer pays using SeaMoney's mobile walletIncome StatementLet's analyze each of the business segments and then look at the entire Group as a whole.Digital EntertainmentGarena Revenue saw a 104% increase YoY in Q4. For the full year, Garena Revenue was up 114% YoY.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe rapid increase in Revenue was primarily due to recognition of accumulated deferred revenue from previous quarters. Bookings—which is essentially GAAP Revenue plus the change in digital entertainment deferred revenue —actually dropped for the first time QoQ and it is now lower than Revenue. This means that gamers are spending less on in-virtual items which will lead to lower Revenue recognized in subsequent quarters. As you can see, Bookings is in a massive deceleration.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe drop in Bookings was due to fewer gamers in the platform as the economy reopens and people spend more time outdoors, at school, or in the office. Quarterly Active Users, or QAUs, grew only 7% in Q4 to 652 million, compared to Q3's QAUs of 729 million.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs a result, Quarterly Paying Users, or QPUs, decelerated as well, which led to lower Bookings. Q4 QPUs was 77 million compared to Q3's 93 million.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe markets reacted negatively to this slowdown in Garena growth as the gaming business acts as the lifeline for Sea's two other segments. As you can see, Garena is a high-margin business, producing Adjusted EBITDA of $2.7 billion in FY2021. Operating Margin is very high at 61% in Q4. AEBITDA margin, on the other hand, is trending downwards as QoQ adds in Bookings wither.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs such, the slowdown in growth for Garena is scaring investors away as it may not provide sufficient cash flow to fund the continued growth of Shopee and SeaMoney.E-CommerceShopee GMV continues its upward march as e-commerce continues to gain traction in Shopee's existing and newer markets. However, we're also seeing a deceleration in growth due to tough YoY comps. GMV in FY2021 was $62.5 billion, an increase of 77%.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisGMV growth was also due to an increase in Orders in the Shopee platform, which totaled 6.1 billion in FY2021, an increase of 117%. Average Order Value, or AOV, however, is trending downwards. This may be perceived negatively as processing more lower-AOV orders meant higher logistical expenses and thus lower margins per order.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe increase in GMV translated to higher Shopee Revenue, which grew faster than GMV. Shopee Revenue grew 136% to $5.1 billion in FY2021, as compared to GMV growth of 77%.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe faster growth in Revenue was due to Shopee's increasing take rate, which displays Shopee's ability to monetize its marketplace platform. This is one of the only few positive developments coming out of the most recent earnings update.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisDespite the improving Revenue and take rate, Shopee is still suffering huge losses and it is mounting with each subsequent quarter, primarily due to the company expanding into new markets. FY2021 Shopee AEBITDA was $(2.6) billion at a -50% margin. Recall that Garena AEBITDA was $2.7 billion.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAEBITDA per Order has been improving, although it flat-lined in the last few quarters. Again, this is due to the company aggressively expanding into new markets. For example, in Q4, Shopee Brazil recorded 140+ million gross orders with a $70+ million Revenue, up 400% and 326%, respectively. However, AEBITDA per Order in Brazil is still negative at $(2) per Order, despite being a 40% improvement from last year. As such, it is still a far cry from the overall AEBITDA per Order of $(0.45).Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisOn the bright side, in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, Q4 AEBITDA per Order before \"allocation of the headquarters’ common expenses\" was $(0.15), an improvement from last year's $(0.21). This shows that there is certainly hope for Shopee to be AEBITDA positive soon, which management has pointed out during the Q4 earnings call:We currently expect Shopee to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA before HQ cost allocation in Southeast Asia and Taiwan by this year. We also expect SeaMoney to achieve positive cash flow by next year. As a result, we currently expect that by 2025 cash generated by Shopee and SeaMoney proactively will enable these two businesses to substantially self-fund their own long-term growth.Digital Financial ServicesSeaMoney's Mobile Wallet Total Payment Volume grew 120% YoY to $17.2 billion in FY2021 due to the increasing adoption of mobile wallets in the region.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe growth in TPV was largely driven by the growth in QAUs. As shown below, the total ending QAUs in Q4 grew 90% YoY to 45.8 million users.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe real exciting part is that Revenue grew much faster than TPV and QAUs. SeaMoney Revenue is growing at a blistering pace, locking in high triple-digit growth rates over the last few years. FY2021 SeaMoney Revenue was $470 million, which is an increase of 673% from the previous year. This is due to take rates increasing from less than 1% in FY2020 to almost 4% by the end of the latest quarter.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisFurthermore, in Indonesia, over 20% of the QAUs have used more than one SeaMoney product or service, which includes credit services, digital banking, and insurance. As SeaMoney introduces more offerings, revenue should accelerate meaningfully as average revenue per user increases when people use additional products.As SeaMoney continues to gain scale, the segment will enjoy better unit economics. As shown below, while SeaMoney's AEBITDA is still in deeply negative territories, AEBITDA Margins has continued to trend towards profitability. Management also expects SeaMoney to be cash flow positive by next year.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThis is the segment that investors should pay special attention to, given that it has the potential to be Sea's second cash cow. For example, PayPal has Operating Margins of 20%+, which could be SeaMoney's long-term margin profile.GroupWith that said, let's take a look at how the business is doing as a whole.FY2021 Revenue was $10.0 billion, an increase of 128% YoY. Due to the law of large numbers and tough YoY comps, Revenue growth should decelerate from here.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisHere, we can see how Revenue is distributed across the different segments.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisWhat's encouraging is that Gross Profit Margins continue to trend upwards as the company gains economies of scale, even accounting for Shopee's aggressive expansion into new markets. FY2021 Gross Profit was $3.9 billion, up 189% YoY.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisOperating Expenses, however, remain elevated as management forgoes short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. FY2021 Total Operating Expenses were $5.5 billion. Below shows the different components of Operating Expenses as a percentage of Revenue.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisMost of the Operating Expenses were used for Sales & Marketing purposes. Unsurprisingly, Shopee had the highest S&M burn rate. Discounts, cashback, celebrity promotions... they're everywhere.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs a result, Operating Profit Margins is still negative, although it is trending in the right direction.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAEBITDA, on the other hand, is plunging. This is due to Garena's falling Bookings and Shoppe's widening losses. AEBITDA for FY2021 was $(594) million, compared to FY2020 positive AEBITDA of $107 million. This is probably the most concerning figure for investors as such a high cash burn rate is unsustainable, which may also lead to additional capital raises that are dilutive to shareholders.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe guidance did not help either. Garena Bookings is expected to fall to just $3 billion, which is $1.3 billion lower than FY2021's number. Management blamed the reopening of the economy as well as the ban of Free Fire in India for the expected drop in Bookings. Assuming a modest 50% AEBITDA margin, Garena would bring in just $1.5 billion of AEBITDA for Sea in FY2022.On the other side, the other two segments are expected to continue with their immense pace of growth — Shopee and SeaMoney are expected to grow by 76% and 155%, respectively. If we assume a (50)% AEBITDA margin for both segments, Shopee and SeaMoney is expected to burn a total of about $(5.1) billion of AEBITDA. Adding Garena's estimated AEBITDA of $1.5 billion, Sea, as a Group, is expected to burn $(3.6) billion in FY2021.Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor PresentationBecause Garena is such an important piece of Shopee's and SeaMoney's growth story, a deceleration in Garena's business had investors reacting so negatively to Sea's latest earnings release, as now, the gaming business is incapable of covering the massive losses incurred by the other two business segments.Balance SheetSea's balance sheet position as of year-end FY2021 is at about $10.2 billion of Cash and Short Term Investments. While this may show that Sea has a substantial cushion against its short-term cash burn rate, its net cash position paints a different picture.Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor PresentationAdjusting for Sea's debt, Sea ended the year with a net cash position of around $5.9 billion. A substantial amount of its total debt comes from its recent issuance of 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. The notes were issued when the stock was trading at $318 per share back in September and the initial conversion price is set at $477 per share. So, yes... conversion in the next 2 to 3 years is very unlikely.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisWith net cash of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won't be long before Sea requires another cash infusion. Therefore, if the high cash burn rate persists for the next 2 to 3 years, investors face a major risk of increasing financial leverage and/or dilution in the form of equity raises.Cash Flow StatementHere is what cash flow looks like over the last few quarters. Notice how Operating Cash Flow turned negative in the last quarter. Most of the cash also comes from Financing activities.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisUnlike other high-flying growth companies, Sea's Share-Based Compensation expenses are relatively low.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisCompetitive MoatsBased on my research and analysis, I identified three key competitive moats for Sea: brand, network effects, and barriers to entry. I used to think that Sea has cost advantages but as Garena becomes a smaller part of the overall business, and as losses continue to worsen, I have reason to believe that Sea no longer holds that moat.BrandAs discussed in previous sections, Garena's games, particularly Free Fire, have consistently ranked as the most downloaded mobile game in the world. Additionally, the Shopee app has gained cross-border stardom and is now regarded as the most downloaded or fastest-trending shopping App in the countries it operates in. Lastly, SeaMoney is also gaining traction with banking licenses granted in various countries that should increase brand value and trust.Network EffectsThe sheer amount of app downloads leads to powerful network effects. Garena has 652 million QAUs, which is about 8% of the world's population. Shopee recorded 200+ million app downloads in FY2021 alone. SeaMoney QAUs topped 45.8 million in Q4 and it is still in the early stages of adoption.With all these users in the Sea platform, cross-selling new products or services should be easier as Sea continues to scale. One such example is Shopee Brazil and Free Fire where each platform is encouraging consumers to use the other. As Sea continues to innovate and offer better experiences for its customers, the ecosystem gets bigger and tighter, leading to powerful network effects.Source: Shopee BrazilBarriers To EntryI believe each of Sea's core businesses is operating in a winner-takes-most environment with high barriers to entry.The mobile gaming environment requires the most talented developers to launch blockbuster games. Garena's Free Fire is certainly a blockbuster game and time in Free Fire's game means time away from other mobile games.Just like how Amazon (AMZN) dominates in the US, the e-commerce landscape in Southeast Asia and Latin America is dominated by a few players, such as Shopee, Tokopedia, and MercadoLibre (MELI). The scale and unit economics that these players have achieved makes it unsustainable for new entrants to compete with them.Banking and fintech is also a highly-regulated environment. Furthermore, consumers prefer to have just one mobile wallet, such as ShopeePay, as opposed to owning several different fintech applications.ValuationBased on my sum-of-the-parts and comparable company valuation analysis, Sea looks to be slightly undervalued with 19% upside potential. Of course, comparables are not perfect but based on this, we can gauge where Sea stands among peers.Source: Author's AnalysisOn the flip side, Sea looks extremely cheap on a historical basis. In terms of EV/Sales, Sea is trading at the lowest valuation since its IPO, trading at just 4.2x forward sales.Source: KoyfinIn terms of EV/Gross Profit, Sea is trading even cheaper than its March 2020 lows.Source: KoyfinThe valuation compression is warranted given that the company flew too close to the sun and now it is cratering back to the sea — not just for Sea, but almost all growth stocks took a beating. Growth is also slowing down and the macroeconomic environment looks gloomier than ever. However, this is not the end of the world; I think the markets are overreacting. Diversion from the mean goes both ways — perhaps, current prices present a good margin of safety for long-term investors.CatalystsSuccessful International Expansion — Shopee has been successful in replicating its playbook from Southeast Asia to Brazil. Recently, Shopee launched operations in India, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Poland, and Spain. If Shopee can take substantial market share in these new regions, Shopee's growth could turn exponential.The Metaverse — Sea's withering gaming division needs to be revitalized. New games and features could definitely provide the boost that it needs. For example, the metaverse is an exciting opportunity and Garena could introduce this concept to its 600+ million QAUs. Sea AI Lab (SAIL) and Sea Capital are two ventures that could accelerate the company into emerging industries, including the metaverse.We will continue to encourage user-generated content by enhancing greater features and accessibility. We believe that a strong user reception to Craftland is a positive indicator of the initial success to encourage user participation in content creation and to build Free Fire into an increasingly open platform and is well aligned with major emerging industry trends such as metaverse.Regional SuperApp — Although this concept has yet to be discussed by management, launching a regional SuperApp could enhance user engagement to new levels. For example, imagine Shopee users being able to play games, shop, order food delivery, pay for services, transfer money, invest, all under one app. Imagine users being able to convert their deposited funds in ShopeePay, into ShopeeCoins, and use it to perform cross-border transactions.Continued Growth In SeaMoney — SeaMoney is still in its early stages and continued adoption of Sea's digital financial services offerings will be a strong addition to Sea's bull thesis. SPayLater has real potential to disrupt the consumer credit industry. SeaBank and ShopeePay have the opportunity to capture digital wallet, digital banking, and cashless society trends.Free Fire India Ban Lift— Garena's weak guidance factored in the headwinds coming from the ban in India. If the ban is lifted, the stock may react positively as much of Sea's cash burn problems may be eliminated.RisksThe Pressure to Launch Blockbuster Games— There will come a time when Free Fire will be dethroned as the most-played and most-downloaded game. That is just how the gaming business works. This puts a substantial risk on the cash flow generation potential of Garena. Launching blockbuster games is never easy and it requires many trials and errors along the way. For me, I would like to see Garena shift to a gaming franchise model where the company launches an updated version of an existing game every year or two, which presents a more stable and recurring revenue stream for the company. An example would be FIFA or Call of Duty.Shopee India Ban — With Free Fire banned in India, there's also the potential for Shoppe to be banned as well.Failure to Gain Traction in International Markets— Shopee pulled out of France in early March, an indication that Shoppe's business model is not replicable in other countries, especially in more developed regions. Shopee Poland and Spain may be next on the exit list as they hold a close resemblance to France.Geopolitical Risks— Tencent, a Chinese company, has an 18.7% equity stake in Sea. Sanctions, bans, and other restrictions on Chinese companies, given the current geopolitical environment, could spell trouble for Sea. Tencent may have to cut exposure on Sea or even dissolve its developing-publishing partnership with Garena.Local Competition— Local champions operating in their respective markets cannot be ignored. These include GoTo in Indonesia, MercadoLibre in Latin America, and Flipkart in India.In addition, there's a certain level of pride for consumers to see their native-born companies succeed. I'm Indonesian, and it makes me really happy to see GoTo grow and grow.GoTo, the holding company of both Indonesian tech darlings Gojek and Tokopedia, recently announced its plan to IPO in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Here's a glance of GoTo's stats for the 12-months ended 30 September 2021:Valuation: $26.2 billion to $28.8 billionGMV: $28.8 billionRevenue: $1 billionGross Orders: 2 billionAnnual Transacting Users: 55 millionDriver Partners: 2.5 millionMerchants: 14 millionThe point is that there are big-time local players operating in Sea's markets that investors should never ignore. Here's a little snippet from my previous Shopee article:But with the GoTo merger, Indonesia could potentially extinguish the orange flame that charred its forest for many years. Now, GoTo could finally reclaim a good chunk of its territory that was lost to waves of competition, especially from Shopee. GoTo could finally gain more ground as the roots grew even stronger with the merger, fertilized with the synergies of value propositions, logistics, payments, and banking solutions.Meanwhile, Sea Limited's stock continues to soar, ignoring the titan of an elephant in the room. And because of GoTo's integration, Shopee's vertically-integrated business model doesn't look like a strong competitive advantage anymore.ConclusionEach of Sea's core businesses is in hypergrowth mode, propelled by megatrends in the mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech industry. Management understands these opportunities and therefore, is sacrificing short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. Despite being a larger business, Sea still has a massive growth runway ahead.That is not to say that unprofitability and competition risks can and should be ignored. The biggest concern for investors is the company's unsustainable cash burn rate, which will likely lead to further capital raises in the near future.Nonetheless, the long-term growth thesis for the three-headed monster remains intact. Strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats should support the business going forward. In addition, shares of Sea are trading at the lowest valuation multiples ever, which presents a good margin of safety for an entry at these prices.Thank you for reading my Sea Limited deep dive. If you enjoyed the article, please let me know in the comment section down below. If you have any suggestions or feedback, don't hesitate to share your thoughts as well.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035447128,"gmtCreate":1647662941632,"gmtModify":1676534257122,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035447128","repostId":"2220742835","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220742835","pubTimestamp":1647590148,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2220742835?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-18 15:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Shares Have Been Hammered This Year. Should You Buy the Dip?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220742835","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Nio (NYSE:NIO) has seen its stock slide 53% since January, despite having five EV models on the mark","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nio (NYSE:NIO) has seen its stock slide 53% since January, despite having five EV models on the market and a new Hong Kong listing to help stoke investment. Should investors buy the dip?</p><p>Founded in 2014, NIO has focused on manufacturing premium EVs for the Chinese market. The company currently offers five EV models and plans to begin delivery of its new premium smart electric sedan, the ET7, this month.</p><p>Based in China, the company held its initial public offering on the NYSE in 2018, raising around $1B.</p><h2><b>EV stocks have been hammered</b></h2><p>Shares of NIO have tumbled 53% since the beginning of January. This is part of a larger slide in broader EV space. Shares of industry player Rivian (RIVN) have plunged 64%, while Lucid (LCID) shares have tumbled 42%, Fisker (FSR) 33% and Tesla (TSLA) 24%.</p><p>Other Chinese EV makers suffered severe selling as well. Li (LI) shares have sunk 39% this year, while XPeng (XPEV) has dropped 58%. The sector has been pulled down in part by ongoing concerns that some Chinese companies might be forced to delist from US market due to increased regulatory scrutiny.</p><p>In comparison, the S&amp;P 500 Index has slid 11% since the beginning of the year.</p><p>Nio’s stock also wasn’t helped by its recent delivery report. On March 1, NIO reported that February deliveries rose 10% year-over-year to 6,131 vehicles, but were down 36% month-over-month.</p><h2><b>Is NIO a Buy?</b></h2><p>Wall Street analysts, on average, rate NIO as a Buy. Of the 25 analysts tracked by Seeking Alpha, 12 rated the stock a Strong Buy, 9 a Buy, 4 a Hold and none a sell. SA authors, on average, also rate the stock a Buy.</p><p>On the flip side, SA’s Quant Ratings see the stock as a Sell. While NIO earned a B- for growth and a C+ for revisions, it also received a D for profitability, a D- for momentum, and an F for valuation.</p><p>However, the landscape might be changing for Chinese stocks. Investors received some good news earlier this week when Beijing said it was supportive of domestic companies listing abroad, thereby allaying fears that companies like NIO might be forced to delist down the road.</p><p>NIO analysts have taken a largely favorable view of the company’s decision to conduct a secondary listing on the Hong Kong exchange. NIO listed the shares through a process called “way of introduction,” whereby shares are offered by existing shareholders and involve no additional financing or the issuing of new shares. The shares began trading on March 10 and are fully fungible with ADSs listed on the NYSE.</p><p>“We expect the Hong Kong listing to provide NIO with an extra financing channel that could be considered in terms of hedging geopolitical risks,” wrote BofA Securities analysts in a note dated Feb. 28. “We maintain our neutral rating as NIO’s model launch pipeline seems to be well expected by the market.”</p><p>Bernstein analysts also viewed the listing as a positive development.</p><p>“We see NIO’s listing in HK as a relief to the delisting risk concerning ADRs on American Exchanges,” wrote the analysts, who have a Market Perform rating on the stock with a price target of $40. “The downside of a secondary listing is that the company is restricted from raising fresh capital or issuing new shares in the next six months.”</p><p>However, Bernstein analysts also expressed concern about NIO facing increased competition in the EV market.</p><p>“We are impressed by NIO’s user-centric offerings and battery swapping technology, but we have reservations regarding the potential sales volume it can generate with competition intensifying in the premium segment,” wrote the analysts. “We are also worried that NIO will not be able to maintain its differentiation on customer experience as it moves down the price ladder.”</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Shares Have Been Hammered This Year. Should You Buy the Dip?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Shares Have Been Hammered This Year. Should You Buy the Dip?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-18 15:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3814639-nios-shares-have-been-hammered-this-year-should-you-buy-the-dip><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nio (NYSE:NIO) has seen its stock slide 53% since January, despite having five EV models on the market and a new Hong Kong listing to help stoke investment. Should investors buy the dip?Founded in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3814639-nios-shares-have-been-hammered-this-year-should-you-buy-the-dip\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4526":"热门中概股","NIO":"蔚来","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4555":"新能源车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3814639-nios-shares-have-been-hammered-this-year-should-you-buy-the-dip","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2220742835","content_text":"Nio (NYSE:NIO) has seen its stock slide 53% since January, despite having five EV models on the market and a new Hong Kong listing to help stoke investment. Should investors buy the dip?Founded in 2014, NIO has focused on manufacturing premium EVs for the Chinese market. The company currently offers five EV models and plans to begin delivery of its new premium smart electric sedan, the ET7, this month.Based in China, the company held its initial public offering on the NYSE in 2018, raising around $1B.EV stocks have been hammeredShares of NIO have tumbled 53% since the beginning of January. This is part of a larger slide in broader EV space. Shares of industry player Rivian (RIVN) have plunged 64%, while Lucid (LCID) shares have tumbled 42%, Fisker (FSR) 33% and Tesla (TSLA) 24%.Other Chinese EV makers suffered severe selling as well. Li (LI) shares have sunk 39% this year, while XPeng (XPEV) has dropped 58%. The sector has been pulled down in part by ongoing concerns that some Chinese companies might be forced to delist from US market due to increased regulatory scrutiny.In comparison, the S&P 500 Index has slid 11% since the beginning of the year.Nio’s stock also wasn’t helped by its recent delivery report. On March 1, NIO reported that February deliveries rose 10% year-over-year to 6,131 vehicles, but were down 36% month-over-month.Is NIO a Buy?Wall Street analysts, on average, rate NIO as a Buy. Of the 25 analysts tracked by Seeking Alpha, 12 rated the stock a Strong Buy, 9 a Buy, 4 a Hold and none a sell. SA authors, on average, also rate the stock a Buy.On the flip side, SA’s Quant Ratings see the stock as a Sell. While NIO earned a B- for growth and a C+ for revisions, it also received a D for profitability, a D- for momentum, and an F for valuation.However, the landscape might be changing for Chinese stocks. Investors received some good news earlier this week when Beijing said it was supportive of domestic companies listing abroad, thereby allaying fears that companies like NIO might be forced to delist down the road.NIO analysts have taken a largely favorable view of the company’s decision to conduct a secondary listing on the Hong Kong exchange. NIO listed the shares through a process called “way of introduction,” whereby shares are offered by existing shareholders and involve no additional financing or the issuing of new shares. The shares began trading on March 10 and are fully fungible with ADSs listed on the NYSE.“We expect the Hong Kong listing to provide NIO with an extra financing channel that could be considered in terms of hedging geopolitical risks,” wrote BofA Securities analysts in a note dated Feb. 28. “We maintain our neutral rating as NIO’s model launch pipeline seems to be well expected by the market.”Bernstein analysts also viewed the listing as a positive development.“We see NIO’s listing in HK as a relief to the delisting risk concerning ADRs on American Exchanges,” wrote the analysts, who have a Market Perform rating on the stock with a price target of $40. “The downside of a secondary listing is that the company is restricted from raising fresh capital or issuing new shares in the next six months.”However, Bernstein analysts also expressed concern about NIO facing increased competition in the EV market.“We are impressed by NIO’s user-centric offerings and battery swapping technology, but we have reservations regarding the potential sales volume it can generate with competition intensifying in the premium segment,” wrote the analysts. “We are also worried that NIO will not be able to maintain its differentiation on customer experience as it moves down the price ladder.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9031094063,"gmtCreate":1646377048583,"gmtModify":1676534123901,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OAJ.SI\">$FORTRESS MINERALS LIMITED(OAJ.SI)$</a>👍","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OAJ.SI\">$FORTRESS MINERALS LIMITED(OAJ.SI)$</a>👍","text":"$FORTRESS MINERALS LIMITED(OAJ.SI)$👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9031094063","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9091843946,"gmtCreate":1643845465238,"gmtModify":1676533861947,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Expected","listText":"Expected","text":"Expected","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9091843946","repostId":"2208364753","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2208364753","pubTimestamp":1643843665,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2208364753?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-03 07:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Spotify Stock Sinks on Weaker-Than-Expected First Quarter Subscriber Numbers","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2208364753","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) -Spotify on Wednesday forecast current quarter subscribers lower than Wall Street expectat","content":"<html><head></head><body><p> (Reuters) -Spotify on Wednesday forecast current quarter subscribers lower than Wall Street expectations, sending its shares down 10% in late trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cc454947fac98397c118046933b9b2c\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"635\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The outlook overshadowed fourth-quarter revenue, which came in higher than analysts&#39; estimates, as the music streaming company sold more advertisements and newer services such as podcasts, while recording a healthy 16% increase in paid subscribers for its premium service.</p><p>Total monthly active users rose 18% to a record 406 million.</p><p>The company, however, forecast current-quarter paid subscribers of 183 million, below expectations of 184 million. Revenue is expected to meet estimates of 2.60 billion euros.</p><p>Spotify said it would no longer offer annual guidance on subscribers.</p><p>&#34;While we have not given full year guidance anymore on subscribers ... we don&#39;t expect a material difference in the net additions for either users or subscribers in 2022 relative to 2021,&#34; Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel told Reuters.</p><p>&#34;So if you look at &#39;21 as a sort of proxy for kind of net additions that 2022 will be good, not materially different.&#34;</p><p>The subscription music streaming service has invested over a $1 billion in the podcasting business, led by marquee exclusive shows such as The Joe Rogan <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXP.AU\">Experience</a>.</p><p>But the allure of the podcast star also drew condemnation after his show aired controversial views around COVID-19, drawing protests from artists Neil Young and Joni Mitchell.</p><p>Rogan, a popular internet commentator, has since apologized and Spotify said it would start adding content advisories to episodes discussing COVID.</p><p>Chief Executive Officer Daniel Ek said the company already has a &#34;sizable&#34; content moderation team in place. &#34;We have taken action on more than 20,000 podcasts since the start of the pandemic,&#34; Ek told Reuters. &#34;So that tells you something about the scale of this operation. It&#39;s truly a global operation.&#34;</p><p>Spotify said podcast&#39;s share of overall consumption hours on its platform reached an all-time high and it expanded its paid podcast subscriptions in 33 more markets and enabled podcasts for users in Russia, Egypt and Saudi Arabia.</p><p>Premium subscribers, which account for most of the company&#39;s revenue, rose to 180 million, beating analysts&#39; expectations of 179.9 million.</p><p>Quarterly revenue rose to 2.69 billion euros ($3.04 billion) for the quarter from 2.17 billion a year earlier, and above the 2.65 billion euros expected by analysts, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p>Revenue from users who hear advertisements rose 40% to 394 million euros or 15% of total revenue.</p><p>&#34;Investors largely ignored Spotify&#39;s advertising business during Spotify&#39;s first few years as a public company, with subscriber growth dominating the narrative,&#34; LightShed Partners analyst Richard Greenfield said in a note.</p><p>&#34;As Spotify moved from a music platform to an audio platform (podcasting, live audio, audiobooks), it has unlocked the potential for a robust advertising business that is now too large for investors to ignore.&#34;</p><p>Spotify ventured into podcasts in 2018 with a series of acquisitions to compete with Apple Inc. Since then it has launched a paid subscription platform for podcasters in the U.S., opened it up for advertising, and became the largest podcaster dethroning Apple.</p><p>Unlike the music business, which is largely commoditized and low margin as it pays out a part of the revenue to the rights holders, podcasts engage listeners for hours on end, creating valuable advertising inventory that has underpinned the optimism by Wall Street over its long term future.</p><p>($1 = 0.8843 euros)</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Spotify Stock Sinks on Weaker-Than-Expected First Quarter Subscriber Numbers</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSpotify Stock Sinks on Weaker-Than-Expected First Quarter Subscriber Numbers\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-03 07:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/spotifys-podcast-bet-lures-users-210247073.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Reuters) -Spotify on Wednesday forecast current quarter subscribers lower than Wall Street expectations, sending its shares down 10% in late trading.The outlook overshadowed fourth-quarter revenue, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/spotifys-podcast-bet-lures-users-210247073.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","SPOT":"Spotify Technology S.A."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/spotifys-podcast-bet-lures-users-210247073.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2208364753","content_text":"(Reuters) -Spotify on Wednesday forecast current quarter subscribers lower than Wall Street expectations, sending its shares down 10% in late trading.The outlook overshadowed fourth-quarter revenue, which came in higher than analysts' estimates, as the music streaming company sold more advertisements and newer services such as podcasts, while recording a healthy 16% increase in paid subscribers for its premium service.Total monthly active users rose 18% to a record 406 million.The company, however, forecast current-quarter paid subscribers of 183 million, below expectations of 184 million. Revenue is expected to meet estimates of 2.60 billion euros.Spotify said it would no longer offer annual guidance on subscribers.\"While we have not given full year guidance anymore on subscribers ... we don't expect a material difference in the net additions for either users or subscribers in 2022 relative to 2021,\" Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel told Reuters.\"So if you look at '21 as a sort of proxy for kind of net additions that 2022 will be good, not materially different.\"The subscription music streaming service has invested over a $1 billion in the podcasting business, led by marquee exclusive shows such as The Joe Rogan Experience.But the allure of the podcast star also drew condemnation after his show aired controversial views around COVID-19, drawing protests from artists Neil Young and Joni Mitchell.Rogan, a popular internet commentator, has since apologized and Spotify said it would start adding content advisories to episodes discussing COVID.Chief Executive Officer Daniel Ek said the company already has a \"sizable\" content moderation team in place. \"We have taken action on more than 20,000 podcasts since the start of the pandemic,\" Ek told Reuters. \"So that tells you something about the scale of this operation. It's truly a global operation.\"Spotify said podcast's share of overall consumption hours on its platform reached an all-time high and it expanded its paid podcast subscriptions in 33 more markets and enabled podcasts for users in Russia, Egypt and Saudi Arabia.Premium subscribers, which account for most of the company's revenue, rose to 180 million, beating analysts' expectations of 179.9 million.Quarterly revenue rose to 2.69 billion euros ($3.04 billion) for the quarter from 2.17 billion a year earlier, and above the 2.65 billion euros expected by analysts, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.Revenue from users who hear advertisements rose 40% to 394 million euros or 15% of total revenue.\"Investors largely ignored Spotify's advertising business during Spotify's first few years as a public company, with subscriber growth dominating the narrative,\" LightShed Partners analyst Richard Greenfield said in a note.\"As Spotify moved from a music platform to an audio platform (podcasting, live audio, audiobooks), it has unlocked the potential for a robust advertising business that is now too large for investors to ignore.\"Spotify ventured into podcasts in 2018 with a series of acquisitions to compete with Apple Inc. Since then it has launched a paid subscription platform for podcasters in the U.S., opened it up for advertising, and became the largest podcaster dethroning Apple.Unlike the music business, which is largely commoditized and low margin as it pays out a part of the revenue to the rights holders, podcasts engage listeners for hours on end, creating valuable advertising inventory that has underpinned the optimism by Wall Street over its long term future.($1 = 0.8843 euros)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816873632,"gmtCreate":1630490810726,"gmtModify":1676530318470,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">$Morgan Stanley(MS)$</a>?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">$Morgan Stanley(MS)$</a>?","text":"$Morgan Stanley(MS)$?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f501f2602604a2f34daaa5e71f05527","width":"1125","height":"2920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/816873632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837725234,"gmtCreate":1629930496928,"gmtModify":1676530172640,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>?","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c9617e05473b9a405d5b1e8aeba12c2","width":"1125","height":"3101"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/837725234","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"Nice growth stock!","text":"Nice growth stock!","html":"Nice growth stock!"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831232472,"gmtCreate":1629329381596,"gmtModify":1676530002346,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>?","text":"$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef090c85dbd37ff1a90d1e2bfa6180e","width":"1125","height":"3010"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831232472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831628741,"gmtCreate":1629324746383,"gmtModify":1676530000553,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTCF\">$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$</a>?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTCF\">$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$</a>?","text":"$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db209357cce3587847ae0a0cbeeb2afc","width":"1125","height":"3010"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831628741","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":961,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833676178,"gmtCreate":1629242955294,"gmtModify":1676529974319,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>?","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b8d6ed7b35cf6f675585f38c9bb86ec","width":"1125","height":"2830"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/833676178","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839852762,"gmtCreate":1629152465456,"gmtModify":1676529944132,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good!","listText":"Good!","text":"Good!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839852762","repostId":"2159223274","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2159223274","pubTimestamp":1629126480,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2159223274?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Top Cloud Computing Stocks to Buy Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159223274","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Get ready for a decade of growth in these cloud software and infrastructure plays.","content":"<p>There are no guarantees in investing, but the growth of cloud computing is as sure a bet as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> can make for the upcoming decade. The pandemic accelerated what was already a big shift among businesses moving many of their computing workloads to the public cloud. Research firm <b>Gartner</b>&nbsp;projects overall cloud services to grow 23.1% this year and 19.6% next year, reaching nearly $400 billion in spending across cloud-based infrastructure, platforms, software, security, and business process spend.</p>\n<p>Many tech companies are going after this market, but this summer, <b>Amazon.com</b> (NASDAQ:AMZN), <b>Splunk</b> (NASDAQ:SPLK), and <b>Zendesk</b> (NYSE:ZEN) each look like solid long-term buys after their stocks took a breather this earnings season.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a4ab08f37f8a8f83886aeb9e2aafe5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h3>Amazon: The leader of the pack</h3>\n<p>Amazon invented the concept of cloud computing during the early 2000s, and had a multiyear head-start in building out Amazon Web Services, the world's largest and most comprehensive cloud infrastructure platform. Despite having far and away the most market share, AWS is still accelerating its growth more than a decade later.</p>\n<p>Last quarter, AWS revenue accelerated 37%, up from 32% in the prior quarter and 29% in the prior-year quarter. At a $60 billion run-rate, that's hugely impressive, and indicates the enterprise transition to the cloud is still in its early stages.</p>\n<p>The strong growth in AWS, along with huge growth in Amazon's digital advertising segment, seems to have been overshadowed by the deceleration in the company's first-party e-commerce business, which is the largest segment by revenue and drove down the company's overall top-line. Amazon's stock therefore fell after its second quarter earnings report, and its stock has trailed the S&amp;P 500 by about 30 percentage points over the past 12 months.</p>\n<p>Yet after such a long period of consolidation, now may be a good time to pick up shares. After all, the company's highest-profit businesses are AWS and digital advertising, which are also growing the fastest. Since the intrinsic value of any business is the present value of all future cash flows, not revenue, AWS and digital ads could account for practically all of Amazon's market cap today. Ever an innovator, Amazon's shares look like a solid buy after such a long malaise.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb4c77500db67fbaaf087093a58bc713\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h3>Splunk: A business model change leads to opportunity</h3>\n<p>Another compelling cloud stock at a very reasonable price is Splunk. Splunk makes a variety of observability software services to monitor the health of an enterprise's IT infrastructure, network, and security posture, among others. As the digitization of the enterprise takes hold this decade, that will mean more and more inputs to monitor and manage, which should mean long-term tailwinds for observability software providers like Splunk.</p>\n<p>However, Splunk's stock is down some 35% from all-time highs set back about one year ago. The likely culprit is a slowdown in the company's revenue growth, along with fears of higher interest rates, which can take a bite out of growth stock valuations.</p>\n<p>But that revenue headwind is not a result the core business, but rather the company's transition from selling perpetual licenses deployed in customer data centers to a subscription-based, cloud-based software-as-a-service model more in line with the modern IT industry.</p>\n<p>When a company transitions from a perpetual license to a subscription-based model, revenue will take a temporary hit. That's because perpetual licenses, designed to last many years, have all their revenue recognized upfront, whereas as SaaS businesses recognize revenue gradually over the length of the subscription. Splunk, founded in 2003 before the advent of cloud, was behind the curve on cloud for years, but began to get its act together over two years ago, when it began this necessary transition.</p>\n<p>So while revenue grew just 16% last quarter, total annual recurring revenue (ARR) which incorporates recurring cloud subscriptions, was up 39% -- likely, much more indicative of the health of the business. Cloud-based ARR was up an even greater 83%. Cloud-based bookings just exceeded 50% of the company's total software bookings, which should portend better top-line results going forward, as Splunk's transition has now gotten through its \"awkward stage.\"</p>\n<p>The stock's discounted price, combined with good news on the business model transition, recently attracted private equity firm Silver Lake to invest $1 billion in Splunk, in the form of convertible notes. Kenneth Hao, Chairman and Managing Partner of Silver Lake, said in the press release:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We have long admired Splunk's world-class team and technology, and we believe the company is now at an important inflection point... It has become increasingly clear that a cloud-driven transformation is critical to modernization and Splunk is ideally positioned to help organizations throughout the world manage the complexity associated with this transition.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Silver Lake's convertible notes convert to common stock at a $160 stock price, compared with the $144 price today. Silver Lake likely hopes to make a big return off its investment, so there's a good chance the stock does quite well over the next few years as its cloud transition takes hold.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d567e2343f8130d989ec4f66672886a6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h3>Zendesk: cloud-based customer service is the future</h3>\n<p>Another cloud winner that sold off after its recent earnings report, but which appears to have a very bright future, is Zendesk, which offers a variety of cloud-based software services geared for customer service applications.</p>\n<p>Zendesk slightly missed analyst expectations last quarter, but that's a tad misleading. Management attributed the miss to a couple factors; namely deals closing later in the quarter, which hit revenue, along with some one-time gains in the prior year quarter due to the onset of the pandemic, which made comparisons difficult.</p>\n<p>Yet the underlying drivers of Zendesk's business appear intact. Revenue grew 29%, accelerating over the prior quarter's 26% growth. The company's net expansion rate, which monitors growth from existing customers, also accelerated to 120%, up from 114% in the prior quarter.</p>\n<p>Importantly, though Zendesk started off as a popular solution for small businesses, it's catching on with larger enterprises. The percentage of large accounts paying Zendesk $250,000 or more per year has doubled from 17% in 2017 to 35% last quarter. And the company's new comprehensive Zendesk Suite, which offers all of Zendesk's services, from customer service to customer relationship management tools to other APIs, has also caught on. In fact, Zendesk Suite accounted for 16% of the company's annual recurring revenue last quarter, more than double that of the prior quarter. Landing larger accounts opting for the entire Zendesk Suite should go a long way toward maintaining high retention, keeping Zendesk's net expansion rate stable for some time to come.</p>\n<p>Basically, the prior quarter was short on headline revenue numbers, but if you look under the hood, Zendesk's business actually appears quite strong. Trading at a price-to-sales ratio of just 12.5 -- relatively low, for the SaaS industry -- and Zendesk's post-earnings dip could be an opportunity to pick up shares of this cloud software winner.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Top Cloud Computing Stocks to Buy Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Top Cloud Computing Stocks to Buy Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-16 23:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-cloud-computing-stocks-to-buy-right-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There are no guarantees in investing, but the growth of cloud computing is as sure a bet as one can make for the upcoming decade. The pandemic accelerated what was already a big shift among businesses...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-cloud-computing-stocks-to-buy-right-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPLK":"Splunk Inc","ZEN":"Zendesk Inc.","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-cloud-computing-stocks-to-buy-right-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159223274","content_text":"There are no guarantees in investing, but the growth of cloud computing is as sure a bet as one can make for the upcoming decade. The pandemic accelerated what was already a big shift among businesses moving many of their computing workloads to the public cloud. Research firm Gartner projects overall cloud services to grow 23.1% this year and 19.6% next year, reaching nearly $400 billion in spending across cloud-based infrastructure, platforms, software, security, and business process spend.\nMany tech companies are going after this market, but this summer, Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK), and Zendesk (NYSE:ZEN) each look like solid long-term buys after their stocks took a breather this earnings season.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nAmazon: The leader of the pack\nAmazon invented the concept of cloud computing during the early 2000s, and had a multiyear head-start in building out Amazon Web Services, the world's largest and most comprehensive cloud infrastructure platform. Despite having far and away the most market share, AWS is still accelerating its growth more than a decade later.\nLast quarter, AWS revenue accelerated 37%, up from 32% in the prior quarter and 29% in the prior-year quarter. At a $60 billion run-rate, that's hugely impressive, and indicates the enterprise transition to the cloud is still in its early stages.\nThe strong growth in AWS, along with huge growth in Amazon's digital advertising segment, seems to have been overshadowed by the deceleration in the company's first-party e-commerce business, which is the largest segment by revenue and drove down the company's overall top-line. Amazon's stock therefore fell after its second quarter earnings report, and its stock has trailed the S&P 500 by about 30 percentage points over the past 12 months.\nYet after such a long period of consolidation, now may be a good time to pick up shares. After all, the company's highest-profit businesses are AWS and digital advertising, which are also growing the fastest. Since the intrinsic value of any business is the present value of all future cash flows, not revenue, AWS and digital ads could account for practically all of Amazon's market cap today. Ever an innovator, Amazon's shares look like a solid buy after such a long malaise.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nSplunk: A business model change leads to opportunity\nAnother compelling cloud stock at a very reasonable price is Splunk. Splunk makes a variety of observability software services to monitor the health of an enterprise's IT infrastructure, network, and security posture, among others. As the digitization of the enterprise takes hold this decade, that will mean more and more inputs to monitor and manage, which should mean long-term tailwinds for observability software providers like Splunk.\nHowever, Splunk's stock is down some 35% from all-time highs set back about one year ago. The likely culprit is a slowdown in the company's revenue growth, along with fears of higher interest rates, which can take a bite out of growth stock valuations.\nBut that revenue headwind is not a result the core business, but rather the company's transition from selling perpetual licenses deployed in customer data centers to a subscription-based, cloud-based software-as-a-service model more in line with the modern IT industry.\nWhen a company transitions from a perpetual license to a subscription-based model, revenue will take a temporary hit. That's because perpetual licenses, designed to last many years, have all their revenue recognized upfront, whereas as SaaS businesses recognize revenue gradually over the length of the subscription. Splunk, founded in 2003 before the advent of cloud, was behind the curve on cloud for years, but began to get its act together over two years ago, when it began this necessary transition.\nSo while revenue grew just 16% last quarter, total annual recurring revenue (ARR) which incorporates recurring cloud subscriptions, was up 39% -- likely, much more indicative of the health of the business. Cloud-based ARR was up an even greater 83%. Cloud-based bookings just exceeded 50% of the company's total software bookings, which should portend better top-line results going forward, as Splunk's transition has now gotten through its \"awkward stage.\"\nThe stock's discounted price, combined with good news on the business model transition, recently attracted private equity firm Silver Lake to invest $1 billion in Splunk, in the form of convertible notes. Kenneth Hao, Chairman and Managing Partner of Silver Lake, said in the press release:\n\n We have long admired Splunk's world-class team and technology, and we believe the company is now at an important inflection point... It has become increasingly clear that a cloud-driven transformation is critical to modernization and Splunk is ideally positioned to help organizations throughout the world manage the complexity associated with this transition.\n\nSilver Lake's convertible notes convert to common stock at a $160 stock price, compared with the $144 price today. Silver Lake likely hopes to make a big return off its investment, so there's a good chance the stock does quite well over the next few years as its cloud transition takes hold.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nZendesk: cloud-based customer service is the future\nAnother cloud winner that sold off after its recent earnings report, but which appears to have a very bright future, is Zendesk, which offers a variety of cloud-based software services geared for customer service applications.\nZendesk slightly missed analyst expectations last quarter, but that's a tad misleading. Management attributed the miss to a couple factors; namely deals closing later in the quarter, which hit revenue, along with some one-time gains in the prior year quarter due to the onset of the pandemic, which made comparisons difficult.\nYet the underlying drivers of Zendesk's business appear intact. Revenue grew 29%, accelerating over the prior quarter's 26% growth. The company's net expansion rate, which monitors growth from existing customers, also accelerated to 120%, up from 114% in the prior quarter.\nImportantly, though Zendesk started off as a popular solution for small businesses, it's catching on with larger enterprises. The percentage of large accounts paying Zendesk $250,000 or more per year has doubled from 17% in 2017 to 35% last quarter. And the company's new comprehensive Zendesk Suite, which offers all of Zendesk's services, from customer service to customer relationship management tools to other APIs, has also caught on. In fact, Zendesk Suite accounted for 16% of the company's annual recurring revenue last quarter, more than double that of the prior quarter. Landing larger accounts opting for the entire Zendesk Suite should go a long way toward maintaining high retention, keeping Zendesk's net expansion rate stable for some time to come.\nBasically, the prior quarter was short on headline revenue numbers, but if you look under the hood, Zendesk's business actually appears quite strong. Trading at a price-to-sales ratio of just 12.5 -- relatively low, for the SaaS industry -- and Zendesk's post-earnings dip could be an opportunity to pick up shares of this cloud software winner.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830856068,"gmtCreate":1629064664654,"gmtModify":1676529916982,"author":{"id":"3554869686905358","authorId":"3554869686905358","name":"Anand","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d700f533ef21c25858944b3c770ce6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/Z74.SI\">$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$</a>☝?","listText":"<a 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