lihar personal page - To The Moon

lihar

lihar

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2022-04-05

okay

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2021-06-16

Why so many drop?

2021-06-15

Nio looks good

2021-06-10

All about inflation

2021-05-31

Ev in focus again

2021-05-22

Going to be a good start

2021-05-16

Cryptocurrency up again

2021-05-13

What will the stock market heading?

2021-05-05

Rebound not to worry

2021-04-03

No

How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?

2021-04-03

Prepare for Monday

2021-03-11

Why not!

Should You Invest in Crypto Stocks Right Now?

2021-03-09

Inspiring!

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Go to Tiger App to see more news

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20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<blockquote>\n You may not like the answer.\n</blockquote>\n<p>For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p>\n<p>But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p>\n<p>It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p>\n<p><b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p>\n<p>To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&amp;P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p>\n<p>However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p>\n<p>We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p>\n<p><b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p>\n<p>Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&amp;P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p>\n<p>Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p>\n<p>Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p>\n<p><b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p>\n<p>But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p>\n<p>As of the close of business on March 30, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p>\n<p>To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p>\n<p>However, previous instances of the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p>\n<p><b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p>\n<p>To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p>\n<p>While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p>\n<p>The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&amp;P 500 been negative.</p>\n<p>If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-02 20:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340425527,"gmtCreate":1617458363669,"gmtModify":1704699835719,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Prepare for Monday&nbsp;","listText":"Prepare for Monday&nbsp;","text":"Prepare for Monday","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340425527","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321784875,"gmtCreate":1615470996097,"gmtModify":1704783208676,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why not!&nbsp;","listText":"Why not!&nbsp;","text":"Why not!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/321784875","repostId":"2118998484","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2118998484","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615469126,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2118998484?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-11 21:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should You Invest in Crypto Stocks Right Now?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2118998484","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Crypto stocks can be a great investment, but they're not for everyone.","content":"<p>Crypto stocks can be a great investment, but they're not for everyone.</p>\n<p>As&nbsp;<b>Bitcoin</b> (CRYPTO:BTC) continues its upward climb, many investors have their eyes on cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin has soared more than 77% since the beginning of the year.<b>Dogecoin</b>, another popular cryptocurrency, has skyrocketed more than 950% so far this year. With incredible run-ups like these, it's becoming hard to ignore cryptocurrencies.</p>\n<p>However, they aren't the right investment for everyone. Although they have the potential to make investors a lot of money, they also carry a significant amount of risk. Before you invest in crypto stocks, here's what you need to know.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2466df7b01d72b0fdd4a2a9ef44fc53c\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1356\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p><b>What are crypto stocks?</b></p>\n<p>First, it's important to understand the difference between crypto stocks and cryptocurrencies themselves. It's possible to invest directly in digital currencies, like Bitcoin or Dogecoin, by buying tokens. Or you can invest in a stock that's heavily invested in cryptocurrency or is building the technology behind it. Some of these stocks include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)<b>:</b> CEO Elon Musk announced that the company would be buying $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin. Musk also revealed that in the future, Tesla plans to start accepting Bitcoin as a form of payment.</li>\n <li><b>Square</b>(NYSE:SQ)<b>:</b> The fintech company recently announced it was buying $170 million worth of Bitcoin, in addition to its $50 million purchase last year. Square has also accepted Bitcoin as payment since 2014, and CEO Jack Dorsey is a longtime advocate for the cryptocurrency.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a></b>(NYSE:CRM)<b>:</b> While Salesforce itself is not heavily invested in cryptocurrency, it creates blockchain solutions, which is the infrastructure behind cryptocurrencies. In order for Bitcoin and other digital currencies to succeed, they'll require widespread adoption. If Bitcoin becomes widely accepted, Salesforce could benefit, as well.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Investing in crypto stocks and cryptocurrencies themselves can be risky. So before you invest, it's important to weigh the pros and cons.</p>\n<p><b>Are crypto stocks right for you?</b></p>\n<p>One advantage of investing in these stocks is that they're less risky than investing directly in cryptocurrencies, which are incredibly volatile and carry a lot of risk. For example, despite Bitcoin's skyrocketing price over the last few months, it also lost close to 80% of its value at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> point.</p>\n<p>Bill Gates has also warned against Bitcoin, recently telling Bloomberg that:&nbsp;\"[I]f you have less money than Elon [Musk] you should probably watch out.\"</p>\n<p>Nobody knows what will happen with cryptocurrencies over the long term. Bitcoin could become the world's most popular <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, or it could crash and burn. That uncertainty makes it an incredibly risky investment, and not all investors have the stomach for that type of volatility.</p>\n<p>Crypto stocks are generally less volatile, because cryptocurrency is only one part of their overall business. There are plenty of reasons to invest in Salesforce, for example, outside of its crypto business. Even if cryptocurrencies don't become mainstream, Salesforce will likely still be a strong company.</p>\n<p><b>What to look for in a crypto stock</b></p>\n<p>If you're considering investing in these types of stocks, the best thing you can do is look at the underlying business fundamentals. In other words, don't invest in a stock simply because the company is heavily invested in cryptocurrency. If the company itself is strong, it will likely be a good investment regardless.</p>\n<p>Look at factors like the company's revenue growth and profitability, its competitive advantage in its industry, and its leadership team. If all of these factors are favorable, it's more likely to be a solid investment. The crypto aspect of the business is just an extra advantage.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbfcc450a3f22407268561f7a39efc35\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1250\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p>Finally, if you choose to invest in crypto stocks, make sure they're part of a well-diversified portfolio. Even the strongest ones aren't immune to volatility, so it's important to avoid putting all your eggs in one basket, so to speak.</p>\n<p>Aim to invest in at least 10 to 15 different companies from a variety of industries. This way, you can limit your risk in the event that your crypto stocks take a turn for the worse.</p>\n<p>Investing in crypto stocks can be a good way to invest in Bitcoin without investing in the cryptocurrency itself. By doing your research and investing in solid long-term investments, you can reap the rewards of the crypto movement without putting your money at risk.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Invest in Crypto Stocks Right Now?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Invest in Crypto Stocks Right Now?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-11 21:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/11/should-you-invest-in-crypto-stocks-right-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Crypto stocks can be a great investment, but they're not for everyone.\nAs Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) continues its upward climb, many investors have their eyes on cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin has soared more ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/11/should-you-invest-in-crypto-stocks-right-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","SQ":"Block","CRM":"赛富时"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/11/should-you-invest-in-crypto-stocks-right-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2118998484","content_text":"Crypto stocks can be a great investment, but they're not for everyone.\nAs Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) continues its upward climb, many investors have their eyes on cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin has soared more than 77% since the beginning of the year.Dogecoin, another popular cryptocurrency, has skyrocketed more than 950% so far this year. With incredible run-ups like these, it's becoming hard to ignore cryptocurrencies.\nHowever, they aren't the right investment for everyone. Although they have the potential to make investors a lot of money, they also carry a significant amount of risk. Before you invest in crypto stocks, here's what you need to know.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nWhat are crypto stocks?\nFirst, it's important to understand the difference between crypto stocks and cryptocurrencies themselves. It's possible to invest directly in digital currencies, like Bitcoin or Dogecoin, by buying tokens. Or you can invest in a stock that's heavily invested in cryptocurrency or is building the technology behind it. Some of these stocks include:\n\nTesla(NASDAQ:TSLA): CEO Elon Musk announced that the company would be buying $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin. Musk also revealed that in the future, Tesla plans to start accepting Bitcoin as a form of payment.\nSquare(NYSE:SQ): The fintech company recently announced it was buying $170 million worth of Bitcoin, in addition to its $50 million purchase last year. Square has also accepted Bitcoin as payment since 2014, and CEO Jack Dorsey is a longtime advocate for the cryptocurrency.\nSalesforce(NYSE:CRM): While Salesforce itself is not heavily invested in cryptocurrency, it creates blockchain solutions, which is the infrastructure behind cryptocurrencies. In order for Bitcoin and other digital currencies to succeed, they'll require widespread adoption. If Bitcoin becomes widely accepted, Salesforce could benefit, as well.\n\nInvesting in crypto stocks and cryptocurrencies themselves can be risky. So before you invest, it's important to weigh the pros and cons.\nAre crypto stocks right for you?\nOne advantage of investing in these stocks is that they're less risky than investing directly in cryptocurrencies, which are incredibly volatile and carry a lot of risk. For example, despite Bitcoin's skyrocketing price over the last few months, it also lost close to 80% of its value at one point.\nBill Gates has also warned against Bitcoin, recently telling Bloomberg that: \"[I]f you have less money than Elon [Musk] you should probably watch out.\"\nNobody knows what will happen with cryptocurrencies over the long term. Bitcoin could become the world's most popular one, or it could crash and burn. That uncertainty makes it an incredibly risky investment, and not all investors have the stomach for that type of volatility.\nCrypto stocks are generally less volatile, because cryptocurrency is only one part of their overall business. There are plenty of reasons to invest in Salesforce, for example, outside of its crypto business. Even if cryptocurrencies don't become mainstream, Salesforce will likely still be a strong company.\nWhat to look for in a crypto stock\nIf you're considering investing in these types of stocks, the best thing you can do is look at the underlying business fundamentals. In other words, don't invest in a stock simply because the company is heavily invested in cryptocurrency. If the company itself is strong, it will likely be a good investment regardless.\nLook at factors like the company's revenue growth and profitability, its competitive advantage in its industry, and its leadership team. If all of these factors are favorable, it's more likely to be a solid investment. The crypto aspect of the business is just an extra advantage.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nFinally, if you choose to invest in crypto stocks, make sure they're part of a well-diversified portfolio. Even the strongest ones aren't immune to volatility, so it's important to avoid putting all your eggs in one basket, so to speak.\nAim to invest in at least 10 to 15 different companies from a variety of industries. This way, you can limit your risk in the event that your crypto stocks take a turn for the worse.\nInvesting in crypto stocks can be a good way to invest in Bitcoin without investing in the cryptocurrency itself. By doing your research and investing in solid long-term investments, you can reap the rewards of the crypto movement without putting your money at risk.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":329770662,"gmtCreate":1615283884056,"gmtModify":1704780573847,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Inspiring!&nbsp;","listText":"Inspiring!&nbsp;","text":"Inspiring!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/329770662","repostId":"1130239756","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":26,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9016802078,"gmtCreate":1649162092112,"gmtModify":1676534460919,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016802078","repostId":"1155621499","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155621499","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1649157998,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155621499?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-05 19:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It’s Time to Buy Nvidia Stock While It Remains Relatively Cheap","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155621499","media":"investorplace","summary":"Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock has managed to climb nearly 20% over the past month. It’s time to pick up","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock has managed to climb nearly 20% over the past month. It’s time to pick up Nvidia shares while they are still selling at a discount. Currently trading in the $280 range, that may not sound cheap, but shares are still off more than 20% from their November 2021 all-time high close of $333.76.</p><p>Given the way this company’s business is going — and the projections for future growth — you’re liable to be kicking yourself if you don’t pick up shares at current prices.</p><p>Here are the reasons why NVDA stock has nowhere to go but up.</p><h2>Nvidia’s Current Business Is Going Strong</h2><p>Going back to February, Nvidia reported its Q4 and full-year fiscal 2022 results. The company reported record quarterly revenue (up 53% year-over-year) and record annual revenue (up 61% YoY). The company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization divisions each reported record quarterly and annual revenue. Adjusted earnings-per-share of $1.32 topped the $1.22 analysts were expecting.</p><p>Nvidia’s CEO summed up the performance and what’s coming: “We are entering the new year with strong momentum across our businesses and excellent traction with our new software business models with NVIDIA AI, NVIDIA Omniverse and NVIDIA DRIVE. GTC is coming. We will announce many new products, applications and partners for NVIDIA computing.”</p><p>The mention of GTC is very important. Because what Nvidia revealed at that conference (which wrapped up last week), will make last year’s record $26.91 billion seem quaint.</p><h2>Nvidia At GTC 2022</h2><p>I’ve already written about the massive opportunity the metaverse represents for Nvidia, and for NVDA stock’s growth. That was before GTC 2022.</p><p>Nvidia’s GTC 2022 (Graphics Technology Conference) took place from March 21 through March 24. At the event, Nvidia showed off its latest new products and laid out a plan for the future that has investors drooling.</p><p>Among the key announcements were new Hopper architecture for its data center AI systems. These Hopper chips will power the Eos supercomputer, which is expected to be the world’s fastest AI supercomputer when it begins operations later in 2022. Its projected 18.4 exaflops of AI computing performance would make it four times faster than the current champion, Japan’s Fugaku supercomputer. Hopper is expected to be commercially available in the first half of 2023.</p><p>Joining Hopper is Grace, a new GPU superchip for the data center market. This new chip will also hit the market in the first half of 2023. Nvidia’s new DRIVE Hyperion 9 driving platform architecture arrives in 2026, doubling the performance of the current DRIVE Orin-based architecture. In addition, Nvidia is releasing a new Isaac Nova Orin platform for autonomous robotics.</p><p>What about the metaverse? While pushing its own Omniverse as a solution for creating massive, ultra-realistic simulations, Nvidia is making it available to a wider audience. The company’s new Omniverse Cloud eliminates the need for a PC with an RTX graphics card.</p><p>The company also announced six new RTX series GPUs. These are aimed at gaming PCs and laptops, as well as professional and creative markets.</p><p>Why is all this a big deal for NVDA stock growth? InvestorPlace contributor Shanthi Rexaline has a nice summary. This includes a long-term addressable market of $100 billion for gaming, $300 billion for software (including Omniverse), $300 billion for chips and systems and $300 billion for automotive.</p><p>You can see why 2021’s record revenue of $26.91 billion suddenly seems like it leaves Nvidia with plenty of runway for growth.</p><h2>Bottom Line on NVDA Stock</h2><p>With an “A” rating in Portfolio Grader, NVDA stock is a strong buy. I’m far from the only one who feels this way. The investment analysts polled by the Wall Street Journal give NVDA a consensus “overweight” rating. If shares hit their average price target of $343.47, that’s an upside in the range of 25%. And that takes us to just before those new Hopper and Grace chips are expected to start shipping.</p><p>Nvidia has been a powerhouse stock for the past six years. Its biggest crisis came in 2018 when the crypto market crashed and took demand for graphics cards with it. However, NVDA stock quickly came roaring back with more momentum than ever. Even a global pandemic, semiconductor shortages and supply chain disruption weren’t enough to knock NVDA off its growth trajectory. From the worst of the crypto crash fallout in December 2018 to November 19, 2021, NVDA delivered virtually nonstop growth and a return of over 900%.</p><p>Since then, macroeconomic factors that have resulted in a broad market pullback — hitting  tech stocks especially hard — have done some damage. NVDA stock appears to have shaken off the doubts and has been rallying for the past two weeks. At this point it is down just 9% from the start of the year. Now it’s going in the right direction once again, but still nicely discounted compared to its November 2021 all-time highs.</p><p>It’s time to make a move.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s Time to Buy Nvidia Stock While It Remains Relatively Cheap</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s Time to Buy Nvidia Stock While It Remains Relatively Cheap\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-05 19:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/04/its-time-to-buy-nvidia-nvda-stock-while-it-remains-relatively-cheap/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock has managed to climb nearly 20% over the past month. It’s time to pick up Nvidia shares while they are still selling at a discount. Currently trading in the $280 range, that...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/04/its-time-to-buy-nvidia-nvda-stock-while-it-remains-relatively-cheap/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/04/its-time-to-buy-nvidia-nvda-stock-while-it-remains-relatively-cheap/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155621499","content_text":"Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock has managed to climb nearly 20% over the past month. It’s time to pick up Nvidia shares while they are still selling at a discount. Currently trading in the $280 range, that may not sound cheap, but shares are still off more than 20% from their November 2021 all-time high close of $333.76.Given the way this company’s business is going — and the projections for future growth — you’re liable to be kicking yourself if you don’t pick up shares at current prices.Here are the reasons why NVDA stock has nowhere to go but up.Nvidia’s Current Business Is Going StrongGoing back to February, Nvidia reported its Q4 and full-year fiscal 2022 results. The company reported record quarterly revenue (up 53% year-over-year) and record annual revenue (up 61% YoY). The company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization divisions each reported record quarterly and annual revenue. Adjusted earnings-per-share of $1.32 topped the $1.22 analysts were expecting.Nvidia’s CEO summed up the performance and what’s coming: “We are entering the new year with strong momentum across our businesses and excellent traction with our new software business models with NVIDIA AI, NVIDIA Omniverse and NVIDIA DRIVE. GTC is coming. We will announce many new products, applications and partners for NVIDIA computing.”The mention of GTC is very important. Because what Nvidia revealed at that conference (which wrapped up last week), will make last year’s record $26.91 billion seem quaint.Nvidia At GTC 2022I’ve already written about the massive opportunity the metaverse represents for Nvidia, and for NVDA stock’s growth. That was before GTC 2022.Nvidia’s GTC 2022 (Graphics Technology Conference) took place from March 21 through March 24. At the event, Nvidia showed off its latest new products and laid out a plan for the future that has investors drooling.Among the key announcements were new Hopper architecture for its data center AI systems. These Hopper chips will power the Eos supercomputer, which is expected to be the world’s fastest AI supercomputer when it begins operations later in 2022. Its projected 18.4 exaflops of AI computing performance would make it four times faster than the current champion, Japan’s Fugaku supercomputer. Hopper is expected to be commercially available in the first half of 2023.Joining Hopper is Grace, a new GPU superchip for the data center market. This new chip will also hit the market in the first half of 2023. Nvidia’s new DRIVE Hyperion 9 driving platform architecture arrives in 2026, doubling the performance of the current DRIVE Orin-based architecture. In addition, Nvidia is releasing a new Isaac Nova Orin platform for autonomous robotics.What about the metaverse? While pushing its own Omniverse as a solution for creating massive, ultra-realistic simulations, Nvidia is making it available to a wider audience. The company’s new Omniverse Cloud eliminates the need for a PC with an RTX graphics card.The company also announced six new RTX series GPUs. These are aimed at gaming PCs and laptops, as well as professional and creative markets.Why is all this a big deal for NVDA stock growth? InvestorPlace contributor Shanthi Rexaline has a nice summary. This includes a long-term addressable market of $100 billion for gaming, $300 billion for software (including Omniverse), $300 billion for chips and systems and $300 billion for automotive.You can see why 2021’s record revenue of $26.91 billion suddenly seems like it leaves Nvidia with plenty of runway for growth.Bottom Line on NVDA StockWith an “A” rating in Portfolio Grader, NVDA stock is a strong buy. I’m far from the only one who feels this way. The investment analysts polled by the Wall Street Journal give NVDA a consensus “overweight” rating. If shares hit their average price target of $343.47, that’s an upside in the range of 25%. And that takes us to just before those new Hopper and Grace chips are expected to start shipping.Nvidia has been a powerhouse stock for the past six years. Its biggest crisis came in 2018 when the crypto market crashed and took demand for graphics cards with it. However, NVDA stock quickly came roaring back with more momentum than ever. Even a global pandemic, semiconductor shortages and supply chain disruption weren’t enough to knock NVDA off its growth trajectory. From the worst of the crypto crash fallout in December 2018 to November 19, 2021, NVDA delivered virtually nonstop growth and a return of over 900%.Since then, macroeconomic factors that have resulted in a broad market pullback — hitting  tech stocks especially hard — have done some damage. NVDA stock appears to have shaken off the doubts and has been rallying for the past two weeks. At this point it is down just 9% from the start of the year. Now it’s going in the right direction once again, but still nicely discounted compared to its November 2021 all-time highs.It’s time to make a move.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340424064,"gmtCreate":1617458416758,"gmtModify":1704699836043,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No&nbsp;","listText":"No&nbsp;","text":"No","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340424064","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191998262","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617366158,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191998262?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<blockquote>\n You may not like the answer.\n</blockquote>\n<p>For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p>\n<p>But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p>\n<p>It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p>\n<p><b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p>\n<p>To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&amp;P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p>\n<p>However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p>\n<p>We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p>\n<p><b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p>\n<p>Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&amp;P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p>\n<p>Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p>\n<p>Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p>\n<p><b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p>\n<p>But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p>\n<p>As of the close of business on March 30, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p>\n<p>To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p>\n<p>However, previous instances of the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p>\n<p><b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p>\n<p>To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p>\n<p>While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p>\n<p>The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&amp;P 500 been negative.</p>\n<p>If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-02 20:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169568913,"gmtCreate":1623843620032,"gmtModify":1703821104784,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why so many drop?&nbsp;","listText":"Why so many drop?&nbsp;","text":"Why so many drop?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/169568913","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187549768,"gmtCreate":1623760229254,"gmtModify":1703818390519,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio looks good&nbsp;","listText":"Nio looks good&nbsp;","text":"Nio looks good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187549768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183635242,"gmtCreate":1623327520586,"gmtModify":1704200947909,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All about inflation&nbsp;","listText":"All about inflation&nbsp;","text":"All about inflation","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183635242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":329770662,"gmtCreate":1615283884056,"gmtModify":1704780573847,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Inspiring!&nbsp;","listText":"Inspiring!&nbsp;","text":"Inspiring!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/329770662","repostId":"1130239756","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130239756","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615282325,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130239756?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-09 17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How To Invest In A Down Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130239756","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe Nasdaq is close to correction territory, about 10% down.\nMany high-quality businesses a","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The Nasdaq is close to correction territory, about 10% down.</li>\n <li>Many high-quality businesses are seeing their stock down 20% to 50%.</li>\n <li>Market sell-offs are generally not a good time to sell or rebalance.</li>\n <li>Recognize you are likely to make emotional decisions right now.</li>\n <li>Let's review the kind of investments you should be focusing on.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58c9c01723c6f697ff4e40e0a1709af3\" tg-width=\"563\" tg-height=\"317\"><span>Image Source: CNN Money</span></p>\n<p>This week was the biggest market sell-off since, wait for it... September 2020.</p>\n<p>I know, six months ago is not really a big deal. In fact, market corrections (a market sell-off of 10% or more) happen more than once a year on average. And generally speaking, when people refer to \"the market,\" they are talking about the S&amp;P 500 (SPY), not the Nasdaq (QQQ). From this perspective, the market has barely moved. The recent sell-off is predominantly affecting the Nasdaq with a rotation out of high-growth technology companies and into businesses that have taken a beating throughout the pandemic (live events, brick-and-mortar retailers, hotels or travel to name a few).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a604eeb1e0e9ca33327e8d9eaa3c8d4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Many analysts and so-called market pundits would want you to believe it's the end of the world. Looking at a few headlines over the years, my own anecdotal evidence here on Seeking Alpha is that some authors are simply perma-bears who will tell you that it's time to sell your stocks and hunker down every month of the year. When the market is hitting a new all time high, they say that valuations aren't sustainable and we are in a bubble. But when the market falls by 30% like it did in March 2020, they say that stocks have a lot more room to fall and you should still stay away.</p>\n<p>For the pessimists, the right time to buy is almost never. Too bad for them, because they are missing out on one the most fantastic ways to create wealth over a lifetime. I'm talking about long-term investing in equities.</p>\n<p>Going back to the sell-off at play today, many high-growth stocks are down 20% to 50% from their previous high. But it's essential to note that many of them are merely trading back to where they were a few weeks ago. Just look at Tesla (TSLA). The last time the stock was trading just below $600 was just three months ago, at the beginning of December.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55084ac8a9724b226ff2ca2aac3dbcc5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>I've covered before the&nbsp;five ways to prepare&nbsp;for a stock market crash:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Ask yourself how much drawdown you can cope with.</li>\n <li>Make sure you have the cash you need.</li>\n <li>Build a portfolio that suits your risk profile.</li>\n <li>Build a wish list of stocks to buy on sale.</li>\n <li>Write down your strategy.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>If you follow this approach when the market is chugging along, going through the volatility of the past few days becomes incredibly easier. I would even argue that it becomes an enjoyable process because you get to execute a well thought-out plan and benefit from your preparedness.</p>\n<p>Most investors are already familiar with what I would call \"Investing 101.\" Among the first lessons you learn when starting investing, you often hear what is critical to do when the market crashes:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Don't panic.</li>\n <li>Stay the course.</li>\n <li>Focus on the long term.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The problem with these lessons is that they can be a bit superficial. In theory, many investors understand they should not sell their holdings in a stock market crash and just let it pass. But in practice, there can be a strong temptation to tinker with a portfolio, re-balance aggressively at the worst possible time, or using the majority of your cash reserve too fast and miss great opportunities to invest if the market continues to fall.</p>\n<p>So I want to go a bit deeper today, offer some perspective and share investing strategies you can choose from.</p>\n<p><b>Understanding Bull and Bear Markets</b></p>\n<p>The market has historically gone up over time, with an&nbsp;average&nbsp;10% annual return over the last 92 years for the SP&amp;P 500 benchmark, and 74% of the years being positive.</p>\n<p>The graph below, using Morningstar data, shows bull and bear markets since the late 20’s all the way to 2018.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>A Bull Market is measured from the lowest close reached after the market has fallen 20% or more to the next high.</li>\n <li>A Bear Market is defined as the index closing at least 20% down from its previous high close. Its duration is the period from the previous high to the lowest close reached after it has fallen 20% or more.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c64b042226027ff87478f7e68a969942\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"618\"><span>Source: First Trust via Morningstar</span></p>\n<p>There are two conclusions that should remain with you:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>The stock market goes up much more than it goes down (several bull markets have lasted more than 10 years, at more than 17% average annualized return)</li>\n <li>When it goes down, it goes down fast and sharply (bear markets have lasted less than 3 years, from -22% to -83%)</li>\n</ol>\n<p>A bull market might seem like a steady path up and to the right, but volatility is present in all market conditions. Red days and moments of doubt are very common, even through bull markets. From 2009 to 2020, a period of fantastic market returns, you had to go through Brexit, trade wars and general elections, all prompting pundits of all kinds to predict an imminent market collapse.</p>\n<p>Trying to time the market is a waste of time: Nobody can predict it, and if you are out of the market, you are missing on the gains that the market is willing to give you over the years.</p>\n<p>As pointed out before by&nbsp;Morgan Housel, partner at The Collaborative Fund, stock market crashes happen all the time. Recognizing how often market crashes happen can give you a better idea of what you are getting into and the risks you are taking when investing in equities.</p>\n<p>Here is the historical frequency of pullbacks identified since 1928:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4005931a8f624cb1307ff80035e6023f\" tg-width=\"816\" tg-height=\"440\"></p>\n<p>Based on historical data, frequent market sell-offs are the price of admission to the stock market. They happen often, and in an unpredictable way. But the market eventually resumes its path up and to the right, inexorably following GDP growth. If you decide to be out of the market, you are far more likely to be wrong than right, and even more so over long periods of time.</p>\n<p><b>Understanding Risk</b></p>\n<p>When you invest, you are taking not only a&nbsp;market risk&nbsp;but also several specific risks.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Market Risk</b>: An individual stock is subject at least partially to the same volatility as the market. Think about boats moving up and down with the tide.</li>\n <li><b>Sector Risk:</b>If the entire tech sector takes a beating, like in the early 2000s, even the stocks of solid companies like Microsoft (MSFT) can go down. Companies from the same sector tend to move in tandem, as illustrated by the recent pull-back.</li>\n <li><b>Company Risk:</b>The most obvious one. If a company’s business slows down or fails to deliver on expectation, or even files for bankruptcy.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>When you decide to invest in equities, you already have made the decision to embrace market risk. The best you can do is to recognize it for what it is and let it work its magic both on the way up and on the way down.</p>\n<p>If you are exposed to a specific sector or category such as Enterprise Software, it should not surprise you to see excellent companies such as CrowdStrike (CRWD), Twilio (TWLO) or Zoom Video (ZM) fall together in the past few days. Your willingness to see a large part of your portfolio underperform for an extended time should educate the level of concentration you are willing to take in a given company or a given sector.</p>\n<p><b>Some perspective</b></p>\n<p>The most powerful way to keep emotions in check in a market sell-off is to take a step back and look at the bigger picture.</p>\n<p>I want to provide readers with a look at my own portfolio drawdown. My real-money portfolio is highly volatile, mostly because it's heavy in the Technology, Communication and Discretionary sectors. I have enjoyed a significant market beating performance over the years, with my portfolio returning +395% since 2015 - even factoring the recent sell-off.</p>\n<p>During market sell-offs, my portfolio tends to take a deeper dive, which I'm perfectly fine with because volatility works both ways, and I'm willing to go through the emotional roller-coaster in order to achieve an above-average performance. This strategy is not for everyone, and it works for me only because I'm very patient and invest for the next five, 10, 15, 20 years and beyond. I identify a market sell-off as an opportunity to buy. If that's not your natural tendency, you are probably better off investing in index funds automatically and let someone re-balance it for you.</p>\n<p>My real-money portfolio has taken a big hit over the last few days. My investments in companies like Teladoc (TDOC), Fastly (FSLY) or Zillow (Z) are down more than 30% since mid-February. Huge winners of the App Economy Portfolio like Shopify (SHOP) or The Trade Desk (TTD) (both 11-baggers as of this writing) are down more than 25% from their all-time-high.</p>\n<p>But instead of focusing on the past week, or even the past month, I like to look at my portfolio performance over the years to keep things in perspective. As illustrated below, I might be down significantly over the past week, but it should only be observed in the grand scheme of things. My own strategy has enabled me to more than quadruple the S&amp;P 500 performance since 2015. How many times has my portfolio dropped 10% in a few days, only to eventually rebound to new highs? Measuring my own performance and keeping score has helped me stick to my own strategy.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2606d396951a8c8f26f8aa6e3336faf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\"><span>Source: App Economy Portfolio performance from Personal Capital</span></p>\n<p>It's also interesting to look back at the previous large market drawdowns that occurred in late 2018 or in March 2020, clearly visible on the chart. When I look back at my trades during these sell-offs, I see multi-bagger returns across the board. This illustrates why sticking to your strategy during market drawdowns can be extremely lucrative.</p>\n<p>Focus on quality businesses that rarely sell-off</p>\n<p>Warren Buffettwiselyrecommends to \"<i>Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.\"</i></p>\n<p>I wrote previously aboutfear and greedand how most investors have it all wrong. Even if you are buying during a market sell-off, you might be doing it wrong.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Are you investing in quality companies or simply chasing bargains?</li>\n <li>Are you buying something because it is \"dirt cheap\" or seizing the opportunity to accumulate quality stocks at a lower price?</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The main reason you should be looking for quality rather than sheer value in the context of a market sell-off is that you are already benefiting from a market discount. That discount is offered usually across all types of investments, making some of the best companies more affordable.</p>\n<p>Market and sector sell-offs are a unique opportunity to finally get a discount on the businesses that keep hitting new all-time-highs and running away from you. I believe that's where your focus should be.</p>\n<p>Of course, the skeptics will continue to say that the high-growth stocks remain extremely over-priced by historical standards. They predict that the next shoe is about to drop, even in the face of a market correction. This mindset has kept many investors away from FAANG stocks (Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX) and Alphabet (GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)) in the past decade.</p>\n<p>Predicting an imminent crash? Isn't this the very symptom of fear?</p>\n<p>Building up positions in your winners is a powerful investment philosophy and one that makes even more sense in the context of a market downturn. I covered the art ofadding to your winnerspreviously when I explained why I was adding to my position in MongoDB (MDB).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcd2d9695344ffccd62b393469cd23ae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"></p>\n<p>These great businesses that sit at the top of your portfolio are the very same as they were before any sector rotation, and they will still be the same after the storm passes. In the short term, a stock performance can be detached from the underlying business, both in up and down markets.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc957836284e59ccf35ea2a43fadb04b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: CNBC</span></p>\n<p>Cash deployment strategy</p>\n<p>Now, assuming you understand the importance of maintaining an optimistic outlook in the face of a market sell-off and are ready for some shopping to take advantage of depressed valuations, we still need to talk about cash deployment strategies.</p>\n<p>Maybe you have cash on the sidelines and you are wondering when or how to put it to use. Many investors make the mistake of going all-in at the first sight of a market pull-back of a few percentage points, only to feel buyer's remorse when the market continues to fall.</p>\n<p>I love this&nbsp;blog postfrom Morgan Housel covering his cash deployment strategy in the context of a market drawdown. He shows in this graph how much of his cash set aside for investing he would deploy in the market based on how much the market has sold off.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e736cca8707b27534d6b0f0714baf2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"195\"></p>\n<p>Since the S&amp;P 500 is generally used as a proxy for \"the market,\" we still have a long way to go before we hit even the 10% mark. I tend to look at how much my own portfolio has fallen from its previous high as an indicator of the opportunity at play. For example, the App Economy Portfolio is down about 17% from its previous high as of this writing. Using the chart above, it would indicate that now is a good time to deploy around 32% of the cash available to invest.</p>\n<p>Whichever indicator you choose (the S&amp;P, the Nasdaq, your own portfolio draw-down), this is an interesting way to look at cash deployment that can help your investing strategy and avoid running out of dry powder too fast.</p>\n<p><b>The Art of Doing Nothing</b></p>\n<p>Because emotions run high after a series of red days, the best course of action is often to sit on your hands. That's right, doing nothing at all.</p>\n<p>As a marketplace leader, I get questions every day about portfolio re-balancing, usually taking the form of a desire to chase returns. Many investors decide they want to reallocate a large part of a portfolio based on what seems right to do in the heat of the moment.</p>\n<p>The reality is that no portfolio re-balancing should happen in a hurry or be prompted by events that have nothing to do with your long-term strategy. That's why journaling and writing down your investing strategy can be so powerful. It can guide you and put you back on track when you feel compelled to break it all apart.</p>\n<p>Recognizing that there is no urgency to act is essential. As I pointed out in many articles, if your next trade cannot wait for a few days, you are likely making an emotional decision. A great investment should not depend on perfect timing or finding the exact bottom.</p>\n<p><b>The Grind</b></p>\n<p>We all want to get our accounts to new all-time highs.</p>\n<p>We do it by saving and investing.</p>\n<p>It's a given that there are setbacks to the market on the way to new highs. Whenever a new sell-off occurs, we are all back in the grind trying to get our account back to all-time highs.</p>\n<p>The truth is that everybody has to go through the grind. You should not rely on an overnight success, because there is no such thing. Even Warren Buffett's portfolio is down this week. Think about it.</p>\n<p>A sell-off is naturally shaking out the weak hands and the most emotional investors among us. Make no mistake: The grind and your capacity to go through it all is part of what makes you a great investor.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Investing in a down market is a unique opportunity to invest for the long term. The key is to give yourself the best chance to stay cool and make the best decisions:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Understand what bull and bear markets really are.</li>\n <li>Evaluate the risks you are taking and why you are taking them.</li>\n <li>Identify and recognize your emotions and keep them in check.</li>\n <li>If you want to sell or re-balance your<i>portfolio</i>: Ask yourself if your investment thesis has really changed, or whether you're simply reacting to the news cycle.</li>\n <li>If you want to buy: Ask yourself if you are merely chasing a bargain, or if you truly want to invest in a quality company for the long run.</li>\n <li>Prioritize the businesses that rarely offer a discount.</li>\n <li>Look at the big picture: Sell-offs are part of the grind, and we'll all come out stronger on the other side.</li>\n</ul>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How To Invest In A Down Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow To Invest In A Down Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-09 17:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4412294-how-to-invest-in-down-market><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe Nasdaq is close to correction territory, about 10% down.\nMany high-quality businesses are seeing their stock down 20% to 50%.\nMarket sell-offs are generally not a good time to sell or ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4412294-how-to-invest-in-down-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4412294-how-to-invest-in-down-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1130239756","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe Nasdaq is close to correction territory, about 10% down.\nMany high-quality businesses are seeing their stock down 20% to 50%.\nMarket sell-offs are generally not a good time to sell or rebalance.\nRecognize you are likely to make emotional decisions right now.\nLet's review the kind of investments you should be focusing on.\n\nImage Source: CNN Money\nThis week was the biggest market sell-off since, wait for it... September 2020.\nI know, six months ago is not really a big deal. In fact, market corrections (a market sell-off of 10% or more) happen more than once a year on average. And generally speaking, when people refer to \"the market,\" they are talking about the S&P 500 (SPY), not the Nasdaq (QQQ). From this perspective, the market has barely moved. The recent sell-off is predominantly affecting the Nasdaq with a rotation out of high-growth technology companies and into businesses that have taken a beating throughout the pandemic (live events, brick-and-mortar retailers, hotels or travel to name a few).\nData by YCharts\nMany analysts and so-called market pundits would want you to believe it's the end of the world. Looking at a few headlines over the years, my own anecdotal evidence here on Seeking Alpha is that some authors are simply perma-bears who will tell you that it's time to sell your stocks and hunker down every month of the year. When the market is hitting a new all time high, they say that valuations aren't sustainable and we are in a bubble. But when the market falls by 30% like it did in March 2020, they say that stocks have a lot more room to fall and you should still stay away.\nFor the pessimists, the right time to buy is almost never. Too bad for them, because they are missing out on one the most fantastic ways to create wealth over a lifetime. I'm talking about long-term investing in equities.\nGoing back to the sell-off at play today, many high-growth stocks are down 20% to 50% from their previous high. But it's essential to note that many of them are merely trading back to where they were a few weeks ago. Just look at Tesla (TSLA). The last time the stock was trading just below $600 was just three months ago, at the beginning of December.\nData by YCharts\nI've covered before the five ways to prepare for a stock market crash:\n\nAsk yourself how much drawdown you can cope with.\nMake sure you have the cash you need.\nBuild a portfolio that suits your risk profile.\nBuild a wish list of stocks to buy on sale.\nWrite down your strategy.\n\nIf you follow this approach when the market is chugging along, going through the volatility of the past few days becomes incredibly easier. I would even argue that it becomes an enjoyable process because you get to execute a well thought-out plan and benefit from your preparedness.\nMost investors are already familiar with what I would call \"Investing 101.\" Among the first lessons you learn when starting investing, you often hear what is critical to do when the market crashes:\n\nDon't panic.\nStay the course.\nFocus on the long term.\n\nThe problem with these lessons is that they can be a bit superficial. In theory, many investors understand they should not sell their holdings in a stock market crash and just let it pass. But in practice, there can be a strong temptation to tinker with a portfolio, re-balance aggressively at the worst possible time, or using the majority of your cash reserve too fast and miss great opportunities to invest if the market continues to fall.\nSo I want to go a bit deeper today, offer some perspective and share investing strategies you can choose from.\nUnderstanding Bull and Bear Markets\nThe market has historically gone up over time, with an average 10% annual return over the last 92 years for the SP&P 500 benchmark, and 74% of the years being positive.\nThe graph below, using Morningstar data, shows bull and bear markets since the late 20’s all the way to 2018.\n\nA Bull Market is measured from the lowest close reached after the market has fallen 20% or more to the next high.\nA Bear Market is defined as the index closing at least 20% down from its previous high close. Its duration is the period from the previous high to the lowest close reached after it has fallen 20% or more.\n\nSource: First Trust via Morningstar\nThere are two conclusions that should remain with you:\n\nThe stock market goes up much more than it goes down (several bull markets have lasted more than 10 years, at more than 17% average annualized return)\nWhen it goes down, it goes down fast and sharply (bear markets have lasted less than 3 years, from -22% to -83%)\n\nA bull market might seem like a steady path up and to the right, but volatility is present in all market conditions. Red days and moments of doubt are very common, even through bull markets. From 2009 to 2020, a period of fantastic market returns, you had to go through Brexit, trade wars and general elections, all prompting pundits of all kinds to predict an imminent market collapse.\nTrying to time the market is a waste of time: Nobody can predict it, and if you are out of the market, you are missing on the gains that the market is willing to give you over the years.\nAs pointed out before by Morgan Housel, partner at The Collaborative Fund, stock market crashes happen all the time. Recognizing how often market crashes happen can give you a better idea of what you are getting into and the risks you are taking when investing in equities.\nHere is the historical frequency of pullbacks identified since 1928:\n\nBased on historical data, frequent market sell-offs are the price of admission to the stock market. They happen often, and in an unpredictable way. But the market eventually resumes its path up and to the right, inexorably following GDP growth. If you decide to be out of the market, you are far more likely to be wrong than right, and even more so over long periods of time.\nUnderstanding Risk\nWhen you invest, you are taking not only a market risk but also several specific risks.\n\nMarket Risk: An individual stock is subject at least partially to the same volatility as the market. Think about boats moving up and down with the tide.\nSector Risk:If the entire tech sector takes a beating, like in the early 2000s, even the stocks of solid companies like Microsoft (MSFT) can go down. Companies from the same sector tend to move in tandem, as illustrated by the recent pull-back.\nCompany Risk:The most obvious one. If a company’s business slows down or fails to deliver on expectation, or even files for bankruptcy.\n\nWhen you decide to invest in equities, you already have made the decision to embrace market risk. The best you can do is to recognize it for what it is and let it work its magic both on the way up and on the way down.\nIf you are exposed to a specific sector or category such as Enterprise Software, it should not surprise you to see excellent companies such as CrowdStrike (CRWD), Twilio (TWLO) or Zoom Video (ZM) fall together in the past few days. Your willingness to see a large part of your portfolio underperform for an extended time should educate the level of concentration you are willing to take in a given company or a given sector.\nSome perspective\nThe most powerful way to keep emotions in check in a market sell-off is to take a step back and look at the bigger picture.\nI want to provide readers with a look at my own portfolio drawdown. My real-money portfolio is highly volatile, mostly because it's heavy in the Technology, Communication and Discretionary sectors. I have enjoyed a significant market beating performance over the years, with my portfolio returning +395% since 2015 - even factoring the recent sell-off.\nDuring market sell-offs, my portfolio tends to take a deeper dive, which I'm perfectly fine with because volatility works both ways, and I'm willing to go through the emotional roller-coaster in order to achieve an above-average performance. This strategy is not for everyone, and it works for me only because I'm very patient and invest for the next five, 10, 15, 20 years and beyond. I identify a market sell-off as an opportunity to buy. If that's not your natural tendency, you are probably better off investing in index funds automatically and let someone re-balance it for you.\nMy real-money portfolio has taken a big hit over the last few days. My investments in companies like Teladoc (TDOC), Fastly (FSLY) or Zillow (Z) are down more than 30% since mid-February. Huge winners of the App Economy Portfolio like Shopify (SHOP) or The Trade Desk (TTD) (both 11-baggers as of this writing) are down more than 25% from their all-time-high.\nBut instead of focusing on the past week, or even the past month, I like to look at my portfolio performance over the years to keep things in perspective. As illustrated below, I might be down significantly over the past week, but it should only be observed in the grand scheme of things. My own strategy has enabled me to more than quadruple the S&P 500 performance since 2015. How many times has my portfolio dropped 10% in a few days, only to eventually rebound to new highs? Measuring my own performance and keeping score has helped me stick to my own strategy.\nSource: App Economy Portfolio performance from Personal Capital\nIt's also interesting to look back at the previous large market drawdowns that occurred in late 2018 or in March 2020, clearly visible on the chart. When I look back at my trades during these sell-offs, I see multi-bagger returns across the board. This illustrates why sticking to your strategy during market drawdowns can be extremely lucrative.\nFocus on quality businesses that rarely sell-off\nWarren Buffettwiselyrecommends to \"Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.\"\nI wrote previously aboutfear and greedand how most investors have it all wrong. Even if you are buying during a market sell-off, you might be doing it wrong.\n\nAre you investing in quality companies or simply chasing bargains?\nAre you buying something because it is \"dirt cheap\" or seizing the opportunity to accumulate quality stocks at a lower price?\n\nThe main reason you should be looking for quality rather than sheer value in the context of a market sell-off is that you are already benefiting from a market discount. That discount is offered usually across all types of investments, making some of the best companies more affordable.\nMarket and sector sell-offs are a unique opportunity to finally get a discount on the businesses that keep hitting new all-time-highs and running away from you. I believe that's where your focus should be.\nOf course, the skeptics will continue to say that the high-growth stocks remain extremely over-priced by historical standards. They predict that the next shoe is about to drop, even in the face of a market correction. This mindset has kept many investors away from FAANG stocks (Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX) and Alphabet (GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)) in the past decade.\nPredicting an imminent crash? Isn't this the very symptom of fear?\nBuilding up positions in your winners is a powerful investment philosophy and one that makes even more sense in the context of a market downturn. I covered the art ofadding to your winnerspreviously when I explained why I was adding to my position in MongoDB (MDB).\n\nThese great businesses that sit at the top of your portfolio are the very same as they were before any sector rotation, and they will still be the same after the storm passes. In the short term, a stock performance can be detached from the underlying business, both in up and down markets.\nSource: CNBC\nCash deployment strategy\nNow, assuming you understand the importance of maintaining an optimistic outlook in the face of a market sell-off and are ready for some shopping to take advantage of depressed valuations, we still need to talk about cash deployment strategies.\nMaybe you have cash on the sidelines and you are wondering when or how to put it to use. Many investors make the mistake of going all-in at the first sight of a market pull-back of a few percentage points, only to feel buyer's remorse when the market continues to fall.\nI love this blog postfrom Morgan Housel covering his cash deployment strategy in the context of a market drawdown. He shows in this graph how much of his cash set aside for investing he would deploy in the market based on how much the market has sold off.\n\nSince the S&P 500 is generally used as a proxy for \"the market,\" we still have a long way to go before we hit even the 10% mark. I tend to look at how much my own portfolio has fallen from its previous high as an indicator of the opportunity at play. For example, the App Economy Portfolio is down about 17% from its previous high as of this writing. Using the chart above, it would indicate that now is a good time to deploy around 32% of the cash available to invest.\nWhichever indicator you choose (the S&P, the Nasdaq, your own portfolio draw-down), this is an interesting way to look at cash deployment that can help your investing strategy and avoid running out of dry powder too fast.\nThe Art of Doing Nothing\nBecause emotions run high after a series of red days, the best course of action is often to sit on your hands. That's right, doing nothing at all.\nAs a marketplace leader, I get questions every day about portfolio re-balancing, usually taking the form of a desire to chase returns. Many investors decide they want to reallocate a large part of a portfolio based on what seems right to do in the heat of the moment.\nThe reality is that no portfolio re-balancing should happen in a hurry or be prompted by events that have nothing to do with your long-term strategy. That's why journaling and writing down your investing strategy can be so powerful. It can guide you and put you back on track when you feel compelled to break it all apart.\nRecognizing that there is no urgency to act is essential. As I pointed out in many articles, if your next trade cannot wait for a few days, you are likely making an emotional decision. A great investment should not depend on perfect timing or finding the exact bottom.\nThe Grind\nWe all want to get our accounts to new all-time highs.\nWe do it by saving and investing.\nIt's a given that there are setbacks to the market on the way to new highs. Whenever a new sell-off occurs, we are all back in the grind trying to get our account back to all-time highs.\nThe truth is that everybody has to go through the grind. You should not rely on an overnight success, because there is no such thing. Even Warren Buffett's portfolio is down this week. Think about it.\nA sell-off is naturally shaking out the weak hands and the most emotional investors among us. Make no mistake: The grind and your capacity to go through it all is part of what makes you a great investor.\nConclusion\nInvesting in a down market is a unique opportunity to invest for the long term. The key is to give yourself the best chance to stay cool and make the best decisions:\n\nUnderstand what bull and bear markets really are.\nEvaluate the risks you are taking and why you are taking them.\nIdentify and recognize your emotions and keep them in check.\nIf you want to sell or re-balance yourportfolio: Ask yourself if your investment thesis has really changed, or whether you're simply reacting to the news cycle.\nIf you want to buy: Ask yourself if you are merely chasing a bargain, or if you truly want to invest in a quality company for the long run.\nPrioritize the businesses that rarely offer a discount.\nLook at the big picture: Sell-offs are part of the grind, and we'll all come out stronger on the other 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