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2022-01-13

Nancy Pelosi is invested in this, all in.

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2022-01-05

When they say sell, you should buy/hold

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2022-01-03

Was up so high then crashed so much…disappointing

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2021-12-23

Nioooo

Why Nio Shares Dropped Again Today

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Pelosi is invested in this, all in.","listText":"Nancy Pelosi is invested in this, all in.","text":"Nancy Pelosi is invested in this, all in.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002704901","repostId":"1194290313","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9008117849,"gmtCreate":1641387779984,"gmtModify":1676533608897,"author":{"id":"3559536104810702","authorId":"3559536104810702","name":"CardboardCow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c79aa2894c36fef117ad319db36054","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559536104810702","authorIdStr":"3559536104810702"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When they say sell, you should buy/hold","listText":"When they say sell, you should buy/hold","text":"When they say sell, you should buy/hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008117849","repostId":"2201393362","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9001188735,"gmtCreate":1641190277435,"gmtModify":1676533581194,"author":{"id":"3559536104810702","authorId":"3559536104810702","name":"CardboardCow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c79aa2894c36fef117ad319db36054","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559536104810702","authorIdStr":"3559536104810702"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Was up so high then crashed so much…disappointing","listText":"Was up so high then crashed so much…disappointing","text":"Was up so high then crashed so much…disappointing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9001188735","repostId":"1171608797","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9000594893,"gmtCreate":1640226219192,"gmtModify":1676533509620,"author":{"id":"3559536104810702","authorId":"3559536104810702","name":"CardboardCow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c79aa2894c36fef117ad319db36054","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559536104810702","authorIdStr":"3559536104810702"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nioooo","listText":"Nioooo","text":"Nioooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9000594893","repostId":"1173043963","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173043963","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640225262,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1173043963?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-12-23 10:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Nio Shares Dropped Again Today","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173043963","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Chinese electric vehicle  maker Nioheld its annual Nio Day event last weekend where it unveiled its latest new electric sedan. Though customers appear to be eager to purchase one, Nio stock's continued decline has resulted in a 22% drop in the stock's value over the past month. Today, shares dropped 1.03% and continued to slide 1.34% in extended hours.Nio hasn't put out any company-specific news today, but it introduced its new ET5 electric sedan last weekend, which it hopes will compete with Te","content":"<p>What happened</p>\n<p>Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker&nbsp;<b>Nio</b>(NYSE:NIO)held its annual Nio Day event last weekend where it unveiled its latest new electric sedan. Though customers appear to be eager to purchase one, Nio stock's continued decline has resulted in a 22% drop in the stock's value over the past month. Today, shares dropped 1.03% and&nbsp;continued&nbsp;to&nbsp;slide&nbsp;1.34%&nbsp;in&nbsp;extended&nbsp;hours. </p>\n<p>So what</p>\n<p>Nio hasn't put out any company-specific news today, but it introduced its new ET5 electric sedan last weekend, which it hopes will compete with&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)Model 3. WithTesla CEO Elon Musk making news again today, it may be that investors are shunning Nio shares for Tesla stock. But Nio has more than just the ET5 in its plans to expand from here.</p>\n<p>Now what</p>\n<p>Nio has increased its&nbsp;electric car deliveries&nbsp;by 120.4% through November 2021 versus the comparable year-ago period. But the best may still be yet to come. In addition to its new luxury ET7 sedan that will begin shipping in March 2022, the new ET5 is also expected to start deliveries in September 2022.</p>\n<p>The ET5 will be available with Nio's largest battery that will provide a range of up to about 620 miles on a single charge. And Nio CEO William Li told local media that the ET5, which was officially unveiled Saturday, has already become the most pre-ordered Nio model ever. That is according to CnEVPost, an industry news service focused on the Chinese EV sector.</p>\n<p>Nio also plans to move beyond China in 2022. It already sells its vehicles in Norway and expects to be doing business in Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden, and Denmark in 2022. The company says it will have a presence in over 25 countries by 2025. While investors have been driving shares lower recently, the company hopes its future growth and expansion efforts will eventually reverse that trend.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Nio Shares Dropped Again Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nio Shares Dropped Again Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-23 10:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/why-nio-shares-dropped-again-today/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What happened\nChinese electric vehicle (EV) maker Nio(NYSE:NIO)held its annual Nio Day event last weekend where it unveiled its latest new electric sedan. Though customers appear to be eager to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/why-nio-shares-dropped-again-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/why-nio-shares-dropped-again-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173043963","content_text":"What happened\nChinese electric vehicle (EV) maker Nio(NYSE:NIO)held its annual Nio Day event last weekend where it unveiled its latest new electric sedan. Though customers appear to be eager to purchase one, Nio stock's continued decline has resulted in a 22% drop in the stock's value over the past month. Today, shares dropped 1.03% and continued to slide 1.34% in extended hours. \nSo what\nNio hasn't put out any company-specific news today, but it introduced its new ET5 electric sedan last weekend, which it hopes will compete with Tesla's(NASDAQ:TSLA)Model 3. WithTesla CEO Elon Musk making news again today, it may be that investors are shunning Nio shares for Tesla stock. But Nio has more than just the ET5 in its plans to expand from here.\nNow what\nNio has increased its electric car deliveries by 120.4% through November 2021 versus the comparable year-ago period. But the best may still be yet to come. In addition to its new luxury ET7 sedan that will begin shipping in March 2022, the new ET5 is also expected to start deliveries in September 2022.\nThe ET5 will be available with Nio's largest battery that will provide a range of up to about 620 miles on a single charge. And Nio CEO William Li told local media that the ET5, which was officially unveiled Saturday, has already become the most pre-ordered Nio model ever. That is according to CnEVPost, an industry news service focused on the Chinese EV sector.\nNio also plans to move beyond China in 2022. It already sells its vehicles in Norway and expects to be doing business in Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden, and Denmark in 2022. The company says it will have a presence in over 25 countries by 2025. While investors have been driving shares lower recently, the company hopes its future growth and expansion efforts will eventually reverse that trend.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9001188735,"gmtCreate":1641190277435,"gmtModify":1676533581194,"author":{"id":"3559536104810702","authorId":"3559536104810702","name":"CardboardCow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c79aa2894c36fef117ad319db36054","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559536104810702","idStr":"3559536104810702"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Was up so high then crashed so much…disappointing","listText":"Was up so high then crashed so much…disappointing","text":"Was up so high then crashed so much…disappointing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9001188735","repostId":"1171608797","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1171608797","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641177163,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171608797?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-03 10:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Engaging Wars On Multiple Fronts","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171608797","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryShopee is taking a long-term approach by re-investing its margins to expand into new markets ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Shopee is taking a long-term approach by re-investing its margins to expand into new markets and pursue more market share.</li><li>While Garena growth seems to be tapering down, we do not think its growth has peaked yet due to its strong monetization capabilities in the U.S and others.</li><li>SeaMoney is intentionally ramping up its sales and marketing efforts to drive more adoption to ShopeePay, and that is temporarily suppressing its margins.</li><li>Using a sum-of-parts valuation, the intrinsic value of the business is $341.33, a 55% upside from the current share price.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e67f7a326258558c1021793376f4c25\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Wachiwit/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Overview</b></p><p>Sea Limited is an internet platform company that consists of three main business segments – Garena (digital entertainment), Shopee (e-commerce), and SeaMoney (digital financial services). Throughout the years, Sea Limited has been reinvesting aggressively into their business to capture market share rapidly and grow their user base in every region. Starting out from Singapore, they have since achieved a respectable presence in Southeast Asia, Taiwan, and most recently in Latin America. In this article, we will be unpacking Sea Limited Q3’21 results, as we share our thoughts on the quarter. Do also head to the previous article we have written for Sea Limited.</p><p><b>Garena</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11f0e27a4acd7a2b1671fd01bf86d291\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"791\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>In Q3’21, Garena’s quarterly active users (“QAU”) grew 0.5% sequentially to 729 million, a slowdown in users growth due the law of large numbers. Bookings growth has also stagnated as a result. More users are increasingly transitioning into paying users as the paying user ratio (“PUR”) rose to 12.8%. Based on the low PUR, there is still a large opportunity to convert its existing user base into paying users.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/614efda95d41b79b0ed25736f40cbec8\" tg-width=\"1056\" tg-height=\"652\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>Next, Garena’s average revenue per paying user (“ARPPU”) continues to taper down to $12.88, and that is likely due to most users coming from India and Latin America with much lower spending power. We will not rule out the possibility that Garena may increase the pricing of its in-game items to increase its monetization. Over time, the two key metrics that we should be measuring closely are PUR and ARPPU, and both tell us whether Garena can improve its monetizing capabilities to sustain its growth rate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac621fe91314553c8c3337633f7055c6\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"759\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sensortower</span></p><p>What is impressive during the quarter is that Garena Free Fire (“FF”) revenue per download (“RPD”) heavily surpassed its rivals in the United States, even though it has a much smaller user base. And despite PUBG re-launching in India in Q2&#39;21, FF is still leading by the highest RPD, as well as app rankings, showing that it has better monetization capabilities than its peers. According to SensorTower, FF was also the top five most downloaded games worldwide for six consecutive quarters, and in Q3’21, it was ranked as top three. With the game nearing five years of operation, this removes any doubt that its growth has peaked, and it is well on its way to building an enduring franchise.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cb798c3496a01756720d7566f71ec6f\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"900\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Free Fire Twitter</span></p><p>Garena Free Fire Max, an enhanced version of the current FF game was also launched in the quarter. Interestingly, what caught our eye was the introduction of a new feature called “Craftland”, where FF offers a “platform” for users to unleash their creativity through creating their own maps and inviting their friends over to play. This helps to increase social interaction, engagements, and also the stickiness of the game. As of today, it has over 4.57 million downloads on Google Play Store and it has a high review of over 4 stars. If we head over to Youtube, there are plenty of videos related to “Craftland”, showing how well received it is by the FF community. Looking ahead, Garena seeks to introduce more content, features, modes, and gameplays to sustain its existing strong base of users.</p><p>On top of that, Garena’s strong global presence has also received accelerated interest from worldwide studios looking to partner up with them, and management states that they are working on new ideas in the pipeline.</p><p><b>Shopee</b></p><p><b>Expansion into other markets</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9be6ee805f0031bdbda5f9091e2d818\" tg-width=\"748\" tg-height=\"556\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Shopee India</span></p><p>Shopee has also expanded into multiple markets, including France,Poland,Spain,India, and also Argentina. If we head to the websites, there are a few common traits that we observed, and that is Shopee replicating its playbook by giving out free shipping, free commission (to sellers), cashback, and vouchers across its platform to entice users to use the platform and to spur the flywheel effect. This has proven to work in countries in SEA and Brazil, as evident from its market leadership.</p><p><b>Operating and Financial Metrics</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e705eacc3dc34accf3e60455b81f0112\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"791\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>Shopee recorded a growth rate of 80% which saw its GMV reach US$16.8 billion. Recently, Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) has disclosed the LTM revenue of Lazada, which is US$21 billion, up 60% YOY. By comparison, Shopee LTM GMV grew 90% YOY to $US56 billion, heavily surpassing that of its rival.</p><p>There are also signs of improving monetization as the take-rate increased sequentially to 8.93% during the quarter. As Shopee scales larger over time, it has the ability to increase its take-rate without losing its sellers as it is able to bring higher sales volume to its sellers than any other platform.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f793d575a267fe3e4fe60299189f29e\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>Based on the total addressable market (“TAM”) of US$260 billion GMV, Shopee is the clear market leader with 21% of the TAM, followed by Lazada&#39;s 8%. This shows how quickly Shopee has been gobbling up market share, making it an undisputed leader in the region.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88f5af1de4543fd03fcebaa9de4c1e3c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"678\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Google Trend</span></p><p>Data from Google Trend also shows that Shopee continues to lead ahead of Lazada and Tokopedia. Interestingly, Alibaba’s management has also laid out a goal to achieve a $US 100 billion GMV, although a timeline is not given. Alibaba is re-focusing its attention on the Southeast Asia market.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0411927ec3f53dbbbd0a669cae109dc7\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>Shopee’s order volume grew 129% YOY, which is its ninth-consecutive quarter of triple-digit growth rate. By comparison, Lazada’s order growth rate was only 82%. This tells us that users are spending more on Shopee than Lazada, which is not surprising due to Shopee’s overwhelming consumers’ mindshare. To get an outlook into next quarter’s results, Shopee recorded 13 times more items sold on an average day in the first 2 hours of its 12.12 event promotion, revealing how successful the campaign was.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5b0365bf05142d748d698ab1c3d0f1\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>The average order value (&#34;AOV&#34;) continues to decline to $9.88 in the quarter. In our view, this is not a cause for worry. In the newer markets that Shopee has expanded into, users tend to start with smaller purchases with lower AOV. Over time, as they established more trust with the platform, they will increasingly move towards purchasing higher-ticket items.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3be44b2dc1e75eaf3db57e1d823ecaa\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>Turning to profitability, Shopee’s gross profit margin (“GPM”) was 26.72%, compared to 31.94% in Q2’21. This was largely due to the higher cost of revenue in the quarter, including higher logistic costs associated with order growth and value-added services such as inventory management and fulfillment services provided to customers.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d06185d6b36d451ed2095fabbc052ba6\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>Sales and marketing expenses (“S&amp;M”) expenses increased 124% YOY to $689 million, as Shopee ramp up its S&amp;M efforts to capture more market share across its existing and new markets. As a result, S&amp;M expenses as a % of GMV continue to fluctuate at 4.10%. Considering that some of its operating markets are in the early stages, investments may increase if the management spots any clear opportunities.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8aaa58e08ff935169c615806c98eadca\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>As a result of the lower gross profit and higher S&amp;M expenses, Shopee’s adjusted loss per order fluctuates at a negative $0.40 in the quarter. This is notable considering Shopee entered many new countries with zero monetization, and took its profits from its matured markets to finance S&amp;M expenses in the newer markets.</p><p>This is supported by a statement by Chief Corporate Officer Wang in Q2 2021:</p><blockquote>In terms of positive EBITDA from Malaysia, again, we&#39;re very happy to report that Malaysia has become the second market to achieve positive EBITDA after Taiwan for our Shopee business. And of course, it is followed by the results of better monetization over time as well as improving operational efficiency over time. As we stressed before that the marketplace e-commerce model in terms of profitability is highly proven and with scale and strong market leadership and ability to deliver a clear and increasing value to our seller communities, we will be able to make a strong profit down the road. And this is basically generating value to our communities and, by that, will generate value to our shareholders as well.</blockquote><p><b>Battle with the Incumbents</b></p><p>While Shopee expands aggressively, it is also important to consider the competitive landscape across its markets, and that includes the incumbent Allegro, a 20-year-old well-established local e-commerce platform in Poland, and Mercado Libre, the biggest e-commerce platform across Latin America (“LATAM”), particularly in Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina.</p><p><b>Latin America</b></p><p>According to Similarweb, Shopee’s web traffic is increasing steadily across LATAM, which include Colombia,Mexico, and Brazil, although MELI is leading by a wide margin.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8e8ab3232fdc0a70c67186b0bae587c\" tg-width=\"552\" tg-height=\"556\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Top shopping app in Colombia, Source: SensorTower</span></p><p>However, based on the app rankings on SensorTower, Shopee has surpassed and overtook MELI as the top shopping app across Mexico,Chile, Colombia, and Brazil. This was accomplished within a span of 6 months, excluding its operation in Brazil.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d50771a33f9bbe4451ae3b496eeed1db\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Instagram</span></p><p>Alternatively, we can also track their social media followers as this gives us a sense of Shopee’s brand awareness in the region. As of ending Dec 2021, it has more followers than Mercardo in Colombia and Brazil, with Chile and Mexico coming close.</p><p><b>Poland</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82d28504ed7a24520b23f28860b28fed\" tg-width=\"547\" tg-height=\"472\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure - Shopee is the #1 shopping app in Poland, Source: Sensortower</span></p><p>Similarly in Poland, Shopee follows the same footprint whereby Allegro’s (WSE:ALE) web traffic leads by a mile, but it was overtaken by Shopee as the number one shopping app, and this was achieved within 3 months since Shopee was launched. In addition, Shopee and Allegro have 12.8k and 68k Instagram followers, respectively.</p><p>Although Allegro has over 10 million downloads on Google Play Store, this is insignificant considering that it is only a fraction of its total website visits of 222 million. This may suggest that there is lesser focus and emphasis on the mobile app.</p><p><b>Shopee Concluding Thoughts</b></p><p>It is not surprising to see this data surfaced because users in Poland and LATAM are more accustomed to shopping on the browser, and so there was much less emphasis on mobile. Therefore, Shopee leveraged its mobile-first approach, capitalizing on the opportunity and that has proven to be successful based on the data from third-party sources.</p><p>While investors seem to be concerned that Shopee is fighting too many wars on its front, including its expansion into India, Argentina, and France, the management has demonstrated that they are capable enough to execute given its strong localization capabilities. This long-term approach to sacrifice short-term profitability and pursue additional market share are also well-aligned to the shareholders.</p><p><b>Digital Finance - SeaMoney</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d530155412cffe0c2f8eb8d2f56adb7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"791\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>In Q3’21, SeaMoney’s total payment volume (“TPV”) grew 119% YOY to reach $4.6 billion, and this was mainly driven by the increase in customers’ adoption of ShopeePay. There are also improvements in monetization as take-rate increased to 2.9% from 0.7% in Q3’20, and as a result, revenue grew at a staggering rate of over 800% YOY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eefc6aab1a7fe29f20f51ef27681affa\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Own&#39;s Graph</span></p><p>During the earnings call, the management also talked about an inherent flywheel effect in SeaMoney, that as more merchants join ShopeePay, the number of use cases increases. This encourages consumers to use ShopeePay and thus drives further adoption. When the user base grows larger and larger, more merchants expressed their interest to get on board, accelerating the acquisition on both sides (merchants and consumers) of the business. Users also get additional benefits such as cashback and vouchers, which help to spur the network effect. Over time, customer acquisition costs (“CAC”) will also come down as more users join organically.</p><p>ShopeePay’s use cases include bill payments, contactless payment at offline retails, paying for taxi rides (i.e. partnership with Blue Bird Taxi in Indonesia), and many more.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a8cd811e58a9ca86e248cb272f77e5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"787\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>S&amp;M expenses increased 65% YoY as SeaMoney drives more adoption to its mobile wallet business. However, S&amp;M expenses as a % of TPV have reduced to 4.26% from 5.64% a year ago, showing sales efficiency as lower marketing spending are translating into higher revenue growth. If we add back the S&amp;M expenses to its adjusted EBITDA, its normalized margin for this quarter is actually 27.8%. This shows that its margin is artificially depressed as the management is intentionally spending on S&amp;M to grow its market share.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/609d411ca867f1c02768681be73e44d6\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"792\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Quarterly Report</span></p><p>As of Q3’21, the number of quarterly paying users (“QPU”) reached 39.7 million, a 20% sequential growth from Q2’21. This existing user base is important as its digital bank is set to launch in 2022.</p><p>Diving deeper, we can get a glimpse into the upcoming financial products that will be launched based on Linkedin’s job openings, and that includes insurance,wealth management,prepaid cards, and as well as credit services revolving around repayment loans and revolving credits. And in Sep 2021, SeaMoney also launched its digital bank app in Indonesia.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>The slowdown in Garena’s growth rate</p><ul><li><p>As Garena’s growth starts to taper down, it is important for us to track whether the PUR and ARPPU are increasing over time as these tell us whether they are improving their monetization capabilities.</p></li><li><p>However, we do not expect growth to decline drastically due to the highly engaging nature of the game, and as well as new ideas in the pipeline.</p></li></ul><p>Shopee aggressive expansion into new markets</p><ul><li><p>Shopee entry into new markets and the competitive pressure may accelerate its cash burn rate and erode its profit margin over time. However, we believe the risk is mitigated for a few reasons — due to the hefty $11.2 billion cash on its balance sheet, cash cow of Garena, and not to mention, Shopee is also profitable on a GPM basis.</p></li><li><p>Going forward, we should track Shopee’s website traffic,app rankings,google trends,social media followings to see if these investments are translating into results.</p></li></ul><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>To calculate the intrinsic value of Sea Group, we will be using the sum-of-the-parts (“SOTP”) valuation model and some comparables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e1008fe7564b4ddff7f3b72591d647e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"569\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Morningstar, OutlookIndia</span></p><p><b>Garena Valuation</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a02ef5f5a79b78be636a73b04be45e78\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"137\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Own Estimates</span></p><p>To determine a reasonable multiple to assign to Garena, we cross-reference to other gaming peers such as Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA) and Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI), which are trading at roughly 18x multiple. Considering that both companies are growing much faster, and growth rate in Q3’21, an implied multiple of 18x and a forward growth rate of 25% are reasonable. Therefore, Garena is worth approximately $63.83 billion.</p><p><b>Shopee Valuation</b></p><p>Looking at comparable transactions of Flipkart, Tokopedia, and Lazada, along with assessing the quality of each business, we think of a fair multiple of EV/GMV as 1x.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e90103e5677261fee18f312dd39b00\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"129\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Own Estimates</span></p><p>With an implied EV/GMV of 1x, and a forward 100% growth rate on Shopee’s last 12 months (“LTM”) GMV of $56 billion, Shopee is worth $112.6 billion.</p><p><b>SeaMoney Valuation</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d5a874c9c714f6fda34c50a4354d107\" tg-width=\"423\" tg-height=\"535\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Own Estimates</span></p><p>Referencing from matured peers such as Paypal (NASDAQ: PYPL) with an operating margin of 25% and take-rate of 2.3%, we think that these financial metrics are achievable for SeaMoney. With a forward growth rate of 100% based on Q3’21 results, considering that it is still in the early stages and yet to launch its digital bank, this gives us an implied EV/TPV of 0.3x.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08c8ea50bcca5f450ad3c27a79390bad\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"129\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Own Estimates</span></p><p>With an implied EV/TPV of 0.3x, and a growth of 100% on the annualized TPV (based on Q3’21 TPV), SeaMoney is worth $11 billion.</p><p><b>Entire Business</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/340a2ecbea6bcb1460204dbe8aa82e58\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"813\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Own Estimates</span></p><p>After calculating the individual business segments, this gives us a market cap of $196.9 billion for the entire business, after accounting for cash and debt. With shares outstanding of 576 million, after factoring in 4% dilution, this gives us an intrinsic value of $341.33 per share, a 55.4% upside from the current share price.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Shopee continues to extend its market leadership position by pursuing new growth opportunities in new markets. While Shopee seems to be fighting too many wars on its front, it has demonstrated that it has strong localization capabilities and the know-how to expand overseas as Shopee tops the shopping app across Latin America and Poland within a short span of 3 to 6 months. However, the incumbents are still leading by website traffic, and it is still early to judge whether Shopee could be a real threat to its rivals.</p><p>Next, while Garena’s growth seems to be slowing down, we do not think its growth has reached its peak because of its strong growth exhibited in the US, paying user ratio of only 12.8%, and potential games in the pipelines. With the management track record of creating highly engaging content on FF, we believe it can be an enduring franchise for years to come, with growth likely not to taper down so quickly.</p><p>The management is intentionally suppressing SeaMoney’s margins by ramping up the S&amp;M efforts to drive more adoption to its mobile wallet business. However, they have demonstrated sales efficiency as S&amp;M as % of revenue is declining YOY. With the digital bank set to launch in Singapore in FY2022, we believe SeaMoney is still in the early stages of growth.</p><p>Finally, based on our estimation, we believe Sea Group is worth $341.33 per share. This is a 55.4% upside from the current share price.</p><p>This article was written by Superstocks Seekers.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Engaging Wars On Multiple Fronts</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Engaging Wars On Multiple Fronts\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-03 10:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4477615-sea-limited-engaging-wars-multiple-fronts-buy><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryShopee is taking a long-term approach by re-investing its margins to expand into new markets and pursue more market share.While Garena growth seems to be tapering down, we do not think its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4477615-sea-limited-engaging-wars-multiple-fronts-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4477615-sea-limited-engaging-wars-multiple-fronts-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171608797","content_text":"SummaryShopee is taking a long-term approach by re-investing its margins to expand into new markets and pursue more market share.While Garena growth seems to be tapering down, we do not think its growth has peaked yet due to its strong monetization capabilities in the U.S and others.SeaMoney is intentionally ramping up its sales and marketing efforts to drive more adoption to ShopeePay, and that is temporarily suppressing its margins.Using a sum-of-parts valuation, the intrinsic value of the business is $341.33, a 55% upside from the current share price.Wachiwit/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesOverviewSea Limited is an internet platform company that consists of three main business segments – Garena (digital entertainment), Shopee (e-commerce), and SeaMoney (digital financial services). Throughout the years, Sea Limited has been reinvesting aggressively into their business to capture market share rapidly and grow their user base in every region. Starting out from Singapore, they have since achieved a respectable presence in Southeast Asia, Taiwan, and most recently in Latin America. In this article, we will be unpacking Sea Limited Q3’21 results, as we share our thoughts on the quarter. Do also head to the previous article we have written for Sea Limited.GarenaSource: Sea Quarterly ReportIn Q3’21, Garena’s quarterly active users (“QAU”) grew 0.5% sequentially to 729 million, a slowdown in users growth due the law of large numbers. Bookings growth has also stagnated as a result. More users are increasingly transitioning into paying users as the paying user ratio (“PUR”) rose to 12.8%. Based on the low PUR, there is still a large opportunity to convert its existing user base into paying users.Source: Sea Quarterly ReportNext, Garena’s average revenue per paying user (“ARPPU”) continues to taper down to $12.88, and that is likely due to most users coming from India and Latin America with much lower spending power. We will not rule out the possibility that Garena may increase the pricing of its in-game items to increase its monetization. Over time, the two key metrics that we should be measuring closely are PUR and ARPPU, and both tell us whether Garena can improve its monetizing capabilities to sustain its growth rate.Source: SensortowerWhat is impressive during the quarter is that Garena Free Fire (“FF”) revenue per download (“RPD”) heavily surpassed its rivals in the United States, even though it has a much smaller user base. And despite PUBG re-launching in India in Q2'21, FF is still leading by the highest RPD, as well as app rankings, showing that it has better monetization capabilities than its peers. According to SensorTower, FF was also the top five most downloaded games worldwide for six consecutive quarters, and in Q3’21, it was ranked as top three. With the game nearing five years of operation, this removes any doubt that its growth has peaked, and it is well on its way to building an enduring franchise.Source: Free Fire TwitterGarena Free Fire Max, an enhanced version of the current FF game was also launched in the quarter. Interestingly, what caught our eye was the introduction of a new feature called “Craftland”, where FF offers a “platform” for users to unleash their creativity through creating their own maps and inviting their friends over to play. This helps to increase social interaction, engagements, and also the stickiness of the game. As of today, it has over 4.57 million downloads on Google Play Store and it has a high review of over 4 stars. If we head over to Youtube, there are plenty of videos related to “Craftland”, showing how well received it is by the FF community. Looking ahead, Garena seeks to introduce more content, features, modes, and gameplays to sustain its existing strong base of users.On top of that, Garena’s strong global presence has also received accelerated interest from worldwide studios looking to partner up with them, and management states that they are working on new ideas in the pipeline.ShopeeExpansion into other marketsSource: Shopee IndiaShopee has also expanded into multiple markets, including France,Poland,Spain,India, and also Argentina. If we head to the websites, there are a few common traits that we observed, and that is Shopee replicating its playbook by giving out free shipping, free commission (to sellers), cashback, and vouchers across its platform to entice users to use the platform and to spur the flywheel effect. This has proven to work in countries in SEA and Brazil, as evident from its market leadership.Operating and Financial MetricsSource: Sea Quarterly ReportShopee recorded a growth rate of 80% which saw its GMV reach US$16.8 billion. Recently, Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) has disclosed the LTM revenue of Lazada, which is US$21 billion, up 60% YOY. By comparison, Shopee LTM GMV grew 90% YOY to $US56 billion, heavily surpassing that of its rival.There are also signs of improving monetization as the take-rate increased sequentially to 8.93% during the quarter. As Shopee scales larger over time, it has the ability to increase its take-rate without losing its sellers as it is able to bring higher sales volume to its sellers than any other platform.Source: Sea Quarterly ReportBased on the total addressable market (“TAM”) of US$260 billion GMV, Shopee is the clear market leader with 21% of the TAM, followed by Lazada's 8%. This shows how quickly Shopee has been gobbling up market share, making it an undisputed leader in the region.Source: Google TrendData from Google Trend also shows that Shopee continues to lead ahead of Lazada and Tokopedia. Interestingly, Alibaba’s management has also laid out a goal to achieve a $US 100 billion GMV, although a timeline is not given. Alibaba is re-focusing its attention on the Southeast Asia market.Source: Sea Quarterly ReportShopee’s order volume grew 129% YOY, which is its ninth-consecutive quarter of triple-digit growth rate. By comparison, Lazada’s order growth rate was only 82%. This tells us that users are spending more on Shopee than Lazada, which is not surprising due to Shopee’s overwhelming consumers’ mindshare. To get an outlook into next quarter’s results, Shopee recorded 13 times more items sold on an average day in the first 2 hours of its 12.12 event promotion, revealing how successful the campaign was.Source: Sea Quarterly ReportThe average order value (\"AOV\") continues to decline to $9.88 in the quarter. In our view, this is not a cause for worry. In the newer markets that Shopee has expanded into, users tend to start with smaller purchases with lower AOV. Over time, as they established more trust with the platform, they will increasingly move towards purchasing higher-ticket items.Source: Sea Quarterly ReportTurning to profitability, Shopee’s gross profit margin (“GPM”) was 26.72%, compared to 31.94% in Q2’21. This was largely due to the higher cost of revenue in the quarter, including higher logistic costs associated with order growth and value-added services such as inventory management and fulfillment services provided to customers.Source: Sea Quarterly ReportSales and marketing expenses (“S&M”) expenses increased 124% YOY to $689 million, as Shopee ramp up its S&M efforts to capture more market share across its existing and new markets. As a result, S&M expenses as a % of GMV continue to fluctuate at 4.10%. Considering that some of its operating markets are in the early stages, investments may increase if the management spots any clear opportunities.Source: Sea Quarterly ReportAs a result of the lower gross profit and higher S&M expenses, Shopee’s adjusted loss per order fluctuates at a negative $0.40 in the quarter. This is notable considering Shopee entered many new countries with zero monetization, and took its profits from its matured markets to finance S&M expenses in the newer markets.This is supported by a statement by Chief Corporate Officer Wang in Q2 2021:In terms of positive EBITDA from Malaysia, again, we're very happy to report that Malaysia has become the second market to achieve positive EBITDA after Taiwan for our Shopee business. And of course, it is followed by the results of better monetization over time as well as improving operational efficiency over time. As we stressed before that the marketplace e-commerce model in terms of profitability is highly proven and with scale and strong market leadership and ability to deliver a clear and increasing value to our seller communities, we will be able to make a strong profit down the road. And this is basically generating value to our communities and, by that, will generate value to our shareholders as well.Battle with the IncumbentsWhile Shopee expands aggressively, it is also important to consider the competitive landscape across its markets, and that includes the incumbent Allegro, a 20-year-old well-established local e-commerce platform in Poland, and Mercado Libre, the biggest e-commerce platform across Latin America (“LATAM”), particularly in Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina.Latin AmericaAccording to Similarweb, Shopee’s web traffic is increasing steadily across LATAM, which include Colombia,Mexico, and Brazil, although MELI is leading by a wide margin.Top shopping app in Colombia, Source: SensorTowerHowever, based on the app rankings on SensorTower, Shopee has surpassed and overtook MELI as the top shopping app across Mexico,Chile, Colombia, and Brazil. This was accomplished within a span of 6 months, excluding its operation in Brazil.Source: InstagramAlternatively, we can also track their social media followers as this gives us a sense of Shopee’s brand awareness in the region. As of ending Dec 2021, it has more followers than Mercardo in Colombia and Brazil, with Chile and Mexico coming close.PolandFigure - Shopee is the #1 shopping app in Poland, Source: SensortowerSimilarly in Poland, Shopee follows the same footprint whereby Allegro’s (WSE:ALE) web traffic leads by a mile, but it was overtaken by Shopee as the number one shopping app, and this was achieved within 3 months since Shopee was launched. In addition, Shopee and Allegro have 12.8k and 68k Instagram followers, respectively.Although Allegro has over 10 million downloads on Google Play Store, this is insignificant considering that it is only a fraction of its total website visits of 222 million. This may suggest that there is lesser focus and emphasis on the mobile app.Shopee Concluding ThoughtsIt is not surprising to see this data surfaced because users in Poland and LATAM are more accustomed to shopping on the browser, and so there was much less emphasis on mobile. Therefore, Shopee leveraged its mobile-first approach, capitalizing on the opportunity and that has proven to be successful based on the data from third-party sources.While investors seem to be concerned that Shopee is fighting too many wars on its front, including its expansion into India, Argentina, and France, the management has demonstrated that they are capable enough to execute given its strong localization capabilities. This long-term approach to sacrifice short-term profitability and pursue additional market share are also well-aligned to the shareholders.Digital Finance - SeaMoneySource: Sea Quarterly ReportIn Q3’21, SeaMoney’s total payment volume (“TPV”) grew 119% YOY to reach $4.6 billion, and this was mainly driven by the increase in customers’ adoption of ShopeePay. There are also improvements in monetization as take-rate increased to 2.9% from 0.7% in Q3’20, and as a result, revenue grew at a staggering rate of over 800% YOY.Source: Own's GraphDuring the earnings call, the management also talked about an inherent flywheel effect in SeaMoney, that as more merchants join ShopeePay, the number of use cases increases. This encourages consumers to use ShopeePay and thus drives further adoption. When the user base grows larger and larger, more merchants expressed their interest to get on board, accelerating the acquisition on both sides (merchants and consumers) of the business. Users also get additional benefits such as cashback and vouchers, which help to spur the network effect. Over time, customer acquisition costs (“CAC”) will also come down as more users join organically.ShopeePay’s use cases include bill payments, contactless payment at offline retails, paying for taxi rides (i.e. partnership with Blue Bird Taxi in Indonesia), and many more.Source: Sea Quarterly ReportS&M expenses increased 65% YoY as SeaMoney drives more adoption to its mobile wallet business. However, S&M expenses as a % of TPV have reduced to 4.26% from 5.64% a year ago, showing sales efficiency as lower marketing spending are translating into higher revenue growth. If we add back the S&M expenses to its adjusted EBITDA, its normalized margin for this quarter is actually 27.8%. This shows that its margin is artificially depressed as the management is intentionally spending on S&M to grow its market share.Source: Sea Quarterly ReportAs of Q3’21, the number of quarterly paying users (“QPU”) reached 39.7 million, a 20% sequential growth from Q2’21. This existing user base is important as its digital bank is set to launch in 2022.Diving deeper, we can get a glimpse into the upcoming financial products that will be launched based on Linkedin’s job openings, and that includes insurance,wealth management,prepaid cards, and as well as credit services revolving around repayment loans and revolving credits. And in Sep 2021, SeaMoney also launched its digital bank app in Indonesia.RisksThe slowdown in Garena’s growth rateAs Garena’s growth starts to taper down, it is important for us to track whether the PUR and ARPPU are increasing over time as these tell us whether they are improving their monetization capabilities.However, we do not expect growth to decline drastically due to the highly engaging nature of the game, and as well as new ideas in the pipeline.Shopee aggressive expansion into new marketsShopee entry into new markets and the competitive pressure may accelerate its cash burn rate and erode its profit margin over time. However, we believe the risk is mitigated for a few reasons — due to the hefty $11.2 billion cash on its balance sheet, cash cow of Garena, and not to mention, Shopee is also profitable on a GPM basis.Going forward, we should track Shopee’s website traffic,app rankings,google trends,social media followings to see if these investments are translating into results.ValuationTo calculate the intrinsic value of Sea Group, we will be using the sum-of-the-parts (“SOTP”) valuation model and some comparables.Source: Morningstar, OutlookIndiaGarena ValuationSource: Own EstimatesTo determine a reasonable multiple to assign to Garena, we cross-reference to other gaming peers such as Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA) and Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI), which are trading at roughly 18x multiple. Considering that both companies are growing much faster, and growth rate in Q3’21, an implied multiple of 18x and a forward growth rate of 25% are reasonable. Therefore, Garena is worth approximately $63.83 billion.Shopee ValuationLooking at comparable transactions of Flipkart, Tokopedia, and Lazada, along with assessing the quality of each business, we think of a fair multiple of EV/GMV as 1x.Source: Own EstimatesWith an implied EV/GMV of 1x, and a forward 100% growth rate on Shopee’s last 12 months (“LTM”) GMV of $56 billion, Shopee is worth $112.6 billion.SeaMoney ValuationSource: Own EstimatesReferencing from matured peers such as Paypal (NASDAQ: PYPL) with an operating margin of 25% and take-rate of 2.3%, we think that these financial metrics are achievable for SeaMoney. With a forward growth rate of 100% based on Q3’21 results, considering that it is still in the early stages and yet to launch its digital bank, this gives us an implied EV/TPV of 0.3x.Source: Own EstimatesWith an implied EV/TPV of 0.3x, and a growth of 100% on the annualized TPV (based on Q3’21 TPV), SeaMoney is worth $11 billion.Entire BusinessSource: Own EstimatesAfter calculating the individual business segments, this gives us a market cap of $196.9 billion for the entire business, after accounting for cash and debt. With shares outstanding of 576 million, after factoring in 4% dilution, this gives us an intrinsic value of $341.33 per share, a 55.4% upside from the current share price.ConclusionShopee continues to extend its market leadership position by pursuing new growth opportunities in new markets. While Shopee seems to be fighting too many wars on its front, it has demonstrated that it has strong localization capabilities and the know-how to expand overseas as Shopee tops the shopping app across Latin America and Poland within a short span of 3 to 6 months. However, the incumbents are still leading by website traffic, and it is still early to judge whether Shopee could be a real threat to its rivals.Next, while Garena’s growth seems to be slowing down, we do not think its growth has reached its peak because of its strong growth exhibited in the US, paying user ratio of only 12.8%, and potential games in the pipelines. With the management track record of creating highly engaging content on FF, we believe it can be an enduring franchise for years to come, with growth likely not to taper down so quickly.The management is intentionally suppressing SeaMoney’s margins by ramping up the S&M efforts to drive more adoption to its mobile wallet business. However, they have demonstrated sales efficiency as S&M as % of revenue is declining YOY. With the digital bank set to launch in Singapore in FY2022, we believe SeaMoney is still in the early stages of growth.Finally, based on our estimation, we believe Sea Group is worth $341.33 per share. This is a 55.4% upside from the current share price.This article was written by Superstocks Seekers.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002704901,"gmtCreate":1642086192762,"gmtModify":1676533679523,"author":{"id":"3559536104810702","authorId":"3559536104810702","name":"CardboardCow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c79aa2894c36fef117ad319db36054","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559536104810702","idStr":"3559536104810702"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nancy Pelosi is invested in this, all in.","listText":"Nancy Pelosi is invested in this, all in.","text":"Nancy Pelosi is invested in this, all in.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002704901","repostId":"1194290313","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194290313","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642087803,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194290313?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-13 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Down 15% Already in 2022, Is This Metaverse Stock a Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194290313","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"While 2021 was very good to Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. Th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>While 2021 was very good to <b>Roblox</b>(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. This gaming platform company with metaverse potential has been caught up in the broader growth stock sell-off and is trading down about 15% year to date.</p><p>Part of the drop can be attributed to some investor concern heading into 2022 about Roblox&#39;s rich valuation. Let&#39;s look closer at this metaverse company and determine if the concern is justified, or if perhaps the stock is worth buying at its lower (but still elevated) price.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39c7699742042e6778c9a2fe3f20c4be\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"680\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>VARIOUS CHARACTERS FROM THE ROBLOX UNIVERSE STAND TOGETHER ON A SIMULATED STREET IN THE ROBLOX &#34;METAVERSE.&#34; IMAGE SOURCE: ROBLOX.</span></p><p><b>Roblox is maintaining its user growth momentum</b></p><p>The Roblox app is free to join and use. The company earns revenue through in-app purchases voluntarily made by its users. This freemium model has helped the company attract 49.4 million daily active users (as of November). That&#39;s 35% higher than in the same month in 2020. User engagement and new signups surged for Roblox at the pandemic onset when millions of kids were sent home for remote learning, and extracurricular activities were paused. Despite economies reopening and schools bringing kids back to campus, Roblox has sustained its user growth rates. That&#39;s impressive.</p><p>If users wish to access certain items and activities on the platform, they do so by spending Robux, an in-game currency that is purchased with real money. The company records revenue when users spend Robux in the game. In its most recently reported quarter, ended Sept. 30, Roblox earned $509 million in revenue. That total was up by 102% from the same quarter in 2020. In fact, Roblox has doubled revenue year over year in each of the previous four quarters.</p><p>Roblox in-house developers do not create most of the games and items that players spend Robux on. Instead, Roblox has a community of third-party developers who spend their time and resources using the platform to create unique experiences, gameplay, and objects they think players will enjoy. This business model lowers the development costs for Roblox and it also lowers one of the biggest risks involved with game development -- the cost of developing an unpopular game. The user-developers take on the risk and only get their share of the compensation if the game attracts user engagement and Robux spending. Only proven hits that generate engagement make money.</p><p>The model is proving to be effective at generating cash flow for Roblox. While Roblox isnot profitable on the bottom line, it is earning a growing stream of free cash flow. It has put together a streak of five consecutive quarters where its free cash flow surpassed $100 million. That&#39;s remarkably higher than in all of 2019, when it earned less than $15 million in free cash flow.</p><p>The one metric for Roblox that shows anysigns of slowing downdue to economic reopening is the average booking per daily active user. Booking is the equivalent of a cash deposit. This is money that players are putting onto Roblox to buy Robux, but they have not used it just yet. In its most recent update, Roblox said the average booking per daily active user declined between 8% to 9% from the same month the prior year. A decrease in deposits could foreshadow decreasing year-over-year revenue.</p><p>Interestingly, the metaverse is a place where individuals can virtually interact with each other and their environment. Roblox platform is an early-stage version of this. &#34;Metaverse&#34; means different things to different people, and the way users of Roblox interact with each other through the program already fits at least one of these definitions. But there is more it can do, and Roblox management is working with in-house and outside developers to see where it can go with this trend. Of course, the quality of this experience is improved the more immersive it feels. In that regard, Roblox&#39;s attractiveness to users will increase as virtual reality hardware becomes more readily available at more affordable prices.</p><p><b>An excellent company that appears overpriced</b></p><p>The fall in Roblox&#39;s stock price has it trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 25.4, down from 40 just a few months ago. It also dropped its price-to-free-cash-flow ratio to 70, down from over 105 a few months earlier. Both metrics suggest the stock is still trading at a premium. Some of that may be related to Roblox&#39;s long-term potential to be a metaverse player. If you agree with this assessment, now might be as good a time as any to buy-in. For others, the fall has made Roblox stock a little more attractive, but investors might want towait a bit longer and see if there is a further pullbackbefore adding shares of this excellent metaversestock.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Down 15% Already in 2022, Is This Metaverse Stock a Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDown 15% Already in 2022, Is This Metaverse Stock a Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-13 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/13/is-this-metaverse-stock-buy-2022-roblox/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>While 2021 was very good to Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. This gaming platform company with metaverse potential has been caught up in the broader growth stock ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/13/is-this-metaverse-stock-buy-2022-roblox/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/13/is-this-metaverse-stock-buy-2022-roblox/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194290313","content_text":"While 2021 was very good to Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. This gaming platform company with metaverse potential has been caught up in the broader growth stock sell-off and is trading down about 15% year to date.Part of the drop can be attributed to some investor concern heading into 2022 about Roblox's rich valuation. Let's look closer at this metaverse company and determine if the concern is justified, or if perhaps the stock is worth buying at its lower (but still elevated) price.VARIOUS CHARACTERS FROM THE ROBLOX UNIVERSE STAND TOGETHER ON A SIMULATED STREET IN THE ROBLOX \"METAVERSE.\" IMAGE SOURCE: ROBLOX.Roblox is maintaining its user growth momentumThe Roblox app is free to join and use. The company earns revenue through in-app purchases voluntarily made by its users. This freemium model has helped the company attract 49.4 million daily active users (as of November). That's 35% higher than in the same month in 2020. User engagement and new signups surged for Roblox at the pandemic onset when millions of kids were sent home for remote learning, and extracurricular activities were paused. Despite economies reopening and schools bringing kids back to campus, Roblox has sustained its user growth rates. That's impressive.If users wish to access certain items and activities on the platform, they do so by spending Robux, an in-game currency that is purchased with real money. The company records revenue when users spend Robux in the game. In its most recently reported quarter, ended Sept. 30, Roblox earned $509 million in revenue. That total was up by 102% from the same quarter in 2020. In fact, Roblox has doubled revenue year over year in each of the previous four quarters.Roblox in-house developers do not create most of the games and items that players spend Robux on. Instead, Roblox has a community of third-party developers who spend their time and resources using the platform to create unique experiences, gameplay, and objects they think players will enjoy. This business model lowers the development costs for Roblox and it also lowers one of the biggest risks involved with game development -- the cost of developing an unpopular game. The user-developers take on the risk and only get their share of the compensation if the game attracts user engagement and Robux spending. Only proven hits that generate engagement make money.The model is proving to be effective at generating cash flow for Roblox. While Roblox isnot profitable on the bottom line, it is earning a growing stream of free cash flow. It has put together a streak of five consecutive quarters where its free cash flow surpassed $100 million. That's remarkably higher than in all of 2019, when it earned less than $15 million in free cash flow.The one metric for Roblox that shows anysigns of slowing downdue to economic reopening is the average booking per daily active user. Booking is the equivalent of a cash deposit. This is money that players are putting onto Roblox to buy Robux, but they have not used it just yet. In its most recent update, Roblox said the average booking per daily active user declined between 8% to 9% from the same month the prior year. A decrease in deposits could foreshadow decreasing year-over-year revenue.Interestingly, the metaverse is a place where individuals can virtually interact with each other and their environment. Roblox platform is an early-stage version of this. \"Metaverse\" means different things to different people, and the way users of Roblox interact with each other through the program already fits at least one of these definitions. But there is more it can do, and Roblox management is working with in-house and outside developers to see where it can go with this trend. Of course, the quality of this experience is improved the more immersive it feels. In that regard, Roblox's attractiveness to users will increase as virtual reality hardware becomes more readily available at more affordable prices.An excellent company that appears overpricedThe fall in Roblox's stock price has it trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 25.4, down from 40 just a few months ago. It also dropped its price-to-free-cash-flow ratio to 70, down from over 105 a few months earlier. Both metrics suggest the stock is still trading at a premium. Some of that may be related to Roblox's long-term potential to be a metaverse player. If you agree with this assessment, now might be as good a time as any to buy-in. For others, the fall has made Roblox stock a little more attractive, but investors might want towait a bit longer and see if there is a further pullbackbefore adding shares of this excellent metaversestock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9008117849,"gmtCreate":1641387779984,"gmtModify":1676533608897,"author":{"id":"3559536104810702","authorId":"3559536104810702","name":"CardboardCow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c79aa2894c36fef117ad319db36054","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559536104810702","idStr":"3559536104810702"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When they say sell, you should buy/hold","listText":"When they say sell, you should buy/hold","text":"When they say sell, you should buy/hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008117849","repostId":"2201393362","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2201393362","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1641387579,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2201393362?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-05 20:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Reasons to Sell AMD in 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2201393362","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Investors shouldn't ignore these potential headwinds facing Advanced Micro Devices stock.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b> (NASDAQ:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>) stock has crushed the broader market in the past three years due to rapid growth in the company&#39;s revenue and earnings. AMD&#39;s performance has been fueled by market share gains against bigger rivals such as <b>Intel</b> (NASDAQ:INTC) and its presence in popular products like <b>Sony</b>&#39;s (NYSE:SONY) PlayStation and <b>Microsoft</b>&#39;s (NASDAQ:MSFT) Xbox consoles.</p><p>It won&#39;t be surprising to see AMD sustain its impressive momentum in 2022 and remain a top growth stock thanks to the catalysts it is sitting on.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5182c980e74fc96c1563f489cd3ecdc\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>AMD data by YCharts.</p><p>However, investors shouldn&#39;t miss a few red flags that could send shares of AMD tumbling. Let&#39;s look at three factors that could prove to be AMD&#39;s Achilles&#39; heel in 2022.</p><h2>1. Intel&#39;s resurgence could give AMD sleepless nights</h2><p>The loss of Intel&#39;s competitive edge has been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the biggest factors driving AMD&#39;s growth in the past few years. AMD&#39;s market share gains in the central processing unit (CPU) space have supercharged the company&#39;s revenue and earnings, thanks mainly to an advanced manufacturing process that allowed it to overshadow Chipzilla and gain customer acceptance.</p><p>But it looks like Intel is on the road to redemption, as its latest Alder Lake processors are showing signs of taking back share from AMD. Intel&#39;s share of sales at German retailer Mindfactory had jumped to 30% in November 2021, which was a record high for the year. Intel had a 23% share of sales at Mindfactory in October 2021, indicating that the launch of its new competitive chips that are comparable to AMD&#39;s offerings in terms of the manufacturing process could help it turn the tide.</p><p>Intel&#39;s new manufacturing process is allowing it to make processors that are not just fast but are also competitively priced when compared to AMD&#39;s offerings. Given that Intel is further expected to refine its manufacturing process in 2022 with the Raptor Lake chips and then move to a 7-nanometer process node next year, AMD will have to be on its toes.</p><p>AMD has reportedly slashed prices already to ensure the competitiveness of its chips following the launch of the Alder Lake processors. So Intel&#39;s resurgence would be bad news for AMD, as the latter has had a terrific run in the CPU space, enjoying a mix of strong volumes and pricing power that could be under threat if Chipzilla continues to execute well.</p><h2>2. Component shortages could be another challenge</h2><p>The enterprise, embedded, and semi-custom (EESC) business has been one of the pillars of AMD&#39;s outstanding growth since the launch of the latest-generation consoles by Sony and Microsoft. The company&#39;s third-quarter revenue from the EESC segment was up a whopping 69% year over year to $1.9 billion, and strong gaming console demand was one of the reasons for this massive jump.</p><p>However, it looks like console manufacturers are finding it difficult to source components and make enough devices to meet the robust demand. <b>Nintendo</b>, for instance, slashed the sales forecast of its Switch console for the current fiscal year by 1.5 million units. Similarly, Sony is expected to assemble 15 million units of the PlayStation 5 in the ongoing financial year that&#39;s set to end in March 2022, down from the earlier estimate of 16 million units.</p><p>Additionally, Sony&#39;s manufacturing partners reportedly believe that the company may find it difficult to meet its goal of producing 22.6 million units of the PS5 in the next fiscal year. A similar story seems to be unfolding with Microsoft&#39;s latest Xbox consoles, which are expected to be in short supply this year due to chip shortages.</p><p>So AMD&#39;s sales to Microsoft and Sony may take a hit if the console manufacturers are forced to lower their production this year due to component shortages. This is another potential red flag that AMD investors need to look out for, as its EESC business might lose momentum due to lower console sales.</p><h2>3. Nvidia is dominating graphics cards</h2><p>AMD has been unable to make much headway against <b>Nvidia</b> (NASDAQ:NVDA) in the graphics processing unit (GPU) market over the past year. Nvidia controlled 83% of the discrete graphics cards market in the third quarter of 2021, according to Jon Peddie Research. For comparison, Nvidia had 82% of the discrete GPU market under its control in the fourth quarter of 2020, which means that it hasn&#39;t given AMD an inch in this lucrative market.</p><p>It is worth noting that AMD was once giving Nvidia a run for its money in the GPU market and controlled a substantially large chunk of this space. However, the launch of Nvidia&#39;s Ampere graphics cards in 2020 changed the equation. Those cards brought about huge performance gains at attractive prices. Nvidia is expected to step up its game in 2022 with the launch of its next-generation Ada Lovelace graphics cards that rumors suggest could be twice as fast as the company&#39;s current offerings.</p><p>So AMD may find it difficult to make any progress against Nvidia in the GPU market, especially considering that the latter seems to have secured a substantial supply of components that could help it corner a bigger chunk of sales in 2022. As it turns out, Nvidia was the only GPU maker to have increased sales in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p>Jon Peddie Research estimates $54 billion worth of GPUs will be sold annually by 2025 as compared to $23.6 billion in 2020, and AMD is not in a great position to take advantage thanks to the presence of Nvidia. As a result, AMD may miss out on the sharp increase in GPU sales in 2022 and beyond, and this missed opportunity could eventually weigh on the stock price.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Reasons to Sell AMD in 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Reasons to Sell AMD in 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-05 20:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/05/3-reasons-to-sell-amd-in-2022/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) stock has crushed the broader market in the past three years due to rapid growth in the company's revenue and earnings. AMD's performance has been fueled by market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/05/3-reasons-to-sell-amd-in-2022/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4566":"资本集团","AMD":"美国超微公司","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4529":"IDC概念"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/05/3-reasons-to-sell-amd-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2201393362","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) stock has crushed the broader market in the past three years due to rapid growth in the company's revenue and earnings. AMD's performance has been fueled by market share gains against bigger rivals such as Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) and its presence in popular products like Sony's (NYSE:SONY) PlayStation and Microsoft's (NASDAQ:MSFT) Xbox consoles.It won't be surprising to see AMD sustain its impressive momentum in 2022 and remain a top growth stock thanks to the catalysts it is sitting on.AMD data by YCharts.However, investors shouldn't miss a few red flags that could send shares of AMD tumbling. Let's look at three factors that could prove to be AMD's Achilles' heel in 2022.1. Intel's resurgence could give AMD sleepless nightsThe loss of Intel's competitive edge has been one of the biggest factors driving AMD's growth in the past few years. AMD's market share gains in the central processing unit (CPU) space have supercharged the company's revenue and earnings, thanks mainly to an advanced manufacturing process that allowed it to overshadow Chipzilla and gain customer acceptance.But it looks like Intel is on the road to redemption, as its latest Alder Lake processors are showing signs of taking back share from AMD. Intel's share of sales at German retailer Mindfactory had jumped to 30% in November 2021, which was a record high for the year. Intel had a 23% share of sales at Mindfactory in October 2021, indicating that the launch of its new competitive chips that are comparable to AMD's offerings in terms of the manufacturing process could help it turn the tide.Intel's new manufacturing process is allowing it to make processors that are not just fast but are also competitively priced when compared to AMD's offerings. Given that Intel is further expected to refine its manufacturing process in 2022 with the Raptor Lake chips and then move to a 7-nanometer process node next year, AMD will have to be on its toes.AMD has reportedly slashed prices already to ensure the competitiveness of its chips following the launch of the Alder Lake processors. So Intel's resurgence would be bad news for AMD, as the latter has had a terrific run in the CPU space, enjoying a mix of strong volumes and pricing power that could be under threat if Chipzilla continues to execute well.2. Component shortages could be another challengeThe enterprise, embedded, and semi-custom (EESC) business has been one of the pillars of AMD's outstanding growth since the launch of the latest-generation consoles by Sony and Microsoft. The company's third-quarter revenue from the EESC segment was up a whopping 69% year over year to $1.9 billion, and strong gaming console demand was one of the reasons for this massive jump.However, it looks like console manufacturers are finding it difficult to source components and make enough devices to meet the robust demand. Nintendo, for instance, slashed the sales forecast of its Switch console for the current fiscal year by 1.5 million units. Similarly, Sony is expected to assemble 15 million units of the PlayStation 5 in the ongoing financial year that's set to end in March 2022, down from the earlier estimate of 16 million units.Additionally, Sony's manufacturing partners reportedly believe that the company may find it difficult to meet its goal of producing 22.6 million units of the PS5 in the next fiscal year. A similar story seems to be unfolding with Microsoft's latest Xbox consoles, which are expected to be in short supply this year due to chip shortages.So AMD's sales to Microsoft and Sony may take a hit if the console manufacturers are forced to lower their production this year due to component shortages. This is another potential red flag that AMD investors need to look out for, as its EESC business might lose momentum due to lower console sales.3. Nvidia is dominating graphics cardsAMD has been unable to make much headway against Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) in the graphics processing unit (GPU) market over the past year. Nvidia controlled 83% of the discrete graphics cards market in the third quarter of 2021, according to Jon Peddie Research. For comparison, Nvidia had 82% of the discrete GPU market under its control in the fourth quarter of 2020, which means that it hasn't given AMD an inch in this lucrative market.It is worth noting that AMD was once giving Nvidia a run for its money in the GPU market and controlled a substantially large chunk of this space. However, the launch of Nvidia's Ampere graphics cards in 2020 changed the equation. Those cards brought about huge performance gains at attractive prices. Nvidia is expected to step up its game in 2022 with the launch of its next-generation Ada Lovelace graphics cards that rumors suggest could be twice as fast as the company's current offerings.So AMD may find it difficult to make any progress against Nvidia in the GPU market, especially considering that the latter seems to have secured a substantial supply of components that could help it corner a bigger chunk of sales in 2022. As it turns out, Nvidia was the only GPU maker to have increased sales in the third quarter of 2021.Jon Peddie Research estimates $54 billion worth of GPUs will be sold annually by 2025 as compared to $23.6 billion in 2020, and AMD is not in a great position to take advantage thanks to the presence of Nvidia. As a result, AMD may miss out on the sharp increase in GPU sales in 2022 and beyond, and this missed opportunity could eventually weigh on the stock price.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9000594893,"gmtCreate":1640226219192,"gmtModify":1676533509620,"author":{"id":"3559536104810702","authorId":"3559536104810702","name":"CardboardCow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c79aa2894c36fef117ad319db36054","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559536104810702","idStr":"3559536104810702"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nioooo","listText":"Nioooo","text":"Nioooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9000594893","repostId":"1173043963","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}