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Rayzor
2022-09-06
Mortley fool full of shit lah. So many stock can turn millions
3 Monster Growth Stocks That Can Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032
Rayzor
2022-01-26
Cool
How Palantir Stock Could Generate A 20%+ Total Return CAGR Through 2030
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fool full of shit lah. So many stock can turn millions","listText":"Mortley fool full of shit lah. So many stock can turn millions","text":"Mortley fool full of shit lah. So many stock can turn millions","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931653360","repostId":"2264715717","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264715717","pubTimestamp":1662433385,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2264715717?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-06 11:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Monster Growth Stocks That Can Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264715717","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These fast-paced companies have the sustainable competitive advantages necessary to make patient investors a lot richer over the next decade.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Regardless of whether you've been putting your money to work on Wall Street for decades or have only recently begun investing, 2022 has been a year for the ages. The first half of the year saw the widely followed <b>S&P 500</b> deliver its worst return in over five decades. Meanwhile, the technology-centric <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> shed as much as 34% from its all-time closing high in November.</p><p>While sizable declines in the major U.S. indexes can be unnerving and test the resolve of investors, history has also shown these drops to be ideal buying opportunities for patient investors. After all, every correction and bear market throughout history (until the current one) has been put in the rearview mirror by an eventual bull-market rally.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F698983%2Fstack-of-one-hundred-dollar-bills-cash-money-invest-retire-getty.jpg&w=700&op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"492\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p>It's an especially intriguing time to go bargain-hunting for supercharged growth stocks powered by innovation. Here are three monster growth stocks that could turn an initial investment of $200,000 into $1 million by 2032.</p><h2>Upstart Holdings</h2><p>The first sensational growth stock that has the potential to quintuple your money by 2032 and make you a millionaire from an initial investment of $200,000 is cloud-based lending platform <b>Upstart Holdings</b>.</p><p>As you can imagine, there's a lot of skepticism surrounding any financial stock tied to loans and loan-vetting at the moment. With the U.S. inflation rate hitting a more-than-four-decade high in June, the Federal Reserve has had no choice but to aggressively increase interest rates. This could sap all types of loan demand and dramatically increase loan delinquency rates. A relatively new company like Upstart, which hasn't yet navigated its way through a steep economic decline, might experience growing pains.</p><p>But there are two sides to this coin. Although Upstart is contending with headwinds, it offers clear-cut competitive advantages and has demonstrated that it can thrive during periods of economic expansion.</p><p>The obvious differentiator for Upstart is its lending platform, which is driven by artificial intelligence (AI). The traditional loan-vetting process can be costly and take weeks, but close to three-quarters of all Upstart-vetted loans are entirely automated and instantly approved.</p><p>Perhaps more important is the fact that Upstart's vetting process has resulted in a broader swath of loan applicants being approved. Despite Upstart-approved borrowers having lower average credit scores than in the traditional vetting process, the delinquency rates of AI-driven Upstart loans and traditionally processed loans has been similar. The key takeaway: Upstart can bring new customers to its roughly 70 financial partners without increasing their credit-risk profiles.</p><p>Furthermore, Upstart only recently began expanding into more lucrative loan origination opportunities. For years, it has primarily focused on vetting personal loans. But with the company now pushing into small business loans and auto loans, its addressable market has grown by a factor of 10. If the company's AI lending platform garners the attention of the housing industry, and it begins vetting home-loan applications, its addressable market could expand by trillions of dollars.</p><p>While there's no question that Upstart's near-term operating results will be a bit rough around the edges, the company has a proven platform to disrupt the lending industry.</p><h2>PubMatic</h2><p>A second monster growth stock that can turn a $200,000 investment into a cool $1 million in 10 years is cloud-based adtech stock <b>PubMatic</b>.</p><p>Like Upstart, PubMatic finds itself surrounded by skepticism as the U.S. economy weakens. Ad spending is often one of the first things to be hit when economic growth slows or contracts. With most ad-driven businesses modestly lowering their near-term growth forecasts, PubMatic has been dragged down with the pack.</p><p>But PubMatic wouldn't be on this list if it weren't a growth stock with monster potential.</p><p>To begin with, PubMatic benefits from being a sell-side platform, or SSP. This is a fancy way of saying that it provides programmatic ad services for publishing companies and sells their digital display space. Thanks to consolidation, there aren't too many SSPs at scale to choose from. This makes PubMatic a logical choice for publishing companies looking to sell their digital ad space.</p><p>Another reason to be hopeful about PubMatic's future is the company's positioning within the programmatic ad space. It's no secret that ad dollars are shifting from print and billboards to the digital realm, including mobile, video, and over-the-top (OTT) channels. Whereas digital ad spending is expected to grow by 14% annually through 2025, PubMatic has been consistently delivering organic growth of 20% to 50% on a year-over-year basis.</p><p>Yet the best thing about PubMatic might be that the company designed and built its cloud infrastructure. While it could have easily relied on third-party providers, building out its own cloud infrastructure should result in scaling efficiencies that produce superior operating margins, relative to its peers.</p><p>And in case there are any worries, the company finished the quarter that ended in June with $183 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities -- and no debt. PubMatic looks virtually unstoppable, and its stock is incredibly inexpensive considering the growth runway for mobile, video, and OTT advertising.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F698983%2Fonline-purchase-ecommerce-credit-card-laptop-shopping-gdp-retail-getty.jpg&w=700&op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Etsy</h2><p>The third and final monster growth stock that can turn $200,000 into $1 million by 2032 is specialty e-commerce stock <b>Etsy</b>.</p><p>To echo the theme of this list, Wall Street is worried about the near-term growth prospects for the U.S. economy. A company like Etsy, which predominantly relies on consumer spending, would be vulnerable in the short run to an economic contraction or recession. We've witnessed these fears translating to a significant pullback in its shares.</p><p>Thankfully, Etsy brings a number of competitive advantages to the table that make it a prime candidate to quintuple in value over the next decade.</p><p>For starters, its operating model is vastly different from the myriad of online retail marketplaces consumers can find online. While most e-commerce sites are solely focused on volume, Etsy's marketplace thrives on personalization. That's because its online marketplace is comprised of sole proprietors and small businesses creating unique and customizable products. There isn't a platform at scale that can provide the same personalization of shopping experience that Etsy can deliver. This is a sustainable competitive edge that should drive double-digit sales growth for a long time to come.</p><p>Etsy has also done a phenomenal job of attracting previous buyers back to its platform, as well as moving casual shoppers into the habitual-buying category. A "habitual buyer" is a term used by the company to describe someone making six or more purchases totaling at least $200, in aggregate, over the trailing-12-month period.</p><p>As of the end of June, Etsy had approximately 7.8 million habitual buyers, which represented a 248% increase from the comparable quarter in 2019 (that is, prior to the pandemic). Growth in numbers of habitual buyers is precisely why the company can charge merchants more for ads and other services.</p><p>Additionally, Etsy deserves credit for aggressively reinvesting in initiatives designed to keep shoppers engaged and help its merchants grow. It's introduced and expanded video advertising to engage consumers, beefed up search capabilities on the platform to allow for quicker purchases, and invested in data analytics for sellers.</p><p>If Etsy can remain overwhelmingly profitable in this challenging environment, imagine what it can do during disproportionately long periods of economic expansion.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Monster Growth Stocks That Can Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Monster Growth Stocks That Can Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-06 11:03 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/3-growth-stocks-turn-200000-into-1-million-by-2032/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Regardless of whether you've been putting your money to work on Wall Street for decades or have only recently begun investing, 2022 has been a year for the ages. The first half of the year saw the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/3-growth-stocks-turn-200000-into-1-million-by-2032/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","PUBM":"PubMatic, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/3-growth-stocks-turn-200000-into-1-million-by-2032/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264715717","content_text":"Regardless of whether you've been putting your money to work on Wall Street for decades or have only recently begun investing, 2022 has been a year for the ages. The first half of the year saw the widely followed S&P 500 deliver its worst return in over five decades. Meanwhile, the technology-centric Nasdaq Composite shed as much as 34% from its all-time closing high in November.While sizable declines in the major U.S. indexes can be unnerving and test the resolve of investors, history has also shown these drops to be ideal buying opportunities for patient investors. After all, every correction and bear market throughout history (until the current one) has been put in the rearview mirror by an eventual bull-market rally.Image source: Getty Images.It's an especially intriguing time to go bargain-hunting for supercharged growth stocks powered by innovation. Here are three monster growth stocks that could turn an initial investment of $200,000 into $1 million by 2032.Upstart HoldingsThe first sensational growth stock that has the potential to quintuple your money by 2032 and make you a millionaire from an initial investment of $200,000 is cloud-based lending platform Upstart Holdings.As you can imagine, there's a lot of skepticism surrounding any financial stock tied to loans and loan-vetting at the moment. With the U.S. inflation rate hitting a more-than-four-decade high in June, the Federal Reserve has had no choice but to aggressively increase interest rates. This could sap all types of loan demand and dramatically increase loan delinquency rates. A relatively new company like Upstart, which hasn't yet navigated its way through a steep economic decline, might experience growing pains.But there are two sides to this coin. Although Upstart is contending with headwinds, it offers clear-cut competitive advantages and has demonstrated that it can thrive during periods of economic expansion.The obvious differentiator for Upstart is its lending platform, which is driven by artificial intelligence (AI). The traditional loan-vetting process can be costly and take weeks, but close to three-quarters of all Upstart-vetted loans are entirely automated and instantly approved.Perhaps more important is the fact that Upstart's vetting process has resulted in a broader swath of loan applicants being approved. Despite Upstart-approved borrowers having lower average credit scores than in the traditional vetting process, the delinquency rates of AI-driven Upstart loans and traditionally processed loans has been similar. The key takeaway: Upstart can bring new customers to its roughly 70 financial partners without increasing their credit-risk profiles.Furthermore, Upstart only recently began expanding into more lucrative loan origination opportunities. For years, it has primarily focused on vetting personal loans. But with the company now pushing into small business loans and auto loans, its addressable market has grown by a factor of 10. If the company's AI lending platform garners the attention of the housing industry, and it begins vetting home-loan applications, its addressable market could expand by trillions of dollars.While there's no question that Upstart's near-term operating results will be a bit rough around the edges, the company has a proven platform to disrupt the lending industry.PubMaticA second monster growth stock that can turn a $200,000 investment into a cool $1 million in 10 years is cloud-based adtech stock PubMatic.Like Upstart, PubMatic finds itself surrounded by skepticism as the U.S. economy weakens. Ad spending is often one of the first things to be hit when economic growth slows or contracts. With most ad-driven businesses modestly lowering their near-term growth forecasts, PubMatic has been dragged down with the pack.But PubMatic wouldn't be on this list if it weren't a growth stock with monster potential.To begin with, PubMatic benefits from being a sell-side platform, or SSP. This is a fancy way of saying that it provides programmatic ad services for publishing companies and sells their digital display space. Thanks to consolidation, there aren't too many SSPs at scale to choose from. This makes PubMatic a logical choice for publishing companies looking to sell their digital ad space.Another reason to be hopeful about PubMatic's future is the company's positioning within the programmatic ad space. It's no secret that ad dollars are shifting from print and billboards to the digital realm, including mobile, video, and over-the-top (OTT) channels. Whereas digital ad spending is expected to grow by 14% annually through 2025, PubMatic has been consistently delivering organic growth of 20% to 50% on a year-over-year basis.Yet the best thing about PubMatic might be that the company designed and built its cloud infrastructure. While it could have easily relied on third-party providers, building out its own cloud infrastructure should result in scaling efficiencies that produce superior operating margins, relative to its peers.And in case there are any worries, the company finished the quarter that ended in June with $183 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities -- and no debt. PubMatic looks virtually unstoppable, and its stock is incredibly inexpensive considering the growth runway for mobile, video, and OTT advertising.Image source: Getty Images.EtsyThe third and final monster growth stock that can turn $200,000 into $1 million by 2032 is specialty e-commerce stock Etsy.To echo the theme of this list, Wall Street is worried about the near-term growth prospects for the U.S. economy. A company like Etsy, which predominantly relies on consumer spending, would be vulnerable in the short run to an economic contraction or recession. We've witnessed these fears translating to a significant pullback in its shares.Thankfully, Etsy brings a number of competitive advantages to the table that make it a prime candidate to quintuple in value over the next decade.For starters, its operating model is vastly different from the myriad of online retail marketplaces consumers can find online. While most e-commerce sites are solely focused on volume, Etsy's marketplace thrives on personalization. That's because its online marketplace is comprised of sole proprietors and small businesses creating unique and customizable products. There isn't a platform at scale that can provide the same personalization of shopping experience that Etsy can deliver. This is a sustainable competitive edge that should drive double-digit sales growth for a long time to come.Etsy has also done a phenomenal job of attracting previous buyers back to its platform, as well as moving casual shoppers into the habitual-buying category. A \"habitual buyer\" is a term used by the company to describe someone making six or more purchases totaling at least $200, in aggregate, over the trailing-12-month period.As of the end of June, Etsy had approximately 7.8 million habitual buyers, which represented a 248% increase from the comparable quarter in 2019 (that is, prior to the pandemic). Growth in numbers of habitual buyers is precisely why the company can charge merchants more for ads and other services.Additionally, Etsy deserves credit for aggressively reinvesting in initiatives designed to keep shoppers engaged and help its merchants grow. It's introduced and expanded video advertising to engage consumers, beefed up search capabilities on the platform to allow for quicker purchases, and invested in data analytics for sellers.If Etsy can remain overwhelmingly profitable in this challenging environment, imagine what it can do during disproportionately long periods of economic expansion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":28,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9090237017,"gmtCreate":1643192720748,"gmtModify":1676533783465,"author":{"id":"3560287889745415","authorId":"3560287889745415","name":"Rayzor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74b2984081a52e575941a3dfc70a455","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9090237017","repostId":"1177764614","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177764614","pubTimestamp":1643177185,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177764614?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-26 14:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Palantir Stock Could Generate A 20%+ Total Return CAGR Through 2030","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177764614","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir stock was an attractive buy at $20 and now it trades at $13.Meanwhile, Palantir's in","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir stock was an attractive buy at $20 and now it trades at $13.</li><li>Meanwhile, Palantir's investment thesis has not changed much and its services are needed more than ever.</li><li>We provide an updated investment thesis and valuation model for PLTR stock.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac7c4f3ba3be235774ad0b6a874c2107\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1152\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Hiroshi Watanabe/DigitalVision via Getty Images</span></p><p>Based on our valuation model, Palantir Technologies(NYSE:PLTR) stock was an attractive buy at $20 and now it trades at $13. Meanwhile, its investment thesis has not changed much and its services are needed more than ever. In this article, we provide an updated investment thesis and valuation model.</p><p><b>What Has Changed In Palantir?</b></p><p>Obviously whenever a stock crashes as precipitously as PLTR has since reaching all-time highs just shy of a year ago, the natural question is: what happened?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a3bcae93dbc1139dc28a256581f7184\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Well, the answer is quite simple:</p><p>1. Overall high-growth disruptive technology was in a major bubble a year ago as 2020 turned to 2021 since the sector had been bolstered substantially by COVID-19 and this had fed into a "fear of missing out" frenzy in the sector. Since then, this bubble has collapsed as the euphoria has worn off and soaring inflation has pressured the Federal Reserve into signaling meaningful interest rate hikes in the near future. This has pushed investors back towards companies that are generating profits today rather than being content to wait until well into the future to receive profits. The steep decline of ARK Investment's flagship ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK) over the past year proves this point:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd461732d547d0c4c1af390b1a5dff99\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>2. While the inflation and deflation of the ARKK bubble and the associated macroeconomic and geopolitical factors explain a lot of PLTR's share price performance over the past year, another major factor weighing on the stock is management's doubling down on its liberal stock-based compensation policy. The company's aggressive issuance of equity to its employees consistently erases what would otherwise be solid profits and turns the company's bottom line deep into the red quarter after quarter.</p><p>That said, management's argument in favor of stock-based compensation also makes sense:</p><ul><li>it helps to attract and retain the best and brightest minds in the industry</li><li>it gives employees substantial skin in the game alongside investors</li><li>it preserves cash for the company to invest aggressively into research, product development, and sales and marketing efforts.</li></ul><p>With such a massive and rapidly growing total addressable market, growth investing truly does seem to be the most prudent use of capital at this point, even if it means diluting shareholders in the short term. Nevertheless, itcannot be denied that this practice weighs heavily on the shares as many investors have begun to lose patience with the company's apparent disregard of shareholders. Rising inflation and the prospect of higher interest rates has only heightened that sentiment even more.</p><p><b>What Has Not Changed In Palantir?</b></p><p>PLTR continues to grow and innovate rapidly. While we will have to wait for Q4 results to verify this, but there is no indication that its U.S. commercial and government businesses have stopped growing rapidly. The company still has a $120 billion plus total addressable market that should grow rapidly for the next decade and beyond and its biggest current roadblock to sustaining or even increasing its robust current growth rate is winning more international business.</p><p>Management seems keenly focused on accelerating its international penetration as the past two earnings calls have featured management comments referencing "accelerating growth" in the international business that has yet to show up, the company is investing aggressively in international sales team hiring, and the company has recently produced a string of videos featuring international clients, CEO Alex Karp speaking in French with clients, and addressing the nation of Japan to wish them a happy 2022 and announce plans to visit the nation this year.</p><p>The thesis really remains the same: PLTR has a massive growth runway that should allow for robust top-line growth for many years to come, it has some of the top talent in the industry, its Foundry business is taking off nicely in the U.S., and it possesses a coveted position on the inside track with U.S. government agencies and seems to be its top horse for running the A.I. race against China.</p><p>However, investors still need to see that PLTR's international commercial and government businesses can gain meaningful traction and that the company can scale to a level where the dilutive impact of stock-based compensation becomes significantly diminished. Once these two big questions are resolved, PLTR's investment thesis will be significantly de-risked and the stock price should then see much greater stability, if not upside.</p><p><b>What Is PLTR Stock Worth?</b></p><p>Given that PLTR's total addressable market should grow by around 20% per year (in-line with the projected 20.4% global big data CAGR through 2030), we think that PLTR's TAM will be over $600 billion by the end of 2030. We think that PLTR is competitively positioned within its space and should therefore be able to at a minimum retain its current market share, providing a nice floor growth rate of a 20% revenue CAGR over that time span.</p><p>Management has guided for over $4 billion in revenue in 2025, while analysts expect the company will smash that projection with over $5 billion in revenue in 2025. That implies a ~35% revenue CAGR over that time span which we think is quite reasonable given that the company grew revenue by 47.2% in 2022 and is expected to have grown it by about 40% in 2021.</p><p>If we assume a 25% revenue growth CAGR from 2026-2030, revenue will be at $15.4 billion in 2030. That would be a meager 2.5% of total addressable market share. For reference, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)currently owns ~15% of its market share and Uber(NYSE:UBER)currently owns ~4% of its market share. We think this is a very reasonable - if not conservative - set of assumptions.</p><p>This leaves the big question at what PLTR's EBITDA margins will end up being. In 2020, they were 18.6% and in 2021 they are expected to come in around 30%. If the company can merely sustain these margins, its EBITDA will be $4.6 billion in 2030. At a 30x EV/EBITDA multiple, the company would be worth nearly $140 billion. Today, its enterprise value is just $24.5 billion. That would imply a 21% total return CAGR over the next nine years.</p><p><b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p>Given its competitive positioning, the soaring geopolitical tensions and rivalries that are bound to become increasingly centered on A.I. capabilities, and the rise of big data across global industry, PLTR is in a strong position to see massive growth for years to come.</p><p>If it can continue growing at a rapid clip, its stock-based compensation should begin to decline in significance and ultimately it should generate attractive total returns for shareholders. Thanks to the massive recent sell-off, its margin of safety is wider than ever and it could very possibly generate over 20% annualized total returns through 2030.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Palantir Stock Could Generate A 20%+ Total Return CAGR Through 2030</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Palantir Stock Could Generate A 20%+ Total Return CAGR Through 2030\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-26 14:06 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4481544-palantir-stock-total-return-cagr-2030><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir stock was an attractive buy at $20 and now it trades at $13.Meanwhile, Palantir's investment thesis has not changed much and its services are needed more than ever.We provide an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4481544-palantir-stock-total-return-cagr-2030\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4481544-palantir-stock-total-return-cagr-2030","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177764614","content_text":"SummaryPalantir stock was an attractive buy at $20 and now it trades at $13.Meanwhile, Palantir's investment thesis has not changed much and its services are needed more than ever.We provide an updated investment thesis and valuation model for PLTR stock.Hiroshi Watanabe/DigitalVision via Getty ImagesBased on our valuation model, Palantir Technologies(NYSE:PLTR) stock was an attractive buy at $20 and now it trades at $13. Meanwhile, its investment thesis has not changed much and its services are needed more than ever. In this article, we provide an updated investment thesis and valuation model.What Has Changed In Palantir?Obviously whenever a stock crashes as precipitously as PLTR has since reaching all-time highs just shy of a year ago, the natural question is: what happened?Data by YChartsWell, the answer is quite simple:1. Overall high-growth disruptive technology was in a major bubble a year ago as 2020 turned to 2021 since the sector had been bolstered substantially by COVID-19 and this had fed into a \"fear of missing out\" frenzy in the sector. Since then, this bubble has collapsed as the euphoria has worn off and soaring inflation has pressured the Federal Reserve into signaling meaningful interest rate hikes in the near future. This has pushed investors back towards companies that are generating profits today rather than being content to wait until well into the future to receive profits. The steep decline of ARK Investment's flagship ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK) over the past year proves this point:Data by YCharts2. While the inflation and deflation of the ARKK bubble and the associated macroeconomic and geopolitical factors explain a lot of PLTR's share price performance over the past year, another major factor weighing on the stock is management's doubling down on its liberal stock-based compensation policy. The company's aggressive issuance of equity to its employees consistently erases what would otherwise be solid profits and turns the company's bottom line deep into the red quarter after quarter.That said, management's argument in favor of stock-based compensation also makes sense:it helps to attract and retain the best and brightest minds in the industryit gives employees substantial skin in the game alongside investorsit preserves cash for the company to invest aggressively into research, product development, and sales and marketing efforts.With such a massive and rapidly growing total addressable market, growth investing truly does seem to be the most prudent use of capital at this point, even if it means diluting shareholders in the short term. Nevertheless, itcannot be denied that this practice weighs heavily on the shares as many investors have begun to lose patience with the company's apparent disregard of shareholders. Rising inflation and the prospect of higher interest rates has only heightened that sentiment even more.What Has Not Changed In Palantir?PLTR continues to grow and innovate rapidly. While we will have to wait for Q4 results to verify this, but there is no indication that its U.S. commercial and government businesses have stopped growing rapidly. The company still has a $120 billion plus total addressable market that should grow rapidly for the next decade and beyond and its biggest current roadblock to sustaining or even increasing its robust current growth rate is winning more international business.Management seems keenly focused on accelerating its international penetration as the past two earnings calls have featured management comments referencing \"accelerating growth\" in the international business that has yet to show up, the company is investing aggressively in international sales team hiring, and the company has recently produced a string of videos featuring international clients, CEO Alex Karp speaking in French with clients, and addressing the nation of Japan to wish them a happy 2022 and announce plans to visit the nation this year.The thesis really remains the same: PLTR has a massive growth runway that should allow for robust top-line growth for many years to come, it has some of the top talent in the industry, its Foundry business is taking off nicely in the U.S., and it possesses a coveted position on the inside track with U.S. government agencies and seems to be its top horse for running the A.I. race against China.However, investors still need to see that PLTR's international commercial and government businesses can gain meaningful traction and that the company can scale to a level where the dilutive impact of stock-based compensation becomes significantly diminished. Once these two big questions are resolved, PLTR's investment thesis will be significantly de-risked and the stock price should then see much greater stability, if not upside.What Is PLTR Stock Worth?Given that PLTR's total addressable market should grow by around 20% per year (in-line with the projected 20.4% global big data CAGR through 2030), we think that PLTR's TAM will be over $600 billion by the end of 2030. We think that PLTR is competitively positioned within its space and should therefore be able to at a minimum retain its current market share, providing a nice floor growth rate of a 20% revenue CAGR over that time span.Management has guided for over $4 billion in revenue in 2025, while analysts expect the company will smash that projection with over $5 billion in revenue in 2025. That implies a ~35% revenue CAGR over that time span which we think is quite reasonable given that the company grew revenue by 47.2% in 2022 and is expected to have grown it by about 40% in 2021.If we assume a 25% revenue growth CAGR from 2026-2030, revenue will be at $15.4 billion in 2030. That would be a meager 2.5% of total addressable market share. For reference, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)currently owns ~15% of its market share and Uber(NYSE:UBER)currently owns ~4% of its market share. We think this is a very reasonable - if not conservative - set of assumptions.This leaves the big question at what PLTR's EBITDA margins will end up being. In 2020, they were 18.6% and in 2021 they are expected to come in around 30%. If the company can merely sustain these margins, its EBITDA will be $4.6 billion in 2030. At a 30x EV/EBITDA multiple, the company would be worth nearly $140 billion. Today, its enterprise value is just $24.5 billion. That would imply a 21% total return CAGR over the next nine years.Investor TakeawayGiven its competitive positioning, the soaring geopolitical tensions and rivalries that are bound to become increasingly centered on A.I. capabilities, and the rise of big data across global industry, PLTR is in a strong position to see massive growth for years to come.If it can continue growing at a rapid clip, its stock-based compensation should begin to decline in significance and ultimately it should generate attractive total returns for shareholders. Thanks to the massive recent sell-off, its margin of safety is wider than ever and it could very possibly generate over 20% annualized total returns through 2030.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9931653360,"gmtCreate":1662454722950,"gmtModify":1676537063621,"author":{"id":"3560287889745415","authorId":"3560287889745415","name":"Rayzor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74b2984081a52e575941a3dfc70a455","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mortley fool full of shit lah. So many stock can turn millions","listText":"Mortley fool full of shit lah. So many stock can turn millions","text":"Mortley fool full of shit lah. So many stock can turn millions","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931653360","repostId":"2264715717","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":28,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9090237017,"gmtCreate":1643192720748,"gmtModify":1676533783465,"author":{"id":"3560287889745415","authorId":"3560287889745415","name":"Rayzor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74b2984081a52e575941a3dfc70a455","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9090237017","repostId":"1177764614","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
